Super Bowl 1st Drive Props, Odds: Best Predictions for Early Wins

Our breakdown of the Super Bowl 1st drive prop bets and odds for Chiefs vs. 49ers can help you get off to winning ways early in the Big Game using NFL odds from our best sportsbooks.

One of the best things about betting on Super Bowl 2024 is the incredible volume and variety of Super Bowl odds to choose from. But you don't need to wait four quarters to cash in on your Super Bowl predictions on Feb. 11.

Some of our best Super Bowl betting sites are offering unique prop bets on the first drive for the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs - from which players will be involved to how successful these opening drives and plays will be.

Unlike some popular Super Bowl prop bet odds, these markets have strong roots in football strategy and game planning, but there's enough volatility to keep things interesting and reward long-shot bettors.

That helps make it a popular way to bet on the big game for longtime bettors and newcomers alike. These bets won't cash earlier than wagers on the Super Bowl coin toss odds but they can bring early gratification when settling in to watch the Big Game.

Along with our Super Bowl player props and Chiefs vs. 49ers prediction, here's a look at the best Super Bowl 2024 1st drive props and other player firsts and quick hits using odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.

How to bet on opening drive of Chiefs vs. 49ers

Betting on the first drive of Super Bowl 2024 is not only a fun way to get an immediate thrill for Chiefs vs. 49ers, but it's also a hyper-specific way to profit off predicting the early script for the Super Bowl.

Yes, I use that term deliberately. Top offensive play-callers like Andy Reid (Chiefs) and Kyle Shanahan (49ers) will "script" the first 15-25 plays for their offense to open the game, both as a way of starting strong and setting up key plays later in the game.

That means wagering on what will occur on the game's opening drive isn't just a dart throw - it's a bet on the predetermined game plan that these coaches have already designed before you can even cash on the Super Bowl national anthem odds.

Of course, it's easier said than done to accurately predict what will happen early in each team's game script. But the odds are intriguing if you can.

We'll have predictions on these props as we get closer to kickoff, but we've compiled the best odds for these unique markets with our initial thoughts on each one. Be sure to check back here regularly for the best quick-hit prop bets of Super Bowl 2024, which are among my favorite wagers for the big game.

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Super Bowl 1st drive odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

Here's an overview of some of the best markets from our best sports betting sites for the opening drive of Super Bowl 58. We've also included the implied probability for the best odds in every market using our odds converter, which can be quite the handy tool during Super Bowl season.

Note that the overall implied probability will almost always exceed 100% - except for the generous 50/50 odds offered by some shops for the Super Bowl coin toss - as sportsbooks take a "hold" of every market to generate profit. That's where it pays to shop around when multiple options are available.

1st offensive play of Super Bowl 2024

Outside of betting on the Super Bowl opening kickoff odds - another of my favorite betting markets - this is the quickest way to profit off the on-field results of Super Bowl 2024. It's also an interesting one to try to handicap.

The 49ers ran the ball on 12 of their 19 opening plays this season (63.2%), including in both playoff games, while the Chiefs ran it 12 of 20 times (60%) and just once this postseason. The best price on rush (-150 via DraftKings) implies 60% odds, which just barely clears what we'd want based strictly on past results.

You can also bet on the first play for the Chiefs and 49ers individually at similar odds, but we're getting a better price on the overall game result when shopping around our best sportsbooks.

Total net yards gained on 1st offensive play

This is another bet that cashes within seconds, and it's one that feels like a legitimate value opportunity ahead of Super Bowl 58.

The 49ers have averaged 9.2 yards on their first play entering Sunday, and they've opened with at least a four-yard gain in 14 of their 19 games (73.7%). The Chiefs average a modest total of 5.1 yards on their first play from scrimmage, but they've still cleared four yards in 12 of 20 games (60%) - well above what we'd expect based on these -115 odds from DraftKings.

Total yards on opening drive of Super Bowl 2024

This is an incredible market that should be offered across all of our best NFL betting sites, but we'll have to settle with prices from DraftKings that are still worth betting into.

These teams have averaged 45.1 yards on their opening drives this season, and they've cleared this total 30 of 39 times. It's not the sexiest thing to place a bet on at -135 odds, but the numbers scream value here.

Number of plays in opening drive of Super Bowl 2024

As mentioned above, these teams are averaging nearly 50 yards per drive to open each game, and they've punted just 12 times in 39 opening drives - with some of those drives extending longer than a few plays, too.

I'd rather bet the yardage total of the first drive, especially with these steep odds from bet365 on the Over, but I wouldn't want to be sweating the Under myself.

Offensive score on 1st drive of Super Bowl 2024

This is a fairly straightforward bet with decent odds in either direction, but I'm not sure I'd love betting into either side here.

While these teams have put up solid yardage on their first drive of the game, they've scored points on just 22 of those 39 opening drives (56.4%). Then consider these defenses have allowed first-drive points just 15 times in 39 tries (38.5%).

You can also bet on whether either team will score a touchdown on their opening drive at +128 via FanDuel, which has similarly happened 15 times in 39 opening drives between these two teams. If you think both teams will score on their first possession, you can get +650 odds via DraftKings.

If you want to get more specific with each side's opening drive, you can bet into the team markets below.

Chiefs 1st drive result in Super Bowl 2024

These are among the most popular bets offered in this general market, as four of our five best sports betting apps are offering odds on these team-specific wagers.

While an early punt is the clear favorite for the Chiefs, that happened just eight times in 20 opening drives this season (40%), while 49ers opponents punted just seven of 19 times to start the game (36.8%). That suggests betting opportunity beyond the first option, as "punt" is accounting for nearly 50% of the market value.

While a touchdown is tempting at +260 odds via FanDuel, my money is on a field-goal attempt, which was how this team opened 30% of its drives this season. That's much higher than the 20.41% implied probability for these +390 odds via FanDuel.

You can also bet on two-way "grouped results" (score vs. no score) or long-shot "granular results" (passing TD, fumble lost, etc) at DraftKings. The risk is much higher with the latter market, in particular, and I tend to prefer eliminating variables where possible when trying to profit off something like an early game script.

In addition, you can bet on whether the Chiefs' opening drive will cross the 50-yard line (-155), the 35-yard line (+100), or the 20-yard line (+150), or whether it will feature a play of at least 20 yards (+140), among other bets at DraftKings.

49ers 1st drive result in Super Bowl 2024

While the 49ers scored a touchdown on 10 of their 19 opening drives (52.6%), I'm skeptical of them doing so against this elite Chiefs defense, which forced a punt on 12 of 20 opposing drives to start the game (60%). That seems like value to me on +130 odds via DraftKings on an opening-drive punt for Brock Purdy and Co.

If you disagree with me (I won't be offended), you can bet on San Francisco's offense crossing the 50-yard line (-190), 35-yard line (-125), or 20-yard line (+130) or breaking off a 20-yard play (+140) on its opening drive as some of the myriad niche markets offered by DraftKings.

Chiefs 1st drive TD scorer in Super Bowl 2024

This is a market that demands extra attention to detail, as it only pays out if the player scores on the Chiefs' opening drive. That's a key difference from the Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds offered by all of our major books, which include the first touchdown scorer overall.

Because of that extra stipulation, I tend to avoid markets like this, though it helps to have two sportsbooks to choose from. You can also bet on a few other long-shot options like Kadarius Toney (+3300), Justin Watson (+4000), Mecole Hardman (+6000), and Noah Gray (+6000) at bet365.

This is also another way to bet against a touchdown on the Chiefs' opening drive, though the -290 price will likely deter most from actually doing that.

49ers 1st drive TD scorer in Super Bowl 2024

As I mentioned above with the Chiefs' side of this market, you have to be aware that this bet will only cash if the 49ers score a touchdown on the first drive. Given my skepticism of that happening, I'm not terribly compelled by this market.

Here's my one caveat: if San Francisco does drive down the length of the field on its opening possession, that could mean an extended workload for Christian McCaffrey on what may be a 75-yard drive. Could Elijah Mitchell get a shot in the red zone to give McCaffrey a breather? And isn't it worth 50/1 odds in case he does?

Player to catch a pass on 1st drive of Super Bowl 2024

This market feels like a combination of a "first drive" prop and a "player first" prop, which is why we have it as the transition between the two. And it's among the most fun props to bet across any Super Bowl market.

As with any market without a "no" option, tread carefully with this one. That said, it's the absolute perfect way to profit off a proper game script prediction, and we do have two books with competitive odds across both teams' stars. I'm especially drawn to the misaligned prices on Brandon Aiyuk (+120) and Elijah Mitchell (+1100), who both have much shorter odds at DraftKings.

You'll find this market split by team at bet365, and you don't have to worry about which team gets the ball first, as this bet will cash based on each team's first drive. If either team sustains a long drive to start, this could be a profitable market to bet into.

Super Bowl player firsts odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

These "player firsts" bets will feel similar to the props above, but they aren't limited to the first drive of the game. Still, many of these bets could cash on the opening drive or even the first play of Super Bowl 2024.

That ambiguity makes for a thrilling watch whenever you bet these props, which is why they're among my favorite ways to sweat out the first quarter. Here's a look at the top "player first" prop bets with the best odds from DraftKings and FanDuel and implied probability using our odds converter.

Yards gained on 1st reception

This is a pretty difficult market to accurately handicap. Looking at a player's average will be skewed by their longest catches, while looking at their median doesn't properly account for short-yardage situations, either.

It shouldn't surprise anyone to see 49ers wideout Brandon Aiyuk among the highest totals after he ranked second in the NFL in yards per reception (17.9). He also has a lower total at FanDuel compared to DraftKings, which signals value on one of those two numbers. (I'd rather bet Over 13.5 than Under 14.5, personally.)

If I'm targeting anyone specifically in this market, it's the two starting running backs, both of whom could enjoy a chunk gain on third down on the game's opening drive to take them over their relatively low totals.

Yards gained on 1st rush attempt

All four players in this market have the Under priced as the favorite, but I'm not sure that's the right direction to go in this market.

McCaffrey led all running backs in yards per attempt (5.4) and faces a Chiefs defense that struggles to defend power run plays, which feels like a match made in heaven. Pacheco ranked just outside the top 10 in YPC (4.6) and doesn't face the stiffest challenge with the 49ers' defensive front, either.

The quarterbacks pose the more interesting dilemma. Purdy averaged just 3.7 yards per carry in the regular season but has scampered for 5.6 yards per tote this postseason. Mahomes is rushing for 5.4 yards himself in these playoffs, and his first scramble went for 11 yards in the AFC Championship.

Yards gained on 1st completion

While Mahomes is the one known for having the cannon arm, Purdy led the league in yards per completion (13.9) and opened with a gain of 11-plus yards in each of his two postseason starts. That'll be tougher against arguably the best pass defense in the NFL on the other side.

Mahomes' first gain went for four yards in the AFC Championship, though that was mostly by design against a Baltimore Ravens defense that gave up easy throws to take away the deep shot. Mahomes' first throw went for 10-plus yards in his previous two playoff starts, and he opened last year's Super Bowl with a 20-yard strike.

Player to complete 1st pass attempt

This market is offered at both DraftKings and bet365, with the latter also offering prop bets on how many completions each quarterback will have on the first drive.

You can also bet on both teams to complete their first pass (-108 via FanDuel), though I'd rather bet on them individually to hit their mark. Purdy ranked second among full-time starters in completion rate (69.4%), but I have more faith in Mahomes (67.2%) completing his first toss against a less menacing pass defense.

Super Bowl quick hits odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

The prop bets in this section, listed under "quick hits" at DraftKings and "Super Bowl specials" at bet365, feature longer odds and a higher degree of randomness. They'll almost certainly be settled by the end of the first quarter, too, if not on the first drive.

That sounds a lot like the rest of the props in this article, but these are a little more unpredictable. I wouldn't recommend betting on these markets with the expectation of cashing, but that doesn't mean you can't find some worthwhile value on the board.

Here's a look at the best quick hits prop bets at DraftKings and their implied probability using our odds converter.

Result of 1st play of Super Bowl 2024

While this feels like it should be under the first drive odds, DraftKings has included this niche market under "quick hits," which gives you an idea of the potential pitfalls of this one-way market. (If these "yes" odds were offered at a fair price, you'd typically expect a "no" option alongside them.)

The first play of Super Bowl 53 was a first down. Since then, the last four Super Bowls - including when these teams met in 2020 - have opened with a play of less than 10 yards that also wasn't any of these options listed.

We did see a safety on the first play of Super Bowl 48, but I wouldn't go chasing 200/1 odds because of a crazy outlier result. This is a market to bet into for pure entertainment, not for value.

Player to record 1st reception of Super Bowl 2024

I don't typically advise betting on props that combine players from both teams into one all-for-one market like this, as the team that starts with the ball ends up with a huge advantage. If you want a 50/50 proposition to sweat, you can bet on the coin toss.

Instead, I try to stick to team-specific markets when betting props like this one or the first touchdown scorer, unless the overall game market offers more than double the price of the team-specific market. That is the case here with stars like Travis Kelce (+425), Deebo Samuel (+700), and Isiah Pacheco (+850), who are all dealing at much better odds than they are in the markets listed below.

Chiefs 1st reception in Super Bowl 2024

While DraftKings only offers a combined market for first reception, bet365 gives us the option to bet on each team's first pass-catcher. That spells some serious value opportunities, especially for players further down the list.

The first name that stands out is Kelce, who has hauled in Kansas City's first catch in six of 20 games (30%), including two of three playoff contests. That said, his odds for the first catch of the game (+425 via DraftKings) are a better value than his odds for the Chiefs' first reception.

In this market, my eyes are on Noah Gray (+1400) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+1600), who have each caught the first ball for Kansas City in multiple games this season. Gray has done so twice in the last seven weeks and saw a season-high five targets in the AFC Championship.

49ers 1st reception in Super Bowl 2024

The 49ers have so many talented playmakers that, predictably, their top four weapons are all dealing at +350 odds or shorter at bet365. Those four players have also been responsible for the first catch in all 19 of their team's games this season.

That said, Aiyuk (six) has done so more than McCaffrey (five), Samuel (five), or Kittle (three), so it's a little curious to see him dealing as the third choice at +325 odds. He was on the receiving end of Brock Purdy's first completion in the NFC Championship, and he'd be our choice among the top four options to repeat that in Super Bowl 58.

I'm also intrigued by Kyle Juszczyk, who saw the first target of the NFC title game but couldn't haul it in. He has +3000 odds at DraftKings to have the first catch of the game, though, so that's the first bet I'd make before circling back to this one.

Player to record first 1st down of Super Bowl 2024

This is a wild market from DraftKings, and I'm not even listing the players with longer than 20/1 odds - a group that includes Brock Purdy (+2500), Noah Gray (+2500), and Kyle Juszczyk (+3500), all of whom I like at long odds.

If I were to bet someone more conventional in this market, it would have to be one of the two starting running backs. Truthfully, though, this is the type of prop bet where I'd only target a long shot, as the volatility of this result is something worth betting into and not trying to avoid at short odds.

Team to score 1st in Super Bowl 2024

This is another prop that feels only slightly more practical to bet than the coin toss, in part because the coin toss itself determines which team starts with the ball.

That said, I do think the more experienced Chiefs have a better shot of scoring on their opening drive than the 49ers, so take that for what you will. Personally, this isn't a bet I'd bet into, but that's how I would try to approach it.

1st team to reach red zone in Super Bowl 2024

This market, like the one above it, feels a little too correlated to the opening coin toss for me to bet into it with any degree of confidence.

That said, I do expect the Chiefs to find more offensive success early in the game compared to the 49ers, though that doesn't necessarily mean a trip to the red zone. I'd rather bet on the Chiefs crossing the 20-yard line on their opening drive (+150 via DraftKings), but both bets feel like a shot in the dark.

Time of 1st score of Super Bowl 2024

There are a handful of sportsbooks offering prop bets like this one at various times and odds. This market has identical odds in both directions, though, with a total that probably should be further skewed to the Over.

While last year's Super Bowl got off to a quick start with two opening-drive touchdowns, the big game has typically opened with a slow burn. Before last year, six consecutive Super Bowls went the opening six minutes without a score - with two featuring a scoreless first quarter.

Only one of the Chiefs' last nine games saw a score in the first six minutes, and just one of the 49ers' last four featured an early score. It took over seven minutes for these teams to score in their Super Bowl matchup in 2020, and I wouldn't be surprised to see a repeat performance this season.

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