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Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners reacts to striking out a batter against the Boston Red Sox, and we're offering our top MLB player props and best bets based on the best MLB odds.
Logan Gilbert of the Seattle Mariners reacts to striking out a batter against the Boston Red Sox. Photo by Alika Jenner/Getty Images via AFP.

We're offering our top MLB player props and best bets based on the best MLB odds for Tuesday's full slate of games. 

As always, the 2024 celebration of Jackie Robinson Day was great to watch. With broadcasts talking about Robinson's legacy (not only as a baseball player, but as a human) pairing with some exciting action from the early afternoon - thanks to the Boston Marathon - the day was full of riveting storylines. 

Tuesday's slate features some afternoon baseball between the World Series odds-contender Texas Rangers and the rising Detroit Tigers setting the tone. They got things underway at 1:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park.

The action continues with an AL East rivalry at 7:07 p.m. ET, when the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays continue their series from Rogers Centre.

Finally, we get a few interesting interleague matchups featuring MLB MVP odds contenders, with the Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros at 8:10 p.m. ET the highlight, and the Cincinnati Reds and Seattle Mariners at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Here are our MLB player props and best bets for Tuesday (MLB picks based on odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Tuesday’s MLB best bets

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Tuesday’s MLB player props

Logan Gilbert Under 7.5 strikeouts (-135 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

OddsUnder 7.5 (-135)N/AUnder 7.5 (-149)Under 7.5 (-147)Under 7.5 (-135)

Game info: Reds vs. Mariners | Moneyline: Mariners (-130 via Betway) | Total: Over 7.5 (+110)/Under 7.5 (-135) via Betway | Start time: 9:40 p.m. ET

Unlike his fellow MLB Cy Young odds contender and teammate George Kirby, Logan Gilbert is red-hot on the mound to start the season. Monday's affair against the Reds was a bit of a get-right game for Kirby, while Tuesday's is a just-keep-dominating appearance for Gilbert. 

The right-hander has logged 23 strikeouts across 20 1/3 innings so far in 2024, and he's allowed just six earned runs in that time. Most impressively, he's walked only three batters.

As we mentioned on Monday, the Reds have slightly improved their approach at the plate recently, cutting down on how often they strike out. They'll look to continue to put the ball in play and utilize their speed on the basepaths on Tuesday.

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Despite Gilbert's dominance thus far while going Over this total in two of three starts, the Under is still the right play on Tuesday, just as it was for Kirby on Monday.

Across three of our trusted projection models, Gilbert's average strikeout projection is 6.18. Based on that number and these -135 odds (found at both DraftKings and bet365), we're getting just better than 25% positive expected value on this bet.

Pinnacle, which features one of the most respected trading teams in the sports betting industry, is already as short as -169 after opening its Under at -103.

Jose Quintana Under 5.5 strikeouts (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

OddsUnder 5.5 (-115)Under 5.5 (-136)Under 5.5 (-128)Under 5.5 (-127)Under 5.5 (-125)

Game info: Pirates vs. Mets | Moneyline: Mets (-130 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (+100)/Under 8.5 (-120) via Betway | Start time: 7:10 p.m. ET

Now, Jose Quintana is no Logan Gilbert. The New York Mets veteran southpaw has struck out just 6.89 batters per nine innings through three starts in 2024, and his 4.6 BB/9 is alarming. Quintana has yet to reach even five strikeouts in a game this season. So are the Pittsburgh Pirates really bad enough to justify a total of 5.5 on Tuesday?

Well, they certainly do strike out their fair share. Pittsburgh ranks just within the bottom 10 of the league with a 24% strikeout rate, mostly due to each of Oneil Cruz, Michael A. Taylor, and Andrew McCutchen striking out in more than 36% of their plate appearances.

However, despite all of that, Quintana is still projected for only 4.66 punchouts on Tuesday. When we run that projection against these -115 odds at DraftKings, we're getting nearly 26% +EV on this bet.

As you can see, all of our other best sports betting sites are offering significantly shorter odds already, as they're much more in line with Pinnacle's price of -142.

Austin Gomber Under 4.5 strikeouts (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

OddsUnder 4.5 (-110)Under 4.5 (-120)Under 4.5 (-133)Under 4.5 (-135)Under 4.5 (-145)

Game info: Rockies vs. Phillies | Moneyline: Phillies (-250 via Betway) | Total: Over 8.5 (-105)/Under 8.5 (-115) via Betway | Start time: 6:40 p.m. ET

Colorado Rockies left-hander Austin Gomber has been a bit of a puzzle to begin the 2024 season. A pitcher who has hovered around 6.00 K/9 during the past two campaigns and walks 3.13 batters per nine for his career is sitting at 8.59 and 4.91 per nine, respectively, in 2024. The increase in strikeouts hasn't helped Gomber much, as he still owns a 4.91 ERA through his first three starts.

Opposing Gomber on Tuesday is a Philadelphia Phillies lineup that's been extremely disappointing to start the year. Its 81 wRC+ ranks as the league's fourth-worst mark, and the Phillies strike out at the 11th-highest rate in the majors. But surely Gomber can't tear through this lineup, right?

If you said "right" aloud to yourself, then good job. Across our three trusted projection models, Gomber's average strikeout projection on Tuesday is 3.62. Based on that projection, we're getting better than 33% positive expected value on this bet at DraftKings.

My only worry with this bet is that we've seen serious two-way action on Gomber's strikeout prop, and I'd prefer to see action on only the Under. As a result, this is only a three-star pick. However, Pinnacle's Under is priced at -140, so we're still getting great value.

MLB best bets made Tuesday at 8 a.m. ET.

Here are our best MLB betting sites:

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