system integrity 2012

**slapshot** · 05-16-12, 09:53 AM

Originally posted by gamblingisfun

What has been the winning % for biggest fave -1 over the life of this system? So far this year it's hitting slightly above 50%.... excluding pushes, I'm only counting wins and losses for percentage purposes

excluding pushes...from 2006 to today the winning percentage is 61.7%

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-16-12, 04:03 PM

Originally posted by slapshot

15-13-11 -19.77 units
wins-losses-pushes

wednesday
texas......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
texas......-1 to win 5 units**loss**

Originally posted by slapshot

16-13-11 -10.82 units
wins-losses-pushes

tuesday
texas......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
texas......-1 to win 5 units**loss**

I am just quoting this because of your record. Previous post was 16-13-11 now 15-13-11? We should have 16 wins this season...

**dlunc3** · 05-16-12, 04:11 PM

no wins since last friday, is that correct? tex needs to end this streak..

**slapshot** · 05-16-12, 04:46 PM

sorry...the correct record is
16-14-11 -21.02

and last win was philly on friday......so long a ago that i can't remember what it feels like to win.

**stevex** · 05-16-12, 04:54 PM

Lets get this tn fellas.

**Nino7** · 05-16-12, 07:40 PM

GO TEXAS

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-16-12, 09:58 PM

most systems that follow favorites should pick up in june.

**stickbit** · 05-16-12, 10:38 PM

do any of you start betting this system after one, two, or three losses...instead of on game 1? just curious.

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-16-12, 11:50 PM

Originally posted by stickbit

do any of you start betting this system after one, two, or three losses...instead of on game 1? just curious.

My personal opinion is to play every game via labby for best results. Labby players are currently down 2-3 units, but martingale players are down around 15 units. Most consistent profit comes from labby.

To give a more direct answer to your question its best to play every game because some times there are 10, 13, or even 19 game win streaks!!!! Biggest losing streak is 5 games. I do not think there is a back test to determine if its best to wait until we lose 1 game or not, i do know you miss out on a lot of wins if you wait for a loss to follow.

**slapshot** · 05-17-12, 09:59 AM

17-14-11 -16.02
wins-losses-pushes

thursday
detroit......-1 to win 5 units
early start

yesterday
texas......-1 to win 5 units**win**

**knugen** · 05-17-12, 01:11 PM

what are fister doing, minnesota have 8 hits and 2 HR after 4 innings

**slapshot** · 05-17-12, 01:26 PM

we're on a guy who is a complete mess again
fister has served up juicy meatballs all of these first five innings.....twins have had men on base in every inning so far.

can't see how this game can be turned around even if they yank fister....down 4 runs now.

**ChiLLx** · 05-17-12, 02:37 PM

These overrated big market teams have so much juice on them even with bad pitchers...

Tigers now 1-4 contribution to this system so far. So bad.

**Nino7** · 05-17-12, 02:50 PM

**** detroit

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-17-12, 03:24 PM

Maybe we should add a .500 filter to this system. Would eliminate some losses. Take the next biggest favorite of the day who is above .500?

would of been texas again today and their winning so far...

**Nino7** · 05-17-12, 03:30 PM

thats not a bad idea but we would need to backtest it

**slapshot** · 05-17-12, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Maybe we should add a .500 filter to this system. Would eliminate some losses. Take the next biggest favorite of the day who is above .500?

would of been texas again today and their winning so far...

that's probably a good filter but impossible to backtest

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-17-12, 04:03 PM

seems like det, phil, two very over rated teams this year both below .500 are clearing out systems.... such high juice on those two teams and they are just not performing.

Phily is floating just at .500 and det is now like 2 or 3 games below .500. Would of saved a lot of systems a lot of trolls this year if we all applied that filter.

your right though very hard to back test. Not impossible, but definitely hard to back test and not really worth the time.

**stevex** · 05-17-12, 04:42 PM

This thing will turn around soon fellas. Stick with it, trust me because once we hit that big spurt and your not around for it then your losing out. Any system is going to have a tough stretch and we're right in the middle of ours. Use sound money management and before you know it, in a week or two from now, will be right back in the black...

**jcygts6** · 05-17-12, 04:53 PM

just play on good teams and leave out the overrated teams

**knugen** · 05-17-12, 10:43 PM

Oh, DET today again

**slapshot** · 05-18-12, 07:41 AM

17-15-11 -23.67
wins-losses-pushes

friday
detroit......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
detroit......-1 to win 5 units**loss**

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-19-12, 12:54 AM

Nice shut out

Finally favorites actually do what their suppose to do and WIN!

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-19-12, 01:03 AM

With Toronto Tomorrow it looks like we might hit a small winning streak

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-19-12, 01:13 AM

Tomorrow's game is a little confusing with 51% of public on Mets right now; yet Toronto has the upper hand in most categories with the biggest being Pitching tomorrow. ............... a .90 ERA vs 4+ ERA why is the public backing Mets; out of the ordinary

**slapshot** · 05-19-12, 06:26 AM

18-15-11 -18.67
wins-losses-pushes

saturday
toronto......-1 to win 5 units
early start

yesterday
detroit......-1 to win 5 units**win**

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-20-12, 12:58 AM

up 8 units with the labby now. I am not sure how.... I thought I should only be up around 6, but looking good. Other Labby players up 8 units also?

**Bradfordmiller** · 05-20-12, 04:43 AM

Yes J.M, i am up 8 units also. Not sure how as there have been some highjuice losses. Just goes to show the validity of the system and shows the potential when we hit a long winning streak

**slapshot** · 05-20-12, 10:13 AM

19-15-11 -13.67
wins-losses-pushes

sunday
milwaukee......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
toronto......-1 to win 5 units**win**

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-20-12, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by Bradfordmiller

Yes J.M, i am up 8 units also. Not sure how as there have been some highjuice losses. Just goes to show the validity of the system and shows the potential when we hit a long winning streak

Thanks for the reply.

**slapshot** · 05-21-12, 07:53 AM

20-15-11 -8.67
wins-losses-pushes

monday
st louis......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
milwaukee......-1 to win 5 units**win**

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-21-12, 03:44 PM

slapshot

You emailed me last seasons back test, do you mind sending me previous years, so I can run a labby on it please. If you do not have it let me know as well. I want to do a seperate test based on ML favorite as well compared to -1 to compare the profits and risk / reward ratio.

**slapshot** · 05-22-12, 10:26 AM

20-15-12 -8.67
wins-losses-pushes

tuesday
new york yankees......-1 to win 5 units

yesterday
st louis......-1 to win 5 units**push**

**J.M. Disciple** · 05-22-12, 09:07 PM

damn another PUSH! Pushing at 25% this season!!!!!

**DollarBill10** · 05-22-12, 10:36 PM

Push is better than a LOSS!!!