Totolover's NCAA RLM

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  • JosephPavs
    SBR MVP
    • 07-29-10
    • 1660

    #351
    Vanderbuit @ Kentucky 1120 (97/37)

    Georgia @ Auburn 230 (34/1)
    Central Mich @ Navy 230 (88/27)
    VT @ North Carolina 230 (10/24)

    STANFORD @ AzState 630 (6/45)

    Clemson @ FlState 700 (20/30)
    Ok State @ Texas 700 (17/59)

    Fresno St @ Nevada 930 (74/43)


    Potential Games with FEI ratings for the teams looks like Clem is a good play and waiting to get a better response on the Texas game they have a heavy betting following and I would only imagine they are double and trippling their normal wager thinking they will eventually get a W
    Comment
    • jakeandba
      SBR MVP
      • 01-13-09
      • 1033

      #352
      what is FEI?
      Comment
      • MrCondor
        SBR Rookie
        • 10-09-10
        • 34

        #353
        Taking Texas ML as well as the gift of 5½. I think that's the top play today.
        Comment
        • PLAYA-PLAYA
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-11-10
          • 356

          #354
          Just a QUESTION Guys?--------We talked about FADING REALLY BAD TEAMS---------VANDY For ONE?----ANY THOUGHTS?-----VANDY has been a play the last couple of weeks and have gotten run over.----GOOD LUCK WHATEVER YOU PLAY--------"REFUSE TO LOSE"
          Comment
          • balls2wall
            SBR MVP
            • 12-20-09
            • 2642

            #355
            Originally posted by PLAYA-PLAYA
            Just a QUESTION Guys?--------We talked about FADING REALLY BAD TEAMS---------VANDY For ONE?----ANY THOUGHTS?-----VANDY has been a play the last couple of weeks and have gotten run over.----GOOD LUCK WHATEVER YOU PLAY--------"REFUSE TO LOSE"


            I agree

            I wouldn't touch vandy RLM or not. They were a RLM play last week and lost big. I was on FLA for my big play of the day.

            I am on KY -14 today

            vandy is absolutely horrible


            tread lightly with vandy guys!!!
            Comment
            • frognose20
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-09-10
              • 249

              #356
              Originally posted by Totolover1409
              Ready to make some serious cash tomorrow!! yee

              Got a nice little advice from our boy packbacker and he said that the early games aren't hittin recently but I'm gonna put em on my card anyways.

              Cincinatti +4.5 (Line opened at -6.5 and moved to -4.5 on West Virginia with over 6000 bets placed)
              Northwestern +9.5 (Line opened at 12.5 with only 54% on Iowa but I'm gonna take the 2.5 point movement on this one).
              Texas Tech +14.5 (Line opened at -16.5 on Oklahoma with 74% on Oklahoma and over 7500 bets placed)
              Arizona St. +4.5 (Stanford line opened at -6.5 with 86% on Stanford and over 11800 bets placed)
              Texas +5 (Line opened at +6.5 with 76% on Oklahoma State and almost 9000 bets placed)

              There is some on Fresno State and North Carolina but not enough %age on one side or the line movement is only one. Georgia has a lot of potential but less than 60% on Auburn.

              The above plays are my for sure plays and I have already placed wagers. Tail at your own risk and I wish you guys the best of luck tomorrow
              I see texas tech opening at 16 and currently at 15.5 on pinnacle not sure if ill be taking that but with you on the rest. Let's make some money together.
              Comment
              • Strange Design
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-06-10
                • 251

                #357
                Good luck today guys.
                Comment
                • kiknit
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-20-09
                  • 116

                  #358
                  There's a point and a half move in the Cincinnati/WVU Game today at noon: Line opened at WV(-6.5) and is not WV(-5) with 71% on WV...and 13k bets.

                  RLM starting off early today with a play on Cincinnati(+5)>
                  Comment
                  • GGPLAYER
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-09
                    • 2981

                    #359
                    [quote=JosephPavs;7405265]Vanderbuit @ Kentucky 1120 (97/37)

                    Georgia @ Auburn 230 (34/1)
                    Central Mich @ Navy 230 (88/27)
                    VT @ North Carolina 230 (10/24)

                    STANFORD @ AzState 630 (6/45)

                    Clemson @ FlState 700 (20/30)
                    Ok State @ Texas 700 (17/59)

                    Fresno St @ Nevada 930 (74/43)


                    I'm not seeing RLM on Vandy.
                    Comment
                    • balls2wall
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-20-09
                      • 2642

                      #360
                      [quote=GGPLAYER;7406739]
                      Originally posted by JosephPavs
                      Vanderbuit @ Kentucky 1120 (97/37)

                      I'm not seeing RLM on Vandy.

                      Me neither

                      I think he may have been using pregame.

                      They had it at -15.5 open then were showing -14.5 for the current # for a long time so by those numbers it would have been, but even so now it is back at -15 so it would no longer be.



                      like I said, rlm or not I wouldn't touch the dores
                      Comment
                      • QuantumLeap
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-22-08
                        • 6880

                        #361
                        Originally posted by balls2wall
                        I agree

                        I wouldn't touch vandy RLM or not. They were a RLM play last week and lost big. I was on FLA for my big play of the day.

                        I am on KY -14 today

                        vandy is absolutely horrible


                        tread lightly with vandy guys!!!
                        Vandy was an RLM game when they played against Georgia as well and got steamrolled in that game too. I laid off Vandy last week for that reason.
                        Comment
                        • MrCondor
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 10-09-10
                          • 34

                          #362
                          Originally posted by kiknit
                          There's a point and a half move in the Cincinnati/WVU Game today at noon: Line opened at WV(-6.5) and is not WV(-5) with 71% on WV...and 13k bets.

                          RLM starting off early today with a play on Cincinnati(+5)>

                          I understand, Bill Stewart is a buffoon. I've lost so much money on WV over the years it isn't funny. At least until I see that boob's face on my television screen.
                          Comment
                          • QuantumLeap
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-22-08
                            • 6880

                            #363
                            Originally posted by Totolover1409
                            Do you guys see Arizona St at +4.5 or +5.5. I have it at +4.5 and so thats 2 points, but my book has it at +5.5
                            I use sbrodds.com to see what the books have. Bodog has it at 6 which is why it's such a good book to use sometimes.
                            Comment
                            • thebertshow
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 08-30-07
                              • 645

                              #364
                              I am also on georgia tech
                              Comment
                              • jbatcha21
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-27-10
                                • 271

                                #365
                                What about Iowa @ Northwestern at 12:00. Iowa is receiving only 56% of the bets but the RLM is 2.5 points. What do you all think about this play?
                                Comment
                                • InTheDrink
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-23-09
                                  • 23983

                                  #366
                                  I love when so called gamblers don't want to play a team because of a game they lost earlier in the year. Hilarious.

                                  Does anyone know why the Kent like move 4 points? I don't know that you can call it RLM if there's another factor that moved the line besides public behavior. It still needs about 900 bets on it but as long as the plays come in there's no way it moves back that much.
                                  Comment
                                  • jbatcha21
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 09-27-10
                                    • 271

                                    #367
                                    Originally posted by jbatcha21
                                    What about Iowa @ Northwestern at 12:00. Iowa is receiving only 56% of the bets but the RLM is 2.5 points. What do you all think about this play?
                                    Anyone have an opinion on this?
                                    Comment
                                    • Tien
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 05-19-10
                                      • 120

                                      #368
                                      northwestern always a RLM too and end up losing..1-7 ATS
                                      Comment
                                      • MrCondor
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 10-09-10
                                        • 34

                                        #369
                                        Originally posted by jbatcha21
                                        Anyone have an opinion on this?
                                        The only opinion I have is which half does Northwestern show up for?
                                        Comment
                                        • mangina11
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-01-10
                                          • 397

                                          #370
                                          I like northwestern here
                                          Comment
                                          • GoldenYAK
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 707

                                            #371
                                            ^^NOT RLM Find the starting line, and you will know why.
                                            Comment
                                            • jbatcha21
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-27-10
                                              • 271

                                              #372
                                              Originally posted by GoldenYAK
                                              ^^NOT RLM Find the starting line, and you will know why.

                                              ?? On Sportsinsights it says it opened at -12 and is now at -9.5
                                              Comment
                                              • balls2wall
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-20-09
                                                • 2642

                                                #373
                                                Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                I love when so called gamblers don't want to play a team because of a game they lost earlier in the year. Hilarious.

                                                Does anyone know why the Kent like move 4 points? I don't know that you can call it RLM if there's another factor that moved the line besides public behavior. It still needs about 900 bets on it but as long as the plays come in there's no way it moves back that much.


                                                yeah, how a team has played all year has nothing to do with anything


                                                vandy sucks, period. They are absolutely horrible.


                                                I should probably brave up and put my house on them
                                                Comment
                                                • InTheDrink
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-23-09
                                                  • 23983

                                                  #374
                                                  Originally posted by balls2wall
                                                  yeah, how a team has played all year has nothing to do with anything vandy sucks, period. They are absolutely horrible. I should probably brave up and put my house on them
                                                  except the line has moved towards Kentucky since it opened.

                                                  I'll keep it simple. This is the RLM thread. That game is not RLM. Maybe you should start a "Vandy Sucks" thread.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BonziWells
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-08-10
                                                    • 552

                                                    #375
                                                    Drink!!!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • balls2wall
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-20-09
                                                      • 2642

                                                      #376
                                                      Originally posted by InTheDrink
                                                      except the line has moved towards Kentucky since it opened.

                                                      I'll keep it simple. This is the RLM thread. That game is not RLM. Maybe you should start a "Vandy Sucks" thread.


                                                      no shit sherlock


                                                      I have already stated it is not a rlm play


                                                      a guy asked a question about the vandy game and one guy at the top of the page posted it as a play so we have been discussing it


                                                      you are the one throwing cheap shots calling people "so called gamblers"


                                                      we can't all be real gamblers like you bro


                                                      Comment
                                                      • InTheDrink
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-23-09
                                                        • 23983

                                                        #377
                                                        Originally posted by BonziWells
                                                        Drink!!!!
                                                        Bonzi!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrCondor
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 34

                                                          #378
                                                          I want to be a so called gambler so bad, I just can't help myself though.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ebbearsfb1
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-07-08
                                                            • 18815

                                                            #379
                                                            So nw and cinn were offical plays
                                                            Comment
                                                            • jbatcha21
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-27-10
                                                              • 271

                                                              #380
                                                              Only Cincy was an official play because NW only had 56% against them. Looks like NW was the better play though
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BeBrave
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 10-25-10
                                                                • 158

                                                                #381
                                                                Looking for opinions on 2 RLM later games or should I say which 2 does the thread prefer
                                                                Comment
                                                                • balls2wall
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-20-09
                                                                  • 2642

                                                                  #382
                                                                  Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
                                                                  So nw and cinn were offical plays


                                                                  They were totolover's official plays



                                                                  "Cincinatti +4.5 (Line opened at -6.5 and moved to -4.5 on West Virginia with over 6000 bets placed)
                                                                  Northwestern +9.5 (Line opened at 12.5 with only 54% on Iowa but I'm gonna take the 2.5 point movement on this one).
                                                                  Texas Tech +14.5 (Line opened at -16.5 on Oklahoma with 74% on Oklahoma and over 7500 bets placed)
                                                                  Arizona St. +4.5 (Stanford line opened at -6.5 with 86% on Stanford and over 11800 bets placed)
                                                                  Texas +5 (Line opened at +6.5 with 76% on Oklahoma State and almost 9000 bets placed)

                                                                  There is some on Fresno State and North Carolina but not enough %age on one side or the line movement is only one. Georgia has a lot of potential but less than 60% on Auburn.

                                                                  The above plays are my for sure plays and I have already placed wagers. Tail at your own risk and I wish you guys the best of luck tomorrow"
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • balls2wall
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-20-09
                                                                    • 2642

                                                                    #383
                                                                    Originally posted by BeBrave
                                                                    Looking for opinions on 2 RLM later games or should I say which 2 does the thread prefer


                                                                    Here are the potential ones I am seeing as of now. I may be missing some. These were spotted on pregame then I double checked them on sportsinsights.


                                                                    CLEMSON from +7.5 to +6 (39%)
                                                                    UTEP from +30 to +28.5 (22%) big spread that was discussed about filtering out
                                                                    GEORGIA from +8.5 to +7 (39%)
                                                                    AZ ST from +6.5 to +4 (16%)
                                                                    C MICH from +15 to +14 (18%)
                                                                    TX from +6.5 to +5 (30%)



                                                                    I personally like the Georgia play...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrCondor
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 34

                                                                      #384
                                                                      I think Cincinnati would be a good two hand touch or flag team since they certainly have no clue when it comes to tackling.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jbatcha21
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 09-27-10
                                                                        • 271

                                                                        #385
                                                                        For 2:00 what about Kent St.?
                                                                        Comment
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