In Week 11, Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts completed 14 out of 22 passes for 150 yards, with zero touchdowns and one interception in the Eagles' 21-17 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite facing challenges in the passing game, Hurts contributed with two rushing touchdowns, bringing his season total to nine.
He has now thrown for fewer than 210 yards in consecutive games after throwing for at least 276 in six straight. How will he fare this weekend against the ninth-best passing defense in the NFL?
Check out our NFL Week 12 predictions and NFL Week 12 player props to accompany our best Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for the Buffalo Bills vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 12 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Jalen Hurts NFL player prop predictions for Week 12
- Jalen Hurts Over 242.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jalen Hurts Over 21.5 completions (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
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Jalen Hurts player props
Jalen Hurts Over 242.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Hurts has thrown for just 357 yards in his last two games, which has definitely impacted how sportsbooks view his passing total this week. Hurts is averaging 249.7 passing yards per game, despite his last two games and the two performances of less than 200 yards he had to start the season.
However, in the last two weeks, Hurts has gone against really good pass defenses. The Bills are ranked ninth in the league in passing yards allowed, but when you look at their opponents, it’s not hard to see why. They’ve played six games against teams in the league's bottom eleven in passing yards.
Five of our NFL prop betting sites are in a bit of disagreement about where this line should be. BetMGM and DraftKings each have over 242.5 listed for -115, while Caesars is asking for -125 for the same number. bet365 is asking -125 for Over 245.5, and FanDuel is asking -114 for a total of 249.5.
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Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown scorer (-120 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It’s shocking that some NFL prop betting sites are still offering this prop for this low of a price. Hurts scoring a touchdown has been almost guaranteed in every Eagles game this season. He’s rushed for at least one touchdown in seven of his ten games, accumulating nine this season.
It doesn’t matter who he plays or what his opponents’ stats are, this is a play that must be made every week because of the “Brotherly Shove.” It’s a play that the Eagles run with great success, and when the Eagles line up in that formation on the goal line, Hurts will end up in the end zone.
How good is Caesars’ price? FanDuel is asking -165 for the exact same prop. bet365 is offering -125, so if you’re interested in a parlay. You may be able to build something there for a better price than you can build it at Caesars. But if you’re betting this straight up, get in at Caesars as soon as possible.
Jalen Hurts Over 21.5 completions (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Hurts has only attempted 45 passes in his last two games combined. However, he has thrown at least 30 passes in seven of his ten games this season. When he throws the ball 30 times or more, he always completes at least 22 passes.
The Bills are allowing 110.5 rushing yards per game, so there is a chance that the Eagles attempt to run the ball more than usual in this game. However, we think that Hurts’ recent numbers are strictly because he has played two top-four pass defenses in his last two games. While the Bills’ defensive pass numbers are a bit suspect, there is no doubt about how good the Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys’ defensive units are.
Currently, four of the five of our best sports betting apps are offering this prop. Each of them has a total listed at 21.5. bet365 is asking the most for the over, with a price of -115 listed. Caesars is asking -111, while both DraftKings and BetMGM are asking -110.
Josh Allen player prop picks made 11/25/2023 at 9:22 a.m. ET.
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