EP36's Prop Shop

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #911
    This might be a tough series for props. Books set this shit pretty smartly it appears on most fronts. May be time to ride D-Wade Unders on points, but God I still don't feel comfortable with that. Might need to look more at unders in this series. Durant was the best option it looks like for overs, but it took great shooting for him to hit his over but he'll pile on points in the end.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #912
      6.14.12

      (Game 2) Thunder Team Total Over 100 (-118)


      Not feeling much in the player prop department. I think you could probably just go default overs on Durant or Lebron on point when they are at home perhaps. In any case, this is mine tonight. OKC has now scored 100+ in eight of their last nine in the playoffs. At home, they have hit 100 or better in seven of nine this postseason.
      Comment
      • swordsandtequila
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-23-12
        • 9757

        #913
        Played these tonight EP:

        J.Harden points over 16½ +110
        D.Wade points/ Over 23 -120

        Not even touching sides. Took OKC game 1, told myself after that no more, too hard to predict. Props are probably the safest bet. Good luck!
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #914
          Wow. I am pretty much buried with one quarter. WTF.
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #915
            Well two more quarters like that and it'll be close, but pretty much chalked this up as a loser. Good pick on Harden. He looks like the only guy who can score tonight consistently for OKC so far.
            Comment
            • swordsandtequila
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-12
              • 9757

              #916
              Don't give up hope yet, we've seen how OKC goes on big runs in the second half (at home). Best case scenario, high scoring second half, I hit my Wade prop and OKC covers with a win. Pulling for you, and OKC!
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #917
                That sucked. I had the D-Wade prop as a potential play, but thought it would be real tight as it was - but you came out on the right side and I was on the wrong side. Anything in the 1st Q and they would have scored 100. Oh well, onto the next one. Not going to overthink it for Game 3.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #918
                  Record: 130-108-9 [+2.00]

                  6.17.12

                  [Game 3] Heat-Thunder Total Three Point Shots Made Over 13.5 [-120]
                  Ready to jump in on this prop. 36 & 40 attempts in the 1st two games with 13 and 15 makes. The Heat have been much freer in releasing threes at home in the playoffs. Against the Celtics last round, they put up 25 or more in all of their home games. With OKC accounting for 43 attempts in the 1st two games, that would be even more welcomed news. OKC has been pretty consistent home/away shooting threes in the playoffs. Combined, these two are shooting close to 37% from deep for this series. It would be nice if the Heat could find more options that Battier, although his hot streak can only help. Would love for Jones or Miller to get a few more minutes to jack some up. OKC has most of their threes from Durant, but Harden has contributed some. Fisher/Westbrook need to be bigger factors. I think as long as both teams have at least one guy streaking from deep, this should have a shot and so far that's Battier + Durant.
                  Comment
                  • tcarn01
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-27-09
                    • 1993

                    #919
                    on it.. got it at -115.. ill take it.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #920
                      And of course there's very few threes taken and none made so far.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #921
                        Well this is beyond terrible. Maybe I should just quit and keep my tiny profit margin alive. FML.
                        Comment
                        • tcarn01
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-27-09
                          • 1993

                          #922
                          made 5... 2nd half and maybe OT to get this.. keep the faith..
                          Comment
                          • tcarn01
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-09
                            • 1993

                            #923
                            shooting has to get better..
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #924
                              Yeah worst shooting night of the series of course on the night I pick the 3s.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #925
                                Record: 130-109-9 [+0.80]

                                6.18.12

                                [Game 4] Heat F Chris Bosh Total Rebounds Over 9.5 [-125]

                                Two units. Go big or go the F home.
                                Comment
                                • EaglesPhan36
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 12-06-06
                                  • 71662

                                  #926
                                  I am gonna puke if Bosh doesn't get the two boards needed to get this in the 4th. Had 5 boards in the first. 7 @ the half.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #927
                                    This sucks. I'm done after tonight. Cannot believe this shit is going to be one rebound short.
                                    Comment
                                    • Cheme82
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-03-08
                                      • 7823

                                      #928
                                      I feel you bro, he ****** me up the over 15 points. Had the tie right under the rim and he missed it. Shake
                                      it off.
                                      Comment
                                      • rentongfb
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 04-02-12
                                        • 328

                                        #929
                                        is there any new coming up props for nba ?
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #930
                                          OMG! I found the glory hole boys! Betonline has 3 pt. Props posted! Don't call it a comeback ..... Tonight, we dine on their money.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #931
                                            4.3.13.: Knicks-Hawks Total 3 pt Shots Made Over 18.5 (-125)
                                            A big number, but expected with the most prolific 3 point making team in the league. NY is also tied for the most attempts per game at nearly 29. In their last five alone, they have 58 makes with 14 in each of their last two. ATL isn't too far behind with an average of almost 9 makes per game on 23 attempts. They have 40 makes in their last five. ATL without Harris, but likely beneficiary Stevenson digs the 3. Finding this prop gave me perma-wood!
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #932
                                              So I get the night when the Knicks don't shoot as many threes. Still had a shot, but the 4th quarter didn't have many three attempts. Finished with 16 makes, ATL had more surprisingly. Perturbed, but still happy to have found this prop again. Hopefully more opportunities this month.
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #933
                                                Don't flop me NY.

                                                4.5.13: Knicks-Bucks Total 3s Made Over 18 (-120)
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #934
                                                  0 FOR 9. Great start. Guess they wanted to bring me back to beat me. Grrrr.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                    • 71662

                                                    #935
                                                    JJ Redick single handedly keeping this alive. Knicks, you blow arse. 1/10.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #936
                                                      Now we're cookin' finally.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #937
                                                        Booyaka.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #938
                                                          Lakers-Grizzlies Over 12.5 [-115]
                                                          Grizz aren't going to light it up, but they should be able to add 4-6 threes. LA is capable of double digits any night.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #939
                                                            4.7: Thunder-Knicks Total Three Point Shots Made Over 17.5 [-115]
                                                            Had to get this together quick, but NY is almost always a try on the over here and OKC has capable shooters to add a good half dozen or more depending on where the pace/style of the game goes.

                                                            *Going to go find my early 2012-2013 season thread and try to tall up just the 3 pt props today to see where it stands. I know early this was an absolute cash cow and I am going to play this as long as Betonline keeps posting them - got to be smart though because they are only posting it for a few games.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #940
                                                              Nine in the 1st Q. I'll take that.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #941
                                                                4.14.13: Rockets-Kings Total Three Point Shots Made Over 18 [+105]
                                                                Rockets are definitely a team to always try and ride with for these props. Every game, they've got double digit drop ability in makes. Kings are streaky from distance - averaging eight makes per game over their last five. Houston's three pt. D is generally loose, so if Sacramento takes 20+ ... I think they can add anywhere from 7-10 and I full expect Houston should give at least ten to give this a shot.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Hoorah.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pick'nParlays
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-22-08
                                                                    • 3134

                                                                    #943
                                                                    what happened to this thread?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #944
                                                                      I'm about to total up my three point props from this season. It was spread over two threads. That's my banger for the playoffs. We'll see how we do. Should be posted up soon.
                                                                      Comment
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