2012 MLB Season with John Ryan

[John Ryan]

This race has veteran trainers such as D. Wayne Lukas, saddling his 45th Derby horse, the 50-1 Optimizer, and the current big-dog trainers, Todd Pletcher and Steve Asmussen, who both have top contenders. Pletcher's Gemologist (6-1 odds) is undefeated in five career starts. The distance is not supposed to be an issue for this son of Tiznow. Asmussen's Daddy Nose Best (15-1) has gotten a lot of Derby week buzz, and is another late-runner.
Fans of oddball owners and gray speed horses hit the exacta with Hansen. The horse, champion 2-year-old after nipping Union Rags in the Breeders Cup Juvenile, is named for the owner, Kendall Hansen, a Kentucky pain-management doctor who tried to paint his horse's tail blue for the Blue Grass Stakes - damn right, he's a UK fan - and throws out Hansen dolls to fans at the track.
The real speed should come from 50-1 Trinniberg, who could present problems for Hansen and any other horse who tries to keep up. However, Trinniberg has never run longer than seven furlongs. He may be going backward for those three additional furlongs.
Don't look for Union Rags to be among the early speedsters. There are questions about his pedigree for the 11/4-mile distance, although second dam Terpsichorist was a distance horse. His sire, former Haskell winner Dixie Union, excelled a little short of the mile and quarter.
The colt's dam, Tempo, brings sentimental pedigree as well, since Union Rags is not just owned by Wyeth, but bred by her, a family affair since Tempo was sired by Gone West, owned by Wyeth's parents.


so, Take hanson at 10:1 and Bodemeister at 4:1 to place .. and then Union Rages to show.. So, an exacta and trifecta as outlined with a solo bet on Hanson to win.

[John Ryan]

5* play on the Minnesota Twins +175

5* play on the Oakland A's +145.

Two dogs again.. Let's hope that we can at least win one. Yesterday was quite disappointing especially with the +175 Phillies blowing a late lead. That is why it is a 162 game marathon and why i am not panicing about being down right now.

[John Ryan]

Looking to a 10* winner with Kansas City +111 over the New York Yankees. Here is a solid dog playing system you can use to make money for future qualifying plays.

Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 30-9 for 77% winners since 1997. Play against AL road teams that are solid offensive team scoring between 4.7 to 5.2 runs per game and are on a good fielding streak completing 15 straight games with one or less errors and now facing a strugglig starting pitcher posting an ERA>=6.20.

[JJJ]

John your picks are brutal as usual you said baseball is your best sport your down almost 100 units....NBA thread and NCAA thread this year losers also

[JJJ]

[Lakey]

Been following you for a while and thought i'd sign up to give you a bit of support. A couple of guys on here having a crack but i'm sure you'll turn it around. Still a long way to go in the season.

6/4/12
5* 0-2 -10U

7/4/12
10* 0-1 - 10U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 19-25 -28.23U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-104.6 units overall.

[Luminosity]

Been following you for a while and thought i'd sign up to give you a bit of support. A couple of guys on here having a crack but i'm sure you'll turn it around. Still a long way to go in the season.

6/4/12
5* 0-2 -10U

7/4/12
10* 0-1 - 10U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 19-25 -28.23U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-104.6 units overall.

Thats incorrect. Here is the correct record:
5/5/12
5* 1-1 +2.5 units

5/6/12
10* 0-1 -10 units

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 20-24 -15.73U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-92.1 units overall.

[Lakey]

Sorry, my bad.

[John Ryan]

Thats incorrect. Here is the correct record:
5/5/12
5* 1-1 +2.5 units

5/6/12
10* 0-1 -10 units

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 20-24 -15.73U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-92.1 units overall.

Never hurts to double check our booker keeper Luminosity.. But rarely have I ever delved to the depths of being down more than 100 units.. As we know, the hot streaks can very quickly erase this level of deficit. I am certain we will. Instead of having to record keepers, let's just 'manually' double check Luminosity so that we don't get the posts littered a bit. Thanks for the work though. Greatly appreciated.

[Luminosity]

JR's plays for today

No prices in the article so here are the current 5dime prices:

5* Phillies -170
5* Phillies run line +130
He also recommends betting for Phillies to win the series

[balls2wall]

Never hurts to double check our booker keeper Luminosity.. But rarely have I ever delved to the depths of being down more than 100 units.. As we know, the hot streaks can very quickly erase this level of deficit. I am certain we will. Instead of having to record keepers, let's just 'manually' double check Luminosity so that we don't get the posts littered a bit. Thanks for the work though. Greatly appreciated.

Good luck John

Hope you get it turned around and end up on the plus side

[John Ryan]

Thanks for the comments and we will look to get on a hot streak as soon as possible. I just can never predict when they will or when they will end. That is the dominant reason retaining discipline and wagering the same amounts per * unit play each and every day.

5* Philadelphia -165 boxed with Halladay. - research on the site. This three game set has Phillies sweep written all over it and their entire home stand including three game against SD and two with Houston could be just what they need.. 7-1?

5* Seattle + 122
5* Minnesota +157

5* Philadelphia using the Run Line +130 using -1 1/2 runs.

BOL.

[jbizzle]

I hate to say it but luck has not been on our side, between baseball, basketball, and hockey we got destroyed today...JR at this point how do we feasibly come back from this long losing streak?

[Luminosity]

5/7/12
5* 1-3 -13.25U

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 21-27 -28.89U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-105.35 units overall.

[Luminosity]

Yeah the hockey game was brutal. 6.6 seconds left in the 3rd period.

[ghislaine]

I will keep rooting for You and I do still occasionally tail... You`ll get back up ! Plenty of season to go
I personally do D`alembert and Labby, so never in too much of a hole.

[John Ryan]

5 star dodgers with Kershaw -193

[John Ryan]

New day and a chance to erase some of these horrifying results.

10* Chicago Cubs +122 starting at 2:20

5* Philadelphia Phillies - 200 .. I personally the playing these big favorites, but the sim has done very well for more seasons I care to admit. Research is posted on the site. Thanks to all.

[John Ryan]

10* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they host the Atlanta Braves set to start in a matinee at 2:20 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Cubs will earn this win. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 168-139 making 64.4 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on any NL team with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season and with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season. This system has averaged a dog play of +121 which matches the current line for this game and adds a touch more strength and validity to this play. Moreover, the Cubs are a solid 21-12 making 11.1 units per one unit wagered using the money line in home games after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span encompassing the last two seasons. Maholm has dominated opponents in his starts and has allowed one earned run exact in each of his last three starts. He is not a power pitcher, but has strong command and movement on his pitches, which keeps batters off balance and mostly guessing. In six career starts against the Braves he has posted a solid 1.58 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Take the Cubs.

[Luminosity]

5/8
5* 0-1 -9.65U

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 21-28 -38.54U
10* 4-10 -49.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-115 units overall.

[Luminosity]

New day and a chance to erase some of these horrifying results.

10* Chicago Cubs +122 starting at 2:20

5* Philadelphia Phillies - 200 .. I personally the playing these big favorites, but the sim has done very well for more seasons I care to admit. Research is posted on the site. Thanks to all.

What lines are you using? I think I remember you quoting 5dimes as your book, and 5dimes cubs moneyline which never topped 115 and was -105 when you posted in the forum. That would also adjust the Phillies price to -185.

For your record on this forum, the prices should lock in at the time you post on the forum.

[John Ryan]

so, I am going to add a 5* amount at 7 +110 Phils-Mets
and I am increasing the side play to 10* on the Phillies -183. Lee is looking strong and Phillies offense will explode against GEE.

No parlay since Phils are a heavy favorite.

[No coincidences]

so, I am going to add a 5* amount at 7 +110 Phils-Mets
and I am increasing the side play to 10* on the Phillies -183. Lee is looking strong and Phillies offense will explode against GEE.

No parlay since Phils are a heavy favorite.

Are you reporting from the bullpen or something? How do you know?

You do realize Lee is on a limited pitch count, right?

[John Ryan]

Ah. The Players Championship is finally here and I do believe there are some strong opportunities to exploit in this great event. I have played the course and although there are some brutal holes, like no. 13, a par 3 where you will see more three jacks than any other hole, the course doesn’t always reward the big power hitter. In fact, the there is a somewhat false belief that it is a course that rewards driving accuracy versus booking length. I have played the course and it is my single favorite one. What it does require is all of the shots. Booking length on some holes and smart low riding hook son others. Common sense is rewarded, but a golfer has to know when to load up the arsenal and go for it. Last year’s winner K.J. Choi was ranked 134th in driving distance and 91st in accuracy. The 2010 winner was Tim Clark, who ranked 188th in driving distance and fourth in driving accuracy. The 2009 winner was Henrik Stenson, who ranked 83rd in driving distance and 57th in driving accuracy. In 2008 Sergio Garcia won the event and was ranked 43rd in driving distance and 153rd in driving accuracy and 2007 was won my Mickelson. who ranked 43rd in driving distance and 1581st in driving accuracy. So, it is not necessarily about big time length or microscopic accuracy. It is about knowing what shot the course is demanding and go with it. The greens will be faster than fast with the cooler than normal temperatures and each has tremendous undulations. The 13th as mentioned though is a roller coaster and the average length putt of greens hit in regulation for the entire tournament history has been 45 feet. One stat that I think produces players, who can enjoy four days of golf at Sawgrass are the ones, who hit the highest percentage of drives in the 260 to 280 range. This means that many of these players are hitting stinging two irons, hybrids, and three woods off the tee to gain position. Believe me when I tell you that at Sawgrass, you can be in the fairway and staring down boget before even hitting the approach shot. Accuracy and intelligence are a must and of course LUCK. Luke Donald ranks third in this category and I like him to win at 14:1. Graham McDowell at 66:1 is a long shot, but a very accurate and pur striker of the golf ball and winner of the 2010 US Open. And for a super long shot John Mallinger, who is leading most tour stats in driving accuracy and iron play. He has never won a tour event, but if he can manage the greens, he is a legitimate contender. In head-to-head matchups I like McIlroy -130 over Westwood. He has tremendous length even with a three iron off the tee and is the NO.1 ranked golfer in the world. Luke Donald over Lee Westwood. and my third play is to take Mickelson -125 over Tiger Woods. Woods is nowhere close to being able to handle this course given his errant driving. At the Masters you can spray it around, but at the Players, such shots will penalized the more mishit they are. Best of luck to every one.

[Luminosity]

5/9
5* 1-0 +5.5U
10* 1-1 -6.95U (10* on philly is 5 at -200 and 5 at -183)
net -1.45U

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 22-28 -33.04U
10* 4-11 -56.05U
20* 0-1 -21U
-116.45 units overall.


***For all future bets I will adjust the prices to the 5dime prices at the time that you submit the posts/articles for a more accurate record.

[jbizzle]

I gotta think oakland and boston win at least 1 of their current 4 game series. Oakland looks appealing today too with colon on the hill. Any thoughts on Baltimore today? I like taking them in both ml's knowing they only need 1 win to produce a profit with + odds on both. Especially with Texas flying home tonight to start a big series with Angels and Texas already taking the first 2 games of the baltimore series thus far. Thoughts?

[Luminosity]

JR's picks in the article

10* Orioles Game 1, +117

10* Orioles Game 2, +140

These are the lines from 5dimes at 11:00 am when the article was posted to the site.

[John Ryan]

Like these two quite bit. Should they are 10* Titan Dogs. Also, I have put out my weekly edition of the MLB betting guide. be sure to check that out. We will have a lot of fun and learn quite a bit from these techniques and I am certain they will produce some unexpected plays and profits from them.

[John Ryan]

I gotta think oakland and boston win at least 1 of their current 4 game series. Oakland looks appealing today too with colon on the hill. Any thoughts on Baltimore today? I like taking them in both ml's knowing they only need 1 win to produce a profit with + odds on both. Especially with Texas flying home tonight to start a big series with Angels and Texas already taking the first 2 games of the baltimore series thus far. Thoughts?

Yes, i agree, the Oakland game tonight fading Detroit's Scherzer is very appealing to me.

5* Oakland + 114 playing Detroit.

Supporting RUN LINE System .

Play against all favorites against a 1.5 run line with the money Line between +115 to +160 and is a struggling AL offensive team scoring 4.2 or less runs per game and now facing a team with a very good bullpen posting an ERA of 3.33 or better on the season and after allowing two runs or less

[justwinthisone]

5/9
5* 1-0 +5.5U
10* 1-1 -6.95U (10* on philly is 5 at -200 and 5 at -183)
net -1.45U

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 22-28 -33.04U
10* 4-11 -56.05U
20* 0-1 -21U
-116.45 units overall.


***For all future bets I will adjust the prices to the 5dime prices at the time that you submit the posts/articles for a more accurate record.

not trying to hate here John but I thought you said baseball was one of your most profitable sports.....do u still see yourself ending this season in the positive?

[Luminosity]

Not a bad start with the Orioles playing homerun derby in the 1st!

[NickJ3]

How about some advice on the Cardinals coming into tmrw with a winning streak. Some sites i have been reading that maybe even the rockies are a good play tommorrow? Some thoughts?

[Inkwell77]

this guy is truly getting buried here.
Am intrigued to see if he ends the season + units

[Luminosity]

5/10
5* 0-1 -5U
10* 1-1 +1.7U
net -3.3U

Overall 1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 22-29 -38.04U
10* 5-12 -54.35U
20* 0-1 -21U
-119.75 units overall.

[Luminosity]

I would say that the majority of MLB doubleheaders are split, and according to the Elias Sports Bureau only about 25% of these series are swept. In that case, it is a good idea to bet the underdog both games. Since a lot of doubleheaders are split, I think in a case like the Orioles yesterday it would be better to bet the Orioles game 1, and if they lose bet them in game 2. If they win the first game, don't bet the second game.

Any thoughts?