Totolover's NCAA RLM

hugh4310 · 11-11-10, 07:32 PM

So no plays then tonight right?

ebbearsfb1 · 11-11-10, 07:37 PM

nope

Totolover1409 · 11-11-10, 07:46 PM

No, sorry guys. Wanna play more conservative now and wait for good line movement instead of betting on every potential RLM

Dogway · 11-11-10, 07:52 PM

I like it!!

ebbearsfb1 · 11-11-10, 08:02 PM

agreed... less picks more winners

jeeves · 11-11-10, 08:50 PM

where's PackerBacker?

ebbearsfb1 · 11-11-10, 09:09 PM

Went tout.. name should never be brought up

Niagara Balls · 11-11-10, 09:13 PM

RLM tout no less...

lolz

Dogway · 11-11-10, 09:20 PM

Doesn't look like a play tomarrow either. Crappy schools one and too big of a line the other. JMO

Totolover1409 · 11-11-10, 10:49 PM

lol, fml. Connecticut pulls a winner today.

bundyman · 11-11-10, 11:17 PM

Thanks toto. you got these rlms nailed

jeeves · 11-11-10, 11:51 PM

Lol. My local had Uconn at 6.5 so I took it. Even though almighty Totolover want to be more conservative.

Totolover1409 · 11-12-10, 01:41 AM

Originally posted by bundyman

Thanks toto. you got these rlms nailed

Nice sarcasm bundy. At least someone cashed

ebbearsfb1 · 11-12-10, 08:28 AM

If ne one else can do better... rather than bitch at him.... cause if it would of lost everyone would of been pissed

Aussiecapper101 · 11-12-10, 08:44 AM

Pumped for tomorrow night boys

Totolover1409 · 11-12-10, 01:35 PM

I dont see a play for today but I will have a card tonight for tomorrow's games. Only around 4-5. They will be my final plays.

Tail at your own risk

doin · 11-12-10, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

No, sorry guys. Wanna play more conservative now and wait for good line movement instead of betting on every potential RLM

Tons of potential RLM Saturday I agree, but best criteria fit right now is...

better than 75%, at least one point change:

Oklahoma St vs Texas -6.5 open, -5.5 current
UTEP vs Arkansas -30 open, -28.5 current
Stanford -6.5 open, -4.5 current vs Arizona St
Rice vs Tulane -5.5 open, -3.5 current
Nevada -9.5 open, -8.5 current vs Fresno St

Correct my mistakes plz.

bundyman · 11-12-10, 05:21 PM

Toto

Sorry you took it as sarcasm, I was being serious.....I truly appreciate your insight and efforts. Thanks again

pokerwhiz90 · 11-12-10, 05:23 PM

What are all the RLM potentials over 52%, it was around 65% last week

GGPLAYER · 11-12-10, 09:41 PM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

Nice sarcasm bundy. At least someone cashed

Yeah I did not read that post as sarcasm. Now the one below it that's a different story. Your damned if you do and your damned if you don't. I give you tons of credit for taking the time to start the threads and sticking with them.

I was with you on not playing that UConn game. I've taken the stance the last few weeks of playing a lot less games and waiting for the ones which really stand out to me. Friday's game was not one of them. Some will still hit but I know more won't in the long run.

GGPLAYER · 11-12-10, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by doin

Tons of potential RLM Saturday I agree, but best criteria fit right now is...

better than 75%, at least one point change:

Oklahoma St vs Texas -6.5 open, -5.5 current
UTEP vs Arkansas -30 open, -28.5 current
Stanford -6.5 open, -4.5 current vs Arizona St
Rice vs Tulane -5.5 open, -3.5 current
Nevada -9.5 open, -8.5 current vs Fresno St

Correct my mistakes plz.

Just taking a quick look and I do see a lot of potenial RLM plays tomorrow. I have been leaning towards playing the bigger colleges since they get more action. If things stay they way they are I do feel Tex, UTeP and AZ St are very strong plays. Good luck tomorrow and remember to keep checking those lines!

Totolover1409 · 11-12-10, 10:33 PM

My fault, I thought because I said I'm not taking Conn anymore and they won, it was regarded as sarcasm. Gave you some points anyways.

Card coming soon

pokerwhiz90 · 11-13-10, 12:13 AM

Toto, your like the checkered flag for these RLM plays, I've got my own system but I add extra weight to the ones you favor

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 02:28 AM

Ready to make some serious cash tomorrow!! yee

Got a nice little advice from our boy packbacker and he said that the early games aren't hittin recently but I'm gonna put em on my card anyways.

Cincinatti +4.5 (Line opened at -6.5 and moved to -4.5 on West Virginia with over 6000 bets placed)
Northwestern +9.5 (Line opened at 12.5 with only 54% on Iowa but I'm gonna take the 2.5 point movement on this one).
Texas Tech +14.5 (Line opened at -16.5 on Oklahoma with 74% on Oklahoma and over 7500 bets placed)
Arizona St. +4.5 (Stanford line opened at -6.5 with 86% on Stanford and over 11800 bets placed)
Texas +5 (Line opened at +6.5 with 76% on Oklahoma State and almost 9000 bets placed)

There is some on Fresno State and North Carolina but not enough %age on one side or the line movement is only one. Georgia has a lot of potential but less than 60% on Auburn.

The above plays are my for sure plays and I have already placed wagers. Tail at your own risk and I wish you guys the best of luck tomorrow

Stevedore · 11-13-10, 02:46 AM

Originally posted by doin

Tons of potential RLM Saturday I agree, but best criteria fit right now is...

better than 75%, at least one point change:

Oklahoma St vs Texas -6.5 open, -5.5 current
UTEP vs Arkansas -30 open, -28.5 current
Stanford -6.5 open, -4.5 current vs Arizona St
Rice vs Tulane -5.5 open, -3.5 current
Nevada -9.5 open, -8.5 current vs Fresno St

Correct my mistakes plz.

Only mistake I see is Rice. My numbers show 73% being bet on Rice.

In addition to those you listed above, I have Texas Tech, Central Mich. and Clemson as RLM plays over 75%.

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 02:52 AM

I got texas tech but the other 2 games have under 5000 bets brother

Stevedore · 11-13-10, 03:04 AM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

I got texas tech but the other 2 games have under 5000 bets brother

Thanks for the heads up bro. I'm new at this. Can I ask you where you get your numbers from?
I'm using Vegas Insider. What type of number are you looking for as far as total number of bets? Any help would be appreciated bro, great thread btw!!

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:21 AM

NCAA College Football Public Betting Chart

http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-college-football-public-betting-chart

NCAA College Football Public Betting Information from Several Top Online Sports Books. See Who The Public is Betting.

anytime. lets make some cash tomorrow

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:25 AM

Do you guys see Arizona St at +4.5 or +5.5. I have it at +4.5 and so thats 2 points, but my book has it at +5.5

Totolover1409 · 11-13-10, 03:27 AM

Not taking UTEP cuz thats over a 20 point spread.

Stevedore · 11-13-10, 04:37 AM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

http://www.thespread.com/ncaa-colleg...-betting-chart

anytime. lets make some cash tomorrow

Indeed...

Stevedore · 11-13-10, 04:39 AM

Originally posted by Totolover1409

Do you guys see Arizona St at +4.5 or +5.5. I have it at +4.5 and so thats 2 points, but my book has it at +5.5

My book has it at +5.5 too. I'm on it!

gangeriver · 11-13-10, 05:17 AM

potential plays....

Cincinati +4,5.. (2).. %29...... (12:00)

Northwestern +9,5.. (2,5).. %41..... (12:00)

Wake Forest +18,5.. (0,5). %17.... (doubt) (2:00)

Clemson +6.. (1,5).. %32.... (8:00)

Texas +5.. (1,5).. %24..... (8:00)

Texas Tech +14,5.. (2).. %24..... (3:30)

Kent St -1.. (4).. %33..... (2:00)

UTEP +28,5.. (2).. %22..... (7:00)

Georgia +7 .. (1,5).. %41..... (3:30)

Arizona St. +4,5.. (2).. %14..... (7:30)

N.Carolina +3,5.. (2).. %41..... (3:30)

Fresno St. +8,5.. (1).. %28..... (doubt) (10:30)

Cent.Mich +14.. (1,5).. %18 ..... (3:30)

Rice +3,5.. (2,5).. %44..... (3:30)

frankzig · 11-13-10, 06:30 AM

liking some of these plays thanks 4 info

doin · 11-13-10, 07:57 AM

When I bet the dog today I have at least 1 less point than when the line opened. When the smart money went on the dog she had that extra point or point and a half. Am I to buy some points to have as sure a bet as smart money?