Ferrer future in perfect position. +1000 to win the quarter. Have to see how gaudy the Murray line is for hedge purposes.
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Any thoughts on Lisicki/Kerber?Comment -
If I wasn't iffy about Murray's back issue pre-tourney, I would have made the exact same bet I made for the French with both Murray and Ferrer to win the quarter. If the quarter runs about the same for the US Open, I likely will look at that depending on the other interchangeable parts ... but say what you will about Murray not winning it all, etc. - but the guy is a consistent performer who is almost always in position to make the QFs on any surface but clay and Ferrer, well fukk yourself if you don't know this guy is a beast and maybe the most consistent guy on all courts right now.Comment -
Alright, money making time.
Holding 0.5 unit on Ferrer to Win Quarter @ +1000, so basically 5 units if he wins straight up.
Hedge w/Murray @ -205 for one unit. So +0.5 if Murray wins, +2.95 units if Ferrer wins.
Holding Tsonga +1400 (minus Fish hedge of one unit of +1500) to Win Wimbledon.
No Hedge against Kohlschreiber
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The Daily Sombrero - Men's Quarterfinals Wimbledon
Djokovic-Mayer Under 30.5 [-120]Comment -
ep wat do u think about s wiiliams and v azarenka? and kerber vs radwanska?give me some idea to bet on tnxComment -
I think the head-2-head says plenty about Serena-Azarenka. Outside of Vika's Australian heat meltdown/spazzo moments - Serena has dominated. I think a better bet than taking her to win that match would be backing her in futures at still better than even odds. Kerber-Radwanska, I think the over is the best bet on the board. Could go either way, but their track records indicate a competitive and long match.Comment -
i got ferrer tsonga and williams to my 3 doubles..Comment -
parley for s. williams and tsongaComment -
Guilty pleasure play
Youzhny +570
Back is probably okay for Federer after rest, but on the off chance it's still problematic ... Going my main man here for 0.25 unit.Comment -
Well if Roger is healthy, this was going to be a quick match. Maybe the play stoppage does something, but I wasn't expecting much - just a dartboard shot.Comment -
Happy accident this morning. Waited to see where the Murray line went and forgot to make my hedge before the match started because I did not expect the match would start before I got home from work ... so I got to hedge @ -110 live on Murray which means Ferrer winning could be a larger payout now.
Great 1st set from these two. Ferrer blowing a big lead, but battling to a lead in the tie break .... Vamos Daveeeeeeeeeeeeeed!Comment -
Your Tsonga future is in nice shape now. Time to hedge in the semis??Comment -
Ep, quickly,Kendrick tips off at 3:30pm.No friggin way he wins on clay.Throw silva in a parlay..Comment -
Certainly. Depending on the price, I may go fairly big on Murray to make a good profit. Ferrer with a great ride for +1000 to win the quarter. Feel alright all about that future. Took Raonic for 0.5 & Ferrer for 0.5. With the Murray cover, wound up losing just 0.5 unit on taking that shot and damn well had the chance to hit the +1000.
One unit hedge probably on Kerber also to cover Ag-Radwanska. I think that can go either way, but don't want to come up empty even though it's +2500 riding ...Comment -
EP,
I have futures on Azarenka at +875 and Kerber at +6600 would you hedge the semifinals or just wait and hope one of them makes the finals and then decide? Or if both of them make the finals then great.Comment -
I would hedge.
Bad math for me before, i actually came out even on the Raonic-ferrer futures with the one unit win on Murray.Comment -
how much are you looking to hedge on your tsonga future? I'm a bit uncertain, I feel like, and I know I'm in a very small minorty here, tsonga has a decent shot vs murray.Comment -
Ok thanks.Comment -
Not sure just yet, going to think about it for a day. I see Murray around -200. Having hedged once against him with Fish, I've spent two units now on Tsonga @ +1500. So I would think at least two units on Murray to even out, but thinking about more. I just don't think it's a great match-up for Tsonga and his play has been suspect at times. If Ferrer had made it, I would have rolled with the Tsonga future just because he's been to the Finals stage before. With Murray though, there is no experience advantage obviously.Comment -
The Daily Sombrero - Wimbledon Women's Semifinals
Serena Williams MORE ACES [-115] *Bovada - Seems very poorly set to have both @ -115*
Kerber-Radwanska Over 22 [-120]Comment -
Are u sure that may not be a line error?? Because that is BEYOND ridiculous.
And if its not, its a gift. Whats the max wager they allow on that prop??
How can Serena not serve atleast 1 more ace than Azarenka
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Not sure, but it's got them both @ -115. I'd suggest getting on it now if you want it, I would expect there will be movement. I don't see it as an error, I just think they put the prop out 1st so they probably had no idea where to set it. No one ever said books were smart 24/7.Comment -
k...well im gonna try to contact them to make sure its not an error before i deposit. Would be brutal to sweat that prop during match only to realize they settle it as no action.Comment -
Serena has some some atrocious first serve numbers at wimbledon and Azarenka has had much higher first serve percentages but this should have been listed with a handicap. Azarenka had one match back in Miami where she had more aces facing Serena but thats it. Just bet it and we will see what happens. Great catchComment -
k well called them up, and i had to request to talk to the manager cuz the stupid customer sales rep. b1tch kept saying "i can't see the lines u see" lol. Im like wtf, dont u have a computer, just open up a browser and see.
So apparently, they 'cant tell if its an error' - thats what she said. Because their book manager sets the lines, and she said if its an error it will be graded as no action. Kinda pissed, i dont understand...i kept asking why they cant simply just tell me if its an error or not so i can know whether to deposit money here and place teh bet. And then she's like 'well sir, the lines keep changing so we don't know'.
Not convinced but hopefully its not an error...because this is like getting a -400 line for -115. Ill take itComment -
Yeah, its obviously a mistake. I went back and looked at these stats, Azarenkas ace numbers are nowhere in the same league. I placed the bet but it probably wont stand. After really studying serenas and azarenks ace numbers, this should be something like -1500 or above or something crazy like that even with Serenas horrible first serve percentages at wimbledon, there has to be some sort of handicap here they are not showing. Azarenkas ace numbers over Serena in Miami was pretty much an anomaly. You never know if some of these prop wagers will stand but I highly doubt it.
It was still a great catch Eagles, keep these bovada prop numbers out there. I have seen some crazy numbers from these offshore on tennis and got some fantastic numbers at these places during slams. They just have so little tennis wagering you can really find some great stuff out there.Comment -
Yeah..wow the difference is so much more than i thought it was. Serena's numbers are ridiculously higher. Def. a mistake - but its still possible they don't realize it and pay it out.
Because they have a $300 max wager limit on these bets so the amount may not be material enough to get noticed - possibly.Comment -
Not worried about it either way. Aces are still pretty variable on any given day due to wind, return, etc. so it is what it is. All I would care is that it hits and then if they pay, great. If they don't, I'll take my money back and won't sweat it.
Have Radwanska holding @ +2500 for 0.5 unit. With that payout so high, I'm only taking Kerber @ -145 to cover the original half unit invested. The match is a toss-up to me, so I don't want to eat into the Ag-Rad price too much because I think she can win and then the final would set up the much bigger hedge to guarantee a good profit.Comment -
Hey EP! Just wanted to say hi. I have been so freaking busy this summer teaching my tennis camps and lessons and Special Olympics all over the state AND my own tments twice a month...........dude, I am so damn tired, LOL!!! I hope you have been doing really well brotha. I always wish you the best. Always. Take care.Comment -
Hi guys! I have this bet open on my site: Serena Williams - Victoria Azarenka Aces Handicap ( 0 : 7.5 ) : 1 1.65
Anyone think it's worth taking?Comment
