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Brock Purdy Player Prop Picks, Predictions Divisional Round: Is 49ers QB Ready for the Big Stage?

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: January 22, 2023 10:19 AM EST • 2 min 54 sec read.

The San Francisco 49ers and rookie quarterback Brock Purdy can advance to the NFC Championship Game with a win over the Dallas Cowboys at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday. Here are our top Brock Purdy player prop picks for the Divisional Round finale based on the best NFL odds.

The final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft is not so irrelevant after all. The 49ers haven’t missed a beat since rookie quarterback Brock Purdy was forced into action. San Francisco won 11 games in a row, including seven with Purdy under center. 

The 49ers rolled past the Seattle Seahawks for a 41-23 victory in the Wild Card Round last weekend. Dallas comes off a 31-14 thumping of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and now hopes to end this magical run by Mr. Irrelevant and Co.

Here are our best Brock Purdy player prop picks (odds via PointsBet, Caesars Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Cowboys vs. 49ers picks, prop picks, same-game parlay picks, and Christian McCaffrey prop picks.

Brock Purdy Divisional Round Player Prop Picks

  • Brock Purdy Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+100 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Brock Purdy Under 0.5 interceptions (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Brock Purdy Over 6.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds

Check out our Super Bowl odds and Super Bowl MVP odds.

Brock Purdy Player Props

Brock Purdy Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+100) ⭐⭐⭐

In his playoff debut, Purdy threw three touchdown passes against the Seahawks. He now has multiple TD passes in seven consecutive games, including three-touchdown efforts in back-to-back contests entering the weekend. 

But we're betting on that streak to end, as PointsBet’s +100 Under offer is too good to pass up. For comparison, the rest of our top-rated sportsbooks offer the Under between -102 and -105 .

The Cowboys rank second in defensive DVOA, per Football Outsiders. They're third in pass DVOA, so it isn’t much of a stretch that this will be Purdy’s toughest test yet. Expect Dallas to get the better of Purdy in this matchup.

Editor's note: The best odds available for Purdy Under 1.5 passing touchdowns as of Sunday afternoon are -104 via Caesars.

Brock Purdy Under 0.5 interceptions (+100) ⭐⭐⭐

Much has been made about Cowboys QB Dak Prescott’s NFL-leading interceptions entering this week’s matchup, and there's value in betting the Cowboys’ QB to not throw an INT. We also believe Purdy can finish the game without throwing one.

Purdy hasn’t been picked off by a defender in back-to-back contests, and only threw four interceptions since starting for the 49ers. Niners head coach Kyle Shanahan knows how to scheme his playmakers open, so Purdy just has to make the simple throw more often than not in this system.

This line is set at 0.5 across the board, with Caesars offering the best price at +100 on the Under as of Sunday afternoon.

Brock Purdy Over 6.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐

I like to target a quarterback’s rushing prop when facing a strong pass rush, especially when the game matters more. According to Pro Football Focus, the Cowboys rank second with a pass rush grade of 83.8. This unit should be unlike anything Purdy's faced so far. 

While that could lead to a worse statistical day for Purdy, it could lead to more improvisation from the rookie QB. Purdy came off a performance where he picked up 16 rushing yards on four attempts against the Seahawks, and NumberFire projects him to finish with roughly 10 rushing yards Sunday.

This line sits at 7.5 across the board, with the exception of PointsBet and FanDuel. PoinstBet offers a rushing yardage prop of 5.5 with the Over juiced to -135, so take the -114 vig on the 6.5 total at FanDuel instead. Per PFF’s player prop tool, we have a 5.6% edge on this line, though it could be played up to 7.5.

Editor's note: The best odds available for Purdy Over 6.5 rushing yards as of Sunday afternoon are -110 via FanDuel.

Brock Purdy player prop picks made 1/21/2023 at 11:27 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
Shane Jackson has been writing for Sportsbook Review since 2022, though his passion for sports, writing, and betting runs much longer than that. He graduated from the University of Kansas with a journalism degree in 2017 and has been covering sports ever since, working for MLB.com, Manhattan Mercury, Lawrence Journal-World, WynnBET, Bet Chicago Sports, BetNOLA, and BetMGM. Jackson cares about creating quality sports betting content above all else. He uses a mixture of models, information, film, analysis, and a top-down approach to locate every best bet shared for SBR. He never gives out a pick that he wouldn’t be willing to spend his own money on. Jackson is focused on finding +EV bets on a daily basis for a variety of sports such as NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, NBA, WNBA, and MLB. He usually bets on props but is willing to wager on a spread or total when there is an edge. Don’t ask him how many bets he has placed on a typical college football Saturday. Jackson doesn’t care if you follow him on social media, but his Twitter account has info on how you can follow his bets through multiple third-party platforms. He just wants you to read all the great work from the SBR team.