2012 MLB Season with John Ryan

[jbizzle]

JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!

[RAK]

A good starting point would be 1 unit= 1% of your roll. So, for a roll of 3K 1 unit=$30. Even at this conservative approach and baseball being a marathon season you may want to lower units risked for 10* and 20* plays. A couple of 20* losses can really put a dent in your bankroll. For me personally I rather be to conservative than to aggresive.

[John Ryan]

Hi all. Been watching games, Like Tampa bay as a 10 star play +124

[Dennisd]

nice pick John

[Luminosity]

2/29/12
10* 1-0 +12.4U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-19 +1.77U
10* 3-7 -41.6U
20* 0-1 -21 U
-58.1 units overall.

[fitguy67]

JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!

jbizzle (and RAK)...See page#1 of this thread, post#32 (not THE answer...but it's what works best for me)

[jbizzle]

Thanks Fitguy67, that is my plan now: $30 for 5*, $60 for 10*, and $120 for 20*.
before I was doing 2% or $60 for 5*, $120 for 10*, and $240 for 20*, but realized that was way too much after Saturdays losses.

[Luminosity]

JR's plays from the write-ups

5* Red Sox -150
5* Bues Jays boxed with Drabek +125

[John Ryan]

heading in the wrong direction.. I have been down over 100 units in past seasons only to surge.. so, keep the faith fans.

5* Toronto + 134

5* Boston - 144

reports are on the site

[Luminosity]

4/30/12
5* 1-1 even

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-19 +1.77U
10* 3-7 -41.6U
20* 0-1 -21 U
-58.1 units overall.

[Luminosity]

JR's play today

10* Phillies boxed with Hamels +105

[John Ryan]

Yes, Phillies, but i think the line I had earlier today was a bit higher like +124.. is what I remember quoting in the article.. In the long run doesn't matter.

I will stick with just this play for now, but now that we are in may, I will have more run line and totals plays to offer. Thanks.

[Luminosity]

I didn't see the price you booked. I only saw the price of the Braves in the article, so I used the current line for 5dimes. I will update the price to +124 for the records.

[Luminosity]

5/1/12
10* 1-0 +12.4U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-19 +1.77U
10* 3-7 -29.2U
20* 0-1 -21U
-45.7 units overall.

[Luminosity]

Hey JR, thinking about playing the A's vs. the Red Sox at +165. Any thoughts?

[ireland1946]

Hey JR, thinking about playing the A's vs. the Red Sox at +165. Any thoughts?

I hope you did it was a great Pick

[Luminosity]

Picks from JR's articles:

5* Pirates +149
10* Phillies -115

[sta0g]

You forgot to change the 10* record from 3-7 to 4-7. Thanks for keeping score

5/1/12
10* 1-0 +12.4U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-19 +1.77U
10* 3-7 -29.2U
20* 0-1 -21U
-45.7 units overall.

[Luminosity]

You forgot to change the 10* record from 3-7 to 4-7. Thanks for keeping score

Thanks, I wouldn't have realized it either.

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-19 +1.77U
10* 4-7 -29.2U
20* 0-1 -21U
-45.7 units overall.

[John Ryan]

10 star philadelphia. -109

5 star pittsburgh +156

Research on the site.

[Luminosity]

5/2/12
10* 0-1 -10.9U
5* 0-1 -5U
total -15.9U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-20 -3.23U
10* 4-8 -40.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-61.6 units overall.

[ghislaine]

Hi everyone, thanks for the great job You keep doing JR
Will start tailing You, making a comeback to betting, but I will labby all my bets, evening out the value of numbers on the
line everyday.
Your picks will make a great addition, I know labby is very conservative, but makes profit

[John Ryan]

Hi everyone, thanks for the great job You keep doing JR
Will start tailing You, making a comeback to betting, but I will labby all my bets, evening out the value of numbers on the
line everyday.
Your picks will make a great addition, I know labby is very conservative, but makes profit

awesome.. Thanks for being a part of this!

[John Ryan]

10* Philadelphia +110

Phillies are an impressive 17-3 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games facing a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last two seasons.

5* Seattle +165

5* graded play on Seattle as they take on Tampa Bay set to start at 1:10 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seattle will get a huge upset win in this game. Seattle is in a strong role for this win. They are 13-3 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in road games after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs over the last two seasons. Rays skipper is 37-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games. This shows that the line gets over valued as the public steadily will join any team that is on an established winning streak. Baseball is a great game and one of the reason why is that unexpected results happen nearly everyday. I strongly believe this will be one of them and we are getting paid handsomely to take the Mariners in this situation.

[ghislaine]

With You on the Seattle tonight !! Would be great to win a dog like that

[ghislaine]

oh well, tomorrow again doing a labby, so good either way...

[Luminosity]

5/3/12
5* 0-1 -5U
10* 1-0 +11U
Net 6U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 19-21 -8.23U
10* 4-8 -29.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-55.6 units overall.

[John Ryan]

JR, I think I'm over-betting my bankroll when betting your 10* and 20* amounts. If my bankroll is 3k, how much do you recommend betting per 5*, 10*, and 20* amount? Thanks for the help!

Sorry I di dont get back to you sooner. I like what is mentioned already.. $10 per * i think is an excellent starting point.

[Luminosity]

JR's play today

10* Phillies +160

Also, he suggests betting the Phillies to win the series and to sweep the series if you have one or both of those options.

Great pick JR

[John Ryan]

Ok sports fans. Time for a run of the dice. But educated rolls. I have two more dogs to add to philadelphia.

5 star Kansas city +154

5 star Oakland + 174

So I will do a three team Lund robin parlay using these lines combined with Philadelphia that is +172

3 star parlay philadelphia and Kansas city pays off 17.73 units
3 star parlay philadelpgia and oakland pays off 19.36 units
3 star array icon and Oakland Amy's off 17.87 units.


Yes it requires guts and trust to follow this. There are times I lose all three dogs but there are times too that I hit two of three or even three of three. A 35 percent win percentage ends up making a significant amount of yen.

[Luminosity]

5/4/12
3* 0-3 -9U
5* 0-2 -10U
10* 0-1 -10U
Net -29U

Overall
1* 1-1 +8.28U
3* 0-6 -18U
5* 19-23 -18.23U
10* 4-9 -39.1U
20* 0-1 -21U
-84.6 units overall.

[drnkyourmlkshk]

John I gotta ask what do you see in this Phillies team?!?! If we take philly out of this thread you might be up on the year. I hate them currently, they have no power and their bullpen with the exception of Papelbon. I just can't see a upside with this group until they get healthy again.

[JJJ]

Brutal

[Luminosity]

Diamondbacks looks like a good play today, kinda like the Braves too

[John Ryan]

John I gotta ask what do you see in this Phillies team?!?! If we take philly out of this thread you might be up on the year. I hate them currently, they have no power and their bullpen with the exception of Papelbon. I just can't see a upside with this group until they get healthy again.

You are right.. and hindsight is always 20:20.. I keeping seeing them getting closer to one of those 10-game winning streaks and this isa year where power ball is minimized. Pitching is dominating and the Phillies are always in nearly every game. I've lost Phillies games mostly with the bullpen and mostly blowing leads.. so, I think the Phillies will be ok, but your point is a very good one.