Dream vs. Mercury Odds, Prediction & WNBA Best Bets Today, Aug. 10
With both teams (Phoenix Mercury and Atlanta Dream) in the ascendancy on our WNBA championship odds leaderboard, we dive into today's Dream vs. Mercury odds and prediction.
The Mercury (19-11) are the 3.5-point betting favorites across our best sports betting sites, and we expect them to treat their home fans to a sterling performance.
Today's game from PHX Arena starts at 6 p.m. ET (NBA TV). With our bonus pick, we feature the indomitable Alyssa Thomas.
🔮 Dream vs. Mercury prediction: WNBA expert picks
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✅ Moneyline pick: Mercury ML (-165 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Mercury -3.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 164.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
🆚 Who will win Dream vs. Mercury?
✅ Moneyline pick: Mercury will win (-165 via bet365)
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The Mercury have been taking advantage of a soft spot in their schedule to gain some momentum, defeating the Indiana Fever (without Caitlin Clark), the Connecticut Sun, and the Chicago Sky (without Angel Reese) during their current win streak.
Still, it’s hard not to believe in Phoenix’s potential as a championship spoiler, especially as this roster becomes more familiar with each other. This is a good opportunity for the Mercury to make a statement entering the home stretch of the regular season.
💰 Dream vs. Mercury best bet & WNBA predictions
🔥 Mercury first-quarter ML ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: -135 via Fanatics ($10 to win $7.41)
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I’ve scoured our best sports betting sites, and only Fanatics and ESPN BET are offering first-quarter markets as of this writing. When those markets become more available, I like backing Phoenix at -140 or better for a four-star play.
The Dream crushed the Mercury on Aug. 1, suffering a 95-72 road loss. They've won three straight in response while playing some of their best basketball of the season.
Thomas has been leading the way while becoming the first player in WNBA history to record three consecutive triple-doubles. She’s also added eight steals and one block over that span, providing two-way impact.
The rest of the roster makes so much more sense when Thomas is playing at this level, as she can find open shooters on the perimeter.
Phoenix has produced a double-digit lead after the opening frame in two straight games, highlighting the importance of a fast start. I like the Mercury to do that again with revenge on their mind against the Dream.
👀 Best player prop for Dream vs. Mercury
⛹️♀️ Alyssa Thomas triple-double ⭐⭐⭐
📊 Best odds: +475 via DraftKings ($10 to win $47.50)
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Are you going to turn down a +475 price on Thomas to record a fourth straight triple-double? She’s fully entered the MVP conversation with this recent stretch while Minnesota Lynx star Napheesa Collier is sidelined.
Thomas recorded a double-double against Atlanta on Aug. 1, but she finished seven assists shy of cashing this prop. I don’t see that happening again, as she averages 9.2 assists per game this year.
🏀 Dream vs. Mercury odds today
Live updated WNBA odds from our best sports betting sites.
🔢 Dream vs. Mercury updated betting insights
- The Mercury opened as the 3.5-point betting favorite at DraftKings. That line remains unchanged
- 73% of bets are on the Mercury to cover
- The total at Caesars has moved from 164.5 to 165
🔮 More WNBA expert picks today
- Mystics vs. Wings prediction
- Dream vs. Mercury prediction
- Storm vs. Sparks prediction
- Sun vs. Aces prediction
❓ WNBA betting FAQs
How do WNBA betting odds work?
WNBA betting odds show the potential payout and implied probability of a bet. Favorites have minus odds (e.g., -120), while underdogs have plus odds (e.g., +150).
What does betting against the spread mean?
Betting against the spread in the WNBA means picking a team to win by a certain number of points (the spread) or to lose by fewer than that number.
What is moneyline betting?
Moneyline betting is picking which WNBA team will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. Odds show how much you win based on your bet.
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