EP36's Prop Shop

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  • vikingfan101
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-04-12
    • 475

    #771
    Thats rough. About the only thing prop whise Im hitting this Postseason is on the Celtics myself. Have steered clear of Miami and lost a few Hibberts.

    My hope is since Rondo laid a stinker this game that the assist line will drop for Saturdays game. And I will ride it again.
    Comment
    • Pick'nParlays
      SBR MVP
      • 02-22-08
      • 3134

      #772
      EP is still the best... I just want Viking and other guys on the forum to see that player props never pay long term..
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #773
        Anything can be profitable long term, you either pick winners or losers and in the playoffs, losers have been too normal. Probably needed to scale back a little bit and not play as many as I have. I think that is what got me in the wrong direction. Last couple years when I did this, I think I focused more on a couple series per round where there were some steady props that paid well over and over. Live and learn.
        Comment
        • 5mike5
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 09-21-11
          • 52024

          #774
          Ep is right

          Props are very profitable over the long term...just depends on how smart and disciplined you are about betting them

          just like anything else
          Comment
          • Loola
            SBR Hustler
            • 05-12-12
            • 76

            #775
            With Haslem out, what do you guys think about LBJ over 10.5 rebounds?
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #776
              I don't think Haslem's status effects James. If you like him for rebounds w/Haslem, you like him without.
              Comment
              • colout
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-11-09
                • 772

                #777
                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                I don't think Haslem's status effects James. If you like him for rebounds w/Haslem, you like him without.
                Don't you have any probs for the game dude? I was thinking that Haslem being out, may give some problems with Hibbert inside? (points or rebounds)
                Comment
                • Bdolan33
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-02-12
                  • 1255

                  #778
                  Any thoughts on the strange "Will any player be charged with a flagrant foul?" prop?
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #779
                    Originally posted by colout
                    Don't you have any probs for the game dude? I was thinking that Haslem being out, may give some problems with Hibbert inside? (points or rebounds)
                    I'm still deciding whether I want to play anything. The Hibbert rebound prop has been good this series except for one game I believe. Pts for him are like trying to figure out whether Rajon Rondo is going to score on a given night.

                    That flagrant foul thing I think is to try to suck people into action .. I would say no way in hell you see one, but if the game is a blowout where Miami is closing the series out ... you could get some Ron Artest Malace @ the Palace action for all we know.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #780
                      Alright I'm going Team Prop.

                      5.24.12

                      [Game 6] Miami Total Points Over 92 [-115]
                      Since Miami threw clunkers in Games 2 & 3 with point totals in the 70s, the Heat have looked different and focused. They topped 100 points in each of the last two games. If you date back to the regular season, they beat this number in three of the four games - albeit one took OT to get there. With Granger banged up and West banged up, I'm looking for the Heat to continue to feed Lebron & D-Wade and rack up some points.
                      Comment
                      • Cheme82
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-03-08
                        • 7823

                        #781
                        Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                        EP is still the best... I just want Viking and other guys on the forum to see that player props never pay long term..
                        Au contraire my friend, you can make some nice cash with these bets much easier than with spreads, money lines, or totals. These playoffs have been weird, I'm 58-49-3 in the playoffs for a sorry $200 of profit but given the nature of this year, I'm one of the lucky ones.
                        Comment
                        • 5mike5
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 09-21-11
                          • 52024

                          #782
                          exactly....very nice cash
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #783
                            Nice 'n easy tonight. Hope to post this weekend, but I'm on a trip towards Boston. Gonna be chillin mainly by the water, so probably plenty of posting times. Ready for that OKC-San Antonio series to get ready.
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #784
                              Game 7: Celtics C Kevin Garnett Total Points Over 18.5 (-140)
                              Comment
                              • vikingfan101
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-04-12
                                • 475

                                #785
                                They bumped Rondo up to over 13.5 assists. Too many for my blood.
                                Comment
                                • AceKingHigh
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-23-09
                                  • 3888

                                  #786
                                  every time I tail we get ****** up. god damint
                                  Comment
                                  • vikingfan101
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-04-12
                                    • 475

                                    #787
                                    Naturally KG had to miss a throw at the end. Knew when he got fouled that we were gonna get screwed. Joke.
                                    Comment
                                    • AceKingHigh
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-23-09
                                      • 3888

                                      #788
                                      Saw it coming as well =// too bad...
                                      Comment
                                      • Vinnie Paz
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-27-12
                                        • 12177

                                        #789
                                        Originally posted by vikingfan101
                                        Naturally KG had to miss a throw at the end. Knew when he got fouled that we were gonna get screwed. Joke.
                                        Yep even his form on the first one looked off which resulted in the brick. 2nd shot was money... always fukkin hurts deep losing by a half point though, id rather just be off by like 6 points or somethin. Arghhhh
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #790
                                          Yeah that blew goats. Money time though. Conference Finals. Was on vacation in Boston-area the last three days. Only had time to research that KG one. Looking over Boston-Miami right now.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #791
                                            Record: 118-104-9 [-7.85]

                                            5.28.12

                                            [Game 1] Boston PG Rajon Rondo Total Points Over 14.5 [-125]This is one of the two positions I expect Boston to really try and exploit Miami, the other being Garnett vs. the Heat Bigs. Rondo should be able to run circles around Chalmers and Co. He had 22, 16 & 18 in the three regular season meetings this season. Rondo is going to log heavy minutes this series, especially in light of the injury to Bradley and the continued injury issues with Ray Allen. I'd venture to say the Rondo assists prop is also a good one, but with the Boston injuries & some of their terrible shooting in the Sixers' series ... I'm going points here.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #792
                                              Rondo
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #793
                                                Feelin' a run this week.

                                                Record: 119-104-9 [-6.85]
                                                Comment
                                                • lato89
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 03-01-11
                                                  • 20

                                                  #794
                                                  nice job! have anything for spurs - oklahoma game yet?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pick'nParlays
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-22-08
                                                    • 3134

                                                    #795
                                                    Harden over 16.5 points -130

                                                    no brainer
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 5mike5
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 09-21-11
                                                      • 52024

                                                      #796
                                                      Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                                      Harden over 16.5 points -130

                                                      no brainer
                                                      +100 at 5dimes, im on this too
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pick'nParlays
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-22-08
                                                        • 3134

                                                        #797
                                                        no its minus -130 at 5dimes i just rechecked
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Pick'nParlays
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-22-08
                                                          • 3134

                                                          #798
                                                          maybe you got it early 5?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 5mike5
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-21-11
                                                            • 52024

                                                            #799
                                                            Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                                            maybe you got it early 5?
                                                            then its moved again....they move at 5d alot...was -110 5 min after i bet it

                                                            bet it at 5dimes less than 30 minutes ago, when i posted on my thread

                                                            bet at 5:03pm (et) (+100)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #800
                                                              5.29.12

                                                              [Game 2] Spurs-Thunder Total Three Point Shots Made Over 15 [-115]
                                                              Loved the pace of the three point attempts in Game 1. In four meetings this season, these two teams have only failed to reach this number once [14]. If you're giving me 40+ three point attempts with the talent on these two teams, I will ride this one until I puke money all over the sports books and then I'll eat my puke and play it again the next game. Two units on this one. Go big or go home.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 12-06-06
                                                                • 71662

                                                                #801
                                                                Looks like everybody won tonight.


                                                                Record: 120-104-9 [-4.85]
                                                                Comment
                                                                • 5mike5
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 09-21-11
                                                                  • 52024

                                                                  #802
                                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                  Looks like everybody won tonight.


                                                                  Record: 120-104-9 [-4.85]
                                                                  was an EASY night for us both tonight 36

                                                                  wish they all were this damn easy

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Pick'nParlays
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-22-08
                                                                    • 3134

                                                                    #803
                                                                    usually is.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pick'nParlays
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-22-08
                                                                      • 3134

                                                                      #804
                                                                      Originally posted by Pick'nParlays
                                                                      Harden over 16.5 points -130

                                                                      no brainer
                                                                      easy easy
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #805
                                                                        5.30.12

                                                                        [Game 2] Celtics PG Rajon Rondo Total Points Over 14.5 [-130]
                                                                        No reason to go against Rondo having to score again in Game 2 for me. Garnett was the one constant scorer in Game 1 with Rondo coming alive later in the game after a poor start. With Pierce held in check and Allen hurting, Rondo must be a scorer for Boston to compete. He took 20 shots in Game 1 and missed several around the basket that would have probably put him well over 20 points instead of at 16 by game's end. Two units again. Go big or go home.

                                                                        [Game 2] Miami F Shane Battier Total Points + Rebounds Over 10.5 [-125]
                                                                        Trying this one too. Battier had a solid game with 10 pts. and 10 rebounds in Game 1. He was left open countless times, but did not shoot well - going 4/11 from the floor [3/9 from beyond the arc]. Still, he's probably going to continue to get looks in this series with Bass matched up on him mostly and maybe Pierce at times. Most impressive was his rebounding. I won't be expecting him to almost single handedly beat this prop with just rebounding, but if he gets anywhere around 5-6, I think he gets enough open looks to have a shot to make this a relatively easy casher, especially if he's a volume 3 pt. shooter. He might only need to can 2-3 to do almost all the damage. Half a unit to test drive this one.
                                                                        Comment
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