Totolover's NCAA RLM

balls2wall · 11-13-10, 02:01 PM

Originally posted by jbatcha21

For 2:00 what about Kent St.?

looks like one as well

ebbearsfb1 · 11-13-10, 02:10 PM

Nw sucks... everytime there on the rlm they blow

BeBrave · 11-13-10, 02:29 PM

Thx balls

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 02:38 PM

I know Kent sucks balls but did that line really move 4 points?

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 02:41 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I know Kent sucks balls but did that line really move 4 points?

Yea, Army opened at -3 and moved to +1 with 67% on Army. Thats insane. Army is up 14-0 right now tho so I am glad I laid off of it.

Aussiecapper101 · 11-13-10, 02:42 PM

14-7

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 02:43 PM

Looks like Texas Tech is a no play. The line has moved back up to 16.5

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 02:52 PM

Yeah. Texas Tech is no longer a play

Keep an eye on Fresno State, Clemson, and Wyoming. All future legit plays that I will confirm when the time nears.

CASH NORTHWESTERN

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 02:56 PM

3:00 play Marshall opened at -16.5 and moved to -15.5 with 75% on Marshall

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 02:57 PM

There are a few 1 point games that I omitted including the Georgia and Auburn game. I'm trying to play less games this week and have a more positive weekend.

Arizona St and Texas look like very solid plays. May add those mentioned above soon

GGPLAYER · 11-13-10, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

Nw sucks... everytime there on the rlm they blow

NW!!! What a come back. This team has screwed me a few times this year but not today. I hope that QB is ok.

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

There are a few 1 point games that I omitted including the Georgia and Auburn game. I'm trying to play less games this week and have a more positive weekend.

Arizona St and Texas look like very solid plays. May add those mentioned above soon

What do you think about games with only 1 point movement but the side is +70%? Like the Marshall game at 75%

GGPLAYER · 11-13-10, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I know Kent sucks balls but did that line really move 4 points?

Sh*t I broke my own rule and played one of these smaller school games. I just could not resist the big line move. Come'on Kent!!

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by jbatcha21

What do you think about games with only 1 point movement but the side is +70%? Like the Marshall game at 75%

I wouldnt take that Marshall game. I agree 1 point with 75% but its barely hit 5000 bets. BOL if you decide to take it but Imma be a bit more conservative.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:11 PM

Yeah, I'm glad we can always rule out Kent for RLM. 28-0. Sorry GG. Hope it looks better for you.

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:12 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I wouldnt take that Marshall game. I agree 1 point with 75% but its barely hit 5000 bets. BOL if you decide to take it but Imma be a bit more conservative.

Whats your opinion on Central Michigan vs Navy? Its only 1 pt RLM but 80% sided with Navy and Ricky Dobbs is doubtful to play. 11,000 bets

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:14 PM

It looks good on paper bro but I'm trying to hit at least 1.5 point movements. Took a lot of 1 points last week, ended 5-4 and people would not stop bitchin

BeBrave · 11-13-10, 03:18 PM

Wildcats!!!

ebbearsfb1 · 11-13-10, 03:22 PM

So what's 330

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:22 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

It looks good on paper bro but I'm trying to hit at least 1.5 point movements. Took a lot of 1 points last week, ended 5-4 and people would not stop bitchin

Yea I gotcha bro. I'm not asking you to make it official or anything but I was looking at taking it and just wanted to know if it looked straight to you.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:23 PM

No 12:30 plays guys.

1-1 so far

molotov mlss · 11-13-10, 03:25 PM

every sportsbook was showing .5 or 1 point movement on memphis except for pinnacle which showed 1.5 point movement (+16.5 to +15)...had to go with pinnacle and the 1.5 point movement, off to a good start too!

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:26 PM

Total has zero plays for 3:30 guys but here are some that meet most requirements

UNC
UGA
C. Mich

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:27 PM

Marshall just moved to 1.5 bro. Looks good now

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:28 PM

UNC has 2 pt RLM but is only 56% on VT
UGA is only 1 pt RLM with 63% on Auburn
C. Mich is 1 pt RLM with 80% on Navy. Navys QB is doubtful

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:29 PM

Im tempted to take North Carolina but my gut says not to. 56% isnt that appealing to me but that 2 points....

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:30 PM

Memphis doin you well batcha. Did you end up takin em?

doin · 11-13-10, 03:31 PM

A little recap of packbackers original rules for RLM

Rules:
#1 Must be at least 1pt line move to justify RLM
#2 If less that 60% on one side there must be 1.5 pt+ RLM.
#3 Only exception to Rule #2 is if it crosses 3 or 7.
#4 Don't play a game if less than 5,000 bets have been placed on the game.
#5 Don't play games with over 20 pt spread. (Added after reviewing last 4 weeks)

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:32 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

Im tempted to take North Carolina but my gut says not to. 56% isnt that appealing to me but that 2 points....

Just a note. Northwestern was 2 pt movement with Iowa favored by 56%

doin · 11-13-10, 03:33 PM

And this is a fav web site for seeing public betting.

NCAA College Football Public Betting Chart

http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-football-public-betting-chart

Get real-time college football public betting trends and percentages for every game. See who the public is betting for an edge in your wagers

jbatcha21 · 11-13-10, 03:34 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

Memphis doin you well batcha. Did you end up takin em?

Yea I took Memphis.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:34 PM

Adding North Carolina +3.5

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:35 PM

Sorry that was very late guys. But batcha has got me convinced.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:36 PM

And I took it at 12:28 my time and it posted up at 12:34 because I guess I didn't press "post quick reply"

Just for everyone's info.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 04:23 PM

NC looking good. I'm glad we laid off of Texas Tech. Should be 2-1 in the early games.

Have 4 games in the evening.