EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[koscheckbaby]

Well, that was a loser. I shouldn't have bet after the Mayer match

[EaglesPhan36]

Baghdatis continues to be a major disappointment this season. Guess we should have kept fading the putz.

[reformed]

ye he did do something...he didnt miss long enough for his opponent to miss. Dont worry about bag, a little birdie told me he will triple bagel djokovic in the French Open final. Find somewhere where you can bet on that.

[koscheckbaby]

Benneteau didn't even do anything either. It was all Baghdatis ******* up. He couldn't go a rally without putting one into the net or out. Wozniacki would have beat him 6-0, 6-0 today. How is a men's player capable of this play? And worse yet, he's ranked fairly high

[EaglesPhan36]

Qualis parlay fizzles as Junqueira gets ousted in straights. Schoorel won easy in straights over the Gooch. Blah!

[koscheckbaby]

Im starting to think tennis is all about your initial instinct and not forcing extra bets. When I looked at yesterday's odds, my instinct was just playing Mayer and Berlocq. Those won. Yet, I forced myself to make extra bets for action that I didn't want to initially and they were losers.

[EaglesPhan36]

You should definitely not add onto your initial card for action, I agree. Hard to do sometimes, but if you learn to do it during smaller tournaments - you won't go broke during the Slams when there are so many matches to pick from. Find what you like, stick with it, live with the results.

[sharlataans]

EP did have a chance to watch Gulbis vs. Fognini today? I am most likely delusional but I think there was a masterfully played fix. If Gulbis goes past Istomin I am going to go all in to fade him. He is nowhere near the form the lines suggest.

I wonder what Fognini is up to. He is much better than his recent record in my opinion.

[EaglesPhan36]

No telling. That was simply a match that there was no need to bet on. I could say the same with Istomin-Gulbis. Two guys I cannot stomach backing in any way, shape or form. Usually the over in Istomin matches is something I like - BUT I don't trust either of these tools to play hard in this spot.

[Gaskan]

Fognini is a guaranteed over every match recently ... book it!

[EaglesPhan36]

Wednesday's Plays
Ferrer-Seppi Under 19.5 [-125]
Parlay: Kohlschreiber + Garrigues [-102]

[Brian891]

i have ferrer in a parlay. was a little uncomfy with him coming off that virus. im assuming that u playing the under means u think ferrer will roll? i hope so as it boosts confidence in my play.

[h1holstrom]

Stupid Krumm and stupid Dolgo

[EaglesPhan36]

Total hits. Kohlschreiber killed the parlay.

[koscheckbaby]

What's Kohlschreiber's problem? Whenever I bet against him, he comes in and plays a solid tennis match. Usually, it's still enough to lose, since he's playing a top guy, but he makes it close. I would think when he faces lesser players, he'd be able to beat them. He serves pretty well and has a pretty decent overall game. Yet, he's had some bad losses.

[affluent_gift]

i have a list of players that I either dont bet or carefully bet on. Kohlschreiber is one of those, good player but seems like no heart.

[EaglesPhan36]

As I said yesterday - the "Team Tennis" format leaves it open as to "desire" to win. I felt fine though taking a home-standing German who had a good track record here. Kohlschreiber is also so-so to me. He seems to play down to his level of competition.

[EaglesPhan36]

Thursday's Plays
Ferrer-Dolgopolov Over 20 [+101]
Wozniacki-Wickmayer Over 20.5 [-122]
Dulgheru +230

[reformed]

you think dolgo can hang with ferrer? he is very impatient and ferrer isnt going to miss

[EaglesPhan36]

He's won a set off him every time & he served well yesterday. Don't know if he'll win a set this time, but 20 games isn't a ton and Dolgo looks about as healthy as he's been in a bit.

[affluent_gift]

The wozniacki-wickymayer over seems like a no brainer thinking about playing that myself.

[sharlataans]

The wozniacki-wickymayer over seems like a no brainer thinking about playing that myself.

I was on over last time it hit. But now I think Wickmayer might decide to take it easy.

[sharlataans]

EP, I like your pick of Dolgopolov over today!

What do you think about Hanescu today? Haase won Stakhovsky with ease, but it was more to do with his opponents errors than Haases ability in my mind.
It seems to me Hanescu might be more hungry for this win.

I also like Almagro over 21.5. It seems to me he wants to conserve energy and win easy, but gets his ass handed if he does not put enough effort. Andujar might just do enough.

I am also eager to bet Gulbis match but cannot come up with any pick

[affluent_gift]

"Wozniacki has never loss to Wickymayer" Wickymayer just loss to her on clay twice recently. Wozniacki has only loss to Jorges and sharapova this year on clay. Their matches have never been less then 18, the last two matches have been 20 and 30. Wickymayer has only taken her to the third once and Wozniacki has beaten her by -5 all three. Hard to say if they will be seriously playing or pacing themselves for the Frenchie

[h1holstrom]

I like your OVER very much!

[EaglesPhan36]

EP, I like your pick of Dolgopolov over today! What do you think about Hanescu today? Haase won Stakhovsky with ease, but it was more to do with his opponents errors than Haases ability in my mind. It seems to me Hanescu might be more hungry for this win. I also like Almagro over 21.5. It seems to me he wants to conserve energy and win easy, but gets his ass handed if he does not put enough effort. Andujar might just do enough. I am also eager to bet Gulbis match but cannot come up with any pick

Sorry did not see this until this morning. I did not know what to think of Almagro-Andujar. Was thinking it could be close - obviously it was not. Heh. Glad I forgot to book Dulgheru last night. Was about to go do it, but was way off on the start time and the pick obviously too.

[koscheckbaby]

Wickmayer retires due to a bad back

[Gaskan]

EP - Thoughts on Sodeling to cover 5.5 against Golubev? Golubev hasn't won in like 50 years and Soda seems top be coming around.

[EaglesPhan36]

Only thing that scares me and it's the same with anyone who isn't German in that Team Tennis thing - what is their desire for the day? Based on Golubev's results, Soderling should be ashamed if he doesn't trounce him though. Under might be a better bet?

[koscheckbaby]

Poor Kirilenko. I had to turn it off, watching Petkovic blast her all over the court. You just want to pet Kirilenko. She's so damn cute.

Is their value in Isner against Chela? I mean, Chela whooped his last in Rome, but it seems Isner enjoys some success on clay due to being a BSD. This is really the first full year I've followed tennis year round. I guess, I'm a little shocked BSD's can win on clay from all I heard about clay slowing things down. It seems you can win serving big just like hard, sometimes easier, since you get to break someone's serve easier. Isner at +160 seems tempting. He can BSD a win.

[HKT]

Wickmayer retires due to a bad back

Did the match ever start or did she retire before play began?

[EaglesPhan36]

2-0 Wozniacki when retirement occurred.

Not touching Chela-Isner. Again, the format of that tournament ... the desire is hard to predict from day-2-day.

[koscheckbaby]

Did the match ever start or did she retire before play began?

I think Wozniacki was gonna win easily, but it was too early to tell. I got on Woz at a low number and was upset Wick retired. Why couldn't she pull a Nadal-Ferrer AO and just lose with minimal effort following the injury? I never benefit from a retirement.

[Gaskan]

Only thing that scares me and it's the same with anyone who isn't German in that Team Tennis thing - what is their desire for the day? Based on Golubev's results, Soderling should be ashamed if he doesn't trounce him though. Under might be a better bet?

I took both just in case.

[sharlataans]

Good boy Dolgopolov. Kids love him