Best Folarin Balogun Props & Odds vs. Belgium: Expert Prop Picks for Monday, July 6
It was a revelation no one saw coming: on Sunday, it emerged that the White House had managed to exert its influence over FIFA, and as a result, USA forward Folarin Balogun would be available for tonight's USA vs. Belgium Round of 16 game. With a spot in the quarterfinals on the line, I make my best Folarin Balogun props ahead of kickoff from Lumen Field in Seattle at 8 p.m. ET. The action airs live on FOX and Telemundo and streams on FOX One.
My World Cup best bets break down what we can expect from the emerging star as he faces his toughest test yet.
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⚽ Best Folarin Balogun props: July 6
See all of our experts' World Cup picks based on the latest World Cup odds and favorites.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Anytime goal scorer (including extra time) | +145 via FanDuel | 0.5u -> 0.73u |
| To record 2+ shots on target (including extra time) | +135 via FanDuel | 1u -> 1.35u |
| To be fouled 2+ times (including extra time) | -110 via bet365 | 1u -> 0.91u |
Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.99 units
‼️ THE MOST IMPORTANT NOTE ON THIS GAME
There is nothing more important here than where you place these bets. Not all of the best sports betting sites offer two important aspects of these wagers: including extra time and sub-on, play on.
If this game goes to extra time, which we've seen a few times in the knockout rounds, this protects you from losing your wager in regulation time. If Balogun doesn't go the whole distance, the prop moves to whomever comes on in his place.
Don't place these bets at a site where your play ends at 90+stoppage or where it ends if Balogun subs off.
💰 Best Folarin Balogun prop prediction
Folarin Balogun anytime goal scorer (+145) vs. Belgium
Look, it's the most fun prop of the bunch, but don't get carried away. The value has been largely pushed away from this wager - this one of the most bet props of the day by far, but with the emotion that will be behind Balogun's shocking presence in the lineup.
Balogun is the offensive centerpiece for this USA squad, leading the way with three goals through three games (he didn't play versus Turkey). He's converting at an excellent rate (27.27%) - the ninth best of anyone in the tournament that's taken at least 10 shots. Balogun doesn't rely on chance creation to get to the scoresheet; he has zero chances created, zero assists, and only 0.11 xA.
If you want to celebrate with the USA superstar tonight, this is the flashiest way to do it.
💵 SBR Edge: Shining with the USMNT
These numbers aren't a shock for anyone who has paid attention to the UNMNT, as Balogun has been shining for the squad throughout his time with them. He's posting 1.21 goals/90 in the World Cup, and 1.03 g/90 in the Copa previously. His numbers in friendlies aren't even so bad - with 0.54.
He'll get his chances tonight. I'm backing him to take advantage.
🔥 More Folarin Balogun props for Monday
Folarin Balogun to record 2+ shots on target (including extra time) vs. Belgium
This wager lets us take action on Balogun without needing him to find the back of the net. But, as the centerpiece, he's going to get his chances tonight.
Balogun has heavy shooting volume in general (4.4 shots/90, 1.6 SOT/90 in the World Cup), and given what we've seen from Belgium in the tournament, it's not out of line that USA should command possession tonight. That possession should lead to a good result on this volume-based market. His willingness to shoot from tight angles should create plenty of on-target opportunities tonight, and at plus-money, this is a good wager to use as the spine of our card.
Folarin Balogun to be fouled 2+ times (including extra time) vs. Belgium
This play is based on two things: Balogun's importance to the USA offense, and pure vibes.
First, Balogun has hit this number twice already this tournament, logging four fouls drawn Paraguay (mind you, we saw a few days ago vs. France how much Paraguay likes to foul) and recording two more against Australia in the group stage. He only had one in 63 minutes against Bosnia in the Round of 32, but then again, he was sent off after 63 minutes.
Second, the VIBES. Belgium's football association has released numerous statements dictating how angry they are about Balogun suiting up tonight, and the players are sure to let that be known. They'll get a few nibbles in.
💰️ More USA vs. Belgium predictions
There are more ways to attack this game, and our Philip Wood has broken them down with his United States vs. Belgium prediction
📅 World Cup best bets today
See all of our experts' soccer picks and the latest World Cup odds and favorites.
The tournament continues today with two Round of 16 matches, and we're breaking it all down with our World Cup predictions today:
- World Cup predictions today
- Portugal vs. Spain prediction
- United States vs. Belgium prediction
- Christian Pulisic player props
- Folarin Balogun player props
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