Sao Paulo Grand Prix Best Bets & Odds: F1 Prop Bets, Picks to Win in Brazil
My Sao Paulo Grand Prix best bets for Sunday's race from Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace (noon ET, ESPN) feature Lando Norris, Max Verstappen, and George Russell.
We're likely in for an unpredictable and wild 36 hours, as was the case in last year's race. The weather has taken a turn for the worse, which could hamper the chances for betting favorite Lando Norris, who was the fastest in sprint qualifying. If the inclement weather expected for this morning's sprint session extends into qualifying, the door will open for Max Verstappen, who is receiving the second-shortest odds to win.
Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds & favorites 2025
Sao Paulo Grand Prix odds to win via BetMGM.
| Driver | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on a $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lando Norris | +125 | 12.50% | $12.50 |
| Max Verstappen | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
| Oscar Piastri | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| George Russell | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
| Kimi Antonelli | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Charles Leclerc | +3300 | 2.94% | $330 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Fernando Alonso | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
| Nico Hulkenberg | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
| Oliver Bearman | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Carlos Sainz | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Isack Hadjar | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Alex Albon | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | +25000 | 0.40% | $2,500 |
| Liam Lawson | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Pierre Gasly | +50000 | 0.20% | $5,000 |
| Esteban Ocon | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +150000 | 0.07% | $15,000 |
| Franco Colapinto | +200000 | 0.03% | $30,000 |
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Sao Paulo Grand Prix predictions, expert picks & best bets
Here are my Sao Paulo Grand Prix best bets for Sunday's race at Autodromo Hermanos Rodriguez.
💡 Major storm set to impact Sao Paulo Grand Prix
This morning's sprint session is expected to be severely impacted by a major storm front swirling through the area. If the poor weather persists, qualifying will be affected. If a rain-hit qualifying goes ahead this afternoon, Verstappen should benefit the most. Conditions are expected to calm down for race day, but it's critical to stay on top of the weather as the four-time defending champion's best chance of winning is in wet conditions, reminiscent of last year's race in Brazil.
Pick to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Lando Norris ⭐⭐⭐
I backed Norris in my Sao Paulo Grand Prix predictions, and I'm even more confident after seeing him comfortably take pole position for today's sprint session. McLaren had the fastest car on the grid, with Norris edging out the Mercedes pair and teammate Oscar Piastri.
Verstappen, meanwhile, lamented a lack of grip after finishing down in sixth for Saturday's sprint session. While the weather could ultimately determine who takes pole position, I expect Norris to win if the conditions settle down for Sunday's race.
If qualifying were canceled, Norris would take pole position based on being first in the Drivers' Standings.
The Briton knows the importance of winning this race, as finishing first would consolidate his lead atop the Drivers' Standings with just three races remaining. When Norris trailed by nine points during the summer break, I backed him in my F1 prediction to overcome the deficit and win his first championship.
That position is reinforced as we enter Sunday's race. Norris finished second in Sao Paolo last year, his best previous result in Brazil. Based on how well he and his car performed in sprint qualifying at Interlagos, I expect him to take the checkered flag, weather permitting.
Of the best sports betting sites, the odds at FanDuel offer the best possible profit, where a winning $10 bet will profit $9.09.
Best odds: +130 via FanDuel
Best value bet to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Max Verstappen ⭐⭐⭐
The probability of poor weather for Saturday's qualifying has increased in recent days, with a major storm expected to hit Sao Paulo just before Saturday morning's sprint session. If things settle down enough, qualifying will go ahead.
Verstappen will benefit most from wet and windy conditions, as he emphatically demonstrated in last year's Sao Paulo Grand Prix, finishing first despite starting in 17th position. Heavy rain and gusty conditions wreaked havoc on most of the field, with Verstappen taking advantage in the most unforgettable fashion.
If poor weather extends into Sunday, which it isn't expected to at this stage, Verstappen will be the favorite. A winning $10 bet at Caesars will profit $22.
Best odds: +220 via Caesars
Best long shot to win Sao Paulo Grand Prix: George Russell ⭐⭐
I've pivoted from Charles Leclerc to Russell as my long-shot pick after witnessing Ferrari's struggles in sprint qualifying.
The data, according to F1.com, shows Ferrari's car 0.5 seconds slower than McLaren's on straightaways, a discernible gap that would prevent Leclerc from having the speed to challenge for his first race victory of the season.
Russell, meanwhile, impressed in sprint qualifying, finishing with the fourth-fastest time behind both McLaren drivers and teammate Kimi Antonelli. Prior to the F1 season returning to the Americas, Russell had a first and second-place finish. And he secured fourth place in Sao Paulo last year after winning the Brazil Grand Prix in 2022.
Russell's odds to win that race at the best sports betting apps range from +1200 to +1400, with DraftKings providing the best value. A winning $10 bet will profit $140.
Best odds: +1400 via DraftKings
Best prop bet for Sao Paulo Grand Prix: Max Verstappen to win qualifying ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This pick is based on the inclement conditions expected on Saturday in Sao Paulo. While this morning's storm is expected to subside for the afternoon's qualifying session, rain and windy conditions remain a distinct possibility. That will open the door for Verstappen to capitalize.
A winning $10 bet at FanDuel will profit $20.
Best odds: +200 via FanDuel
Sao Paulo Grand Prix Sprint Qualifying results
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing Honda RBPT)
- Lance Stroll (Aston Martin)
- Charles Leclerc (Ferrari)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Kick Sauber)
Sao Paulo Grand Prix FP1 results
- Lando Norris (McLaren)
- Oscar Piastri (McLaren)
- Nico Hulkenberg (Kick Sauber)
- Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin)
- Gabriel Bortoleto (Kick Sauber)
- George Russell (Mercedes)
- Pierre Gasly (Alpine)
- Carlos Sainz (Williams)
- Isack Hadjar (Racing Bulls)
- Kimi Antonelli (Mercedes)
📈 Sao Paulo Grand Prix trends & history
- The Sao Paulo Grand Prix will remain on the calendar until at least 2030
- It's one of the oldest circuits and has been around for over 50 years
- Sao Paulo, also known as the Brazilian Grand Prix, features a sprint session before qualifying
- Interlagos was built in 1940 but didn’t begin hosting a regular round of the F1 world championship until 1973
- Autódromo José Carlos Pace used to be known as Interlagos
- The circuit is located in the Sao Paulo suburb of Interlagos, which translates in Portuguese as "between the lakes"
- The circuit was renamed Autodromo José Carlos Pace in honor of Carlos Pace, a Sao Paulo local who won his only F1 race at the circuit in 1975 but died tragically in a light air crash in 1977
- Interlagos returned to the schedule in 2021. The event returned with a new name – the Sao Paulo Grand Prix – thanks to backing from the local government
- Ferrari are the most successful team at the Interlagos track, winning nine times
- Brazilian drivers have taken more poles than drivers from any other nation at Interlagos. A Brazilian has started from the front here on 10 occasions.
- Michael Schumacher is the most successful driver at Interlagos, with four wins
- Verstappen won the 2024 Sao Paulo Grand Prix from 17th on the grid, the first time that has happened in almost 20 years
- Pierre Gasly and Carlos Sainz recorded the first podium finishes of their careers at the 2019 Brazilian Grand Prix
🏆 Past Sao Paulo Grand Prix winners
Here is a look at the last nine Sao Paulo Grand Prix winners.
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2023 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | 🇬🇧 George Russell | Mercedes |
| 2021 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2020 | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic | Not held due to COVID-19 pandemic |
| 2019 | 🇳🇱 Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2018 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2017 | 🇩🇪 Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2016 | 🇬🇧 Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2015 | 🇩🇪 Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
📺 How to watch the 2025 Sao Paulo Grand Prix
- Race date: Sunday, Nov. 9
- Start time: Noon ET
- Track: Autódromo José Carlos Pace (Sao Paulo, Brazil)
- TV: ESPN
- Streaming: ESPN+
- Weather: 66 °F, 9-mph to 14-mph winds, 20% chance of precipitation
🗓️ Sao Paulo Grand Prix schedule
Practice 1: Friday, Nov. 7; 9:30 a.m. ETSprint Qualifying: Friday, Nov. 7; 1:30 p.m. ET- Sprint session: Saturday, Nov. 8; 9 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, Nov. 8; 1 p.m. ET
- Race: Sunday, Nov. 9; Noon ET
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