New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ShivaBowl
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 5133

    #1856
    Originally posted by Romanov
    Shiva, Looking back through the thread wiz's m/l plays that have also had an over 4 on the bpr have been great plays i.e. plays I should've been betting 10% of my br on
    Hey Romanov, yes it has, when BPR and the M/L system are on the same play,
    It’s been money in the bank. Good work!
    BOL


    WIZ, TX:, TG. Please refer back to page 53


    08/23/11
    H/A System Plays Went 1-1

    NYY ½ Unit Play –100 L
    LAD –110 W
    As of 06/01/11
    106-83 +9.42 Units

    08/24/11
    H/A System Plays
    No Plays
    NYY >-
    TOR >-
    FLA L/6
    SFO, SDP W/5
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 08-24-11, 08:21 AM.
    Comment
    • Formulawiz
      Restricted User
      • 01-12-09
      • 1589

      #1857
      Todays ML plays

      ARI. Keep and eye on ML right now at -125
      Comment
      • fataliz
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-04-10
        • 334

        #1858
        Originally posted by ShivaBowl
        Fataliz, how did you come up with TEX -139?
        Thanks
        both pinnacle and 5dimes had texas closing at less than -140. i got pinny at -139. Hence shouldn't it be considered a play for yesterday? Im not doubting Formula, but just hope he can shed light on this falling into the bracket. For accurate tracking...

        *Shiva made a good point. i should be looking at more books instead. please ignore my query my bad
        Last edited by fataliz; 08-24-11, 10:41 AM. Reason: answered by shivabowl
        Comment
        • fataliz
          SBR Sharp
          • 01-04-10
          • 334

          #1859
          Originally posted by Formulawiz
          Todays ML plays

          ARI. Keep and eye on ML right now at -125
          how about SEA?

          cleveland proj ML is -130, current -105. Hence we should be making SEA a play. passes all filters as well. Thanks
          Comment
          • ShivaBowl
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-09-10
            • 5133

            #1860
            Originally posted by fataliz
            both pinnacle and 5dimes had texas closing at less than -140. i got pinny at -139. Hence shouldn't it be considered a play for yesterday? Im not doubting Formula, but just hope he can shed light on this falling into the bracket. For accurate tracking...
            Hey Fataliz, you are correct TEX was a M/L play yesterday
            TEX if > -125 but you need more then two books as a sample
            Cris –149 Bodog –143 BookMaker –149 when it’s this close to the .25
            I pass on it. Wiz; M/L filter no play if > -140 so TEX dropped out.

            Also; I don’t know what books the Wiz or ST are using to come up with a consensus
            on a line play?
            BOL
            Comment
            • ShivaBowl
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 03-09-10
              • 5133

              #1861
              Originally posted by fataliz
              how about SEA? cleveland proj ML is -130, current -105. Hence we should be making SEA a play. passes all filters as well. Thanks
              Yes, SEA if < -105
              BOL
              Comment
              • ShivaBowl
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-09-10
                • 5133

                #1862
                Originally posted by fataliz
                how about SEA? cleveland proj ML is -130, current -105. Hence we should be making SEA a play. passes all filters as well. Thanks
                Hey Fataliz, just keep in mind the M/L plays are based on early lines, so if something comes up?
                Let us know about it.

                Thanks
                Comment
                • BrewMaster
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-03-10
                  • 555

                  #1863
                  Record since 15May11: TBD

                  Scientific Approach 23Aug11:

                  BOS, np > -147
                  ARZ, np > -125
                  DET, np < +101
                  ATL
                  BAL

                  Filtered (HOU)
                  System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                  Comment
                  • Tommygunn
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-26-09
                    • 669

                    #1864
                    Aug.23.11 P/T went 2-0 for 2.00 units. Start date 06/12.
                    68-49 +13.88 u.
                    Comment
                    • Tommygunn
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-26-09
                      • 669

                      #1865
                      Complimentary Selection for 8/24/2011
                      Take Detroit W/Scherzer over Tampa Bay W/Davis NO PLAY if TB < -110
                      Comment
                      • Tommygunn
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 02-26-09
                        • 669

                        #1866
                        Aug.24.11 P/T Plays

                        Bos
                        Arz
                        Det

                        NP if >-150


                        Filtered:

                        NYY (>-150)
                        Tor (>-150)
                        SF (SD W5)

                        Comment
                        • Tommygunn
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-26-09
                          • 669

                          #1867
                          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                          March 26 - Current [/i]
                          Overall
                          (316-318) +7.35Units
                          __________________________
                          Filter: NP >-150

                          August 24
                          Bullpen Projection System
                          Det 4.64
                          Cincy 2.60
                          Cleve 1.73
                          Boston 1.21

                          No Play
                          Yanks np>-150 4.90
                          Philly np>-150 4.63
                          CWS np(Angels W2) 3.62
                          StL np L2 2.64
                          SF np(SD W2) 1.10

                          _________________________
                          TPR
                          Overall
                          (107-111) -11.72Units

                          Cleve 1.1

                          No Play
                          Yanks np>150 1.9
                          StL np L2 1.3
                          Brew np>-150 1.1
                          Are both Cinn games a play since both are 2.60
                          Comment
                          • PatrickBateman
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-29-08
                            • 367

                            #1868
                            Interesting Stuff, thanks
                            Comment
                            • Formulawiz
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-12-09
                              • 1589

                              #1869
                              Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                              Hey Fataliz, you are correct TEX was a M/L play yesterday
                              TEX if > -125 but you need more then two books as a sample
                              Cris –149 Bodog –143 BookMaker –149 when it’s this close to the .25
                              I pass on it. Wiz; M/L filter no play if > -140 so TEX dropped out.

                              Also; I don’t know what books the Wiz or ST are using to come up with a consensus
                              on a line play?
                              BOL
                              When I am ready to go, I look at SBR and go with the majority of books that agree on the ML.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #1870
                                Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                Are both Cinn games a play since both are 2.60
                                I apologize. I meant to designate "Only Game 1".

                                I know I'm late, but been busy.
                                Comment
                                • Tommygunn
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-26-09
                                  • 669

                                  #1871
                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                  I apologize. I meant to designate "Only Game 1".

                                  I know I'm late, but been busy.
                                  Thanks Houli. I knew to play game 1. If CINN wins I'll play game 2 as well. Just like sportrends says most of the time the team that wins the first in a double header wins the second.

                                  TG BOL
                                  Comment
                                  • Romanov
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-08-10
                                    • 4137

                                    #1872
                                    Guys, I'm going to make a large play tonight. I'm leaning Detroit. Someone convince me otherwise if you can, or make a case for another team.
                                    Comment
                                    • fataliz
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-04-10
                                      • 334

                                      #1873
                                      Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                      When I am ready to go, I look at SBR and go with the majority of books that agree on the ML.
                                      thanks for advice formula. Ari is about -115 most books now... am i right to say it doesn't pass the 25c overlay? ty sir.
                                      Comment
                                      • Formulawiz
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 1589

                                        #1874
                                        ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 unit. SEA PROJ ML +130 and ML at +105/-105 became a play

                                        YTD 140-72, +54.5 units

                                        Plays later today.
                                        Comment
                                        • ShivaBowl
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-09-10
                                          • 5133

                                          #1875
                                          08/24/11
                                          H/A System Plays

                                          No Plays
                                          As of 06/01/11
                                          106-83 +9.42 Units


                                          08/25/11
                                          H/A System Plays
                                          OAK
                                          Comment
                                          • Formulawiz
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 1589

                                            #1876
                                            Looks like no ML play tonight.
                                            Comment
                                            • HoulihansTX
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 30566

                                              #1877
                                              Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                              March 26 - Current
                                              Overall
                                              (316-318) +7.35Units
                                              __________________________
                                              Filter: NP >-150

                                              August 24
                                              Bullpen Projection System
                                              Det 4.64 L (+100)
                                              Cincy 2.60 L (-105)
                                              Cleve 1.73 L (-105)
                                              Boston 1.21 W (-110)
                                              _________________________
                                              TPR
                                              Overall
                                              (107-111) -11.72Units
                                              Cleve 1.1 L (-105)
                                              March 26 - Current
                                              Overall
                                              (317-321) +5.25Units

                                              Bullpen Projection System
                                              Det 2.14
                                              Boston 1.65

                                              No Play
                                              Yanks np>-150 1.85
                                              Hou np L2 1.72
                                              Minny np L2 1.14
                                              _________________________
                                              TPR
                                              Overall
                                              (116-121) -13.62Units
                                              No Play
                                              Yanks np>-150 1.9
                                              StL np L2 1.3
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommygunn
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-26-09
                                                • 669

                                                #1878
                                                Aug.24.11 P/T went 2-1 for 0.97 units. Start date 06/12.
                                                70-49 +14.85 u.
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommygunn
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 02-26-09
                                                  • 669

                                                  #1879
                                                  Complimentary Selection for 8/25/2011
                                                  Take Oakland W/Harden over NY Yankees W/Hughes NO PLAY if NYY < -225
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommygunn
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-26-09
                                                    • 669

                                                    #1880
                                                    Aug.25.11 P/T Plays

                                                    Oak

                                                    NP if >-150



                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tommygunn
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 02-26-09
                                                      • 669

                                                      #1881
                                                      Brew SA? If you can't get it up by 12:40est I'll post. I think Oak and Bal are play's for that 1pm est games.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BrewMaster
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-03-10
                                                        • 555

                                                        #1882
                                                        Record since 15May11: 203-180 (+20.5 units)

                                                        Scientific Approach 25Aug11:

                                                        BAL
                                                        ATL

                                                        Filtered (WAS)
                                                        System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                                                        Last edited by BrewMaster; 08-25-11, 11:31 AM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BrewMaster
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-03-10
                                                          • 555

                                                          #1883
                                                          Guys... I am going to be in Vegas until Tuesday. If someone could track SA until my return, I would greatly appreciate it.

                                                          Thanks.

                                                          -BM
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Tommygunn
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-26-09
                                                            • 669

                                                            #1884
                                                            Originally posted by BrewMaster
                                                            Record since 15May11: 203-180 (+20.5 units)

                                                            Scientific Approach 25Aug11:

                                                            BAL
                                                            ATL

                                                            Filtered (WAS)
                                                            System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck
                                                            How come OAK's not a play?

                                                            Proj. ML = +140
                                                            Actual ML = +210

                                                            Diff = 0.70

                                                            Oak = W2
                                                            NYY = L2
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ShivaBowl
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 03-09-10
                                                              • 5133

                                                              #1885
                                                              Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                                              How come OAK's not a play? Proj. ML = +140 Actual ML = +210 Diff = 0.70 Oak = W2 NYY = L2
                                                              S/A Plays
                                                              OAK if > +165
                                                              BAL
                                                              DET if > +133
                                                              ATL if < -122
                                                              KC if > +156
                                                              BOS if > +140
                                                              PIT if > +126
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Formulawiz
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 01-12-09
                                                                • 1589

                                                                #1886
                                                                Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                                                How come OAK's not a play?

                                                                Proj. ML = +140
                                                                Actual ML = +210

                                                                Diff = 0.70

                                                                Oak = W2
                                                                NYY = L2
                                                                First of all if your referring to the ML system, the Proj ML is -150 secondly, NYY would be the play if the ML was < -140 and they were not on a 2 game losing streak.
                                                                Last edited by Formulawiz; 08-25-11, 06:27 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Tommygunn
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-26-09
                                                                  • 669

                                                                  #1887
                                                                  Originally posted by Formulawiz
                                                                  First of all if your referring to the ML system, the Proj ML is -150 secondly, NYY would be the play if the ML was < -140 and they were not on a 2 game losing streak.
                                                                  Wiz I was talking about the SA system. Not the ML system. You can see I included Brews post in my reply not yours.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Formulawiz
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-12-09
                                                                    • 1589

                                                                    #1888
                                                                    Originally posted by Tommygunn
                                                                    Wiz I was talking about the SA system. Not the ML system. You can see I included Brews post in my reply not yours.
                                                                    Sorry about that.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Formulawiz
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                                      • 1589

                                                                      #1889
                                                                      No ML plays yesterday.

                                                                      YTD 140-72, +54.5 units

                                                                      Plays later today. I think the ML's are getting a bit to high as we approach the end of the baseball season.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Formulawiz
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                                        • 1589

                                                                        #1890
                                                                        Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -130

                                                                        LAD
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...