TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other

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  • Fl6j66
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-20-10
    • 961

    #211
    Saturday is just around the corner.





    I've just found out that next saturday is just a saturday...
    Comment
    • TomJSports
      SBR MVP
      • 08-31-11
      • 1177

      #212
      To say BVB needed that would be an understatement. Good to see them back on track.
      Comment
      • FindTheLock
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-27-10
        • 7194

        #213
        what's up with this weekend having no games? I hate it when all the leagues are off for the entire weekend.
        Comment
        • TomJSports
          SBR MVP
          • 08-31-11
          • 1177

          #214
          International weekend. Some solid Euro qualie matches, though.
          Comment
          • FindTheLock
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-27-10
            • 7194

            #215
            good to know. I didn't feel like looking it up, but I figured it had something to do with that. I see cup matches in J league about to kick off in a few hrs. I am looking at parlaying the overs in 3 of them. Cup games can get out of control sometimes... what do ya think?
            Comment
            • FindTheLock
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-10
              • 7194

              #216
              here it is... let's see what happens.

              Pending 3 Team Parlay
              Pending 10/5/11 6:00am Japan Soccer 651 Jubilo Iwata (JPN-CUP)/Gamba Osaka (JPN-CUP) Over 3 -109*
              Pending 10/5/11 6:00am Japan Soccer 654 Yokohama F. Marinos (JPN-CUP)/Kashima Antlers (JPN-CUP) Over 2½ -105*
              Pending 10/5/11 6:00am Japan Soccer 657 Albirex Niigata (JPN-CUP)/Nagoya Grampus Eight (JPN-CUP) Over 2½ -117*
              Comment
              • robert_wrath
                SBR MVP
                • 07-16-09
                • 2122

                #217
                These are my filtered plays thus far:

                Brazil Serie B

                .7:30PM...[.735]...PORTUGUESA.......................Mone yLine...............(-198)* MARQUEE


                England Conference Premier
                .2:45PM...[.702]...FLEETWOOD TOWN...................MoneyLine........ .......(-185)* MARQUEE
                .2:45PM...[.710]...Cambridge........................Mone yLine...............(+139)*
                .2:45PM...[.716]...Braintree........................Pick ....................(-120)* MARQUEE
                .2:45PM...[.716]...Braintree........................Mone yLine...............(+158)* STRONG


                World Cup 2014 Qual ASIA
                .4:30AM...[.314]...AUSTRALIA........................Mone yLine...............(-748)* MARQUEE


                Internationl European Championships Qual
                .1:00PM...[.105]...GERMANY..........................Mone yLine...............(-282)* MARQUEE
                .1:00PM...[.104]...Belgium / GERMANY................Over 3..................(-116)*
                .1:00PM...[.111]...CROATIA..........................Mone yLine...............(-696)*
                .2:45PM...[.159]...SPAIN............................Mone yLine...............(-658)* MARQUEE
                .2:45PM...[.158]...Scotland / SPAIN.................Over 3, 3½..............(+116)* STRONG


                *CAPS denotes Home Team
                **ALL times EST
                Comment
                • TomJSports
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-31-11
                  • 1177

                  #218
                  Good plays today, robert. Was just waiting for the club play to start up and just played one big parlay that's somehow still alive.
                  Comment
                  • Yoinkerz
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 04-17-11
                    • 67

                    #219
                    any plays for today?
                    Comment
                    • TomJSports
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-31-11
                      • 1177

                      #220
                      Originally posted by Yoinkerz
                      any plays for today?
                      Not right now, no terrific games. Only sparingly follow Championnat National and don't really know historically how Copa del Rey shakes down. I like Nîmes, Martigues, Grand Rouen, and Vannes all to win. And the overs maybe in Cherbourg/Niort, Nîmes/Orléans, and Paris FC/Épinal. Don't know if I'll play any of those, obviously

                      In the NHL, I like the Phi/Van under a lot. May wait for alternate lines.
                      Comment
                      • TomJSports
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-31-11
                        • 1177

                        #221
                        Well I would've been 1-3 on winners and 2-1 on overs. Hopefully today fares better with actual action.

                        Other Leagues:
                        (Allsvenskan) Malmö/Häcken draw +250 5x
                        (Superettan) Värnamo/Hammarby o2.75 -110 5x
                        (Veikkausliiga) HJK -1.5 +120 5x
                        (Veikkausliiga) Haka -1 -150 10x
                        (Veikkausliiga) VPS/Mariehamn u2.25 +110 5x


                        Some interesting Swedish plays with Malmö and Häcken fighting for top position for continentals and Värnamo and Hammarby playing to avoid danger of further relegation. I'd normally give this Allsvenskan match to Malmö, but with both teams coming in so strong and well off, I like the draw here for the low risk of 2x. Värnamo and Hammarby are two squads that see a lot of goals. 3 of the last 4 home Värnamo matches would hit the over, and the last three Hammarby road matches would hit the over, so I like my chances here with a high stakes game. First goal should mean both teams press.

                        Over in Finland there are some interesting plays. In Vaasa, Mariehamn is a low low scoring team on the road, and VPS is a low scoring team, period. I highly expect that trend to continue here. Even though HJK Helsinki is playing a very good JJK squad, I like them to continue their winning ways and play spoiler to JJK's continental hopes just because they can. Obviously earlier in the season, that would be a much bigger play. Haka has an outside, outside shot at continentals and I expect them to gun for it and take their liberties with a lowly Rouvaniemi squad.

                        Good luck on your plays today!
                        Comment
                        • TomJSports
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 1177

                          #222
                          Other Leagues:
                          (Allsvenskan) Malmö/Häcken draw +250 5x -2
                          (Superettan) Värnamo/Hammarby o2.75 -110 5x -5.5
                          (Veikkausliiga) HJK -1.5 +120 5x -4.17
                          (Veikkausliiga) Haka -1 -150 10x -15
                          (Veikkausliiga) VPS/Mariehamn u2.25 +110 5x +4.55


                          Ugh, even with the break, the cold streak continues! Häcken couldn't get it done on the road. Värnamo and Hammarby somehow ended up low scoring. But the Finnish plays were the most shocking. HJK has already become complacent. Haka got an early red card and lost to lowly RoPS. Leaving my only hit as VPS/Mariehamn.

                          Thank goodness Bundesliga is back.

                          Club plays this week: 1-0-4 -21.67
                          Comment
                          • TomJSports
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-31-11
                            • 1177

                            #223
                            Bundesliga:
                            Werder Bremen +0.25 +110 5x
                            Bremen/BVB u3 -120 5x


                            This is a battle of two teams trying to prove they're back in form and are actually quite evenly matched on the pitch. I like a 1-1 draw in this match, if I had to play a score. In the past nine years, BVB has only won once in Bremen, so I like the Bremen PK or Bremen +0.5. Historically, 62.5% of their matches are under 2.5. And if you look at the last four years, the u3 would be 5-2-1. So I like Bremen and BVB to perform up to their historical standards, as both are coming in thirsting for points and relatively healthy.
                            Comment
                            • TomJSports
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-31-11
                              • 1177

                              #224
                              Bundesliga
                              Bremen 1 - BVB 1 +560 10x

                              Played that for the hell of it.
                              Comment
                              • decado
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-23-10
                                • 2392

                                #225
                                wiese wont play for bremen. if dortmund is in good form, it may go over. i think under though. and bremen PK
                                good luck!
                                Comment
                                • TomJSports
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-31-11
                                  • 1177

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by decado
                                  wiese wont play for bremen. if dortmund is in good form, it may go over. i think under though. and bremen PK
                                  good luck!
                                  Yeah, hopefully they play solid defense around Mielitz and they should. Just have to hope it doesn't turn into the Pizarro/Lewandowski show. When do you think Barrios is coming back? Has to be next week.
                                  Comment
                                  • decado
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-23-10
                                    • 2392

                                    #227
                                    under looking good right now.
                                    barrios might come in later today. he is ready, but not for full 90min. i'd say at HT or 70min.
                                    Comment
                                    • TomJSports
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-31-11
                                      • 1177

                                      #228
                                      Tooooor für den BVB!!!
                                      Robert Lewandowski behauptet den Ball gegen Naldo und Andreas Wolf , spielt weiter zu Sven Bender , der den freistehenden Ivan Perisic sieht. Der Kroate hämmert die "Torfabrik" vom linken Strafraumeck ins Bremer Tor!! Ein toller Treffer!!



                                      At least the under is looking good. BVB is looking good. Would be interesting to see Barrios after that long layoff.
                                      Comment
                                      • decado
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-23-10
                                        • 2392

                                        #229
                                        dont worry. bremen plays quite well. and after all bremen were this season like four times behind with 0-1 and still won the game.
                                        perisic also got his second yellow, so we might get at least a draw here.
                                        Comment
                                        • Fl6j66
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 06-20-10
                                          • 961

                                          #230
                                          I need 1 more for push.
                                          Comment
                                          • TomJSports
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-31-11
                                            • 1177

                                            #231
                                            Boo, 10 on 11 goal for BVB. Both games last year were 2-0, so hopefully it just stops here. I think Werder pushes though a man up. Can't believe they let that one in.
                                            Comment
                                            • decado
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 2392

                                              #232
                                              dortmund got much more efficient today. bremen is clearly better, but clueless how to get past bvb defense. 0-2 or 1-2 mitght be final. no way bremen can still draw.
                                              Comment
                                              • Fl6j66
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 06-20-10
                                                • 961

                                                #233
                                                12 corners already, but i had to play the multicorners sucker + 2 multicorners sucker parlay...

                                                and i won't get a f push...
                                                Comment
                                                • decado
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-23-10
                                                  • 2392

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by Fl6j66
                                                  and i won't get a f push...
                                                  sorry about that, but you know its rude to root for push or over if the thread owner is on under.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Fl6j66
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-20-10
                                                    • 961

                                                    #235
                                                    I'm terrbibly sorry.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • parkzzzz
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 09-25-11
                                                      • 19

                                                      #236
                                                      After watching BVB vs. Arsenal and reading posts on the forums today i just throwed a little at bvb. Worked out even with the yellow card. Disciplined bunch right their. Gotze plays like he means it that's for sure!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TomJSports
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-31-11
                                                        • 1177

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by Fl6j66
                                                        I'm terrbibly sorry.
                                                        No worries, all in good fun. Good win for BVB, starting to think they're back. Should be fun with them rising back up the standing, and hopefully Barrios gets the start next week.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TomJSports
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-31-11
                                                          • 1177

                                                          #238
                                                          Bundesliga:
                                                          Werder Bremen +0.25 +110 5x -4.55
                                                          Bremen/BVB u3 -120 5x +5
                                                          Bremen 1 - BVB 1 +560 10x -1.79

                                                          Fun game, good for BVB to get the win. Shocked at how Bremen couldn't get anything going even when up a man.

                                                          Club plays today: 1-0-2 -1.34
                                                          Club plays this week: 2-0-6 -23.01
                                                          Comment
                                                          • phenomenon
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-11-10
                                                            • 3227

                                                            #239
                                                            where are u mate... need ur guesses about bundeslıga 2...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TomJSports
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-31-11
                                                              • 1177

                                                              #240
                                                              Originally posted by phenomenon
                                                              where are u mate... need ur guesses about bundeslıga 2...
                                                              Ehh, 2.Bundesliga aren't the best tomorrow. I do really like Union Berlin to win that one. They won 3-1 at home last year and they're in much, much better form than Karlsruhe, plus are on a 4 game home winning streak. Duisburg and Ingolstadt are a couple of low tier teams. Duisburg won the match in Duisburg 4-1 last year, so there's that. Ingolstadt is a great over team, but Duisburg is a middle of the road team. If I had to pick every game, I'd go Union Berlin + over and Duisburg + over. Union Berlin will likely be my only play, though.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TomJSports
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-31-11
                                                                • 1177

                                                                #241
                                                                2.Bundesliga
                                                                Union Berlin -0.75 +140 10x


                                                                Should be a solid play to get back on track. Union's been awesome at home and I expect that to continue against one of the worse road teams.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • phenomenon
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-11-10
                                                                  • 3227

                                                                  #242
                                                                  but as I read, unıon has lots of absence, is it true ? ty by the way
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TomJSports
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-31-11
                                                                    • 1177

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Bundesliga
                                                                    Bayern Muinch -2 +110 10x
                                                                    Gladbach +180 5x
                                                                    Wolfsburg/Nürnberg o2.75 +110 5x
                                                                    Schalke -1 -110 5x


                                                                    Bayern has been trouncing opponents all year and are playing they're old practise keeper, Kraft. I fully expect another embarrassment for a Bayern opponent tomorrow despite facing old teammates Ottl, Lell, and Kraft. Bayern will only be missing Rafinha (okay, and Robben, too, but when isn't he out) and Boateng at wingback and van Buyten starting is still as good as any. I sincerely doubt Neuer's shotout streak is threatened whatsoever. Maybe 2-0. 3-0, 4-0 Bayern.

                                                                    The Gladbach/Bayer match is tough to cap, but when you consider Bayer hasn't lost in 19 matches (14 draws) in Borussia Park, you have to think you go with Bayer. However, with how well Borussia is playing this year, and that Bayer has been up and down, I like Gladbach to finally get that win at home. Coming into it, you'd like the under, but last year the road team won 1-3 at Borussia, and 3-6 at Leverkusen.

                                                                    Nürnberg and Wolfsberg is a mid-tier Bundesliga match, and those typically mean goals. Big thing that keeps me from going higher is Nürnberg's ho-hum road scoring prowess this year. But 60% of the last 10 between the two have been over, 3/4 in the last two years, and 3/4 home Wolfsberg matches this year. Throw in both teams like this to be a winable match, and Hleb and Thoelke maybing debuting for the Wolves and Nürnberg welcoming back Bunjaku and Eigler, this could be an awkward match that gets out of hand with goals. Could see this as a draw as well.

                                                                    I don't believe in Schalke just yet, but I do believe in them against a lowly Lautern squad. Schalke is kind of piecemealing their lineup together, but whomever they throw out there should be enough to get the win against lowly Lautern. I would see this as a solid Schalke win, maybe 2-0 or 3-1. But Lautern plays a tight defensive road game, so at worst, it's one goal win and a push.

                                                                    Normally I'd take Mainz 05 against lowly Augsburg, but the Bavarians are so hungry for the win, so I just hold off on this one. I hold off on Hoffenheim and VfB, which is historically a tough one to call, I do like VfB in Stuttgart, but not enough to play it, same with the under.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TomJSports
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-31-11
                                                                      • 1177

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by phenomenon
                                                                      but as I read, unıon has lots of absence, is it true ? ty by the way
                                                                      Not any more than most teams. Kind of worry about Trapp at central defender, but otherwise, they're pretty well with their starters. Mosquera should get the goals and Sevran should play decent as a fill-in. Karlsruhe is arguably healthier, but they're also simply not good and will not be starting their leading scorer, Iashvili. It's a matter of opinion, but I would say Union wins this soundly.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • phenomenon
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-11-10
                                                                        • 3227

                                                                        #245
                                                                        huh ok ty I m wıth u on thıs one then
                                                                        wıll try also over 6.5 bayern match nıce for shoot ?
                                                                        Comment
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