Saints vs. Rams NFL Player Props, Odds: TNF Prop Bets

Check out our top Saints vs. Rams NFL player props for Thursday Night Football based on the best NFL odds.

Last Updated: December 21, 2023 7:59 PM EST • 6 minute read

The Los Angeles Rams host the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football in a star-studded NFC duel to kick off Week 16, and we have you covered with our top Saints vs. Rams NFL player props for Thursday Night Football based on the best TNF odds.

Entering Week 16, the New Orleans Saints (7-7) and Los Angeles Rams (7-7) are each on the postseason bubble according to the latest NFL playoff odds. Both sides have the star power to pull out a crucial victory on Thursday Night Football, which kicks off the Week 16 slate.

The Rams' recent success, bolstered by quarterback Matthew Stafford and running back Kyren Williams, has propelled them to a 4-1 record in their last five games. On the other side, the Saints need a strong showing from Alvin Kamara amid injuries to the team's receiving corps.

In addition to our Saints vs. Rams predictions and as part of our Week 16 NFL predictions, here are our best Saints vs. Rams NFL player props for Thursday Night Football (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Saints vs. Rams NFL player props: Thursday Night Football

Kyren Williams Over 88.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

If you haven't been following Williams' rise among the ranks of the NFL's elite tailbacks, take a seat on Thursday and get your popcorn ready.

Williams may be relatively new to the scene, but the second-year back is no fluke. Through 15 weeks, the former Notre Dame star leads all running backs in yards per game (95.3) and success rate (59.7%), and he ranks second in yards before contact (617) and third in broken tackles (20) despite missing four games.

He's averaging a ridiculous 131 yards over his last five games, clearing this total by 25-plus yards in four of them and finishing with exactly 88 yards in the other. That came against the league's No. 1 overall defense in Cleveland - one week before he torched the No. 2 defense in Baltimore for 114 yards.

Now he faces a Saints defense that has long prided itself on stopping the run but has been brutally inconsistent this year. New Orleans held Saquon Barkley to his fourth-lowest total ever (14 yards) in last week's blowout win, though a negative game script led to the New York Giants back seeing the fifth-fewest rushes (nine) and ninth-fewest snaps (31) of his career.

Prior to that, the Saints had surrendered at least 113 rushing yards in eight straight games, and they've allowed the NFL's second-most rushing yards per game (154.1) and per carry (5.0) since Week 6. Williams has seen 73 of his team's 89 handoffs over the last three weeks, so he'll be well-positioned to take advantage on Thursday.

This prop is also dealing a yard higher at FanDuel and with a worse price at BetMGM (-115), Caesars (-123), and DraftKings (-125), which makes these odds at bet365 all the more appealing as an outlier among our best sports betting sites.

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Matthew Stafford Over 1.5 passing TDs (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Stafford fell below this mark in eight of his first nine starts, but he's played like one of the NFL's best quarterbacks over the past month. Fittingly, his touchdown production has finally returned to form.

Since Week 12, Stafford has led the league in passing TDs (12), and he's finished with multiple passing scores in all four contests. He also ranks in the top five in passing yards (265 YPG) and big-time throws (nine) in that stretch, and he slots second among starters in passer rating (112.6) behind only NFL MVP odds favorite Brock Purdy over those four weeks.

Everything seems to be clicking for Stafford down the stretch, and I don't see that changing against the Saints, who have feasted on a diet of below-average passers. The best QBs on their schedule have found the holes in this New Orleans secondary, and I'd expect Stafford to do the same.

Almost every projection model has Stafford between 1.65 and 1.80 passing TDs, so we'll comfortably lay the -125 odds with bet365, as the rest of our best live betting sites deal this prop anywhere from -135 to -160.

Our Shane Jackson discusses more plays in his Matthew Stafford player props.

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Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I wasn't originally intending to bet three Overs for this game, which carries a modest betting total between 45.5 and 46.5 across our best sports betting apps. Then I saw this prop total and nearly spit out my drink.

The fine folks at FanDuel are often the outliers in the player props market, and they're offering Kamara's receiving total a full three yards lower than market consensus across our best sportsbooks. That's to say nothing of the fact that Kamara leads all running backs in receiving yards per game (40.5) and has easily cleared this total in nine of 11 starts (81.8%).

The only knock against this bet is that Los Angeles is allowing the fewest receiving yards to opposing running backs (20.3), which is surely the reason we're catching such a low total. Still, I don't expect the Saints to use Kamara strictly as a running back with wideouts Chris Olave (ankle) and Michael Thomas (knee) both on the mend.

Last week, Kamara led the team in receiving yards (44) for the second time in his last eight games, totaling at least 40 yards in six of them. This will be his toughest matchup of the year, but he should get plenty of opportunities to cash this ticket.

Saints-Rams player props for Thursday Night Football made Wednesday at 2:10 a.m. ET

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Written by:
C Jackson Cowart

C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.