2012 MLB Season with John Ryan

[Jasper11]

I am upgrading the Rays play to a 10* opportunity tonight.

They are installed as +185 Dogs going up against the Nationals and Strasburg. You may think this is a reach, but over the course of many season, these types of dogs have served me well.

Here is a supporting dog playing system that has gone 39-30 and has made 36.1 units per one unit wagered since 2006. Play against home favorites with a money line of -150 or more after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base, with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 3.00 the last 10 games. The average play here has been a +170 dog, So there is the value of the system.

It's tempting at +185-+190 but Chris Archer has no college or Major League Baseball experience that I could find. Must have some minor league games under his belt but will that be enough.We all know he goes against face Strasburg who is one of the best. For that reason I have to pass but it is a gutsy play and I wish you luck. Perhaps if I had a better understanding of the system I would be more comfortable with the play.

[dilaudid8]

jasper11 what's happening my brother like I said we had a great year in football/hockey we made a ******* mint GOV mint and this year will be the best of all time I promise you gl

[John Ryan]

10* Philadelphia Phillies -175
10* Miami Marlins +135
Supporting research is on the site.

Thanks and BOL.

Who do you all like in Game 5 of the NBA Finals tonight. Somehow, I think the Thunder get this to a Game 7. I know these teams are 0-30 the last 30 times a team took a 3-1 lead, BUTTTTTTT in 2004 the Red Sox were down 0-3 and defeated the Yankees. Why can't it happen in the NBA too.

[The fiddler]

2 plays...down $2,750.00

[JJJ]

I think its offical your down 200 units for the season now down 37.5 units last 2 days on 3 bets

[TidesRoln]

I think its offical your down 200 units for the season now down 37.5 units last 2 days on 3 bets

The actual count is well above 250 units down. He conveniently shaved 51 units off the total a few weeks back by using the old "picks were not posted in the thread trick"; see below.
Tsk, tsk, tsk, we seem to have a bit of an error here Johnny. Your last post showing the bottom line for the year was on 03 june at -136.31 units. Since then your posted plays in this thread have gone 5 - 15 for an additional loss of 87.85 units. So the actual overall units lost on the year is; drumroll.............................
- 224.16 units. You must have hit the wrong button on the old calculator huh.

The reply: "No I did not,there were several plays posted on the site in the form of articles that Ialways encourage to read."

[John Ryan]

20* UNDER Yankees-Mets 8 -103 line

research report and reasons why i like this play are on the MLB portion of the site
5* play on Washington +114 taking on Baltimore.

Ok, I have another three-team round robin parlay.

5* plays on each of the following three teams:
Colorado +178
Minnesota +173
Cubs +150

Then a three-team round robin with 3* wagers on each.
So, Colorado and Minnesota, Colorado and the Cubs, and then the Cubs and Minnesota - all for a 3* graded parlay.

BOL to everyone.

[John Ryan]

The actual count is well above 250 units down. He conveniently shaved 51 units off the total a few weeks back by using the old "picks were not posted in the thread trick"; see below.
Tsk, tsk, tsk, we seem to have a bit of an error here Johnny. Your last post showing the bottom line for the year was on 03 june at -136.31 units. Since then your posted plays in this thread have gone 5 - 15 for an additional loss of 87.85 units. So the actual overall units lost on the year is; drumroll.............................
- 224.16 units. You must have hit the wrong button on the old calculator huh.

The reply: "No I did not,there were several plays posted on the site in the form of articles that Ialways encourage to read."

To clarify there were just TWO plays added.. and these results are accurate. I highly recommend that you follow the results each day as I am updating them each day. That way you can see for yourself where the results stand entering that day.

[John Ryan]

Total overall Evaluation

1* 1-2 +7.28
3*DOG round robin parlays 1-11 -13.16 units
5* 83-77 -25.93
10* 9-21 -97.80
20* 1-2 -21.00
-156.41 units overall.

Through games of June 20, 2012

[John Ryan]

Total overall Evaluation

1* 1-2 +7.28
3*DOG round robin parlays 1-11 -13.16 units
5* 83-77 -25.93
10* 9-23 -125.30
20* 1-2 -21.00
-183.91 units overall.

Through games of June 21, 2012

[JJJ]

John your picks make me sick

[The fiddler]

If the Cubs don't rally, tonight could be a 12 car train wreck for John. Best thing for you John is to apologize for the really poor season and then give this thread a month off.

Your plays tonight were those of a desperate chaser, Been there...done that. The way your luck is going (yes you've had several bad beats) you need to give it a rest.

Go play some golf, some duplicate bridge, and do a pile of crossword puzzles. Learn yoga and invest in fine bottles of dry wine.

Because you sir....will have to sell your hair to a wig shop pretty soon.

[John Ryan]

Saturday Plays

5* Play Mets
5* Play Oakland

[John Ryan]

1* 1-2 +7.28
3*DOG round robin parlays 1-14 -22.76 units
5* 84-80 -32.28
10* 9-23 -125.30
20* 1-3 -41.00
-220.26 units overall.

Through games of June 22, 2012

New low for the season.

I have to admit, there are several points to teach here, First, you MUST never bet more than you can afford to lose. I have done this far longer than most of you and I know there are are 'valleys' like this every once in a while. My methodology works and if it was perfect, then there would be no need for these threads. I am eager to put up these plays without fear of finger pointing or hindsight handicapping. I will continue to march forward. When I was an All-American back in the day, one of my best coaches and one of the best in the nation always told us, that there will be times in life, no matter what you choose to do, that you will want to give up and throw in the towel. Well, He stated that quitters never win and winners never quit.

At the end of the season I will re-revaluate the season. Where things went wrong and IF necessary tinker with the weightings of the simulator. More on that later, but I can tell you that I will continue to move forward and continue to look for better results.

[Reno Gambler]

John,
I bet you can't wait for ? Col and Pro football??

[John Ryan]

John,
I bet you can't wait for ? Col and Pro football??

I always look forward to those seasons. No doubt.. But, all I am suggesting here is that there will be 'valleys' like the one I am going through. You can't hit 60% ATS in every sport every single time. and once in w file there is the dreaded 40% season. I have the confidence though through years of doing this, that better days are ahead and I hope it does not take till CFB season starts (laugh).

Hang in there we will do better.

[The fiddler]

Saturday Plays

5* Play Mets
5* Play Oakland

SMH.

[JJJ]

[Jasper11]

Boy you do get some bad beats and San Fran (on Saturday) is an example of that.Nice win with the Mets. Baseball is just crazy. Late last night I thought I bet Texas -1.5+125 at 5 dimes for today,Sunday. Turned out I bet Colorado +1.5 but I was sleepy and read it as I thought it should be. Nutty thing is Colorado,with a starting pitcher with an 8.00 E.R.A. goes up 8-1 and wins. I am convinced that in baseball luck (or streaks) is a very significant factor,more then the other major sports. Hell, most folks know you are doing your best and you are doing it free,so I don't get why people get so angry. Right now I read your posts after I bet because you are cold but I have seen you go on some very nice runs,and when I am stumped I like to see your perspective. I do understand people's frustrations but those that get personal are just plain wrong since your advice is on a take it or leave it basis. I will just close this by saying,"To better days my friend." They will come and I hope it is soon.

[Jasper11]

jasper11 what's happening my brother like I said we had a great year in football/hockey we made a ******* mint GOV mint and this year will be the best of all time I promise you gl

Hey Dilaudid8. Didn't see your post. Yes we had a year to remember. Don't think for a moment that I didn't get some winners from following Mr.Ryan here. I believe he too had a good year.It's those headaches of yours that I wish we could forget. You take care of yourself now my friend.

[epr038]

Nice win with the Mets.

???

[John Ryan]

10 star Yankees
5 star Philadelphia Game 1
5 star Philadelphia Game 2.

[Jasper11]

???

You are right. I didn't realize the Yanks came back with a 4 run inning to win. I assumed the 3-0 lead held up. Another tough game that I am glad I didn't bet.

[JJJ]

You are right. I didn't realize the Yanks came back with a 4 run inning to win. I assumed the 3-0 lead held up. Another tough game that I am glad I didn't bet.

thats what i say about every game in this thread another tough loss that I am glad I didnt bet

[spippen]

10 star Yankees
5 star Philadelphia Game 1
5 star Philadelphia Game 2.

I just don't get the Philly plays, this team can't hit, looks like they just want the season to end, and frankly they look like they will be in last place for the remainder of the season.

[will2survive]

John: i like your approach considering the situation. It's very convenient to put a 20 star play on a heavy favorite but you're staying consistent. It's early in the season. Once you're on a roll, people will jump on the bandwagon again. I'm sure that you'll hit a winning streak soon and then people will praise you again. Chin up, man

[TidesRoln]

I just don't get the Philly plays, this team can't hit, looks like they just want the season to end, and frankly they look like they will be in last place for the remainder of the season.

At least 90 percent of gamblers were taught at a very early age that you do not bet with your heart; very amateurish to do so.

[John Ryan]

John: i like your approach considering the situation. It's very convenient to put a 20 star play on a heavy favorite but you're staying consistent. It's early in the season. Once you're on a roll, people will jump on the bandwagon again. I'm sure that you'll hit a winning streak soon and then people will praise you again. Chin up, man

Thanks and I like your screen name!

[John Ryan]

Monday's plays are

5* Philadelphia -137

5* Cubs +125

10* Miami Marlins +107

Good luck and thanks!!!!

research supporting these plays are on the site.

[Avala7ch3]

Monday's plays are

5* Philadelphia -137

5* Cubs +125

10* Miami Marlins +107

Good luck and thanks!!!!

research supporting these plays are on the site.

Best of Luck, Sir!
I think you are gonna lose all of them...

[brahmabull117]

Monday's plays are

5* Philadelphia -137

5* Cubs +125

10* Miami Marlins +107

Good luck and thanks!!!!

research supporting these plays are on the site.

The cubs are 4-19 with a .600 OPS against lefties and they're facing one of the best lefties in the NL. This is one of the best plays I've seen in a few weeks for the METS


John this is the reason why you keep struggling because you pay more attention to irrelevant trends from 15 years ago than what's actually happening in the season today. Those trends from more than even a year ago are completely irrelevant man

[JJJ]

Can we get a record update so we dont see any more losses that dont get counted

[Inkwell77]

This is a great lesson to everyone. Baseball is the worst sport to bet.
John Ryan is by all accounts a relatively sharp guy who puts effort and research into his plays, but as we all can see it means nothing when it comes to baseball.
It is an extremely hard sport to handicap for a variety of reasons.

[THEINSIDER900]

im fading

[brahmabull117]

This is a great lesson to everyone. Baseball is the worst sport to bet.
John Ryan is by all accounts a relatively sharp guy who puts effort and research into his plays, but as we all can see it means nothing when it comes to baseball.
It is an extremely hard sport to handicap for a variety of reasons.

John struggles because he bets on irrelevant and nonsensical trends from 30 years ago, instead of betting based on real handicapping



Taking a 24-48 team that's 4-19 with the worst OPS in the league vs lefties against one of the best lefties in the league...that's not sharp