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Yale vs. San Diego State Prediction, Best Bet & Odds for Round 2

Philip Wood

Last Updated: March 24, 2024 4:01 PM EDT • 2 min 56 sec read.

Jaedon LeDee of the San Diego State Aztecs reacts during the second half against the UAB Blazers in the first round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament as we look at our Yale-San Diego State prediction.
Jaedon LeDee of the San Diego State Aztecs reacts during the second half against the UAB Blazers in the first round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP.

The San Diego State Aztecs will clash with the Yale Bulldogs, as we make our best Yale vs. San Diego State prediction and best bet based on the best March Madness odds.

After a surprising victory over Auburn in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, the No. 13 seed Yale Bulldogs (23-9) aim to continue their Cinderella run against the No. 5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (25-10) in Sunday's second-round matchup. Scheduled to tip off at 9:40 p.m. ET at the Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, the game will be broadcast on TBS.

The Bulldogs upset the Tigers 78-76 behind 28 points from John Pulakidas. Meanwhile, the Aztecs escaped with a 69-65 win over the UAB Blazers thanks to 32 points from Jaedon LeDee.

As part of our March Madness predictions, here is our best Yale vs. San Diego State prediction and college basketball picks (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Yale vs. San Diego State odds

Yale (13) vs. San Diego State (5) prediction: East Region 

Jaedon LeDee Over 7.5 rebounds ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +100 via DraftKings

Editor's note: DraftKings has now shifted its price significantly as of Sunday morning and sits at -120. bet365 is offering the best price at -105.

Even though Danny Wolf is the Bulldogs’ leading scorer, there's little doubt that LeDee is the best player inside the paint in this game. Without Wolf, the Bulldogs struggle to rebound. So if the Aztecs can get him in foul trouble early, LeDee will gain a distinct advantage inside.

But even if Wolf plays the majority of the game, LeDee’s rebounding total is still worth a play. These two teams play very slowly, so there won’t be a lot of shots in this game. But with how good the Aztecs are defensively, most of the shots the Bulldogs take will be misses.

LeDee averages 8.4 rebounds per game, and he just pulled down eight during Friday’s win over the Blazers. He’s much more physical than Wolf or anyone else the Bulldogs are going to put down low against him. Don’t be surprised if he grabs 10 rebounds in this game.

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DraftKings and bet365 are each listing the total for this prop at 7.5. Though there isn’t much of a difference from one sportsbook to the other, getting +100 for a player to hit an Over while still potentially going under his season average in a favorable matchup is the right play.

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Yale vs. San Diego State spread & Over/Under analysis

The Aztecs opened as 5.5-point favorites, and despite getting 68% of the action, the spread has either stayed put or moved in favor of the Bulldogs. Because this game is likely to be very low-scoring, it’s not surprising to see such a small spread. The Aztecs could have this game on lockdown from start to finish and still notch just a five-point win. Don’t expect the number to grow beyond six.

The total for this game opened at 128.5, and it's either stayed there or dropped to 128 at all of our best sports betting sites. Currently, 65% of wagers back the under, and based on how methodical these two teams play, there's no reason to think the public will favor the over in any way before tipoff.

Expect it to get as low as 126. The Under would still be the right play at that number.

Yale vs. San Diego State game info

  • When: Sunday, March 24
  • Tipoff: 9:40 p.m. ET 
  • Where: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena, Spokane, Wash.
  • How to watch: TBS

Yale-San Diego State prediction made 3/23/24 at 10:16 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Sportsbook Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn't make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don't. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he's also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.