New MLB System Strategies, Based on Statistics.

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  • ShivaBowl
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 03-09-10
    • 5133

    #1891
    08/25/11
    S/A System Plays Went 5-1 +6.21 Units
    OAK L
    BAL W
    DET W
    ATL W
    KC W
    BOS W
    PIT No Play
    208-181 +26.71 Units

    08/26/11
    Today’s S/A Plays
    KC
    FLA if > +193
    TOR if > +131
    ATL if < -150
    LAA
    DET if < -102
    PIT if > +134

    TG, please check on them; I’m in a rush.
    Thanks
    Comment
    • ShivaBowl
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-09-10
      • 5133

      #1892
      Originally posted by Tommygunn
      Aug.25.11 P/T Plays

      Oak

      NP if >-150

      Originally posted by ShivaBowl

      08/25/11 H/A System Plays OAK
      TG, we are part of history now,
      Comment
      • ShivaBowl
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-09-10
        • 5133

        #1893
        08/25/11
        H/A System Plays Went 0-1

        As of 06/01/11
        106-84 +8.42 Units


        08/26/11
        H/A System Plays
        CWS L/2 One Unit Play
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #1894
          Originally posted by HoulihansTX
          March 26 - Current
          Overall
          (317-321) +5.25Units

          August 25
          Bullpen Projection System
          Det 2.14 L
          Boston 1.65
          _________________________
          TPR
          Overall
          (116-121) -13.62Units
          ]March 26 - Current
          Overall
          (319-321) +8.30Units

          August 26
          Bullpen Projection System
          Toronto 3.89
          Atl 3.42
          Cubs(1/2U) 3.00
          Det 2.67
          Colo 1.96
          KC 1.67
          Hou 1.22

          No Play
          Oak np(Bos W2) 4.81
          Wash np L2 4.01
          Yanks np>-150 3.09
          CWS np L2 1.46
          _________________________
          TPR
          Overall
          (116-121) -13.62Units
          Det 1.4
          Zona(Watch the Line) 1.4
          Colo(Both W2) 1.1

          No Play
          Boston np>-150 2.0
          Yanks np>-150 1.4
          StL np >-150 1.4
          TX np L2 1.2
          Comment
          • Tommygunn
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-26-09
            • 669

            #1895
            Aug.25 PT Plays went 0-1 for -1.0 units.

            I'm out of town all weekend too. I'll keep up on plays from my phone but I'll total the record on Tuesday morning.

            Thanks,

            TG
            Comment
            • Tommygunn
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-26-09
              • 669

              #1896
              Complimentary Selection for 8/26/2011



              Take LA Dodgers W/Lilly*over Colorado W/Rogers NO PLAY if > -130
              Comment
              • Tommygunn
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-26-09
                • 669

                #1897
                P/T Aug.26.11

                LAA

                No Plays

                Oak (Bos W3)
                Comment
                • Tommygunn
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-26-09
                  • 669

                  #1898
                  Originally posted by ShivaBowl
                  08/25/11
                  S/A System Plays Went 5-1 +6.21 Units
                  OAK L

                  BAL W

                  DET W
                  ATL W
                  KC W
                  BOS W
                  PIT No Play
                  208-181 +26.71 Units

                  08/26/11
                  Today’s S/A Plays
                  KC
                  FLA if > +193
                  TOR if > +131
                  ATL if < -150
                  LAA
                  DET if < -102
                  PIT if > +134

                  TG, please check on them; I’m in a rush.
                  Thanks
                  They're all right but you need to add:

                  SEA if >+118
                  Comment
                  • alydar
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 12-19-10
                    • 56

                    #1899
                    are there any brew master plays for friday?

                    i know he said something about being out of town
                    was just wondering
                    Comment
                    • Formulawiz
                      Restricted User
                      • 01-12-09
                      • 1589

                      #1900
                      ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 unit

                      YTD 141-72, +55.5 units

                      Plays later today. Right now we are seeing very high lines since the season is coming to an end. Expect very few plays.
                      Comment
                      • Formulawiz
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-12-09
                        • 1589

                        #1901
                        Todays ML plays. Fav must be < -140

                        LAD
                        Comment
                        • steve3402
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 04-12-11
                          • 69

                          #1902
                          Hi Wiz,
                          Does ARI become a play if they get below -140?
                          Thanks,
                          Comment
                          • HoulihansTX
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 02-12-09
                            • 30566

                            #1903
                            August 27
                            Bullpen Projection System
                            CWS
                            3.84
                            Angels 2.50
                            KC 2.33
                            Oak 1.66

                            No Play
                            Wash np L2 5.50
                            StL np>-150 5.32
                            Minny np L2 3.54
                            Colo np(Dodgers W2) 2.28
                            Toronto np L2 1.98
                            Cubs np L2 1.92
                            Philly np>-150 1.73
                            ___________________________
                            TPR
                            TX
                            1.2
                            Zona 1.0

                            No Play
                            Boston np >-150 2.0
                            Det np>-150 1.4
                            StL np>-150 1.4
                            Colo np(Dodgers W2) 1.0
                            Yanks PPD
                            Last edited by HoulihansTX; 08-27-11, 10:24 AM.
                            Comment
                            • ShivaBowl
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-09-10
                              • 5133

                              #1904
                              MLB 2011 Premium Internet Service Plays 159 - 72 ( + 80.95 Units )
                              Complimentary Selection from Sportrends, for 8/27/2011
                              Take Seattle W/Pineda over Chi W Sox W/Danks NO PLAY if CWS < -110
                              Comment
                              • ShivaBowl
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 03-09-10
                                • 5133

                                #1905
                                08/26/11
                                H/A System Plays Went 1-0

                                CWS, W
                                As of 06/01/11
                                107-84 +9.42 Units


                                08/27/11
                                H/A System Plays

                                DET ½ Unit
                                CWS

                                08/27/11
                                S/A System Plays

                                FLA R/L +1.5 +115
                                KC if > +123
                                LAA if > +159
                                CWS if < -107
                                210-185 +24.71 Units
                                Comment
                                • Formulawiz
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-12-09
                                  • 1589

                                  #1906
                                  Originally posted by steve3402
                                  Hi Wiz,
                                  Does ARI become a play if they get below -140?
                                  Thanks,
                                  YES
                                  Comment
                                  • ShivaBowl
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-09-10
                                    • 5133

                                    #1907
                                    08/27/11
                                    P/T System Plays
                                    No Plays


                                    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 08-28-11, 06:57 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • fataliz
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 01-04-10
                                      • 334

                                      #1908
                                      wonder if anyone has kept records for the Sportrends team stats for MLB? have some time on my hand and trying to do some backtracking to help Formula refine the system. cheers
                                      Comment
                                      • Formulawiz
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 01-12-09
                                        • 1589

                                        #1909
                                        What a comeback with LAD.
                                        ML plays went 1-0, +1.0 units
                                        I did not count ARI as a win which could have been a play.

                                        YTD 142-72, +56.5 units.

                                        Todays plays

                                        STL?, LAD?, keep an eye on the ML.
                                        Comment
                                        • Formulawiz
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-12-09
                                          • 1589

                                          #1910
                                          College football is starting in a few days.

                                          We will use the old football thread for both college and pro. I will handle the FL&A plays.
                                          Any volunteers for Excel spreadsheet and AI plays which include the O/U for AI.

                                          Lets post the filters again.

                                          Thanks Formulawiz.
                                          Comment
                                          • HoulihansTX
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 02-12-09
                                            • 30566

                                            #1911
                                            August 28
                                            Bullpen Projection System
                                            StL
                                            (Watch the Line) 4.92
                                            CWS 4.22
                                            Angels 3.58
                                            Det 2.18

                                            No Play
                                            Wash np>-150 3.91
                                            Cubs np L2 4.22
                                            Yanks np>-150 3.91
                                            Toronto np L2 2.41
                                            SF np>-150 2.26
                                            Colo(Dodgers W2) 1.42
                                            __________________________
                                            TPR
                                            Det
                                            1.4
                                            StL(Watch the Line) 1.4
                                            TX 1.2
                                            Zona 1.0

                                            No Play
                                            Yanks np >-150 1.3
                                            Colo np(Dodgers W2) 1.0
                                            Comment
                                            • ShivaBowl
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 03-09-10
                                              • 5133

                                              #1912
                                              08/27/11
                                              H/A System Plays Went 2-0

                                              DET ½ Unit, W
                                              CWS, W
                                              As of 06/01/11
                                              109-84 +10.92Units

                                              08/28/11
                                              H/A System Plays
                                              CWS
                                              LAA

                                              08/28/11
                                              S/A System Plays

                                              CIN if < -150
                                              DET if < -150
                                              PIT if > +133
                                              LAA
                                              212-186 +26.30Units

                                              08/28/11
                                              P/T System Plays

                                              CWS
                                              LAA
                                              Comment
                                              • Tommygunn
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-26-09
                                                • 669

                                                #1913
                                                Complimentary Selection for 8/28/2011



                                                Take Tampa Bay W/Price*over Toronto W/Morrow NO PLAY if > -120


                                                Thanks for covering for me Shiva. Been really busy out of town.
                                                Comment
                                                • Joe Dogs
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-20-09
                                                  • 1931

                                                  #1914
                                                  I keep an eye on this thread.

                                                  Just like to thank you guys for all your time and effort.

                                                  Thanks again....Keep up the great work.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • AdamL2424
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-24-08
                                                    • 1175

                                                    #1915
                                                    Hey formula I'd be willing to do the AI O/U plays for NCAA FB... Need the filters
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Aussiecapper101
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-04-10
                                                      • 2220

                                                      #1916
                                                      Originally posted by Joe Dogs
                                                      I keep an eye on this thread. Just like to thank you guys for all your time and effort. Thanks again....Keep up the great work.
                                                      true dat, great work fellas.

                                                      And the bloody angels cost me money today haha
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Spartacuss
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 06-14-10
                                                        • 137

                                                        #1917
                                                        FW your on 66% Great work..............
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Formulawiz
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 01-12-09
                                                          • 1589

                                                          #1918
                                                          NO ML plays yesterday.

                                                          YTD 142-72, +56.5 Units

                                                          Plays later today
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Formulawiz
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 01-12-09
                                                            • 1589

                                                            #1919
                                                            Today ML plays

                                                            NYM, HOU, LAA?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • barts185
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-13-09
                                                              • 815

                                                              #1920
                                                              Just a general suggestion that people have multiple places of checking the innings pitched for starters.

                                                              The site doesn't maintain internal consistency and will sometimes have different numbers for the same pitcher on different pages. I've mentioned some other examples in the past, but am not coming here everyday to post when it is incorrect. Today, Alex Smith of Colorado is listed as having either 6.0 or 21.0 innings pitched depending on which page you look at. The 21.0 is correct.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jolmscheid
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 02-20-10
                                                                • 3256

                                                                #1921
                                                                Nice work guys...great numbers....keep it rolling...looking forward to football...does football perform as well as MLB?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HoulihansTX
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 02-12-09
                                                                  • 30566

                                                                  #1922
                                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                  March 26 - Current
                                                                  Overall
                                                                  (319-321) +8.30Units

                                                                  August 26
                                                                  Bullpen Projection System
                                                                  Toronto 3.89 L (+125)
                                                                  Atl 3.42 L (-130)
                                                                  Cubs(1/2U) 3.00 L (+165)
                                                                  Det 2.67 W (-135)
                                                                  Colo 1.96 L (+110)
                                                                  KC 1.67 L (+150)
                                                                  Hou 1.22 L (+220)
                                                                  _________________________
                                                                  TPR
                                                                  Overall
                                                                  (116-121) -13.62Units
                                                                  Det 1.4 W (-135)
                                                                  Zona(Watch the Line) 1.4 No Play>-150
                                                                  Colo(Both W2) 1.1 L (+110)
                                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                  August 27
                                                                  Bullpen Projection System
                                                                  CWS 3.84 W (+100)
                                                                  Angels 2.50 W (+150)
                                                                  KC 2.33 W (+155)
                                                                  Oak 1.66 L (+220)
                                                                  ___________________________
                                                                  TPR
                                                                  TX 1.2 NP>-150
                                                                  Zona 1.0 W (-140)
                                                                  Originally posted by HoulihansTX
                                                                  August 28
                                                                  Bullpen Projection System
                                                                  StL(Watch the Line) 4.92 W (-140)
                                                                  CWS 4.22 W (-120)
                                                                  Angels 3.58 L (+110)
                                                                  Det 2.18 L (-115)
                                                                  __________________________
                                                                  TPR
                                                                  Det 1.4 L (-115)
                                                                  StL(Watch the Line) 1.4 W (-140)
                                                                  TX 1.2 W (-120)
                                                                  Zona 1.0 W (-145)
                                                                  March 26 - Current
                                                                  Overall
                                                                  (325-330) +6.40Units

                                                                  August 29
                                                                  Bullpen Projection System
                                                                  Angels 4.56
                                                                  Cleve 2.19
                                                                  Hou 1.93
                                                                  Cincy 1.92
                                                                  Tampa 1.31

                                                                  No Play
                                                                  Cubs np L2 1.48
                                                                  Yanks np>-150 1.44
                                                                  CWS np>-150 1.28
                                                                  Det np>-150 1.24
                                                                  ____________________
                                                                  TPR
                                                                  Overall
                                                                  (121-123) -10.77Units
                                                                  No Play
                                                                  Yanks np>-150 1.3
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • ShivaBowl
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 03-09-10
                                                                    • 5133

                                                                    #1923
                                                                    08/28/11
                                                                    H/A System Plays Went 1-1

                                                                    As of 06/01/11
                                                                    110-85 +10.92Units

                                                                    08/29/11
                                                                    H/A System Plays
                                                                    No Plays

                                                                    08/29/11
                                                                    S/A System Plays
                                                                    CLE
                                                                    213-188 +24.99Units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • steve3402
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 04-12-11
                                                                      • 69

                                                                      #1924
                                                                      Hi Wiz,

                                                                      Could you share how you calculate LAA as a play? I'm using a Projected ML of -120 for LAA giving a differential of 10 cents. Am I doing this the wrong way?

                                                                      Thanks,
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Formulawiz
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 01-12-09
                                                                        • 1589

                                                                        #1925
                                                                        Originally posted by barts185
                                                                        Just a general suggestion that people have multiple places of checking the innings pitched for starters.

                                                                        The site doesn't maintain internal consistency and will sometimes have different numbers for the same pitcher on different pages. I've mentioned some other examples in the past, but am not coming here everyday to post when it is incorrect. Today, Alex Smith of Colorado is listed as having either 6.0 or 21.0 innings pitched depending on which page you look at. The 21.0 is correct.
                                                                        For what its worth. I dont agree. He pitched in the AL for CLE for 15 innings and COL in NL for only 6. I would go with 6 IP because its another league. This situation came up recently. The information on the sportrends site probably comes from 2 different sources and you have to be careful when evaluating the pitchers. To me COL would not be a play.
                                                                        Comment
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