Colgate vs Baylor Picks, Best Bets for Today: Missi Dominates

Check out our Colgate vs. Baylor picks and best bets for Friday's March Madness matchup based on the best college basketball odds.
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The No. 3 Baylor Bears face the No. 14 Colgate Raiders in Friday’s first-round NCAA Tournament contest, as we make our top Colgate vs. Baylor picks based on the best March Madness odds.

The Bears lost just one Quad 2 game this season, and they went a perfect 8-0 in Quad 3 and 4 games. That’s bad news for the Colgate Raiders, who enter this game with a NET rating of 125.

The Raiders are 54th in the nation in effective field goal percentage, but they’re not as good as they usually are from beyond the arc. Will they be able to keep up with the Bears and their 28th-ranked scoring offense?

As part of our March Madness predictions, here is our best Colgate vs. Baylor pick (odds via our best March Madness betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Colgate vs. Baylor odds

Colgate (No. 14) vs. Baylor (No. 3) pick

Yves Missi Over 12.5 points  ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +110 via bet365

Yves Missi averaged 11.1 points per game this season, playing in a highly physical Big 12. In the Big 12 semifinals, he put up 14 points against the Iowa State Cyclones in a losing effort (76-62).

The Raiders have size down low, but Missi, the only 7-footer on the court, will have an advantage inside throughout the game. Staying out of foul trouble is the key to his success, which shouldn't be an issue, considering he didn’t foul out all season.

Missi shoots 61.9% from the field, and although the Raiders have sound numbers defending field goal percentage and shooting percentage, they haven’t faced a presence like Missi. At odds greater than +100, this is a must-play.

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Colgate vs. Baylor spread & Over/Under analysis

The Bears opened as 13.5-point favorites, and the line has stayed there at four of our five best sports betting sites. DraftKings is the only sportsbook to move a spread to 14. Considering 77% of bettors are backing the Bears to cover, the spread should increase before tip-off. If it doesn’t, then it may be worth backing the Raiders.

The total for this game opened at 139.5, and it has gone down to 139 or 138.5 at our best best sports betting apps except for FanDuel. Neither of these teams is great defensively, and the Bears average over 80 points per game. Even with 58% of bettors backing the over, the total has decreased.

Colgate vs. Baylor game info

  • When: Friday, March 22
  • Tip-off: 12:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: FedExForum, Memphis, Tenn.
  • How to watch: truTV

Colgate vs. Baylor prediction made Tuesday at 9:26 a.m. ET.

March Madness betting odds pages

Here are our best March Madness betting sites:

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