New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

[HoulihansTX]

August 18
Bullpen System Projection
Florida 6.96
TX 2.79
Toronto 1.60
SF 1.51

No Play
Boston np L2 2.95
Yanks np>-150
________________________
TPR
TX 1.5
Brew 1.0
Toronto 1.0

No Play
Yanks np>-150 2.1
Boston np L2

[BrewMaster]

Record since 15May11: TBD

Scientific Approach 18Aug11:

CIN, np < +114
CLE, np > -135
TOR

Filtered (ANA)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

[Tommygunn]

Aug.17.11 P/T went 1-2 for -1.51 units. Start date 06/12.
61-49 + 6.83 u.

[Tommygunn]

Complimentary Selection for 8/18/2011

Take Toronto W/Romero over Oakland W/Cahill NO PLAY if > -125

[Tommygunn]

P/T Aug.18.11

Wash

NP if >-150

Filtered:

Bos (L2, >-150)
LAA (L5)

[Formulawiz]

Attention Formulawiz.

I believe Sportrends to be an honest and fair website. I have tried the premium service several times with mediocre success as I can never seem to (within reason) match their plays with the line constraints. Especially on football with the half-point difference, I tend to always pick up an extra loser or two and short a winner or two. This makes for a huge difference on the actual units won/lost of their record versus mine.

I read with interest that you have been a client of theirs for numerous years. Therefore, are you successfully (within reason) matching their record? I notice they typically look for "public" moves and go the other way and layoff a game with "public steam."

Can you recommend/suggest an orderly approach do determine which selections are a go? specific website? specific time? etc. It has been a real challenge for me....For example, last year, on a NFL Sunday, I used Pinnacle to make my wagers 10 minutes before KickOff. Of the 5 recommendations, 3 were within the line constraints, record 1-2. Next day the Sportrends record was 2-0. That is a HUGE difference of 3.2 units.

Your thoughts are welcomed.
Kindest regards.

It does not matter what book you use, whats important is to go with the majority of the book lines that are posted for example here on SBR. If your book's ML is higher and the majority of books ML's are lower I usually go with the play. The same applies for the opposite. I keep an eye on Sportrends win/loss records very carefully and usually call them if there is an error and 99.9% they are correct with their records. I can assure you if a sports service provides phoney records they wont be in business very long. I know for a fact that sportrends started in the 80's and to me longevity in the sports service business means something to me. As I mentioned I have been a customer of theirs for a long time and there are times they have a months losing streak in place where I pull my hair out. But what makes them good is that they are dedicated to winning and in the end they usually come out on top and thats why I stay with them throughout the season. I believe its called trust.

[jacktheknife]

You need to do your homework. CWS

No no no, I mean the one that came the morning after this post:

ML plays went 1-0, +1 unit

YTD 105-60, +32.85 units

NO ML plays today

This one

ML plays went 1-0, + 1 unit

YTD 106-60, +33.85 units

[Formulawiz]

No no no, I mean the one that came the morning after this post:

This one

I dont have that any longer. If you have a question on the days picks then post it and I will go over it with you.

[Formulawiz]

ML plays went 2-1, + 0.8 units

YTD 133-72, +47.5 units

Plays later today.

[ShivaBowl]

ML plays went 2-1, + 0.8 units YTD 133-72, +47.5 units Plays later today.

Wiz, how did the M/L System go 2-1 yesterday?
I have CLE as a no play if CWS < +135
What am I doing wrong with M/L System?
Thanks

[Formulawiz]

Wiz, how did the M/L System go 2-1 yesterday?
I have CLE as a no play if CWS < +135
What am I doing wrong with M/L System?
Thanks

I dont have the exact PROJ ML now but I remember CWS had a PROJ - ML and therefore CLE would be the play since there was a 25 cent diff. For ex: CLE -125 and if for ex: CWS was a -105 there would be 30 cent diff. The reason I had a question mark next to CWS is if CWS went to a +ML the game would have dropped out

[prolexus]

Hi Wiz,

Thank you for your reply re: Sportrends. No concern about their records or integrity.

More specific, how do you determine the plays? Can you take me through a Saturday or Sunday for football. At what time do you check the lines and what website? How many lines do you check? What type of majority do you need to make or not make a play?

regards.

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

PHI?, CIN, ATL?, SD,

[ShivaBowl]

I dont have the exact PROJ ML now but I remember CWS had a PROJ - ML and therefore CLE would be the play since there was a 25 cent diff. For ex: CLE -125 and if for ex: CWS was a -105 there would be 30 cent diff.

CWS PROJ ML was +110

[Formulawiz]

Hi Wiz,

Thank you for your reply re: Sportrends. No concern about their records or integrity.

More specific, how do you determine the plays? Can you take me through a Saturday or Sunday for football. At what time do you check the lines and what website? How many lines do you check? What type of majority do you need to make or not make a play?

regards.

When the season starts we will do that.

[Formulawiz]

CWS PROJ ML was +110

I thought the PROJ ML had a minus sign in front of it. Are you sure.

[Formulawiz]

Shiva if your certain about CWS PROJ ML being 110 then here is the corrected record.

1-1, -0.2 units

YTD 132-72, +46.5 units.

[ShivaBowl]

I thought the PROJ ML had a minus sign in front of it. Are you sure.

Chicago Sox Gavin Floyd (10-10, 4.53) 143.0 110 -130

Thanks for your time!
BOL

[ShivaBowl]

08/18/11
H/A System Plays Went 2-0
WAS –130 W
SDP –120 W
As of 06/01/11
103-82 +7.37Units

08/19/11
H/A System Plays
LAD
MLW, if MLW > -150 ½ Unit play

[Romanov]

Shouldnt detroit be a play at -140?

[ShivaBowl]

Shouldnt detroit be a play at -140?

Yes, but CLE, W/2

[BrewMaster]

Record since 15May11: 188-165 (+21.8 units)

Scientific Approach 19Aug11:

STL
CLE
PHI, np > -141
MLW, np > -141
TB, np < +108
TEX
BOS, np > -140
NYY
LAD, np > -134
TOR, np > -117

Filtered (ARZ)
System NO PLAY if >-150. Good Luck

[Romanov]

Yes, but CLE, W/2

What? I'm talking about forumlawiz's ml picks

edit: okay i understand now

[Tommygunn]

Aug.18.11 P/T went 1-0 for 1.0 unit. Start date 06/12.
62-49 + 7.83 u.

[Tommygunn]

Complimentary Selection for 8/19/2011

Take Philly W/Oswalt over Washington W/Hernandez NO PLAY if > -140

[HoulihansTX]

March 26 - Current
Overall
(299-293) +16.22Units
__________________________
Filter: NP >-150

August 15
Bullpen Projection System
StL 8.77 L (-125)
Det 3.53 L (-140)
Cubs 1.58 W (-125)
Yanks 1.12 NP>-150
_________________________
TPR
Overall
(103-104) -8.02Units

StL 1.5 L (-125)
Det 1.3 L (-140)
Yanks 1.1 NP>-150

August 16
Bullpen Projection System
CWS 3.18 W (-110)
Balty 2.24 L (+120)
Cubs 2.18 L (-130)
Wash 2.14 W (+110)
SF 1.86 L (+130)
Mets 1.75 L (+115)
________________
TPR
TX 1.5 W (-130)
Mets 1.4 L (+115)

August 17
Bullpen System Projection
Det 6.13 L (-135)
Cubs 4.93 L (+105)
Toronto 4.53 NP
Fla 4.30 L (+110)
Boston 1.36 L (-105)
_______________________
TPR
Toronto 1.7 NP
TX 1.5 W (-105)
Boston 1.5 L (-105)
Det 1.3 L (-135)
Mets 1.3 W (+135)

August 18
Bullpen System Projection
Florida 6.96 L (+100)
TX 2.79 L (+130)
Toronto 1.60 W (-110)
SF 1.51 L (-120)
________________________
TPR
TX 1.5 L (+130)
Brew 1.0 L (+100)
Toronto 1.0 W (-110)

March 26 - Current
Overall
(303-305) +7.82Units
__________________________
Filter: NP >-150

August 19
Bullpen Projection System
Brew 5.90
TX 3.40
Toronto 3.19
Boston 2.59
Philly 1.65
Tampa 1.12
Colo 1.07

No Play
SF np(Hou W2) 6.88
Florida np L2 6.19
Balty np L2 3.44
Det np(Cleve W2) 1.54
Yanks np>-150 1.03
_________________________
TPR
Overall
(107-111) -11.72Units

TX 1.5
Boston 1.3
Tampa 1.3
Colo 1.1
Cincy 1.0
Toronto 1.0

No Play
Yanks np>-150

[Tommygunn]

P/T Aug.19.11

MIL
LAD

NP if >-150

Filtered:

ARZ (L2)

[steve3402]

Wiz,

Would Kan be a play using the M/L system?

Thanks,

[Formulawiz]

Wiz,

Would Kan be a play using the M/L system?

Thanks,

NO KC is not a play.

[Romanov]

Wiz, as of now I am seeing the m/l plays as:

Phillies, Reds, Brewers, and the Padres

Correct?

[Tommygunn]

Lotsa plays today, GL everyone

[Tommygunn]

Great night guys. Especially with all those plays. Really helped that Oswalt didn't start either. See ya tomorrow.

BOL

[Formulawiz]

ML plays went 2-0, + 2.0 units
PHI & ATL dropped out

YTD 134-72, + 48.5 units

Plays later today

[Formulawiz]

Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

CHC, MIL, SD, DET?

[Formulawiz]

Wiz, as of now I am seeing the m/l plays as:

Phillies, Reds, Brewers, and the Padres

Correct?

I believe MIL had to get to -135 to be a play. I believe NYM were at 110. Correct me if I am incorrect.