MLB All-Star Game Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Tonight: Judge to Rise Up in AL vs. NL Showcase
A night filled with flamethrowers and dingers is about to begin with the Midsummer Classic on tap as we offer our MLB All-Star Game prediction and best bets.
Our best MLB betting sites have nearly come to a consensus, with the NL the narrow betting favorite ahead of tonight's game at Truist Park in Atlanta (8 p.m. ET, FOX).
Along with offering a winner pick, we also found some appealing value on an MVP odds favorite.
- MLB All-Star Game prediction: American League to win (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best MLB All-Star Game MVP pick: Aaron Judge to win MVP (+750 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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💰 MLB All-Star Game prediction & best bet
✅ Prediction: American League to win
📊 Best odds: -102 via FanDuel
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The MLB All-Star Game is tough to gauge from a betting perspective, with starters on the mound and in the field typically only playing a few innings. Recent trends yell two messages loud and clear, though, as we make our MLB All-Star Game prediction: the American League crushes all in its path, and pitchers always rise above.
The high-powered AL roster has been dominating this American League vs. National League showcase for a while, winning 10 of the last 11 contests. But throughout that run, elite pitching has easily bested the top sluggers with an average of 6.7 runs scored.
We all love the long ball, so it's easy to fix your gaze on the many baseball-punishers in Atlanta. But if pitching is going to win this matchup and help us cash our MLB All-Star Game best bet, then stick with the junior circuit.
AL pitchers in this game occupy three of the top five spots for ERA (Garrett Crochet, Tarik Skubal, and Jacob deGrom). That's also true for batting average allowed (Carlos Rodon, Hunter Brown, and Skubal) and strikeouts (two of the top three - Crochet and Skubal).
💰 Best MLB All-Star Game MVP pick
✅ Prediction: Aaron Judge to win MVP
📊 Best odds: +750 via FanDuel ($10 to win $75)
Yes, pitching has been dominant during the MLB All-Star Game. But no pitcher on either side logged more than one inning of work last year, with many in the AL recording just an out or two.
Meanwhile, a combined 23 players received at least two at-bats. There's a reason only two hurlers have earned MLB All-Star Game MVP honors over the last 20 years.
If you're trying to pick the hitter capable of doing the most damage in only a few at-bats, then the choice is clear for your MLB All-Star Game MVP pick. Just go ahead and take the slugger who's among the league leaders in damage per at-bat in actual games that count.
Judge is pacing the league in a laughably long list of categories, including OPS (1.194), batting average (.355), and hits (125). But the most important one for his All-Star Game MVP aspirations is his 10.1 at-bats per home run, which sits second behind only Cal Raleigh.
Hitting a notable dinger is a clear path to being named MLB All-Star Game MVP, especially with the games trending toward being lower scoring. If you'd like to follow that same thinking and get even better odds, DraftKings is offering +600 for Judge to hit a home run.
🔢 MLB All-Star Game betting insights
Updated betting info via BetMGM.
- Both teams were trading at -110 until late Monday, when the NL became the marginal -115 betting favorite
- The NL has remained the slight favorite now in the hours before gametime while getting 57% of the bets, but 45% of the money
- But the AL is getting 65% of the bets to cover a run line of -1.5
- As John Ewing notes, the Under is a whopping 14-5 in MLB All-Star Games since 2005, and yet 75% of the money is still on Over 7 runs being scored tonight
- 93% of the money is on no runs being scored in the first inning, as Skubal and Skenes take to the mound
- Shohei Ohtani is the most-bet player to hit a home run (+600), with Judge and Home Run Derby winner Cal Raleigh just behind him
- Ohtani is also getting 20% of the money to be named the All-Star Game MVP, making him the leader in that category too
🔮 Expert MLB All-Star Game picks
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❓MLB betting FAQs
How do betting odds work?
Betting odds represent the probability of a specific outcome and determine how much money you can win on a bet. There are three main formats: American odds, Decimal odds, and Fractional odds. In the U.S., American odds are most common.
What is the run line in baseball?
The run line in baseball is a form of point spread betting unique to MLB. It typically sets a standard spread of 1.5 runs, meaning the favored team must win by at least two runs to cover the run line, while the underdog can lose by one run or win outright to cover.
What does moneyline mean in betting?
The moneyline in betting refers to a wager on which team or player will win the game outright, with no point spread involved. It’s the most straightforward type of sports bet - just pick the winner.
💵 Best MLB betting sites
Want to bet on the MLB All-Star Game? Check out the best MLB betting sites and best sportsbook promos for today's MLB games:
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
- Hard Rock Bet Promo Code | Read our Hard Rock Bet Review
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