Totolover's NCAA RLM

[QuantumLeap]

Afternoon plays:

Louisiana Tech +7.5
Washington St +5.5
SMU +7.5


There are other legit RLM plays but I feel strongly about these. I will update as the time comes.

Any idea why Nevada (against La. Tech) went from -12 to -7 1/2? I've checked injury reports and haven't found anything significant. This is a significant movement.

[Totolover1409]

My fault, SMU is already playing

[Totolover1409]

Can't explain such a large line movement. Will play anyways.

[PLAYA-PLAYA]

Good Luck TOTO

[kiknit]

Any idea why Nevada (against La. Tech) went from -12 to -7 1/2? I've checked injury reports and haven't found anything significant. This is a significant movement.

That line has been jumping all over the place. Opened at Nevada (-12) and moves to Nevada (-7.5) at one point and now its back to Nevada (-8). Its a long way away from home for Nevada and it sets up perfectly for the dreaded let-down, after Nevada's big win last week over Boise State.

Looks like a lot of money came in early on LA Tech - people expecting Nevada to live up to the letdown situation...but for a change I think Nevada is too good to fall into this trap. Nevada is #3, 4 and 6th in the nation in run, total and scoring Offense...and oh, yeah, dont forget Kaepernick's 37TD tosses this season...and LA Tech's D has been giving up 41ppg in 5 of their last 7.

Nevada stays focused this week, comes out a little flat because of the long road trip, but quickly gets focused and never looks back: Nevada 45 LA Tech 21.

Just my $0.02

[tailin junkie]

i agree with kiknit and its hard for me to go against rlm because i am such a believer in it...but this time it is just ridiculous...another thing to look at is the over...it is very high at 71.5 and my gut tells me that goes over..don't think la tech will be able to keep pace with that...it may be close early but i think nevada pulls away and covers...

[Totolover1409]

I definitely see what you guys are saying. That's why I made it .5 unit. Not gonna go against RLM.

[QuantumLeap]

That line has been jumping all over the place. Opened at Nevada (-12) and moves to Nevada (-7.5) at one point and now its back to Nevada (-8). Its a long way away from home for Nevada and it sets up perfectly for the dreaded let-down, after Nevada's big win last week over Boise State.

Looks like a lot of money came in early on LA Tech - people expecting Nevada to live up to the letdown situation...but for a change I think Nevada is too good to fall into this trap. Nevada is #3, 4 and 6th in the nation in run, total and scoring Offense...and oh, yeah, dont forget Kaepernick's 37TD tosses this season...and LA Tech's D has been giving up 41ppg in 5 of their last 7.

Nevada stays focused this week, comes out a little flat because of the long road trip, but quickly gets focused and never looks back: Nevada 45 LA Tech 21.

Just my $0.02

Thanks for the explanation kiknit.

[Totolover1409]

LA Tech was shitty. 0-1 today. Need Washington St to cover.

I know I havent been on a good run and my record proves it. Hopefully you guys are into the NFL RLM thread because thats 22-10 and I like to focus more on that.

Last week, the NFL RLM was 3-0 which covered the NCAA RLM which went even I believe.

[brad89]

If there is RLM a day before a game, do you take it? I see RLM the day before but it ends up closing back to what it was (non RLM line), do you still play this or cancel it?

[wacked]

If there is RLM a day before a game, do you take it? I see RLM the day before but it ends up closing back to what it was (non RLM line), do you still play this or cancel it?

For it to qualify it has to be a RLM up to game time, not a day out.

[kiknit]

Thanks for the explanation kiknit.

Little closer in the beginning than I was hoping for, but Nevada turned in on and poured it on in the 2nd half!