Oregon vs. Michigan Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 10
The No. 1 Oregon Ducks travel to Michigan Stadium on Saturday to face the defending champion Michigan Wolverines in a battle of Big Ten foes at 3:30 p.m. ET (CBS).
While that makes for a great matchup on paper, our Oregon vs. Michigan prediction suggests that this game won’t be nearly as dramatic as the storylines surrounding it.
Offensively, the Ducks are averaging the sixth-most points per game, while the Wolverines rank 97th in scoring. Defensively, the Ducks also hold the advantage, as they rank in the top 10 in scoring in the nation.
So why are they only favored by 14.5 points in the latest college football Week 10 predictions?
Best Oregon vs. Michigan picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Oregon -14.5 (-108 via DraftKings) vs. Michigan ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Davis Warren Under 130.5 passing yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Oregon vs. Michigan against the spread prediction: Week 10
Oregon to cover the spread: -14.5 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Oregon vs. Michigan opening odds:
- Oregon: -15.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
- Michigan: +15.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
Wolverines doomed by lack of offense
The Wolverines have yet to score more than 30 points in a game this season, and they’ve scored fewer than 20 points in two of their last three contests.
They do rank 50th in rushing yards per game, but with the seventh-worst pass offense in the nation, it’s unlikely they find success as a one-dimensional team against the Ducks’ defense.
Michigan is only allowing 21.5 points per game, but Oregon has scored at least 30 points in each of their last seven games behind the Heisman Trophy odds co-favorite in Dillon Gabriel.
The Wolverines have only allowed more than 30 points in one game this season, but they’ve also allowed at least 21 in four of their last five. Each of those opponents was significantly worse offensively than Oregon.
We've already seen nearly two-thirds of bettors backing the Ducks, so it’s a bit alarming that this spread has dropped from 15.5 to 14.5 across the best sports betting apps.
But the fact is even if the Wolverines’ defense plays excellent early, eventually they will get worn down as their offense continuously has short drives and gives the ball back to Gabriel and this high-flying Ducks offense.
C Jackson Cowart is also backing the road favorites as part of his college football Week 10 expert picks.
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 51.92%
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Oregon vs. Michigan best bet
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Davis Warren Under 130.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last week against Michigan State, Warren took the field for the first time since Sept. 14 after he was benched for Alex Orji and Jack Tuttle in recent weeks.
He finished the game 13-of-19 with one touchdown and zero interceptions, but he only threw for 123 yards. He’s now thrown for fewer than 130 yards in three of his four games this season.
With a number this low, there may be an inclination to assume Warren will hit the Over just because of how the game should unfold. The Ducks should lead from start to finish, which will surely mean more passing from Warren.
But Oregon has blown out nearly everyone this year, and its defense is only allowing 174.6 passing yards per game - the 12th-fewest in the country.
FanDuel is offering a price of -114 for Under 128.5. While this is a fair price for the total presented, it’s not worth getting a price that is barely better for two whole yards.
Therefore, bet365 is offering the best value with a price of -115 for Under 130.5 yards.
Best odds: -115 via bet365 | Implied probability: 53.49%
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Oregon vs. Michigan odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Oregon vs. Michigan game info
- When: Saturday, Nov. 2
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Mich.)
- How to watch: CBS/Paramount+
- Weather: 55 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph SE
- Favorite: Oregon -14.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
College football betting odds pages
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- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
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