Mets vs. Phillies Player Props for Sunday Night Baseball

Our Mets vs. Phillies player props for tonight's game feature David Peterson, Jesus Luzardo, and Juan Soto.

Mike Spector

Last Updated: June 22, 2025 1:43 PM EDT • 5 minute read

Mets vs. Phillies Player Props: Best Sunday Night Baseball Bets — Pictured: New York Mets outfielder Juan Soto rounds the bases after hitting a home run. Photo by Kyle Ross via Imagn Images

Deadlocked in a first-place tie once again in the National League East, the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet in the rubber match of their three-game series to battle for the division lead on Sunday Night Baseball.

Our Mets vs. Phillies player props involve wagers on each team’s left-handed starting pitchers while expecting Juan Soto to remain hot after yesterday’s four-RBI day.

First pitch from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia is slated for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN), and the Phillies are the marginal favorites at our best sports betting sites.

We also examined this matchup in our Mets vs. Phillies prediction.

💰 Best Mets vs. Phillies MLB player props tonight: Sunday Night Baseball

Here are my best Mets vs. Phillies Sunday Night Baseball player props for today's MLB matchup with pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale. Be sure to check out the rest of our MLB picks, along with our guide on how to bet on the MLB.

David Peterson player prop pick: Over 17.5 outs recorded (-140 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Jesus Luzardo player prop pick: Under 2.5 earned runs (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Juan Soto player prop pick: Soto to hit a home run (+375 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Mets vs. Phillies player prop bet odds & expert picks: Sunday Night Baseball

Here are my best Mets vs. Phillies player prop bet odds and expert picks for today's MLB matchup. You can also check out our MLB player prop odds tool for the latest MLB odds at the best legal sportsbooks in your region.

⚾ Best David Peterson prop pick: Over 17.5 outs recorded ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -140 via DraftKings ($10 to win $7.14)

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The line movement in this game has moved in the direction of the Mets, so much so that FanDuel projects the game as a coin-flip, with each team having -108 moneyline odds.

That suggests Peterson is due to improve his road numbers. He has a career .714 win percentage with a 3.21 ERA at Citi Field, compared to a .419 winning percentage with a 4.42 ERA on the road.

New York has used the bullpen a lot in this series, with its two starters going a combined 8 ⅔ innings thus far. It needs Peterson to go deep in this game, knowing it has no days off this week and heads home for a four-game set against an Atlanta team that scored 17 runs in a three-game sweep last week.

These -140 odds at DraftKings are still a great value for an innings-eater like Peterson. The southpaw has recorded 21-plus outs in four of his previous five starts and has gone over this projected total in seven of eight.

📊 Best David Peterson prop pick odds

⚾ Best Jesus Luzardo prop pick: Under 2.5 earned runs ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via Caesars ($10 to win $8.33)

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Luzardo, also featured in our Mets vs. Phillies player prediction, is just two starts removed from allowing 20 earned runs in 5 ⅔ innings over a two-start stretch. However, those skewed numbers were largely a result of his tipping pitches, which is something he appears to have corrected.

Over his first 11 starts, Luzardo allowed a .143 average and .228 xwOBA with a 34% whiff rate when there was a runner on second base.

The tipping pitches theory, with the runner on second base relaying information, began when Luzardo allowed a .900 average and .734 xwOBA with a runner on second base over the next two starts.

With those issues seemingly behind him, I am backing Luzardo to pitch more like the darkhorse Cy Young Award candidate who had a 2.15 ERA through his first 11 starts. Caesars offers the competitive price of our best sports betting apps.

📊 Best Jesus Luzardo prop pick odds

⚾ Best Juan Soto prop pick: Soto to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +375 via bet365 ($10 to win $37.50)

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Soto is coming off his best game in a Mets uniform. He belted two home runs and drove in a season-high four runs yesterday. The only other time Soto had a multi-home run game this season, he followed up with another in the next game.

Soto’s +140 odds to record an RBI today are generous, but the Mets are still just 8-for-51 with runners in scoring position over the last eight.

So, I am backing Soto to drive in a run the hard way by going deep, especially since the +375 odds at bet365 odds trump the next-highest payout of +330 at any of the other best sportsbooks.

📊 Best Juan Soto prop pick odds

🔢 Mets vs. Phillies odds & betting lines

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🔮 Sunday Night Baseball expert picks

📺 How to watch Sunday Night Baseball

⚔️ Matchup: Mets vs. Phillies
📅 Date: June 22
🕗 Time: 7 p.m. ET
📍 Location: Citizens Bank Park (Philadelphia)
📺 TV: ESPN
💻 Streaming: YouTube TV

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Written by:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”