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	Alluvada143SBR Hustler- 11-07-12
- 70
 
 #141Comment
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	indioSBR Wise Guy- 06-03-11
- 751
 
 #142I'm not betting into Vegas futures and their 40% holds, I'm betting into offshore futures with low holds. I just cited an example of an approximate 65% probability that was offered at +180. If you don't think that's value, then I don't know what you consider value, as it sure doesn't get anywhere near that good on game by game markets. And what difference does it make that you were posting in the Think Tank before I became a member here? I can't think of a single shred of relevance to that statement.Originally posted by MonkeyF0cker
 
 
 I understand what you said. I HIGHLY doubt you're finding any value in that market though. I was posting in the Think Tank before you were ever a member here.
 
 
 
 Any bet is value when it's implied chances of occurring are greater than the price offered of that event. The bet type is irrelevant, value is value. Then how ones conquers variance is another topic which is the key element when one needs the income derived from those pursuits.
 
 I don't really see much point in this banter continuing, good luck to you.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #143OMG. Your reading comprehension is absolutely atrocious. Is there value there? Yes. Do I give a shit about one bet? No. Are futures typically a poor investment due to opportunity cost? Absolutely. Are you still rambling about FUKKING FUTURES when I said that offshores have "ALMOST no benefits" over Vegas? You sure as shit are. Have I posted in the Think Tank about calculating implied probabilities many, many times? I sure have. Do you not understand that if I've posted about calculating implied probabilities that I know what you mean when you state "implied probability"? Apparently not.Originally posted by indioI'm not betting into Vegas futures and their 40% holds, I'm betting into offshore futures with low holds. I just cited an example of an approximate 65% probability that was offered at +180. If you don't think that's value, then I don't know what you consider value, as it sure doesn't get anywhere near that good on game by game markets. And what difference does it make that you were posting in the Think Tank before I became a member here? I can't think of a single shred of relevance to that statement.
 
 Thanks for the elementary lesson in gambling. The fact of the matter is that value is NOT value. If you want to wait six months for one wager, be my guest. I'll have rolled that same money over 100's of times. I don't care what VALUE you got on your stupid future. It's not more than the opportunity cost.Any bet is value when it's implied chances of occurring are greater than the price offered of that event. The bet type is irrelevant, value is value. Then how ones conquers variance is another topic which is the key element when one needs the income derived from those pursuits.
 
 I don't really see much point in this banter continuing, good luck to you.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #144Untrue. Offshore you have bonuses, can find better teaser odds, better parlay odds, reduced juice, more books, more prop bets, the list goes on and on. Offshore has many more betting options than Las Vegas causing line mistakes to occur. Most know when they are taking shots at bad lines. It's a risk/reward situation.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerThere are almost no benefits to the unregulated CR model over the NV model outside of bonuses.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #145It's just amazing how poorly some of you can comprehend the English language.Originally posted by raiders72001Untrue. Offshore you have bonuses, can find better teaser odds, better parlay odds, reduced juice, more books, more prop bets, the list goes on and on. Offshore has many more betting options than Las Vegas causing line mistakes to occur. Most know when they are taking shots at bad lines. It's a risk/reward situation.
 
 The only thing you'll find agreement from me on is props.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerThere are almost no benefits to the unregulated CR model over the NV model outside of bonuses.Comment
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	SBR_JohnSBR Posting Legend- 07-12-05
- 16471
 
 #146Reduced juice is reason alone.Originally posted by raiders72001Untrue. Offshore you have bonuses, can find better teaser odds, better parlay odds, reduced juice, more books, more prop bets, the list goes on and on. Offshore has many more betting options than Las Vegas causing line mistakes to occur. Most know when they are taking shots at bad lines. It's a risk/reward situation.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #147Where does an American with a brain get reduced juice for more than a week?Originally posted by SBR_JohnReduced juice is reason alone.Comment
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	SBR_JohnSBR Posting Legend- 07-12-05
- 16471
 
 #148Couple on here. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/spor...reduced-juice/Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerWhere does an American with a brain get reduced juice for more than a week?Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #149Seriously, John?? 5Dimes and Heritage? I said longer than a week.Comment
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	stefan084SBR MVP- 07-21-09
- 1490
 
 #150liberals like emily don't understand business or capitalism in general. that's why romney was wasting his breath explaining how to grow the economy for about 90% of our uneducated, hand out expecting society. the government transfers wealth it doesn't create it-lets keep borrowing money and see how that turns out emily-then we'll all get what the dems deserve. it will be comical to see how obama spins it at the end of this mess, but I'm sure you'll listen to itOriginally posted by boatboatboatYupComment
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	KindredSBR MVP- 09-09-08
- 2903
 
 #151You obviously do care or you wouldn't have made this post or the posts following this oneOriginally posted by Emily_HainesLike I care what you think.
 
 Romney was crushed and that is a fact.
 
 Without the confederate states your party would be irrelevant.
 
 Plus you don't even have 200 to be a pro.
 
 Go fuk yourself. 
 
 And seriously this thread has nothing to do with politics ya phucking zealot.Comment
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	The KrakenBARRELED IN @ SBR!- 12-25-11
- 29085
 
 #152MF'r, if you ran a book you'd do the same thing or Durito, Mathy and SBRjohn would put you out of business.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #153Incorrect.Originally posted by The KrakenMF'r, if you ran a book you'd do the same thing or Durito, Mathy and SBRjohn would put you out of business.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #154MFer- HT's alone is another reason to play offshore. HT lines are volatile and it occurs in a very short time. You can only play at one book in Vegas during this span while you can play at a multitude offshore.
 
 Are you talking average gambler or professional? You flip flop depending upon which one you need to make your point. How many books won't limit professionals in Vegas?Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #155Because you can't bet online/mobile with any books, have runners, and/or walk across the street/next door?Originally posted by raiders72001MFer- HT's alone is another reason to play offshore. HT lines are volatile and it occurs in a very short time. You can only play at one book in Vegas during this span while you can play at a multitude offshore.
 
 I think you're a little misinformed.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #156Lines change too fast at HT to be able to walk across the street and get the same line you had on the other side of the street. You may not play HTs but they are bread and butter to some.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerBecause you can't bet online/mobile with any books, have runners, and/or walk across the street/next door?
 
 I think you're a little misinformed.
 
 Since 98% of the gamblers are recreational, I'll stick to that for my argument. Many many books offer reduced juice offshore. Some offer it 24/7 while others have specific time frames for offering reduced juice.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #157The difference is that I can use runners without fear of having my winnings stolen and sanctioned by "watchdogs."Originally posted by raiders72001Are you talking average gambler or professional? You flip flop depending upon which one you need to make your point. How many books won't limit professionals in Vegas?Comment
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	lakerboySBR Aristocracy- 04-02-09
- 94463
 
 #158MonkeyFOcker continues to prove why he is a legend.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #159Really? You know how fast HT lines move at Vegas books?Originally posted by raiders72001Lines change too fast at HT to be able to walk across the street and get the same line you had on the other side of the street. You may not play HTs but they are bread and butter to some.
 
 Since 98% of the gamblers are recreational, I'll stick to that for my argument. Many many books offer reduced juice offshore. Some offer it 24/7 while others have specific time frames for offering reduced juice.
 
 I play HT's. But I don't play steam.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #160MFer may be a legend here but he's an idiot at the other sites with experienced gamblers. It's not to put SBR down at all, but those that look up to him aren't well informed. MFer works solo. He's admitted that across the street. Not sure why anyone buys his BS.Originally posted by lakerboyMonkeyFOcker continues to prove why he is a legend.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #161seconds at HT.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerReally? You know how fast HT lines move at Vegas books?
 
 I play HT's. But I don't play steam.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #162LMAO. Whatever makes you sleep at night.Originally posted by raiders72001MFer may be a legend here but he's an idiot at the other sites with experienced gamblers. It's not to put SBR down at all, but those that look up to him aren't well informed. MFer works solo. He's admitted that across the street. Not sure why anyone buys his BS.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #163Seconds? LOL. Okay.Originally posted by raiders72001seconds at HT.
 
 End of the conversation. You have no idea what you're talking about.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #164A HT lines moves two points offshore and you are saying that it's not moving in Vegas. I play HTs every day in hoops. The lines fly.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerEvery few seconds? LOL. Okay.
 
 End of the conversation. You have no idea what you're talking about.Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #165Two points? OMG. You're too stupid for words.Originally posted by raiders72001A HT lines moves two points offshore and you are saying that it's not moving in Vegas. I play HTs every day in hoops. The lines fly.
 
 Because HT lines move two points with regularity. LMAO.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #166on occasion. The lines do not stay static at HT. I have a hard time believing that you play HTs if you aren't aware of the volatility.Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerTwo points? OMG. You're too stupid for words.
 
 Because HT lines move two points with regularity. LMAO.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #167The lines that are moving 2 points are the most profitable. Did you play HTs last night?Comment
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	MonkeyF0ckerSBR Posting Legend- 06-12-07
- 12144
 
 #168I'm perfectly aware of the volatility. You're the one that seems misinformed, Mr. Two Points.Originally posted by raiders72001on occasion. The lines do not stay static at HT. I have a hard time believing that you play HTs if you aren't aware of the volatility.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #169Then when is the last time a HT line moved more than 2 points?Originally posted by MonkeyF0ckerI'm perfectly aware of the volatility. You're the one that seems misinformed, Mr. Two Points.Comment
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	Inkwell77SBR MVP- 02-03-11
- 3227
 
 #170Raiders do you live in Vegas?
 
 The times have changed recently with the takeover of William Hill and it is debatable how easy it is to get down lately, but just last year with college basketball I would argue it was much easier to get better numbers in Vegas just by going downtown then you could get offshore. You had Coasts, Golden Nugget, Leroys, Luckys, Stations, and Cal-Neva all within a 4 minute walk starting at the El Cortez. Halftime lines were not flying like crazy at all those books....Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #171Game 523 Thursday. Opened at 11.5 and moved to 8.5. Three point HT move.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #172No, you're much more informed than I am about Vegas. I'm just going from what I see on the screen in Vegas and the bets that I make. I like the lines moving. On 523 Thursday I could have taken -8.5 or +11.5.Originally posted by Inkwell77Raiders do you live in Vegas?
 
 The times have changed recently with the takeover of William Hill and it is debatable how easy it is to get down lately, but just last year with college basketball I would argue it was much easier to get better numbers in Vegas just by going downtown then you could get offshore. You had Coasts, Golden Nugget, Leroys, Luckys, Stations, and Cal-Neva all within a 4 minute walk starting at the El Cortez. Halftime lines were not flying like crazy at all those books....Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #173Lines move off of second half openers in seconds. I think that offshore opens before Vegas HT. If you are going to play openers, I can't see being able to play in Vegas.Comment
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	Inkwell77SBR MVP- 02-03-11
- 3227
 
 #174Definitely True. But I wonder how easy it is to bet offshore openers.Originally posted by raiders72001Lines move off of second half openers in seconds. I think that offshore opens before Vegas HT. If you are going to play openers, I can't see being able to play in Vegas.Comment
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	raiders72001Senior Member- 08-10-05
- 11211
 
 #175Need fast fingers. I miss all the time but there are so many games and books that I get most in. I'm glad my fingers were slow for SA/Mia. I tried to get SA -6 when it was announced that SA was sitting 4 starters. I was too slow and got lucky not to get in.Originally posted by Inkwell77Definitely True. But I wonder how easy it is to bet offshore openers.Comment
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