2012 MLB Season with John Ryan

[Luminosity]

5/21/12

Contrarian
5* 1-1 0U

Contrarian Overall
5* 5-10 -30.46U

Titan

5* 2-1 +6.75U

Totals Overall
5* 2-0 +10.5U
10* 0-1 -11.5U
-1U

Titan Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 32-32 .26U
10* 6-14 -65.5U
20* 0-1 -21U
-109.65 units overall.

Bottomline
Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 37-43 -39.25U
10* 6-14 -54.35U
20* 0-1 -21U
-129.21 units overall.

[Luminosity]

the last week has been fantastic, great job!

[John Ryan]

the last week has been fantastic, great job!

Think you missed the Run Line play and the Total perhaps from yesterday.. 4-1 was the tally.. I have a net gain go +19.55 units per one unit wagered.. Maybe I am wrong. let's double check.

[Luminosity]

Think you missed the Run Line play and the Total perhaps from yesterday.. 4-1 was the tally.. I have a net gain go +19.55 units per one unit wagered.. Maybe I am wrong. let's double check.

The angels lost by 1.. you had angels -1.5

[John Ryan]

5* graded play on Boston -112

5* graded play on Toronto +128
Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 63-33 making 62.4 units per one unit wagered since 1997 for 66% winners. Play on road teams that are good offensive teams scoring between 4.7 to 5.2 runs per game and with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games and now facing an average AL starter posting an ERA between 4.70 and 5.70. Drew Hutchinson gets the start tonight for the Blue Jays and he has posted an impressive 3.12 ERA, allowed just one home run spanning his last three starts. Moreover, he has gone six innings and allowed one earned run in his last two starts in a 4-1 win over the Yankees +110 and 2-1 win at Minnesota -140. By comparison Rays starter Matt Moore has struggled posting a 7.20 ERA in just 15 innings of work over his last three starts. He has gone 0-3 in these three starts losing to Boston installed as -120 favorite, at Baltimore installed as -140 favorite, and Oakland installed as as a -175 favorite. Take the Toronto Blue Jays.

[The fiddler]

After tonight...down 14 grand. This sticky thread is actually a good thing...a reality check. Mr. Ryan...a so called guru here....and losing his ass.

Don't be fooled people. You cannot win betting baseball.

[TidesRoln]

Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 63-33 making 62.4 units per one unit wagered since 1997 for 66% winners. Play on road teams that are good offensive teams scoring between 4.7 to 5.2 runs per game and with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games and now facing an average AL starter posting an ERA between 4.70 and 5.70. [/FONT]

Mr. Ryan I am not bashing your play, but stats that were accumulated since 1997 are irrelevant to a game being played in 2012. The overwhelming majority of players in 2012 were in elementary school 15 years ago; some of them were in kindergarten. Stats accumulated over a 15 year period were attained by different pitchers and batters etc. etc. Good luck though, but don't see the reasoning in going back to 1997? Maybe going back 3 or 4 years sure, as those stats belong to the current players on the team.

[No coincidences]

After tonight...down 14 grand. This sticky thread is actually a good thing...a reality check. Mr. Ryan...a so called guru here....and losing his ass.

Don't be fooled people. You cannot win betting baseball.

Are you kidding?

[Luminosity]

5/21/12

Contrarian


Contrarian Overall
5* 5-10 -30.46U

Titan

5* 1-2 -5.6U

Totals Overall
5* 2-0 +10.5U
10* 0-1 -11.5U
-1U

Titan Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 33-34 -5.34U
10* 6-14 -65.5U
20* 0-1 -21U
-115.25 units overall.

Bottomline
Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 38-44 -44.85U
10* 6-14 -54.35U
20* 0-1 -21U
-134.81 units overall.

[Luminosity]

Mr. Ryan I am not bashing your play, but stats that were accumulated since 1997 are irrelevant to a game being played in 2012. The overwhelming majority of players in 2012 were in elementary school 15 years ago; some of them were in kindergarten. Stats accumulated over a 15 year period were attained by different pitchers and batters etc. etc. Good luck though, but don't see the reasoning in going back to 1997? Maybe going back 3 or 4 years sure, as those stats belong to the current players on the team.

I don't think you quite understand.... the only stat that spans 15 years is the win/loss record for that system. The team/player stats are current 2012 season stats. Hope that makes more sense.

[TidesRoln]

[QUOTE=the only stat that spans 15 years is the win/loss record for that system.[/QUOTE]

You are correct; however, those wins/losses are directly related to the players who were on the field in 1997/forward - therefore making wins/losses going back 15 years ago irrelevant as today's players had no part in accumulating said wins/losses. I say, with any baseball system, go back four years and see how it performed; if it was good since 1997, surely it must be good going back four years.

[John Ryan]

Mr. Ryan I am not bashing your play, but stats that were accumulated since 1997 are irrelevant to a game being played in 2012. The overwhelming majority of players in 2012 were in elementary school 15 years ago; some of them were in kindergarten. Stats accumulated over a 15 year period were attained by different pitchers and batters etc. etc. Good luck though, but don't see the reasoning in going back to 1997? Maybe going back 3 or 4 years sure, as those stats belong to the current players on the team.

The angles and systems I provide serve only to REINFORCE the graded play and is NOT the sole reason I am recommending any play. True enough, the current situation is what matters most and when you read my reports they do focus on current 'conditions'.

[John Ryan]

The angels lost by 1.. you had angels -1.5

True enough.. Thanks for the record keeping.. I should have known you were right!

[THEINSIDER900]

is john ryan the best

[John Ryan]

5* Oakland +148
5* oakland using the Run Line + 1 1/2 -111
5* San Diego +200

More coming for the evening card. As hard as it is simply because you don't know me as a person, keep the faith and ride this storm all the way through. We have recovered 40 units from the nadir and I am confident we will make a big run at some point between now and the end of the season. There will be some terrible calls, no doubt, happens, but I also have the confidence in what I do here to tell you this. I am not a broker getting commissions for every sale I make and I have nothing to gain on this free thread by telling you something I do not fully believe in.

[John Ryan]

is john ryan the best

to right now. That's for sure, (laugh... almost ready to fade myself) but seriously, I am confident that things will turn positive - they always have. I also don't have a goal to be simply the best or recognized in anyway. Ego is the number one problem that creates financial losses and disasters for amateurs both in sports wagering and investing in the markets. The goal here is to show everyone in a disciplined and education based way, that you can make money in MLB and all sports for that matter.

[TidesRoln]

5* Oakland +148
5* oakland using the Run Line + 1 1/2 -111
5* San Diego +200

Oakland and San Diego were the two teams that were shutout yesterday, are these two plays simply chasing any team that was shutout in its previous game?

[The fiddler]

Are you kidding?

Less than 2% do if they bet 15 games or more per week. I know that you haven't won...that's for sure.

[TidesRoln]

5* Oakland +148
5* oakland using the Run Line + 1 1/2 -111
5* San Diego +200

As hard as it is simply because you don't know me as a person, keep the faith and ride this storm all the way through.

Mr. Ryan, there simply are no survivors of this storm as today you tossed another -15 units onto the heads of those struggling to stay afloat. I was taught years ago if you bet based on a star system, you had better enjoy stars, because you will be sleeping under them one day.

[Luminosity]

5/23/12

Contrarian


Contrarian Overall
5* 5-10 -30.46U

Titan

5* 3 -15.55U

Totals Overall
5* 2-0 +10.5U
10* 0-1 -11.5U
-1U

Titan Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 33-37 -20.89U
10* 6-14 -65.5U
20* 0-1 -21U
-115.25 units overall.

Bottomline
Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 38-47 -60.4U
10* 6-14 -54.35U
20* 0-1 -21U
-150.36 units overall.

[John Ryan]

5* Cincinnati Reds -115

5* Miami Marlins -145

5* Philadelphia +130

research reports are on the site. Be back in a few hours.

[John Ryan]

Mr. Ryan, there simply are no survivors of this storm as today you tossed another -15 units onto the heads of those struggling to stay afloat. I was taught years ago if you bet based on a star system, you had better enjoy stars, because you will be sleeping under them one day.

This method was borked for 17 years. If 15 units is significant than you are simply betting too much per star unit. I know it is hard but keep the faith. And no one should wager beyond their means r in amounts that will effect the quality of life you now enjoy. Sleeping under the stars is great fun if you're in say Hawaii, but not so favorable in anchorage.

[John Ryan]

Friday action.

5 star Philadelphia -115
5 star UNDER Toronto / Texas 9 -110

10 star Kansas City with Chen over Baltimore +123

[John Ryan]

5* Kansas City +111

5* Seattle -130

Reports are on the site.

Tough game for Philadelphia Phillies tonight, but I have a 10* Total Pay on the NBA thread for Game 7. I also think the 76ers will do the impossible and win this game.

[John Ryan]

20* Titan Play and Contrarian Play OVER Atlanta/Washington in tonight's SNB televised game by ESPN. This is a contrarian play because we have TWO starters with elite numbers facing one another. I obviously think per my research article that the Braves will win this game.

Simply, whenever, I get a graded play OVER from the simulator and it then features TWO strong starters, it has always added additional confidence to my play. It stands to reason, that the public will be betting the UNDER on this game looking at the very low ERA's that both of these starters command and extrapolate it to this game. Well, more times than, not one of these staters under performs big time and I have also see one team match the posted total on their own merit.

MLB Betting: Gonzalez & Nationals vs. Braves

Of course this isa tough play to believe in given the starters resume, but from experience this are plays that I have down well with for many seasons. So, play 20* amount OVER 6 1/2 -115 .

[John Ryan]

Now, the continuation of the contrarian plays from the weekend betting ticket, team money, and pitcher money reports, I had said to play against Baltimore all weekend beginning Friday.

Today's 5* line was KC +130.. I also had the following text in my pitcher report card . Play Against R.A. Dockey and the Mets SundayR.A. Dickey is the next victim of my contrarian betting curse and his next start is scheduled for Sunday versus San Diego set to start at 1:10. He will be facing the 2-4 Volquez and I fully expect Dickey and the Mets to be favored as high as -170 to -180 in this game. As many of you know, we have periodically and successfully played the Padres in situations like this one.

The line did come in a bit lower than I had expected at +145 and the Padres are losing 2-0 in the top of the seventh as I am writing this.

I am updating this thread with these plays since I did recommend them in the articles and I want to be as consistent with the results and recommendations. Win or Lose.

The results have been poor and completely unsatisfactory to me at this point. Entering June, we still have four solid months of baseball plays and I remain very confident this net loss will turn around to a significant profit over the season. Stay the course. We have not even had a three ream round robin play yet. These are powerful situations that have produced bit time returns. You get three +140 or higher dogs and play them individually and as a three team round robin at 3* per, and every once in a while we get the sweep and the payout is huge. Stay tunes for those.

[epr038]

You've had 2- three team round robin plays already this season. One went 3-0. How can you forget that? Lol anyhow good luck with your big play tonight. It would put a reasonable dent in the deficit

[John Ryan]

You've had 2- three team round robin plays already this season. One went 3-0. How can you forget that? Lol anyhow good luck with your big play tonight. It would put a reasonable dent in the deficit

What I meant was that there will be several more and far more frequently too. Thanks..

[John Ryan]

Just one play tonight. 5* graded play on Toronto as they take on the Baltimore Orioles set to start at 7:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Blue Jays will extend the Orioles slump to four straight games. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 31-10 making 31.8 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on home teams with a sub-par OBP of <=.320 and starting a pitcher who walked four or more hitters each of his last two outings is now facing a very good starting pitcher posting a WHIP of <=1.300. I just do not see Baltimore having the staying power to remain on top of the AL East given the strength and depth of other teams. Baltimore is playing well right now, but they do not have the depth to offset a significant player loss to injury. Baltimore faces a true gauntlet of competition between now and June 12. They have to face Toronto and starting pitcher Romero, who has a 5-1 record, then face Morrow Wednesday. Thursday, the Orioles start a three-game set against the Red Sox at Tropicana Field and the Rays and will face Price (6-3), Hellickson (4-1), and Moore (1-5). Then a road trip up the east coast for a three=game set at Fenway and the Red Sox. I believe that it will be very difficult for them to play .500 baseball over these next eight games and at the end of this stretch, they will not be in first place in the AL East. So, I would recommend 5* Contrarian Plays against Baltimore in each of the next eight games. These plays may be upgraded depending on the simulator projections and grading. For tonight take Toronto.

[John Ryan]

Luminosity? you able to update the records please?

[John Ryan]

If splitting the records out is tedious, then let's just go with a bottom line mark. Thanks.

[Inkwell77]

Baseball does not seem like a good sport to bet with multiple systems.

Seem like one should just find something small and stick with it.

[John Ryan]

OK.. 5* Philadelphia - 145 with Cliff Lee

5* Toronto -135 with Morrow. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-8 for an amazing 85% winners and has made 32.1 units per one unit wagered since 2006. Play on home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 and is a solid offensive team scoring between 4.7 and 5.2 runs per game and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start. and now facing a good starter posting an ERA of 4.20 or less on the season.

[sta0g]

OK.. 5* Philadelphia - 145 with Cliff Lee

5* Toronto -135 with Morrow. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 44-8 for an amazing 85% winners and has made 32.1 units per one unit wagered since 2006. Play on home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 and is a solid offensive team scoring between 4.7 and 5.2 runs per game and with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits per start. and now facing a good starter posting an ERA of 4.20 or less on the season.

I'm probably stupid but I don't understand how a non-parlay baseball bet can make 32.1 units per one unit wagered. It sounds like I should expect to receive $32 for every $1 I bet. What am I missing?

[John Ryan]

I'm probably stupid but I don't understand how a non-parlay baseball bet can make 32.1 units per one unit wagered. It sounds like I should expect to receive $32 for every $1 I bet. What am I missing?

no, the system has had 52 plays and made a total of 32.1 units per on unit wagered Sop, if you are wagering $100 pre unit, you would have made $3210 in total profits over the course of making 52 wagers.