Berrer takes the 3rd set and is up 2 to 1. Anyone relying on Raonic for a parlay? I STILL think he wins, but I'm shocked he's dropped 2 sets to Berrer. Berrer has no ability at all, especially on clay.
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Of course I am. It's always the last match that makes you sweat it out or phucks it up.Comment -
He'll win. Berrer is trash. At some point, I expect the Big Serving Dick, Raonic, to win 6 straight games or so.Comment -
It's all over but for the crying now. I had so many good price picks on my contest entry and I parlay this crap. My luck.Comment -
Another extemely overrated guy who's only able to serve and nothing more. The problem is that his serve means shit on clay.
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GL All During the Frenchie!Comment -
another newbie who doesn't watch tennis and can't spell extremely. He's young and is only going to get better. That being said he will have his best results on hard court.Comment -
Tuesday's French Open Plays
Devvarman +325
Pous-Tio +110
Parlay: Stephens + Gajdosova [-120]
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thanks for great job manComment -
Kiss of death that I bet Devarman on my own, then come to sbr and see ep36 and shari are on him.
Maybe we can overcome the jinx.
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I like parlay. Thank youComment -
Adding
Roger-Vasselin -120
Not smart to take the French playing in France, is it? Still think Roger-Vasselin has the edge over a decent opponent in Rosol. Both are more comfortable at the Challenger level I think. However, ERV has more main draw Slam experience and that is the edge I hope prevails here.Comment -
Nicky Mugs fukkin' around into a 5th set after being up 2-0. Guy seems to do this in every Slam, make a match more difficult and somehow prevail in 5.Comment -
Mugs gains control early in the 5th.
Nadal is asking for it in the 3rd. This looks like it could be a very tense tie break if he continues along this way.Comment -
Almagro again makes it interesting.
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Jesus fukking christ muggs,,,Close this shithead out!Comment -
He looks like he's going out in the 1st round. Down a break. Would be the biggest upset day in a Major that I can recall if he goes out and Nadal in ROUND ONE. These are two guys everyone had going very deep.Comment -
Nadal needs to start touching his butt more often or he is going to lose thisComment -
Alamgro is out.
As shocking as Nadal's defeat could be, Alamgro's is even more shocking to me. Up 2-0 and Kubot comes back - Kubot who hadn't done a damn thing this year + Almagro who just won a title, perhaps fatigue? But when up 2-0, you close it out. Wow.Comment -
Well there goes my bracket in sharis contest...And about 30 points in futures betting..Comment -
Sloane Stephens is black? I googled the name, expecting to see a pretty, little American girl, ala OudinComment -
Yep. She's the next American who will get publicity. She's done well at all the Slam Juniors in the past few years. She needs a break-through win and she'll finally snuff out anything else we need to hear about Melanie Oudin.Comment -
0-4 looks pretty likely today.
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Well I'll keep posting losers tomorrow so you guys can fade and profit. Brutal.
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Tell you who you might want to power fade though as worse than me so far [hard to fathom] - go to Cover.com. Ricky Dimon who writes for Tennistalk.com and generally seems somewhat insightful - I believe he is 0-fer the tournament in three days.Comment -
I almost tailed your Roger-Vasselin -120 pick too. Liked that one. Should have gone over I guess.
On another note, do you think it is a bad play to consistently bet the over for matchups hovering around even money? Especially on clay, these matchups always seem to be long and mostly multiple sets.Comment -
5th set losers are especially bummerific.
As for the overs. I don't think there's any correlation to the odds as far as it hitting more or less often. I think it's always match-up based as far as which edge you think is better. Look at Giraldo-Andujar today. That was close to a pick 'em and it went under in straight sets. I think it's almost a little bit of a bookmaker trap even perhaps when the odds are close to a toss-up because the natural inclination is to think - oh hey, this is going to be competitive because it's a toss-up in price, this is gonna go over! Baghdatis-Gil another example yesterday of a fairly evenly priced match that went under. I don't know what the # was on Maurer-Sweeting this morning but I know it was close to an evenly priced match and ended at 34 games, probably another under.
If anything there might be more unders than you think although I don't have definitive proof of that over any long period of time. However, if you look at the French Open on both the men's and women's sides so far, I think the Under has cashed at a very solid clip on matches where the odds are close to even. As in -130 or less for the favorite.Comment -
Wednesday's French Open Plays
Parlay: Bellucci + Hantuchova [+100]
Darcis +135
Schoorel +275
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Mattek wins again..Cant wait to play her at + money next match vs janko or small fav vs the russianComment -
Good to see you're on Bellucci
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darcis is killing petzschner.Comment -
Yeah I felt good about the dogs today. I had Stakhovsky marked too, but decided to take a larger shot on Schoorel because I promised myself I would fade Wawrinka in this round with this sort of match-up.
Hidalgo was another one I considered against Montanes, but decided to pass even though Montanes has done shit-all this year to be considered a bigger favorite.Comment
