EP36's Prop Shop

EaglesPhan36 · 05-07-12, 09:09 PM

5.7.12

Clippers PG Chris Paul Total Points Over 21.5 [-135]
Paul has taken over in the last two games with 53 points combined, taking 36 shots from the floor. With Griffin unable to get off to a big game, CP3 has taken it upon himself to not only be a facilitator - but also a primary scoring option. He's played more than 40 minutes the last two games and close to 38 in the 1st game - so he should see plenty of court time.

Pick'nParlays · 05-07-12, 09:45 PM

bol

EaglesPhan36 · 05-07-12, 10:02 PM

Just hoping he's not all about assists tonight. Hasn't taken a shot yet which I don't like.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-07-12, 10:10 PM

Fukk. Tonight was the night to be on the 3 pt. prop. I hope Memphis loses this series. Clippers will be much better for the next round and threes. That's one of the things I hate about the playoffs so far. Not a lot of great three point shooting on display so far. Spurs. Clippers. That's the series to bang the over. The other series aren't going to be great for threes from the match-ups. Sixers-Celtics ... nope. Pacers-Heat ... hard to predict. Same with Lakers-OKC where you can get 16 one night and three the next.

Pick'nParlays · 05-08-12, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Fukk. Tonight was the night to be on the 3 pt. prop. I hope Memphis loses this series. Clippers will be much better for the next round and threes. That's one of the things I hate about the playoffs so far. Not a lot of great three point shooting on display so far. Spurs. Clippers. That's the series to bang the over. The other series aren't going to be great for threes from the match-ups. Sixers-Celtics ... nope. Pacers-Heat ... hard to predict. Same with Lakers-OKC where you can get 16 one night and three the next.

only 9 3's. Paul came out hot on asst's and cooled. we got lucky with ot

EaglesPhan36 · 05-08-12, 04:32 PM

Yeah, I will take that though. Threes total crapped out after six early. Got tonight's ready to go, will post up shortly.

Record: 107-85-8 [+4.50]

EaglesPhan36 · 05-08-12, 05:10 PM

5.8.12

[Game 5] Pacers F David West Total Points + Rebounds Over 23.5 [-140]
West has unassumingly become the offensive focal point for Indiana in this series. Pacers Coach Frank Vogel says half the team's offense is now running through West which explains his production in this series. West has scored 18 or more in three of the four games with eight or more rebounds in each game. Only the Game 3 blowout saw him score in single digits. He is a tough match-up for Orlando because Ryan Anderson cannot handle him in the post and if they switch Davis onto him, the Pacers simply toss the ball in to Hibbert instead. Orlando also is indicating they could go with a "small ball" lineup a bit more tonight that would see Turkoglu inserted more where he likely ends up on West. Good match-up there too. As long as Orlando keeps this fairly close, West should have a shot to surpass this if he can get his minutes. He's played over 40 minutes twice and right around 34-35 minutes in the other two games.

[Game 5] Sixers PG Jrue Holiday Total Points + Assists Over 21.5 [-135]
Holiday has dominated this series, beating this number in three straight games. Holiday is logging solid minutes, having played 40 or better in two of the last three. He only played 30 in Game 3 due to foul issues. He has taken at least 15 shots in three of the four games in this series and has dished out six assists in each of the last three games. I think if he gets that assist number again or better, the points will be there to push this over.

Pick'nParlays · 05-08-12, 05:27 PM

im with the west bet b ol

s2230011 · 05-08-12, 07:09 PM

Not a very good quarter for us there ... at least he had a couple of shots in the end.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-08-12, 07:47 PM

Guess I should have stuck to the Big Baby prop. That was the other one I was looking at in this one. West isn't doing crap tonight. Missing shots and not rebounding.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-08-12, 09:34 PM

Awesome and now Holiday is shooting 1/9 and the Sixers shooting about 30% for the game, so not giving that prop much of a chance at this point. Game is pretty much terrible period.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-08-12, 11:11 PM

That's about right. rooster_eater finally starts scoring in the 2nd half and winds up with 16/4 and falls short. If he would have shot worth a **** in the 1st half, would have been a banker. Oh well, shit rolls down hill to the next day.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-12, 05:29 AM

Record: 107-87-8 [+1.75]

Pick'nParlays · 05-09-12, 12:01 PM

bol ep yesrerday will rebound

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-12, 05:36 PM

5.9.12

[Game 5] Heat-Knicks Total Three Point Shots Made Over 14 [+125]
We're getting a good price and number here because of the inept offense of Game 4 on both sides, especially from long range. Going back to Miami, I expect the Heat to get back to shooting the 3 ball better. Let's remember, up until the last game - Miami had made at least eight threes in Games 1-3 with a high of eleven in Game 3. They shot 50% from the floor in Games 1 & 2 @ home with 17 of 42 from distance. New York will need to help better from deep, but I think the injuries to their PGs may actually help here. Mike Bibby is inserted as the starter and we all know he's a glorified shooting guard. 13 of his 16 shots in this series are threes and I expect he'll get some looks tonight. His defense or lack thereof, should also allow guys like Chalmers and Miller to get better looks for the Heat. Douglas ascends to the backup spot @ PG. Douglas is another guy who shoots more threes. Remember, he got to play against the Heat back in January as the starter, shooting 6/18 from the floor with four makes from deep. Don't be surprised to see him jacking up threes tonight and playing more "off the ball" when he is in. I think Carmelo is going to be counted on as a primary ball handler more tonight. If he can distribute to the shooters: Bibby, Douglas, Novak and JR Smith needs to make shots. Expect Miller, Battier & Chalmers to be much better tonight. I think NY needs to get at least half a dozen to help this prop have the best chance. That's been asking a lot in this series, but they have the shooters to do it. Gimme that plus money.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-12, 07:47 PM

[Game 5] Grizzlies PG Mike Conley Total Points Over 14 [-145]
Chalky, but Conley has earned it with a solid series. He has 17 or better in three of four games and is coming off his best game with 25 in Game 4. Conley has done a great job hitting jumpers and also getting into the lane when possible. He does his damage efficiently as well, shooting 50% from the floor with just 44 FGAs in four games. He has also hit a three in three of four games.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-12, 07:58 PM

Knicks hit their first three 3s and haven't made one since. Typical shit luck of late. Miami isn't even having to take many threes with the way they are getting whatever they want in the paint. Looks like five needed to push probably in the 4th Q. Unlikely the way this looks to be going. Knicks haven't had bad looks, just no rolls or bounces going their way.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-09-12, 08:35 PM

I guess I need to just pay the juice for the plays I like best. Wanted Chandler Over 8.5 rebounds, but it was -180. 13 threes. FML.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 05:53 AM

Terrible run since the weekend. Yowzers. Oh well, plenty of postseason to turn this bitch around. Quiiters never win. Winners know when to quit. Good thing, I am neither.

Record: 107-89-8 [-0.70]

rentongfb · 05-10-12, 10:40 AM

You are doing a great job man! Runs will come and go, just focus on and bring the best out of yourself!...Litlle advice, three point props are not the best idea as play-offs tend to get harder and harder defensively...

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 04:35 PM

5.10.12

[Game 6] Bulls F Carlos Boozer Total Points Over 17.5 [-110]
Boozer has become one of the primary scorers for Chicago in this series now with Rose & Noah down. Over the last three games, Boozer has topped this number in each. He's averaging right around 20 shots per game in that stretch with at least 17 shots in each game. He is logging heavy minutes with 40+ in the last two games. He has done a good job avoiding foul trouble and has been able to do the points damage even with very limited FT attempts to add to the total. There are some rumblings that Noah may try to gut it out tonight. Even if he does play, Boozer remains one of the most effective shots Chicago has to score points and I expect him to continue to get the ball.

[Game 6] Hawks PF Josh Smith Total Rebounds Over 11.5 [-120]
Smith has been a dominant rebounder in this series. He has at least a dozen boards in all four games of this series that he has played in. That includes 16 last game even with Horford in the mix. He has at least eleven rebounds in every game played against Boston this season.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 05:34 PM

Getting the Smith prop @ +110 now. Booked.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 06:20 PM

And Holiday is on fire today. Where was this last game you shitbird. Jesus.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 06:26 PM

Classic fade material from me, it appears. Boozer can't make a shot.

Mriceyman · 05-10-12, 06:49 PM

These guys are so inconsistent

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 07:49 PM

F-ing 1/11.

PhillyUnionCC · 05-10-12, 08:35 PM

Another loss on that smith prop. Knew I shoulda laid off

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 08:36 PM

[Game 6] Nuggets-Lakers Largest Lead OVER 14.5 [-115]
Only one game in this series has been played without one team or the other running out to a lead bigger than this number. Being @ Denver with a fired up Nuggets squad + Kobe @ whatever %, could be the makings of a big lead somewhere for Denver or it could be a Lakers' rope-a-dope and big lead. Either way, riding the trend for the series.

.. and FU Carlos Boozer. Guy was so bad, he wasn't even on the floor in crunch time.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 08:38 PM

Originally posted by PhillyUnionCC

Another loss on that smith prop. Knew I shoulda laid off

Don't give up on that one yet. If he stays on the court, rebounds come in bunches when you don't expect it. Rebound props are real weird like that.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-10-12, 10:06 PM

Now that is the way to break a GD slump! 23-8 before we hit the midway point in the 1st Q.

EaglesPhan36 · 05-11-12, 04:47 PM

Passing tonight. Don't see anything to like really. Rest up for Saturday and try to get the Ws rolling again.

Record: 108-91-8 [-2.00]

Pick'nParlays · 05-12-12, 03:25 PM

early leans>?

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-12, 03:37 PM

5.12.12

[Game 1] Celtics C Kevin Garnett Total Points Over 17 [-115]
KG had a solid series against Atlanta, averaging close to 19 ppg and sticking up 20 points or better in half of the six games. He's coming in off that monster 28/14 night in Game 6. He did big damage in two of three against the Sixers with 20 pts. in each of those two. He did so in limited minutes, 58 minutes for 40 pts. The Sixers have had their issues guarding big men all season and KG will test Spencer Hawes and others with his ability to drift outside and hit medium to long range jumpers.

**As a side note, the other guy I liked in this series is Evan Turner. His total is set @ 11. I think he's got a chance to have a quality series, but I want to see who is guarding him more this series Rondo or Bradley. If he is aggressive in this series though, I don't see how he shouldn't be able to use his height advantage to get some scoring opps.

Pick'nParlays · 05-12-12, 03:40 PM

bynum pts+reb over 30!

EaglesPhan36 · 05-12-12, 03:58 PM

I don't like that one personally. I thought he was going to have a monster series, but outside of Game 2 - Denver has done a good job containing him. He could have a big game, but considering he's only beat that number once ... I'll pass.