On the board with this over as long as they complete the match.
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Comment -
F-ing beautiful. Marrero-Verdasco win the 1st set and then Bautista-Agut/Lopez retire to cash the bigger payout on the Open Parlay.Comment -
Finishing up with this.
Kvitova-Robson Over 21 [-115]
Made my point elsewhere that both of these girls can absolutely ball when they're on, but they are very inconsistent. You saw that with Kvitova in her opener. Robson has proven the big stage isn't too much for her and I think she'll fancy herself a chance with Kvitova still not anywhere near top form. Wouldn't be surprised to see three sets in this one and 21 isn't impossible in two obviously.Comment -
Thx man,
no fedex input?? Or did i miss it?? While i sleptComment -
That match is a pass.Comment -
How bout Safarova -190? To add it in a parlay?Comment -
I didn't like that match. Safarova's not really in great form. Jovanovski is fully capable of winning I think. Well I'll take that push with Ram. Thought it was dead after he go blown out in the 2nd and fought off some break points in the 3rd. 1-1-1 with the two totals to finish the night.
Expecting to start another Open Parlay tomorrow.Comment -
Cash Robson over.
on fire ep!
Comment -
Record: 14-7-2 [+8.83]Open Parlay #1 [7 Slots]
Slot 1: [R1] Malisse -510
Slot 2: [R1] Querrey -1200
Slot 3: [R1] Kuznetsova -460
Slot 4: [R1] Tomic -1400
Slot 5: [R1] Kohlschreiber -820
Slot 6: [R1] Doubles: Bryans -750
Slot 7: [R1] Doubles: Marrero-Verdasco -420
The last selection makes the value of this parlay [+166]. Their opponents, Bautista-Agut/F.Lopez are +300. I'm going .33 units on them for the hedge. That breaks me about even off this if the dogs spring the upset and keeps the parlay a healthy +133 if Marrero-Verdasco win.
+133
Day 4
Seppi-Istomin Under 40.5 [-120]
No big breakdown here. My feeling simply is that there will be some service breaks in this one. Istomin is usually a roller coaster of activity from set to set. Seppi has been solid to start the year, so I think he'll put some pressure on Istomin's serve - while Istomin could do the same against Seppi if his own serve is holding up.
Duckworth-Kavcic Over 39 [-110]
Duckworth will have to show his bounce back ability after the five set win over Mitchell, but he certainly looked strong enough closing the match out. For Duckworth, the consistency was not there all match - but he controlled things more than not against Mitchell. He showed a solid serve which continues from the pre-AO prep. Kavic blew away Bellucci in straights. Most people would have. Kavcic is really not a bad player. He's shown good ability on this surface and was playing solid tennis most of 2012 on his more preferred surface of clay before a back problem slowed him. I think the Aussie fans will help push Duckworth if he lacks energy as this will be on a smaller court, so I think this will be competitive.
Ram +8 [-120]
Not holding any misconception that Ram will be a major threat to Cilic overall in this match, but he has a serve that can keep him deep into sets when it is working effectively. Given the weather, there could also be less chance that either wants to engage in longer rallies - so service holds could come quick. Cilic looked good in his opener, but there were break opps on his serve -11, he saved all 11. He beat Matosevic by exactly eight games in three sets. I think Ram has an opportunity to do the same.
[PUSH]
Del Potro-Becker Under 29 [-120]
Delpo was dominant in his opener against Mannarino who had been very hot, albeit on the Challenger Level. Becker isn't who normally holds up against the elite without maintaining a wicked serve throughout the match. I don't know that he'll be anywhere near consistent enough to stick with Del Potro. I think if Del Potro starts quick and gets into his serve early, the ball will roll in his favor and he'll finish Becker in straights.
Kvitova-Robson Over 21 [-115]
Made my point elsewhere that both of these girls can absolutely ball when they're on, but they are very inconsistent. You saw that with Kvitova in her opener. Robson has proven the big stage isn't too much for her and I think she'll fancy herself a chance with Kvitova still not anywhere near top form. Wouldn't be surprised to see three sets in this one and 21 isn't impossible in two obviously.
Open Parlays: 1-1 [+0.33]Comment -
Starting a new one.
Open Parlay #3 [7 Slots]
Slot #1: [R3] Li -1250
Slot #2: [R3] Almagro -240
Slot #3: [R2] Doubles - Bryans -1350Comment -
May have more later, these to start.
Day 5
Ivanovic-Jankovic Over 21 [-112]
This figures to be a competitive match between two familiar foes. Both struggled in their 2nd round matches. Serve figures to be a big deal in this one with both at times really having issues with holds. Jankovic is still one of the best defenders/returners on tour, so she will force Ivanovic to amp up her game. Ivanovic figures to have opportunities against JJ's wonky serve. I can see multiple breaks and a rollercoaster match back and forth. Could go three, but even in two this may have a shot.
Zheng +140
Zheng draws Goerges. Something in her quirky game has given Goerges fits the two prior meetings with Zheng winning both. Those happened a bit ago, so while Goerges has improved as a player - this surface is still not the best for her. Meanwhile, Zheng seems to pull the rabbit out of the hat @ Melbourne more often than not. Stosur donated the match to her last round, but she was there to take it. Zheng is one of the more adept WTA players at converting break opps and it's a good thing with her own serve not the strongest. Goerges will need to avoid the perils of break points on her own serve to inspire confidence. When she is in a groove with her serve and not offering many opportunities, she can be tough. Whatever it is that brings out Zheng's best results in Australia, I'll take a shot with that mojo.
Berdych-Melzer Under 32 [-116]
Berdych has a stellar record vs. lefties, so I don't think he'll me mesmerized by the change in games from his last opponent to Melzer. Melzer played a tough five setter against Bautista-Agut in the 2nd. He was good on the big points and will have to be better today to keep pace with Berdych. Berdych will need to tighten up his serve a tad as he's been broken at least once in each match. Still, Melzer has not matched up well with the top tier guys on this surface lately and has trouble handling the power players. I think if Berdych gets into his serve early, Melzer will find himself having to fend off break points & Berdych will have the chances to turn the sets to his advantage and work them in favor of this finishing under.Comment -
Thanks for the Robson over 21 games yesterday EP. You've been killing it, keep up the good work.Comment -
EP can I get your thoughts on Anderson tonight. Really tempted to play him but haven't pulled the trigger yet. Thanks.Comment -
Nice work EPComment -
Nishikori-Donskoy Over 32.5 [-120]
Donskoy may have signaled his arrival to the rest of the tennis world with a win over countryman Mikhail Youzhny. Donskoy has been ripping up the Challenger Circuit for the last year, but had not been in the main draw at a Slam until now. He's still green on this surface, but he's got some pretty sweet pop on his serve when it's working. Youzhny is a solid returner, so only being broken twice in five sets will be a boost to his confidence against Nishikori. Nishikori will offer more of an athletic challenge as he certainly is quicker than Youzhny. Nishikori wasn't terribly clean against Berlocq, but won going away. The knee isn't a major issue it appears, but it would be interesting to see how he responds to a grueling match. I think Donskoy has the skill to win a set in this one and even in three, this could conceivably get done - although I think it would be tough.Comment -
Ack. Zheng chokes trying to serve out the match. 5-5. Damn it.Comment -
She had been playing so well for the last set and nine games and then turns into an error machine. Eesh.Comment -
haha choke city wowComment -
Thanks EP. Gonna lock in Anderson.
Wow Zheng really screwed that up. Looked like she had it in the bag.Comment -
What a rollercoaster indeed. Ivanovic had just broken to 5-2 and was serving for the set, lost 13 straight points and it was 5-5 40-0 to Jankovic. Then Ivanovic breaks again. Jankovic had 3 break points but Iva held. Phew, had her to win the first set. Was about to explode
Comment -
Let's go Jankovic! One more game for the over!Comment -
Meh. Push. Couldn't get the one hold.Comment -
Just sticking to a pre-tourney read because it worked on some others I passed.
Savinykh +370 *0.5 unitComment -
What did you spot in Savinkyh EP?
Never seen her play and not sure i've even heard the name before this tourney..Comment -
Just kind of tracked her through qualis. She seems like a good fighter and I thought the draw in her section lent itself to an outsider making some noise. She might get killed, but I didn't see anyone in this draw as playing the sort of tennis that was top notch enough to justify these sort of numbers. We'll see if I know Russian Mob rules maybe too.Comment -
Tips is really trying to f things up. lolComment -
Nevermind...You suggested Almagro!
Although, I had Tips on another ticket, and he's doing his best to f things up.Comment -
Even if he wins, these are the matches that are going to add miles to Tipsarevic's body and hopefully help out the Ferrer future if Ferrer can continue to run through this quarter.Comment -
Not my night tonight. Only good thing so far is the open parlay starting off pretty strong it seems. Guess Donskoy is a little too green to compete. Thought he would do a better job competing in all the sets, especially since Nishikori isn't quite right still.Comment -
Gun to your head EP, Querrey or Wawrinka?Comment -
I felt Wawrinka on that one. The price swung around to Querrey earlier, but it's pretty much back to about where it opened I think now. It should be a fantastic match.Comment -
Thanks EP. Gonna unload on Wawrinka. Fuckin on tilt over the Lakers loss.Comment -
Get your shit together Donskoy!Comment
