system integrity 2012

[alexknyc]

Ballstowalls: Thanks for posting the formula since I am in the US and can't find a book that will do -1 runline on a fav and Pinny will not accept US clients. And thanks to Slapshot for posting this system and the plays. Let's get the first W of the season today!

5Dimes does a -1 and takes US customers.

[Teamprofit101]

0-0-1
wins-losses-pushes

friday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet

yesterday
philly -1 to win....'a' level bet**push**

Angels win it

I've played both games ml only because of the whole 1.5 runline so i'm up 2 units.....I will try to get some new money at 5 dimes soon so i can play system correctly

Nice win guys tonight

[Teamprofit101]

I created a simple spreadsheet to follow this system, spreadsheet is basic i will work on automating it a bit once i get the hang of everything. I will add wins/loses/percentage automation soon. I am only playing the moneyline for system plays at the moment because i cant get the ml line...so on my sheet i have a section for system wins/losses/pushes and i have another for me.

I'm running this system on one labby line(this is still new to me)...i just wanted to help you guys that are new since i am new to this also, and trade some ideas.

You can follow my spreadsheet of this system and also of the shutout system once it starts tomorrow.

Here is the link https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...0MtN0dmbTZXdmc

I don't believe i am breaking any of sbr's rules by posting this....if i am SBR please delete, i'm not trying to break any rules.

[knugen]

its looks like Angels today again, right?

[Maleku]

its looks like Angels today again, right?

Yes sir! Let's get it!

[slapshot]

1-0-1 +1 unit
wins-losses-pushes

saturday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet

yesterday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet**win**

[Teamprofit101]

1-0-1 +1 unit
wins-losses-pushes

saturday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet

yesterday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet**win**

We lost this one.....I updated the sheet a bit. I'm a be managing my money with a labby line so that is how i have the sheet established

Here is the link https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...0MtN0dmbTZXdmc

[daddyv]

texas -1 today???

[slapshot]

Texas is the play...full update later on

[DollarBill10]

Just want to make sure I am doing this correctly...so the chase is daily with that team for the day. So now that we LA lost yesterday, we do not bet them again today. We now bet Tex today as a B bet.

Am I looking at this correctly if I am doing a chase?

Thanks in advance.

[CrazyCarl]

Slapshot plays it as a chase, and yes DollarBill I believe the way you have described it is correct.

[DollarBill10]

Thanks CrazyCarl!

[ChiLLx]

Texas and LA Angels are both -165 so that makes Texas the play because the O/U is higher?

[slapshot]

1-1-1 -0.39 units
wins-losses-pushes

sunday
texas rangers......-1 to win 2.39 units....'b' level bet

yesterday
laa angels......-1 to win 1 unit....'a' level bet**loss**

[slapshot]

Texas and LA Angels are both -165 so that makes Texas the play because the O/U is higher?

no, we bet texas because they opened as the biggest favorite of the day.

[slapshot]

Just want to make sure I am doing this correctly...so the chase is daily with that team for the day. So now that we LA lost yesterday, we do not bet them again today. We now bet Tex today as a B bet.

Am I looking at this correctly if I am doing a chase?

Thanks in advance.

correct....we don't follow any team, we only follow the biggest favorite of the day....one bet a day.
today it's texas at b level as angels lost at 'a' level yesterday.

[Teamprofit101]

Rangers won we are back in the game

Nice win guys!!!

I updated the spreadsheet i am using, here is the link https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...0MtN0dmbTZXdmc

I believe the next play is Rangers -1 again....I will wait for slapshot to make it official on the sheet.

Good Luck tomorrow!!!

[CrazyCarl]

Yeah, Texas is easily the biggest favorite.

[slapshot]

2-1-1 +2 units
wins-losses-pushes

monday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet

yesterday
texas rangers......-1 to win 2.39 units....'b' level bet**win**

[ChiLLx]

Another win

Looks like the Rangers are gonna be another play tomorrow?

[Teamprofit101]

Another win

Looks like the Rangers are gonna be another play tomorrow?

yea I think so also, they are the biggest favorite of the day again

[daddyv]

thanks for sharing ur spreadsheet teamprofit101...thats really helpful!!! just had a quick question tho..why are you only playing to win 0.5 units today?? i thought with a labby we play to win 1 when the play thru a line??

[Teamprofit101]

thanks for sharing ur spreadsheet teamprofit101...thats really helpful!!! just had a quick question tho..why are you only playing to win 0.5 units today?? i thought with a labby we play to win 1 when the play thru a line??

I'm only following the plays for system integrity not the money management. I had to reduce my labby amount because i am also running two more systems and the other systems are losing, my labby lines are getting very high. So since i cleared the line last night i decided to start with a smaller amount, until the other systems get more wins and even themselves out.

If you want I will add a another row with the units for those following the system and money management

[slapshot]

3-1-1 +3 units
wins-losses-pushes

tuesday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet

yesterday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet**win**

texas and dodgers opened at the same line moneyline at pinnacle......-215
texas opened with a higher run total which made them the play for today.

[Dom177]

Would you only play the rangers because of the higher total or do you ever try and hit 2 plays in one day? I followed yesterday thanks for the tail

[knugen]

Read first page, if two teams open at same odds we take one with the highest total O/U, only one play a day

[slapshot]

3-1-2 +3 units
wins-losses-pushes

wednesday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet

yesterday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet**push**

[slapshot]

3-2-2 +1.43 units
wins-losses-pushes

5th day in a row we're on texas
thursday
texas rangers......-1 to win 2.57 units.....'b' level bet

yesterday
texas rangers......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet**loser**
nathan blew a 2 run lead in the ninth

[lawalahmed]

In case you still need formula to convert, Here it is below not mine:

Here is the specific formula that you have to create yourself a -1.0 run line and give yourself a true statistical advantage:
100/MONEYLINE = X
X + 1.0 = Y
100/Y = money line wager

OK, that formula (it's a lot easier than it looks, just take a pen and paper and practice a bit) calculates how much you're going to put on the money line. The next step is to figure out how much profit that money line bet will yield. Your online book normally calculates that if you put the amount you want to risk in. If not, simply use this formula:


100/MONEYLINE = Z

Money line wager x Z = A

A = run line wager


OK, so you've got your money line wager and now you've calculated your run line wager. For simplicities sake, you're run line wager is going to be exactly the same as the amount you would win off your money line bet.




If I haven't completely confused you, here is an example of the theory in practice:

Let's say we wanted to work a -1.0 run line on the Los Angeles Angels against the Seattle Mariners and the Angels are -130 favorites with a -1.5 run line at +160. Here's what we'd be looking at:


100/130 = 0.769 (we use 130 because that's the money line)
0.769 + 1.0 = 1.769
100/1.769 = 56.53

That means 56.53 is our money line wager on the Angels at -130. That bet would yield a profit of 43.25. We then would place a bet of 43.25 on the Angels (-1.5) at +160. That bet would yield a profit of 69.20. Your overall card would look like this:

Straight bet (Angels -130): bet 56.53 to win 43.25.

Run line bet (Angels -1.5, +160): bet 43.25 to win 69.20.

Total bet (Angels -1): bet 100 to win 112.45.

So now you're in a situation where if the Angels win by a run you're breaking even. If they win by two or more runs you're getting $112 for every $100 you bet compared to the $77 you would have won for a straight bet at -130. You've essentially turned a -130 favorite into a +112 wager.

[knugen]

Nice win today! Thx slapshot

[1gamer]

Nice work Slapshot...On3's "Opening Day" is a great supplement to this system. Let's keep it rolling!

[balls2wall]

In case you still need formula to convert, Here it is below not mine:

Here is the specific formula that you have to create yourself a -1.0 run line and give yourself a true statistical advantage:
100/MONEYLINE = X
X + 1.0 = Y
100/Y = money line wager

OK, that formula (it's a lot easier than it looks, just take a pen and paper and practice a bit) calculates how much you're going to put on the money line. The next step is to figure out how much profit that money line bet will yield. Your online book normally calculates that if you put the amount you want to risk in. If not, simply use this formula:


100/MONEYLINE = Z

Money line wager x Z = A

A = run line wager


OK, so you've got your money line wager and now you've calculated your run line wager. For simplicities sake, you're run line wager is going to be exactly the same as the amount you would win off your money line bet.




If I haven't completely confused you, here is an example of the theory in practice:

Let's say we wanted to work a -1.0 run line on the Los Angeles Angels against the Seattle Mariners and the Angels are -130 favorites with a -1.5 run line at +160. Here's what we'd be looking at:


100/130 = 0.769 (we use 130 because that's the money line)
0.769 + 1.0 = 1.769
100/1.769 = 56.53

That means 56.53 is our money line wager on the Angels at -130. That bet would yield a profit of 43.25. We then would place a bet of 43.25 on the Angels (-1.5) at +160. That bet would yield a profit of 69.20. Your overall card would look like this:

Straight bet (Angels -130): bet 56.53 to win 43.25.

Run line bet (Angels -1.5, +160): bet 43.25 to win 69.20.

Total bet (Angels -1): bet 100 to win 112.45.

So now you're in a situation where if the Angels win by a run you're breaking even. If they win by two or more runs you're getting $112 for every $100 you bet compared to the $77 you would have won for a straight bet at -130. You've essentially turned a -130 favorite into a +112 wager.

LOL

Dude, you just locked up the brains of 1/3 of the SBR posters who read that. Time to reboot!

[CrazyCarl]

In case you still need formula to convert, Here it is below not mine:

Here is the specific formula that you have to create yourself a -1.0 run line and give yourself a true statistical advantage:
100/MONEYLINE = X
X + 1.0 = Y
100/Y = money line wager

OK, that formula (it's a lot easier than it looks, just take a pen and paper and practice a bit) calculates how much you're going to put on the money line. The next step is to figure out how much profit that money line bet will yield. Your online book normally calculates that if you put the amount you want to risk in. If not, simply use this formula:


100/MONEYLINE = Z

Money line wager x Z = A

A = run line wager


OK, so you've got your money line wager and now you've calculated your run line wager. For simplicities sake, you're run line wager is going to be exactly the same as the amount you would win off your money line bet.




If I haven't completely confused you, here is an example of the theory in practice:

Let's say we wanted to work a -1.0 run line on the Los Angeles Angels against the Seattle Mariners and the Angels are -130 favorites with a -1.5 run line at +160. Here's what we'd be looking at:


100/130 = 0.769 (we use 130 because that's the money line)
0.769 + 1.0 = 1.769
100/1.769 = 56.53

That means 56.53 is our money line wager on the Angels at -130. That bet would yield a profit of 43.25. We then would place a bet of 43.25 on the Angels (-1.5) at +160. That bet would yield a profit of 69.20. Your overall card would look like this:

Straight bet (Angels -130): bet 56.53 to win 43.25.

Run line bet (Angels -1.5, +160): bet 43.25 to win 69.20.

Total bet (Angels -1): bet 100 to win 112.45.

So now you're in a situation where if the Angels win by a run you're breaking even. If they win by two or more runs you're getting $112 for every $100 you bet compared to the $77 you would have won for a straight bet at -130. You've essentially turned a -130 favorite into a +112 wager.

Will this get you the same odds as if the book offers you the -1 line? I'm really sick of waiting until a few hours before game time for 5Dimes to let me buy/sell points on the RL.

Thanks a lot for this post.

[slapshot]

Will this get you the same odds as if the book offers you the -1 line? I'm really sick of waiting until a few hours before game time for 5Dimes to let me buy/sell points on the RL.

Thanks a lot for this post.

pm me your email address and i will mail you the -1 run line calculator

[slapshot]

4-2-2 +4 units
wins-losses-pushes

friday
miami......-1 to win 1 unit.....'a' level bet

yesterday
texas rangers......-1 to win 2.57 units.....'b' level bet**winner**