Week 5 NCAAF Best Bets: Moneyline, ATS and Over/Under Plays

Last week we cashed with Notre Dame as a moneyline underdog over Wisconsin and are on the prowl for another upset. Let’s check out this Saturday’s NCAAF slate and keep cashing our college football picks!

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Saturday, October 02, 2021 - 12:00 PM EDT at Kenan Memorial Stadium

Although there are more compelling games to watch this Saturday, the matchup between these ACC rivals should be loaded with offensive fireworks. Any idea where we’re going here? If you guessed, over the posted total, then you win an ice cream because both of these teams are big on offense and don’t concern themselves much with the defensive side of things.

https://youtu.be/80V_v4AKn9U

The Tar Heels average 306.8 passing yards per game while the Blue Devils average 297.3 while the rushing averages for both teams are 200.5 and 247.3 RYPG, respectively. I highly doubt the rushing attacks of both teams will be highlighted after the scoring begins because it will be a battle for aerial supremacy between North Carolina’s Sam Howell (63.6 completion percentage with 11 TD’s and 4 INT’s) and Duke’s Gunnar Holmberg (72.1 completion percentage with 3 TD’s and 2 INT’s).

Don’t let Holmberg’s lack of passing touchdowns fool you. He’s a gunslinger to be sure but he can also move the chains using his feet, averaging 54 rushing yards per game over his last three contests including last week when he scored four rushing touchdowns in Duke’s 52-33 win over Kansas. Fly high in this one and cash a ticket at the best sportsbooks on the over!

College Football Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

https://twitter.com/LATechFB/status/1442493026807418890?s=20

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. North Carolina State

Saturday, October 02, 2021 - 06:00 PM EDT at Carter-Finley Stadium

This is not an endorsement of Louisiana Tech but rather a fade of NC State. As many of you know, the Wolfpack stunned Clemson last week, 27-21, in a double-overtime thriller. This will make the public sit up and take notice of what was, until now, an unheralded NC State team which means the masses will flood the windows with Wolfpack wagers.

Of course, the oddsmakers already know this so the line will be inflated from jump street. And that’s where we come in because there’s nothing better than fading the masses, as well as a team that will still be reveling in the afterglow of a seismic victory over a national contender.

The college football odds at all of the best online sportsbooks have the Wolfpack installed as 19 ½ point home chalk early this week, and while that number could climb higher, we will take the generous head start on the highway hound here. La Tech has covered both of their games as underdogs (35-34 loss at Mississippi State as 20 ½ point road dogs and a 39-37 loss to SMU as 11-point home pups) and have the chops to hang and bang with the Pack.

College Football Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

https://twitter.com/HailStateFB/status/1441790412205674507?s=20

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Saturday, October 02, 2021 - 07:00 PM EDT at Kyle Field

It wouldn’t be surprising if the public has a bad taste in their mouths concerning the Bulldogs after they dropped their last two consecutive games. Yet, they were certainly competitive in their 31-29 loss to Memphis and the 28-25 loss to LSU despite not covering as 3 ½ point favorites and 1 ½ point underdogs respectively.

Texas A&M suffered its first loss of the year when they bowed, 20-10 to Arkansas last week as 5 ½ point home chalk. They not only lost but you will find their injury report quite lengthy and even if most of those on the list do play, how healthy will they be to go full tilt against a team they are expected to beat?

The Aggies have a tough defense but scoring has been an issue this year which means that the Bulldogs could not only cover as seven-point road dogs but pull the upset. I am betting on the latter because the Aggies appear to be susceptible after their most recent loss which saw a fair share of their lineup dinged. Let’s eschew the points and take the Dawgs on the moneyline in this one.

College Football Pick: (visit our Sportsbook Review)

*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.