-
Comment -
Meh.. waste of a unit in that second half... Still...
cash 1.4 unitsComment -
Stamps have not started good for us =/Comment -
Stamps going to lose me a ton of cash for the 2nd week in a row.Comment -
I have a small bet to cover myself in the second half with stamps -8... I can't seriously believe what's happening.. is BC wow, or is Calgary just been that overrated?Comment -
Stamps -8 for 2nd half dosn't even look like covering, they are playing absolutely horrible this game.Comment -
wow... that was exciting... Calgary has cost me in the area of 15 units in the past 2 weeks...
I'm taking a pass at the Toronto / Edmonton game... My gut is to be a homer and take some of that Eskimo +4.. But I will not subject the "bold" button to the sadistic nature of such a bet... WAY, WAY too many questions marks in this game... Can't even begin to predict it, thus I will just lay off...Comment -
Yep same here, going to give this one a miss. Overall I like watching CFL but I've seriously lost more money than I have made.Comment -
I think timing has been part of the missing on your end to tension... some key hits have been in your early morning, because I know based just on the record I've shown within the thread, I am now down a few units, particularly last week with the 10 unit play w Calgary... I will try to get some of the previews up earlier for guys like you whom it would be beneficial to analyze earlier...Comment -
Took a small (1.5x) +3.5 bet on Eskimos Unofficially because I hate money.. ..
I can't remember the last time they looked so good Defensively...17-6 in the fourth...Comment -
ok we got the esks.. was unofficial but It still worked...Comment -
nice work with the Esk's
I don't think I could of put any money on them even if you did tip themComment -
total Homer play w a desperate team... Toronto is progressively getting worse without their Runningback Boyd, and the Offensive line banged up... But they are comfortably in the playoffs so they don't have to worry too much until they get him back... They may be a first round upset in Hamilton as it stands pending how the end of the season plays out...
This is where the CFL plays out differently with 75% of the teams making the playoffs, vs a sport like the NFL where 12/32 or 37.5% of the teams make it... If Toronto's Coach Barker is relatively smart, he will strategize this rejuvenation in about week 17... He's shouldn't be overly worried about going to Hamilton, which is essentially inevitable because they lose all the tiebreakers head to head and have a tougher schedule (2 vs Sask, 2 vs Mon) .. .Conceide that you won't catch them and get all your guys healthy... I may even lay a unit on them at 25-1 for giggles... I think there is def value there possibly...Comment -
I'm not saying that Calgary nor Montreal won't end up in the final... But there is some DEFINITE potential in some of the distant runners if you can get them at a price... Toronto, Hamilton, Sask, BC... I think the only one you'd get at good value is Toronto and BC at this point, and I just laid a unit at 22-1 .... Probably a throw away, but as I said.. it's the CFL ... And as of last week, we can see that BC is moving up on the depth chart fast... when they were 1-6 THEY should have been the 80-1 shot I should have chased.. Not the Edmonton Donkimos... Now they are in the teens...Comment -
Scorecard update:
Week 13
Mon @ Win = +3.25 Units
Sask @ Ham = +2.25 Units
BC @ Cal = -5.5 Units
Edm @ Tor = DNP Publicly (But did win for the record)
Net = 0 Units
Overall Week 6-11 Total = +10.85 Units
Week 12 Total (-12 Units)
Week 13 Total (+0 Units)
Overall Week 6-13 Total = -1.15 Units
I am a bit frustrated with Calgary, laying into them hard over the past 2 weeks.. A Capper should never be in love with any team, but they had tremendous value in Sask, and I probably should have been more cautious this past week, but they were at home and angry... This may also be saying alot about BC and how good THEY are as well...
Anyhow, We didn't lose... We didn't win... Lets get 'em next week...Comment -
Early Lines
Friday, Oct 1
Montreal @ Calgary -3.5 O/U 56.5
Saturday, Oct 2
Saskatchewan -3.5 @ Toronto O/U 49
Winnipeg @ BC -4.5 O/U 53
Sunday, Oct 3
Hamilton -1 @ Edmonton O/U 50.5Comment -
Early Leans
Friday, Oct 1
Montreal @ Calgary -3.5 O/U 56.5
Easy to see a trap on this line, but the question is who's it being set on? The books are basically gambling that Calgary is going to break out of their slump.. and clearly if they do, they'll likely cover... Duh! If my aunt had a mustache, she'd be my uncle...
What about the Al's don't you like right about now with QB Cavillo back? 477 yards last week...327 the week before? 900 in 2 weeks? And what, CALGARY? is supposed to stop them... Clear lean Montreal to cover... And the Over...
Saturday, Oct 2
Saskatchewan -3.5 @ Toronto O/U 49
Motivation plays one of the biggest rolls in capping sports... But the Riders have all of a sudden won a couple and are chasing 1st place in the West... Toronto is sitting comfortably in 3rd, losing the tiebreaker to Hamilton, and really banged up, particularly at RB... I think Toronto's focus is simply to get healthy, and play competitive... But Sask's roll is to keep on rolling as they have been the last 2 games... Clear Ad Riders...
Winnipeg @ BC -4.5 O/U 53
Originally I missed seeing why QB Printers was pulled while they were winning... It was because of his fumbleitus in the first half vs Calgary, combined with the week before in the 4Q... Thus Backup Lulay is in... Obviously Coach Buono knows what's up.. but there is NO one that brings the chemistry that Printers has with his receivers ... I think Winnipeg has clear motivation to do a little extra in this game, and thus the lean would be on them...
Sunday, Oct 3
Hamilton -1 @ Edmonton O/U 50.5
The Winnipeg Game plays a bit of a role in this one as if Winnipeg Wins, Edmonton is literally playing for the final playoff spot... If BC wins, Edmonton losing would pretty much be the season... In my opinion though, the Esks are likely to play better with "nothing to lose", than "everything to lose"... Thus the early lean is that with a Winnipeg win, they are in the same position they were in, playing with less pressure than the team that could be 2 games back with 6 to play... Early Lean - TBDComment -
Montreal @ Calgary -3.5 O/U 56.5
Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
Mon 44 @ Win 40 O56.5
Edm 14 @ Mon 31 U56.5
Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U56.5
BC 38 @ Mon 17 U56.5
Win 17 @ Mon 38 U56.5
Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O56.5
Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - U56.5
Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U56.5
Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U56.5
Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U56.5
Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - U56.5
Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O56.5
Cal Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
BC 29 @ Cal 10 U56.5
Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O56.5
Cal 36 @ Edm 20 U56.5
Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O56.5
Cal 48 @ BC 35 O56.5
Edm 15 @ Cal 56 O56.5
Calgary 27 @ BC 22 - U56.5
Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U56.5
Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O56.5
Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - U56.5
Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U56.5
Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U56.5
The one thing that sticks out to me isn't the line, that Incidentally is now back to 3 in many places... But the fact that Montreal plays alot of Overs... Except when the number is what it is today.. 56.5... 10 of 13 in fact... and 4 of their last 5... The strength that I see reversing what I was leaning on yesterday, which was this was going to be a good ol fashion shootout... is that when you really look at last game, Calgary's Defense kept them in the game.. 7 Field goals for BC... So really... Is there a problem with Calgary's Defense? I doubt it... Really they bounced back as they should have... Calgarys offense, was well... offensive and QB Burris even got the bench... So if we put the pieces back together after a 2 game slide and Saskatchewan on the door step... We will say, The Defense took a night off 2 weeks ago. the Offense last week... This week... I think both show up...
Alot of reason to lean on the Als originally, particularly when the number was 3.5 .. But I'm still calling it a trap at 3...I think that Calvillo was on fire the past 2 games against 2 BRUTAL teams Edmonton, and Winnipeg... Now on the road yet again, I see him coming back to earth. It's hard to win on the road.. Now against a motivated Calgary team... I think this is the perfect trap for the team that has lost me alot of units the past 2 weeks...
We will allow Calgary to get some of those units back tonight... It's a bit of a chase, I'll admit.. But I'm putting my $ where my mouth is, as I do everytime I make a bet within the thread... Now lets get back on track!
5 Units Calgary -3
2 units Under 56.5
0.5 Unit Parlay -3 + U56.5Comment -
I've got Calgary -3.5 at my book. Might give this game a miss. Calgary has burnt me big the last 2 weeks and right now I don't have much faith in them especially against MontrealComment -
Calgary has shot me in the foot twice in a row... No excuses tonight... Calgary wins...Comment -
The unders not looking too good, both offences seem to be on song today.Comment -
Calgary screws over so many times already. I am done with CFL.
-Comment -
how does the Under look for the sas/tor game?Comment -
Saskatchewan -4 @ Toronto O/U 49
Seasonal Sask Results (most recent first)
Sask 32 @ Ham 25 O49
Cal 37 @ Sask 43 O49
Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U49
Win 23 @ Sask 27 - O49
Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U49
BC 13 @ Sask 37 - O49
Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O49
Ham 24 @ Sask 38 - O49
Sask 20 @ Cal 40 - O49
Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U49
Sask 38 @ BC 18 - O49
Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O49
Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
Edm 24 @ Tor 6 U49
Win 13 @ Tor 17 U49
Tor 16 @ BC 37 O49
Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U49
Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U49
Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O49
Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O49
Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - O49
BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U49
Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - O49
Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O49
Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U49
As mentioned in the lean... I don't see the Riders letting up here... Add to it Toronto is starting their Backup QB Dalton Bell ... Some say he outplayed Started QB Cleo Lemon in the Pre-season... which is nice.. but he's 12 weeks removed from playing better, and in synch with his recievers... Although with respect to the offense, RB Boyd is back, and that will add alot of ground game... which could mean clock management, which could lean under... I'm thinking Tor Coach Barker is going to lean strong on giving Bell limits on the playbook... Add to it Riders are 2nd best offense in the league vs Toronto worst offense in league... Sask QB Durant has over 900 yards passing in his last 2 games...
The Riders, now 2 games back on Calgary, play a home and home with Toronto... Then play in Calgary... You'd better believe they want to take care of business now that they are playing well.. If they lose, they are all but guaranteed 2nd.. If they win... They will ensure themselves motivation to chase Calgary...
As mentioned in the lean, which I'm sticking with.. Is Toronto's improbability to get second, despite being tied with Hamilton.. They are losing the tie breaker, and I think, in all honesty, they will get more fired up in the Hostile Environment of Hamilton, then at home to their pathetic fanbase... If I'm Tor Coach Barker, I'm using this as a late "Tryout" for his backup QB, and see how he looks... But in the meanwhile, asking the Riders, despite being a bad road team, to win by 4 here even with the line move, isn't asking too much...
3 Units Riders -4
2 Units Under 49Comment -
damn I am regretting not getting my money back with Calgary now.
I don't know about unders tomorrow but I'll be on Sask -3.5Comment -
Calgary is back in amazing form after taking 2 games off... One from their Defense, One from their Offense... But I do understand being reluctant to pull the trigger .. some guy just told me ITT that he quit betting the CFL because of Calgary... I guess he hates money...
I lost 15 units due to Calgary the past 2 weeks riding a wave... Remember though I"m just starting out, and I've learned alot from guys in SBR... I still maybe bet a few units too much on occasion, but at least it also brings out some good discussion about the CFL ...Comment -
Well, If I'm leaning on Sask anyhow. alot of lines just dropped to 3.5 ... I know the betters are looking to Boyd as the one to save them, but the Riders are one complete offense... They are 1st or 2nd in all sorts of passing categories... Toronto... Last...
The perfect scenario would be to tell you that Sask ranks top in all sorts of Rushing Defense Categories... But they don't, but overall their Defense is still MUCH better overall than Toronto the past few games in particular... RB Boyd could definitely be the reason the Argos hang around... Along with their Brand New QB... I think I'm getting more confident on the under, but I'll keep things the same anyhow...Comment -
I'm liking the angle of Backup QB Bell being traded From the Riders to Toronto this year... Some would argue he wants to prove them wrong.. but I"m arguing that since he was on their practice roster all year last year, they know him ALOT better then he probably knows himself...Comment -
The Under doesn't look good.. 10-7 Sask... Not even end of 1 yet...Slowwwww downnnnnnComment -
Love the 6 minute drive by Toronto for a FG.. now 3 min left and Sask Driving... very nice...Comment -
Unofficially I'm playing a unit on the Toronto +1 in the second half... would like the ending to be Sask by 4...Comment
