Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions Week 13: Picks & Odds for Sunday
We head into Sunday of Week 13 up 2.85 units with our anytime touchdown scorer predictions following a scorching-hot start to Week 12, but a dip in production carried into Thursday Night Football of Week 13. We're back to get the better of the NFL odds at our best sportsbooks.
Our +700 anytime touchdown scorer prediction for Thursday Night Football between the Seattle Seahawks and Dallas Cowboys looked great ... until Noah Fant's touchdown was called back. Our process was there, as Fant exploited the Cowboys' weakness against tight ends with three catches for 43 yards. But we really could've used that fourth catch for a score.
Still, we carry on to the Sunday slate up 2.85 units for the 2023 season as a whole, as we look to pad that number by backing one of the hottest running backs in the league.
To complement our NFL best bets for Week 13 and Rodrigo Villagomez's first touchdown scorer predictions, here are our anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Sunday based on the odds from our NFL prop betting sites.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 13: Sunday
Browns vs. Rams anytime touchdown scorer prediction: David Njoku, CLE, TE (+295 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
David Njoku dominates the snap share for the Cleveland Browns' tight end group. His 85% of snaps played last week were a three-game low with Harrison Bryant still getting on the field for just 19% of those snaps.
Njoku also leads all Browns pass-catchers with 14 red-zone targets on the season. Though he's made just five catches for two touchdowns on those looks, he may have an easier time of breaking into the end zone against a Los Angeles Rams team with five touchdowns and 654 yards allowed to tight ends this season.
The former first-round pick will be operating with Joe Flacco as his quarterback for the first this season in Week 13. Even with Flacco at the helm, the Browns have an implied team total of 18 points, and Njoku is projected for 0.3 touchdowns after accruing 33 targets over his past three games.
Take advantage of DraftKings' outlier +295 odds for a Njoku anytime touchdown. The implied probability says we should be getting odds around +235, according to our betting calculators.
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Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 13: Sunday Night Football
Chiefs vs. Packers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Jayden Reed, GB, WR (+290 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
The Green Bay Packers' injury report for Sunday night still carries plenty of uncertainty with wide receiver Dontayvion Wicks questionable and running back Aaron Jones ruled out. As such, we could see significant movement in this market throughout the day, but either way, we'll be getting strong value on the Packers' playmakers as they're 6-point home underdogs at Lambeau Field.
Packers receiver Jayden Reed has scored in three straight games as his role within this offense has grown considerably. He has seen increased usage in the running game in place of Jones and is projected for 0.3 touchdowns on SNF. That should translate to odds of +235, but we can take advantage of this outlier +290 ticket via FanDuel.
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Anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 13
Seahawks vs. Cowboys anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Noah Fant, SEA, TE (+700 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐ ❌
Seahawks tight end Noah Fant, a former first-round pick of the Denver Broncos acquired in the Russell Wilson trade, has had a rather pedestrian start to the 2023 season. After scoring four touchdowns in his first season with the Seahawks, Fant is yet to score in 2023 while catching 19 of a modest 24 targets for 261 yards through 11 games.
However, Fant is routinely playing close to 60% of the Seahawks' offensive snaps. That has me attracted to his luscious +700 anytime touchdown odds from Caesars entering a matchup against a stout Cowboys defense that has been surprisingly susceptible to opposing tight ends. Dallas' six touchdowns allowed to tight ends are tied for the most allowed to the position in the league.
The Seahawks have lost three of their last four games with a total of 32 points scored in those defeats. However, if they can get near the red zone on Thursday, trust them to look for Fant while avoiding Defensive Player of the Year contender DaRon Bland.
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Falcons vs. Jets anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Bijan Robinson, ATL, RB (+160 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ ❌
The Atlanta Falcons visit the New York Jets during the NFL's early Sunday slate with the game carrying a betting line of just 33.5 points. That's the lowest total by the NFL Week 13 odds and betting lines, but the Falcons are 2-point road favorites with an implied team total of 18 points.
To get there, they'll need to rely on their top offensive weapon in rookie running back Bijan Robinson, who just so happens to be coming off his best game as a pro.
Robinson totaled 123 yards from scrimmage and enjoyed his first two-touchdown game in last week's 24-15 win over the rival New Orleans Saints. This week, he'll face a Jets defense that has surrendered nine total touchdowns to running backs this season, and their 1,179 rushing yards allowed to the position rank as the sixth-most in the NFL.
The Falcons are tenuously atop the NFC South and head coach Arthur Smith continues to have a loose grip on his job for next season. This is a must-win game for the Falcons and their playoff hopes against the 4-7 Jets.
Robinson is projected for 0.4 touchdowns between the ground and passing games. Our odds converter translates that to odds of +150, so we're getting a nice boost in value from FanDuel's +160 offering.
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