🏀 Aces vs. Sun Prediction: WNBA Picks for Wednesday, May 13
The reigning WNBA champions take on the league's worst franchise tonight when the Las Vegas Aces travel to Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Conn., to play the Connecticut Sun at 8 p.m. ET (USA Network, WNBA League Pass).
Las Vegas is a 14.5-point betting favorite, and my Aces vs. Sun prediction is taking one of the W's top WNBA championship odds contenders to win decisively.
🏀 Aces vs. Sun prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Aces -14.5 (-105 via bet365) | 1u → 0.95u | The Sun are the worst team in the league and went 0-4 against the Aces last season |
| Over 171.5 (-114 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.88u | Connecticut has one of the worst defense in the league, and Vegas' has looked shaky |
| Jackie Young Over 6.5 assists (+111 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1.1u | Young is one of the league's most efficient passers |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.93 units
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🏆 Who will win Aces vs. Sun?
The Aces won the WNBA championship last season by going 25-3 from early August through the WNBA Finals, but even when Las Vegas was struggling early last season, it had no trouble thumping Connecticut in its own arena three times. It should be a similar outcome tonight.
Score prediction: Aces 95, Sun 78
💰 Aces vs. Sun prediction & best bet
Aces -14.5 (-105)
The Sun are the most directionless team in the WNBA with a league-worst 11-35 record since last season. Connecticut was second-last in net rating in 2025 (-13.1) and is again this season (-22.2) while sitting in the bottom four in offensive rating (91.8) and defensive rating (114.0).
Without the offense to keep up with A'ja Wilson and Co., Connecticut lost four times last season to Vegas by an average margin of 19.2 points.
Coming off her fourth WNBA MVP, Wilson's dominance in the paint should kill a defense that allows the highest rim rate on defense in the league (37.2%).
🔥 Best Aces vs. Sun player prop bet
Jackie Young Over 6.5 assists (+111)
Wilson is the star of the show in Sin City, but she has one of the WNBA's best guards feeding her down low. Jackie Young was top 10 in the W in assists per game (5.1) and assist rate (30.9%) last season, with her passing coinciding with Vegas taking its play up a notch down the stretch.
During Vegas' run to a title last season, Young went Over 6.5 assists 11 times in her final 19 games (58%), and she's coming off a nine-assist outing against the Los Angeles Sparks.
Connecticut has one of the worst defenses in the WNBA and allowed 21.6 assists per game last season.
🚀 Aces vs. Sun same-game parlay
The Aces are poised to beat up on a bad Connecticut defense with Wilson being fed by Young all night. The pair helped Las Vegas sweep the Sun last season, while hanging 85-plus points on them in every outing.
💵 Aces vs. Sun SGP picks
- Aces -14.5 (-104)
- Over 172.5 (-110)
- Jackie Young Over 6.5 assists (+110)
Best odds: +460 via FanDuel (0.2u -> 0.92u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-2 | +3.92 units ✅ | 62.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 4-0 | +3.22 units ✅ | 80.4% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-1 | +0.83 units ✅ | 278% ✅ |
📊 Live Aces vs. Sun odds
📺 How to watch Aces vs. Sun
- Date: Wednesday, May 13
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Mohegan Sun Arena (Uncasville, Conn.)
- TV: USA Network
- Streaming: WNBA League Pass
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