Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions
The Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs are set to face off in Germany during Week 9, and we offer our top Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL player prop predictions for the game, all backed by the best available NFL odds.
The Miami Dolphins are averaging 453.3 total yards per game. But for as great as the offense has been, it hasn’t performed well against teams with winning records. The Dolphins have scored just 37 points in such games.
The Kansas City Chiefs are in a recovery phase after a disappointing team performance against the Denver Broncos, marked by five turnovers and a complete absence of offensive touchdowns. Additionally, their defense allowed 24 points, highlighting the Chiefs' challenges on both offensive and defensive fronts.
To accompany our Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction, here are our best Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL player props, and don't miss our Tyreek Hill NFL player props (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Dolphins vs. Chiefs NFL player props: Week 9
Raheem Mostert Over 11.5 rushing attempts (-108 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert has carried the ball 97 times in eight games. While that averages out to just over 12 carries per game, he’s been anything but consistent regarding the amount of rushing attempts he gets in each game. He has four games with 10 or fewer carries and four games with 13 or more carries.
Teams are running the ball 25.1 times per game against the Chiefs. That’s almost exactly in line with the 25.8 rushing attempts per game that the Dolphins are averaging. But the reason we like this Over Prop so much is because Mostert is the guy in the backfield right now. Fins running back Jeff Wilson Jr. is healthy, but he’s only carried the ball five times in two games.
Mostert will be key to the Dolphins sustaining drives and keeping Patrick Mahomes off the field. The Dolphins lead the league in rushing yards per game, and they will want to keep those numbers up with Mostert this week.
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Isaiah Pacheco Under 58.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Currently, FanDuel is the only one of our best sportsbooks offering this total at 58.5. The other four major sportsbooks each have this number listed at 57.5, and each of them has a price of -115 or worse for the Under. We like this Under 57.5, but this price for an extra yard is great.
Pacheco has not cleared this number in three of his last four games. In the only contest where he did top 58.5, he rushed for 62 yards on 16 carries. Pacheco hasn’t been consistent, and he has a tough matchup this week.
Because of what the Dolphins allowed in Week 1 against the Los Angeles Chargers, the narrative has been that they can’t defend against the run. However, they’ve settled in quite nicely in recent weeks, and they’re allowing just 107.9 rushing yards per game, 16th-best in the NFL. And if you think that’s just because they’re leading in games, when you look at their yards per attempt numbers, the defense moves up to 12th in the league.
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Travis Kelce to record two-plus touchdowns (+475 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce has yet to record multiple touchdowns in a game, but it will happen this week. After how poorly the Chiefs played last week against the Denver Broncos, Mahomes and company will look to put up huge stats this week against Miami.
On paper, this is a good matchup for the Chiefs’ passing game. However, Miami cornerback Xavien Howard is expected to play, which means the Dolphins will have him and safety Jalen Ramsey on the field at the same time for the first time this season. While that’s bad for the Chiefs’ receivers, it’s great for Kelce.
We’re comfortable taking any of Kelce’s Over props this week, but scoring two touchdowns offers the best value. Kelce leads the team with four touchdown receptions, and in what is sure to be a high-scoring game, he’s the only great red-zone option for Mahomes. Make sure you take this at DraftKings. All our other best sportsbooks offer this same prop for somewhere between +300 and +425. Getting the right price is key to this prop’s value.
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Dolphins vs. Chiefs player props made Friday at 12:43 p.m. ET
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