BetterBizness' CFL Thoughts Week 10+

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  • tension
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-11-10
    • 192

    #106
    wow what utter chaos, wtf happened to the stamps in Q4
    Comment
    • Scully
      SBR MVP
      • 09-21-06
      • 1276

      #107
      That's the CFL....
      After that stupid elementary coaching blunder by the Saskatchewan head coach, they didn't deserve to win this game.
      What a pathetic call!~~~
      His players bailed him out in the end.
      Tough loss for Stampeder backers for sure but again it just shows that it doesn't matter the deficit in this league, there's always an opportunity as long as there's still time on the clock.
      Comment
      • RANDAZZO
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-21-10
        • 758

        #108
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #109
          Wow.. what a tough game to lose... up 11 with under 7 min left...

          I got some of my own $ back shooting for the middle (3) which with just 2 minutes left looked VERY, VERY promising... Then the coaching move at the end... WOW...

          I can't believe we lost... oh well.. 3 more games this week... Sorry guys... Tough beat!
          Comment
          • BetterBizness
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-20-06
            • 5737

            #110
            Originally posted by Scully
            That's the CFL....
            After that stupid elementary coaching blunder by the Saskatchewan head coach, they didn't deserve to win this game.
            What a pathetic call!~~~
            His players bailed him out in the end.
            Tough loss for Stampeder backers for sure but again it just shows that it doesn't matter the deficit in this league, there's always an opportunity as long as there's still time on the clock.
            For Sure.. No one said Calgary COULDN'T lose... BUT by right they SHOULDN'T have... I don't care what form of Football you're in, you don't give up 11 points with the best Defense in the league with just minutes left... There wasn't a point where they weren't leading... except the point that mattered...
            Comment
            • RANDAZZO
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 08-21-10
              • 758

              #111
              Who do you like tonight?
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #112
                I"m a fan of Hamilton +3.5 right now... I don't have the opportunity to Preview it, but I'm leaning on the Jeckle and Hyde Hamilton team right now and the OVER 49.5 ...

                1 Unit Hamilton
                2 Units Over 49.5
                Comment
                • BetterBizness
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 05-20-06
                  • 5737

                  #113
                  Hamilton @ BC -3.5 O/U 49.5

                  Hamilton Seasonal Results (Most Recent first)
                  Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U49.5
                  Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U49.5
                  Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U49.5
                  Ham 39 @ Win 17 - O49.5
                  Win 22 @ Ham 29 - O49.5
                  Ham 24 @ Sask 37 - O49.5
                  Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - O49.5
                  Win 7 @ Ham 28 - U49.5
                  Cal 23 @ Ham 22 - U49.5
                  Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O49.5

                  BC Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                  Tor 16 @ BC 37 O49.5
                  BC 38 @ Mon 17 O49.5
                  Cal 48 @ BC 35 O49.5
                  BC 13 @ Sask 37 O49.5
                  Cal 27 @ BC 22 -O49.5
                  BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O49.5
                  BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U49.5
                  Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U49.5
                  Sask 37 @ BC 18 - O49.5
                  BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U49.5
                  Comment
                  • BetterBizness
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-20-06
                    • 5737

                    #114
                    Actually Upping 1 more unit on the Over... I think this will be a shootout... Tail or Fade

                    Total

                    3 Units Over 49.5
                    1 Unit Hamilton +3.5
                    Comment
                    • BetterBizness
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-20-06
                      • 5737

                      #115
                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                      Actually Upping 1 more unit on the Over... I think this will be a shootout... Tail or Fade

                      Total

                      3 Units Over 49.5
                      1 Unit Hamilton +3.5
                      Cash 3 Units Over
                      Cash 1 Unit Hamilton
                      Comment
                      • BetterBizness
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 05-20-06
                        • 5737

                        #116
                        Winnipeg @ Toronto -1 O/U 51.5

                        Winnipeg Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
                        Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U51.5
                        Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U51.5
                        Win 17 @ Mon 39 - O51.5
                        Ham 39 @ Win 28 - O51.5
                        Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U51.5
                        Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U51.5
                        Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O51.5
                        Win 6 @ Ham 28 - U51.5
                        Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O51.5
                        Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O51.5

                        Toronto Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                        Tor 16 @ BC 37 O51.5
                        Tor 13 @ Ham 28 U51.5
                        Ham 16 @ Tor 12 U51.5
                        Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O51.5
                        Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O51.5
                        Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U51.5
                        BC 20 @ Tor 24 - U51.5
                        Cal 24 @ Tor 27 - U51.5
                        Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O51.5
                        Tor 16 @ Cal 30 - U51.5

                        Tor RB Boyd is out which is a big blow to the Argos... However... This is QB Cleo Lemon's team, and how he plays will be how this game results...

                        Toronto by rights could have (should have maybe more accurate) had 2 victories in their past two games SOLELY based on their inability to score WITHIN the 10 yard line... 2 games ago they were there 4 times and got 3 points... Last week, it was the same old same old... First Drive... Stopped at the half yard line... Again, and Again Toronto KEEPS moving the ball, and AGAIN and AGAIN, they keep getting stopped...

                        Well now they are back at home.. Where they are 3-1... Winnipeg is 0-5 on the road... Toronto looks to get back their Stud SlotBack Copeland... Losing Boyd hurts, but its the CFL... Coaches Adjust..

                        Yes Winnipeg lit it up against a Jeckle and Hyde Roughrider team... But I'm STILL sticking to the Toronto Defense which is being asked to do FAR more than they should be... They should be Protecting leads... Period... Tomorrow is their chance to show it...

                        I don't want this to feel like a chase... But I am strong on the Argos to get it done after a 3 game losing streak...I think this pickem' type game is all about just getting the win... The tendency is that when Toronto Wins, they go over... Not to mention that without a "true" running game tomorrow, they will throwing the ball alot more, making either big plays, or stopping clock... another 36-34 type game as they experienced earlier in the year could be in the mix again..

                        3 Units Toronto -1
                        2 Units Over 51.5
                        Comment
                        • BetterBizness
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-20-06
                          • 5737

                          #117
                          Edmonton @ Montreal -13 O/U 52.5

                          Edmonton Seasonal Results (Most recent first)
                          Cal 36 @ Edm 20 O52.5
                          Edm 5 @ Cal 52 O52.5
                          Sask 14 @ Edm 17 - U52.5
                          Edm 15 @ Cal 56 - O52.5
                          Tor 29 @ Edm 28 - O52.5
                          BC 25 @ Edm 28 - O52.5
                          Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O52.5
                          Edm 20 @ Sask 24 - U52.5
                          Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O52.5
                          BC 25 @ Edm 10 - U52.5

                          Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
                          Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U52.5
                          BC 38 @ Mon 17 O52.5
                          Win 17 @ Mon 38 O52.5
                          Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O52.5
                          Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O52.5
                          Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U52.5
                          Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U52.5
                          Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U52.5
                          Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O52.5
                          Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O52.5

                          Esks have played 6 of last 7 OVER the number... Als 4 of last 5 OVER the number.. They Played Each other this year OVER the number...

                          Got to think we like the OVER in this one at least for 1x... Considering WR Stamps is back in the Passing game... while RB Whitlock is out likely for the year... LOTS of throwing in this... Lots of throwing, particularly when it gets to people, means big plays.. and when it doesn't... Stopped Clock... Dial 1x in for the OVER...

                          Now the real question... Not can Montreal Cover 13.. Becuase that's obvious.. Of course they can... But Can Esks cover +13... Gonna say YES... EVEN in a backdoor cover down 18... They will find the Cover in this one.. BC LOSES last night, 1 game out of the playoffs, + A New GM is in.. People playing for Jobs... Montreal has NOT impressed me that much this year for consistency... QB Calvillo is back... Good things happen, but this is more about the Eskimos keeping the game in reach than anything... and this is a perfect number to try and achieve with a way under achieving team...

                          3 Units Over 5..
                          2 Unit Eskimos +13
                          0.5 Units Parlay Esks ML +500 + Over 52.5


                          This is NOT a Homer play.. This is a play that is Putting the Eskimos with PLENTY of value... Obviously Record has been up and down lately... Tail or Fade...
                          Comment
                          • tension
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 08-11-10
                            • 192

                            #118
                            Grats on the Ti-Cats play BB! I totally missed the game. The Calgary loss is still hurting.
                            Comment
                            • tension
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 08-11-10
                              • 192

                              #119
                              ok I've followed you on the other plays though I changed up the units a little, I got quite a bit more in play than I normally do because I'm chasing back my Calgary losses.

                              Hopefully I wake up tomorrow morning to all winners
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #120
                                Trust Me that Calgary game stung me huge.. I had the middle in that game (3) for about 2 seconds and by rights should have nailed it...I'm beginning to learn the line is, possibly, (probably?) even more important than the game capping itself...
                                Comment
                                • BetterBizness
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 05-20-06
                                  • 5737

                                  #121
                                  Adding:

                                  1 Unit Parlay Toronto -1 + Edmonton +13
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by tension
                                    Grats on the Ti-Cats play BB! I totally missed the game. The Calgary loss is still hurting.
                                    I have to continue to make the "correct" plays, regardless of outcome... Up 11 with minutes left, and Not behind ONCE in the game until the end says Calgary was CLEARLY the RIGHT side... at the RIGHT price...
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #123
                                      First Points from Winnipeg... Just like 7 more TD's...
                                      Comment
                                      • hitman2010
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-03-10
                                        • 1465

                                        #124
                                        Thank you for the play better. Bol to you!!!
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #125
                                          well.. what a horrible Q1... Toronto needs to start showing signs of.. something
                                          Comment
                                          • BetterBizness
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 05-20-06
                                            • 5737

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by hitman2010
                                            Thank you for the play better. Bol to you!!!
                                            lets make it happen
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #127
                                              Well Toronto looks like a team again... The Over is fd though...
                                              Comment
                                              • tension
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 08-11-10
                                                • 192

                                                #128
                                                Come on esk's do something!
                                                Comment
                                                • BetterBizness
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                  • 5737

                                                  #129
                                                  Toronto gets us back some units.. Eskimos ...F me... Nothing left to say about them... I'm quitting the Eskimos!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #130
                                                    Updated Scorecard - Week 12

                                                    Week 12

                                                    Cal @ Sask = -10 Units
                                                    Ham @ BC = +3.6 Units
                                                    Win @ Tor = +0.9 Units
                                                    Edm @ Mon = -5.5 Units
                                                    Parlay -1 Unit

                                                    Net Beatdown = -12 Units

                                                    Overall Week 6-11 Total = +10.85 Units
                                                    Week 12 Total (-12 Units)

                                                    Overall Week 6-12 Total = -1.15 Units

                                                    No Excuses... Should be up to 25 Units this week... Alas...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #131
                                                      Edm @ Mon gets 34 Points in the first half... and MF'ing TWELVE in the second? Including a garbage TD...

                                                      What a cruel, cruel day... We lose by just 8 on the heavy Over... I lose all sorts of NFL parlays with the +13 .. Jokers!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                        • 5737

                                                        #132
                                                        Next Weeks Card for those that can stomach it...

                                                        Friday, Sep 24th
                                                        Montreal @ Winnipeg

                                                        Saturday, Sep 25th
                                                        Saskatchewan @ Hamilton
                                                        BC @ Calgary


                                                        Sunday, Sep 26th
                                                        Edmonton @ Toronto (AT Moncton, New Brunswick)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tension
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-11-10
                                                          • 192

                                                          #133
                                                          What a horrid weekend. Only the Argonauts saved us a little, everything else bit us in the ass.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BetterBizness
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 05-20-06
                                                            • 5737

                                                            #134
                                                            Wish you had that Hamilton game Tension.. .that would have saved quite a bit...

                                                            Wow did the Eskimos Stink too... They had the Ball early in the Third quarter deep in Montreal's zone and QB Maas throws the pick... We get that TD we are pretty much rolling with a closer game... Alas... I hope their new GM starts rolling heads this week...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BetterBizness
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 05-20-06
                                                              • 5737

                                                              #135
                                                              New Lines for week 13

                                                              Friday, Sep 25
                                                              Mon -5.5 @ Winnipeg

                                                              Sat, Sep 26
                                                              Sask @ Ham -1
                                                              BC @ Calgary -10


                                                              Sun, Sep 27
                                                              Edm @ Tor -3 (@ Moncton, NB)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • xraygord
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-18-09
                                                                • 2599

                                                                #136
                                                                Argos -3 is looking good.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by xraygord
                                                                  Argos -3 is looking good.
                                                                  I'd like to give you a reason why it doesn't...

                                                                  But I can't...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Only 2 line moves thus far on Pinny...

                                                                    Hamilton has moved to

                                                                    Hamilton -1.5

                                                                    And Calgary has moved to -10.5 ...

                                                                    Obviously the Calgary one means more... My lean is to think BC will play a close(r) game ... sets right up for a backdoor cover as well down 17... Calgary still has some motivation after their Defense was EMBARRASSED last week getting torched for over 600 yards... BC's motivation is just staying in the playoffs...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Montreal -5-5 @ Winnipeg O/U 54

                                                                      Montreal Season Results (Most recent first)
                                                                      Edm 14 @ Mon 31 U54
                                                                      Mon 27 @ Ham 6 U54
                                                                      BC 38 @ Mon 17 O54
                                                                      Win 17 @ Mon 38 O54
                                                                      Mon 22 @ Tor 37 - O54
                                                                      Sask 26 @ Mon 30 - O54
                                                                      Tor 10 @ Mon 41 - U54
                                                                      Ham 14 @ Mon 37 - U54
                                                                      Mon 16 @ BC 12 - U54
                                                                      Mon 33 @ Edm 23 - O54
                                                                      Mon 51 @ Sask 54 - O54

                                                                      Winnipeg Seasonal Results (Most Recent First)
                                                                      Win 13 @ Tor 17 U54
                                                                      Sask 2 @ Win 31 - U54
                                                                      Win 23 @ Sask 27 - U54
                                                                      Win 17 @ Mon 39 - O54
                                                                      Ham 39 @ Win 28 - O54
                                                                      Win 22 @ Ham 29 - U54
                                                                      Win 20 @ Cal 23 - U54
                                                                      Edm 21 @ Win 47 - O54
                                                                      Win 6 @ Ham 28 - U54
                                                                      Tor 36 @ Win 34 - O54
                                                                      Ham 29 @ Win 49 - O54

                                                                      Winnipeg is Pretty fired up about losing to Toronto last week, and now has only the cross-over method of the CFL playoff system to save their season... If they are to make the playoffs, they need to get one game up on the Lions, and tonight they face a rejuvenated Montreal team that stomped on the Eskimos last week ... The problem I'm finding in the Al's though, is that their Offense, as good as it is.. Sputters ALOT... Yes they found a big cushion last week vs the Eskimos.. But after that, let down or not, they scored FIVE points in the second half.. Had the Eskimos done ANYTHING, they would have been in a ball game...

                                                                      Thus I'm not completely convinced that Montreal is going to win this game handily... Where I would like to lean on though is that first half number of 2.5 .. Bombers notoriously start slow.. Montreal Fast... Winnipeg tends to really clamp down in the Second half of games... Last time out, Montreal clobbered them in each quarter but the third...

                                                                      I'm not entirely convinced just yet that I like the 5.5 in EITHER direction, but I DO like the Montreal -0.5 Quarter, & -2.5 Half... Obviously I could be wrong, as has been the case lately with some tough games, but I think they are solid plays overall with QB Cavillo feeling better in the drivers seat... I am avoiding the Total because I just don't know about what will happen with that sputtering offense of the Als, and the who know what type of pace the Bombers Offense will come out with tonight... I think the number is pretty high at 54, but I'm worried about any sort of bad pacing in this game that will keep it way low... I think the Q1 and H1 bets are far better than anything on this board...

                                                                      Thus:

                                                                      1 Unit Montreal Q1 -0.5
                                                                      2 Units Montreal Q2 -2.5
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • nmr123321
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 01-06-10
                                                                        • 609

                                                                        #140
                                                                        wow, this is interesting, good luck
                                                                        Comment
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