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PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds, Picks, Predictions: Champions League Blockbuster Kicks off 2023 in Style

Emanuel Rosu

Last Updated: February 13, 2023 5:51 PM EST • 2 min 23 sec read.

Thomas Muller of Bayern Munich celebrates his goal with teammates during the German championship Bundesliga match between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum at Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany. Photo by Marcel Engelbrecht / firo Sportphoto / DPPI via AFP
Thomas Muller of Bayern Munich celebrates his goal with teammates during the German championship Bundesliga match between Bayern Munich and VfL Bochum at Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany. Photo by Marcel Engelbrecht / firo Sportphoto / DPPI via AFP

The Champions League returns after a two-month break with a huge clash between two of the competition’s favorites. Paris Saint-Germain and Bayern Munich face off at the Parc des Princes in Paris. Here are our PSG vs. Bayern picks and predictions.

Kylian Mbappe and Messi both had medical issues to deal with, but PSG head coach Christophe Galtier hopes to have at least one of them in the starting lineup against Bayern. At +750 via FanDuel, PSG sit third in the odds race to triumph in this season’s Champions League. Bayern are even better placed at +600, only behind Manchester City at +200.

Here is our PSG vs. Bayern Munich pick (odds via PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Champions League odds.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Pick

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Over 2.5 Goals (-189 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

You just can’t imagine these two keeping it tight. Both PSG and Bayern are well known for their offensive appetite, both know that defending is not their best weapon, and both are desperate to go through. The two managers, PSG’s Galtier and Bayern’s Nagelsmann, are facing off in one of the biggest games in their careers to date. The pressure is huge, but both teams are expected to fully invest themselves in the hope of controlling the match rather than absorbing the opposing attacks.

New recruits Joao Cancelo and Yann Sommer are expected to make their Champions League debut in the Bayern shirt, while Sadio Made, Manuel Neuer and Lucas Hernandez are definitely not going to feature. Neuer and Hernandez are unlikely to make their return to match action until the end of the campaign after being sidelined with long-term injuries. At PSG, Messi and Kylian Mbappe are doubtful, but both might still be included in the match squad. At least one will start against Bayern on Tuesday night.

PSG and Bayern clashed in the 2020-21 Champions League quarterfinals, as well as in the 2020 final. Bayern won the final in 2020, but lost on away goals the following season to allow PSG a seat in the semifinals. Both PSG and Bayern are unbeaten in the current edition of the Champions League, with Bayern winning all their six confrontations in the group stage.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Best Odds

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMPointsBet
Over 2.5Over 2.5 Over 2.5Over 2.5
-190-205-192-189

PointsBet offers the best return for the Over 2.5 betting option at PSG vs. Bayern Munich, but the difference is almost insignificant to what DraftKings and Bet MGM have on the table.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Odds Analysis

Bookmakers regard Bayern Munich as the favorites to advance from this double-legged tie. FanDuel Sportsbook has them at -158 to progress, with PSG at +128. 

A PSG win is valued at +160 by the same sportsbook, with a Bayern win at +155. BetMGM has a PSG triumph on Tuesday night at an excellent +165, while a Bayern win is priced at +145. If you fancy a parlay, BetMGM has both teams to score, added to a PSG win, and Over 9.5 total corners at +575.

PSG vs. Bayern Munich Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Feb. 14, 3 p.m. ET
  • Coverage: fuboTV, Paramount+
  • Location: Parc des Princes Stadium, Paris, France
  • Weather: 39 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 5-mph winds

Paris Saint-Germain vs. Bayern pick made 2/13/2022 at 10:38 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Emanuel Rosu
Emanuel Rosu has freelanced as a soccer specialist for the BBC, The Guardian, FourFourTwo, Goal, and the New York Times. He's part of the "Ballon d'Or" jury, representing Romania in the vote that rewards the best soccer player in the world each year. He is based in Bucharest, Romania.