Ja'Marr Chase SNF Player Prop Bets: Touchdown Picks & Odds

Ja’Marr Chase will look to follow up last week’s electric performance with another great one, as his Cincinnati Bengals take on the New York Giants. Our Mike Spector expects a big night for QB Joe Burrow in his Bengals vs. Giants prediction, and Chase should be the beneficiary, as usual.

Despite three explosive weeks in a row, the latest Sunday Night Football odds aren’t suggesting that Chase is in for a huge night. If you think the best Ja’Marr Chase SNF player prop bets are Overs, then the lines are very favorable.

But are Bengals vs. Giants SNF player prop bet bettors walking into traps?

Chase has 396 yards and five touchdowns in the last three weeks, yet his receiving total is set between just 74.5 and 76.5 this week. Is the Giants’ defense good enough to shut Chase down?

Ja'Marr Chase prop predictions for Sunday Night Football

• Ja'Marr Chase touchdown pick: First touchdown scorer (+700 via FanDuel) ⭐
• Ja'Marr Chase Under 76.5 receiving yards (+100 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
• Ja'Marr Chase Under 5.5 receptions (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

NFL odds subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Ja'Marr Chase touchdown pick vs. Giants

Ja'Marr Chase first touchdown scorer (+700) ⭐

Best odds: +700 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 12.50%

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The Bengals are going to have some trouble against the Giants’ secondary. The Giants have allowed just seven passing touchdowns this season. No quarterback has thrown more than two touchdowns against them in a game.

Because of that, it’s hard to be confident in Chase scoring tonight, even if he has scored five touchdowns in the last three weeks. The best price for his anytime touchdown scorer prop is +100. In this matchup, it doesn’t seem right to say Chase has a 50/50 shot of scoring. Therefore, the best way to approach this is to take a long shot and try to get lucky.

Right now, the prices for Chase to be the first touchdown scorer range from +550 to +700 across our NFL prop betting sites. This gives him a 15% chance or less of accomplishing this. While those odds aren’t good, they’re much more realistic and favorable than what’s being asked for with his other touchdown-scoring props.

Ja'Marr Chase player props

NFL picks made Sunday; odds subject to change. Our NEW NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Ja'Marr Chase Under 76.5 receiving yards (+100) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +100 via bet365 | Implied probability: 50%

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Not only is bet365 offering the highest total, but it’s also offering the best price for the under. When you consider that Caesars is asking -118 for Under 74.5, an implied probability of 54.13%, it’s clear to see why the bet365 bet is so valuable.

Granted, Chase is coming off a 193-yard game, and he’s had at least 85 yards in each of his last three games. But oddsmakers know that, and they’re willing to set this number this low for a prime-time game anyway.

The Giants’ pass defense is allowing just 200.6 passing yards per game, and it seems that our best NFL betting sites expect them to get the better of Chase, Burrow, and the rest of the Bengals offense this week.

When a number seems this good, it’s generally best to side with the oddsmakers, not the public.

I dive deeper into my expectations for the Bengals QB with my Joe Burrow SNF player prop bets.

Ja'Marr Chase Under 5.5 receptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 45.45%

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Chase had 10 receptions last week, marking his third game this year with at least six receptions. Yet, that performance also marked the first time that Chase has caught more than six passes in a game this season.

The Giants are allowing 22.6 completions per game, but they’re allowing a modest 8.9 yards per completion. While this could lead to Chase racking up a bunch of catches and not a lot of yards, that’s a role that’s going to be reserved for other weapons. Chase continues to be the deep-route runner for Cincinnati.

The price for this Over ranges from -144 to -156. The -156 odds imply that Chase has a nearly 61% chance of hitting this Over, which is way too high when you look at what he and the Giants have done this season.

Sunday Night Football game info

• Matchup: Bengals vs. Giants
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET 
• Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J.
• How to watch: NBC/Peacock
• Weather: 61 degrees, 40% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph E
• Favorite: Bengals -3.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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