Best NRFI Bets Today: Top No Run First Inning Picks & Predictions (Monday, July 6)
🤑 Best NRFI Bets Today for Monday (July 6)
After going 7-7 last week, let's sweep the board and start the week off hot. Today, we're targeting high strikeout numbers for Yankees vs. Rays and Brewers vs. Cardinals to get the job done and fight the doom and gloom of Mondays. Let's bring those units home with our best NRFI bets today.
ā¾ Best NRFI bets today: Monday, July 6
See all of our expertsā MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds. Odds via FanDuel.
| ā¾ NRFI pick | šµ Units | š Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Yankees vs. Rays NRFI (-130) | 2u ā 1.53u | Jax owns 33% K rate vs. Yankees |
| Brewers vs. Cardinals NRFI (-125) | 1u -> 0.80u | May owns 41% K rate vs. Brewers |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.33 units
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š° Best NRFI bets today (Monday, July 6)
Yankees vs. Rays NRFI (-130) - 6:40 p.m. ET
- Cam Schlittler (2.08 ERA) vs. Griffin Jax (3.45 ERA)
- NRFI records: Yankees (40-49) vs. Rays (42-45)
Schlittler is coming off the worst start of his season against the Tigers, but prior to that, he had allowed just two earned runs across 23.2 innings pitched. The young phenom is in a prime bounce-back spot against the Rays, who own just a .233 xBA against him while striking out at a 30% clip. Jax will take us home on the other side, striking this Yankees lineup out at a 33% rate himself. Let's fire this play up with confidence as part of our best NRFI bets today - I'd price this closer to -150 betting odds, let's run with that value.
💣️ More MLB player props for Monday
Dive into Sean Tomlinson's best home run predictions today if you're looking to cash in on Monday.
Brewers vs. Cardinals NRFI (-125) - 7:45 p.m. ET
- Shane Drohan (3.12 ERA) vs. Dustin May (4.80 ERA)
- NRFI records: Brewers (42-46) vs. Cardinals (46-41)
The confidence in May continues to grow, even though he's had back-to-back rough starts following a complete game, one-hit shutout. In this specific matchup, he's the reason I'm betting the NRFI. Across 22 plate appearances (small sample, I know), he's cutting down Milwaukee at a 40% clip, limiting the Brewers lineup to a .188 xwOBA in the process. Christian Yelich, Brice Turang, and William Contreras are all hitless against him in their career, too (0-for-9). On the other side, Drohan has put together a string of fantastic starts, which is good enough for me to commit a full unit to.
🤑 Phillies vs. Royals prediction
Looking for specific game plays? Read Mike Spector's Phillies vs. Royals prediction to get the juices flowing on Monday.
šµ My betting record for MLB picks
All MLB picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since March 26.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit |
|---|---|---|
| NRFI picks | 49-45 | +0.10 units |
š” How I'm betting NRFI picks today (July 6)
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions for baseball season.
A NRFI (No Run First Inning) bet carries high variance, meaning success requires a disciplined, daily dive into the data. Before placing a wager, run through a strict checklist: analyze how the starting pitcher matches up against the top three hitters in the lineup, track underlying metrics like strikeout rates (K%) and expected batting averages (xBA), and review recent team-specific first-inning scoring trends. Because a single mistake or lucky hit can ruin the bet instantly, always use this daily routine to guide your wagers and scale your unit sizing accordingly to protect your bankroll.
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