system integrity 2012

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-25-12, 09:13 PM

C wager tomorrow :-)

Im on the late game dogers and under... try and get my line down some.

Atari has won 27 out of the past 31 days and he only does 1 play a day!! He is at 87% this month. Check out his site

sportsatari dot com

**knugen** · 04-26-12, 12:35 AM

Why are you talking about dodgers??

Tigers should be the play today

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-26-12, 01:48 AM

I posted once the Tigers were going to lose... compounded my loss some.... check the time of my post

Tigers will be another play for Thursday... back to back days on tigers... D bet? hmmm

**knugen** · 04-26-12, 02:49 AM

Ok, sorry man. Good call on the under

**slapshot** · 04-26-12, 08:22 AM

9-6-6 +4.69 units
wins-losses-pushes

thursday.......early start
detroit......-1 to win 5.31 units.....'c' level bet

yesterday
milwaukee......-1 to win 2.28 units.....'b' level bet**loser**

**tb1984** · 04-26-12, 10:30 AM

BOL

**slapshot** · 04-26-12, 05:52 PM

tough loss today.
over the last three games we have lost 12.38 units.

if you follow my strategy......this is what our units to win will look like after this 3 game cold streak.

12.38 total loss split up on our next 4 wins = 3.1 + 1 unit profit --> 4.1 units

betting the system after the 3 game losing streak i will call betting at the 'b' level and first game tomorrow at this level is an 'a' game...so tomorrow we have a 'ba' level bet.

**juice050** · 04-26-12, 09:46 PM

this system sucks lmaoooo on3s system is sweet.

**dlunc3** · 04-26-12, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by juice050

this system sucks lmaoooo on3s system is sweet.

didnt both lose the same C bet today?

**stevex** · 04-26-12, 10:24 PM

Ha, dude talking about this system sucking, yet both lost

Know what your talking about...

**J.M. Disciple** · 04-27-12, 12:47 AM

Good Luck Everyone with this system. It is a great and simple system and with proper bankroll and labby management this system is a gold mine long run. Unfortunately I will not be following this system any more. On3's system over laps with this one too much, so when this one loses I am likely on it with both systems so it makes for some big losses...

I suggest playing 1 system or the other. Yes i know when this one wins so does on3 and makes for some great days as well, but great days and horrible days are too much of a roller coaster ride for me....

I prefer smooth and consistent winnings. Seeing how On3's biggest bet last season was around 6 units I will be sticking with that system as well as atari and let my bankroll grow nice and steady.

Good Luck
We will see how the two systems compare at the end of the season.
JMD

**slapshot** · 04-27-12, 04:23 AM

9-7-6 -3.38 units
wins-losses-pushes

friday
philly......-1 to win 4.1 units.....'ba' level bet

yesterday
detroit......-1 to win 5.31 units.....'c' level bet**loser**

**slapshot** · 04-27-12, 04:24 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Good Luck Everyone with this system. It is a great and simple system and with proper bankroll and labby management this system is a gold mine long run. Unfortunately I will not be following this system any more. On3's system over laps with this one too much, so when this one loses I am likely on it with both systems so it makes for some big losses...

I suggest playing 1 system or the other. Yes i know when this one wins so does on3 and makes for some great days as well, but great days and horrible days are too much of a roller coaster ride for me....

I prefer smooth and consistent winnings. Seeing how On3's biggest bet last season was around 6 units I will be sticking with that system as well as atari and let my bankroll grow nice and steady.

Good Luck
We will see how the two systems compare at the end of the season.
JMD

agree betting more than one system is not gonna work unless you play with a really small unit size.

**1958** · 04-27-12, 04:39 PM

to contribute to this discussion, i will add my stats:

since 4/4/2012 for all games with juice over -175 we had:

total games: 46
fav-1 wins: 17
fav-1,5 wins: 17 (again, obviously)
fav -1 pushes: 12
dogs wins: 17

therefore

Dog+1,5 winning percentage is 63% that is: (12+17)/46 = 0.63 and lossing 3 in a row is only 5% probability.

Fav -1 winning percentage, if you neglect pushes, is only 17/ (17+17) = 50% pretty low. The chance of lossing three bet in a row is 12,5% pretty high.

Have to keep in mind that the winning percentage for ALL games for dog+1,5 is approximately 68% (see covers).

After all star game it is profitable to bet on -1,5 or -1 lines but for now, with all teams having high expectations betting on the dog seems a little better.

I would suggest to someone who claims to be capable of shifting money with labby line to check exactly the opposite... play everyday ALL GAMES for DOGS +1,5 . 68% winning percentage is not bad and average juice is approximately -170.

**timmyboy34243** · 04-27-12, 05:18 PM

total games: 46
fav-1 wins: 17
fav-1,5 wins: 17 (again, obviously)
fav -1 pushes: 12
dogs wins: 17

if i'm on the same page as you the + 1 1/2 record would be 29 v 17 which is just over 63%. not quite your 68%, and i'm not saying mine is 100% correct, but even at 63% i'm sure we'd all take it. thanks for bringing it to my attention......

**floridagolfer** · 04-27-12, 08:52 PM

That's one win in the last 10 games. Ouch.

**dlunc3** · 04-27-12, 10:55 PM

looks like its cincy tomorrow... could use a win!

**dlunc3** · 04-27-12, 11:02 PM

Hopefully you guys are still afloat...

I know personally, I only bet to win .19% of my bankroll per unit. Right now, my bet tomorrow will be TO WIN 12.5 units (so 66x my initial .19%). I am following the layout setup by slapshot (meaning after the C loss, I divided the total by four and started over betting to win 1 unit + 1/4 of the amount lost).

Hopefully noone is betting to win 1% of their roll per series... would hate to see anyone have almost their whole roll risked tomorrow.. BOL boys... a nice streak is right around the corner

**1958** · 04-28-12, 03:05 AM

Originally posted by timmyboy34243

total games: 46
fav-1 wins: 17
fav-1,5 wins: 17 (again, obviously)
fav -1 pushes: 12
dogs wins: 17

if i'm on the same page as you the + 1 1/2 record would be 29 v 17 which is just over 63%. not quite your 68%, and i'm not saying mine is 100% correct, but even at 63% i'm sure we'd all take it. thanks for bringing it to my attention......

This what I mean

Dog+1,5 winning percentage is 63% that is: (12+17)/46 = 0.63 and lossing 3 in a row is only 5% probability.

The winning percentage for dogs+1,5 for high juice games is 63%, however the average winning percentage for ALL DOGS+1,5 is a bit higher 68%.

by the way last night the four high juice games (phi, tor, atl and LAD) had 3 wins for dogs+1,5 and just 1 loss with atl, the percentage is now 64%. Again I must say after all star game, the FAV-1 game that you all follow DOES VERY WELL.

hope this clears up everything..

**slapshot** · 04-28-12, 04:56 AM

we have a four game losing streak now 20.17 units lost.

the plan is to get that total loss back over the next five wins
20.17/5 --> 4.03 + 1 unit profit.

**slapshot** · 04-28-12, 04:58 AM

9-8-6 -11.2 units
wins-losses-pushes

saturday
cincinnati......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'bb' level bet

yesterday
philly......-1 to win 4.1 units.....'ba' level bet**loser**

**Teamprofit101** · 04-28-12, 11:07 AM

I will be sitting out the rest of the season with real money, i will only be playing with sbr points. Ill be back next year with a real bankroll

good luck guys

**dlunc3** · 04-28-12, 09:57 PM

good win ... got the monkey off our back.. good start to a nice run

**ChiLLx** · 04-28-12, 10:21 PM

Looks like Cincy again tomorrow

Let's get it guys

**slapshot** · 04-29-12, 05:12 AM

10-8-6 -6.15 units
wins-losses-pushes

sunday
cincinnati......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet

yesterday
cincinnati......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'bb' level bet**winner**

**alxsamsonov** · 04-29-12, 03:14 PM

ugh, after Latos gave a poor effort for the Reds they came back to tie the game in the bottom of the 7th and go up 1 in the bottom of the 8th. with bases loaded and 1 out both stubbs and cozart struck out. all we needed was a run to avoid the push and get back closer to the positive side. pathetic.

**slapshot** · 04-30-12, 04:00 AM

10-8-7 -6.15 units
wins-losses-pushes

monday
los angeles angels of anaheim......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet

yesterday
cincinnati......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet**push**

**floridagolfer** · 05-01-12, 06:20 AM

Let's hope May is better than April. Eight one-run wins in 26 games; EXTREMELY frustrating for those playing -1.5.

**slapshot** · 05-01-12, 06:50 AM

10-8-8 -6.15 units
wins-losses-pushes

tuesday
tampa......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet

yesterday
los angeles angels of anaheim......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet**push**

**dlunc3** · 05-01-12, 09:47 PM

good win

**jcygts6** · 05-02-12, 01:06 AM

About time... Almost back to ground zero aka even

**knugen** · 05-02-12, 04:18 AM

Good start on may, lets hope this -1 pushes becomes winners instead

**slapshot** · 05-02-12, 06:05 AM

11-8-8 -1.12 units
wins-losses-pushes

wednesday
detroit......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet
early start

yesterday
tampa......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet**win**

**alxsamsonov** · 05-02-12, 03:51 PM

ugh Detroit didn't show up to this game. just lost another 10 units. getting back in the green is going to take a serious streak

**slapshot** · 05-03-12, 05:38 AM

detroit have been awful for us this year. instead of chasing that loss from yesterday...the amount to risk on that chase would be massive........i start the climb out of this hole with a bet to win 5 units.

11-9-8 -11.47 units
wins-losses-pushes

thursday
tampa......-1 to win 5 units
early start

yesterday
detroit......-1 to win 5.03 units.....'ba' level bet**loser**