Ha ha, with how Bayern's been scoring, it could hit. I think it's a more tame 3-0 type score though. We'll see.
TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other
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TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#246Comment -
phenomenonSBR MVP
- 03-11-10
- 3227
#247lolI am on ıt
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damn duısburg, I have ht for duısburgComment -
Fl6j66SBR Wise Guy
- 06-20-10
- 961
#2481. FCB v Hertha 6+ just for amusement.
2. LFC v UTD o3.5 & 6+ just for amusement.
(i'm not amused at all, but at least i have alcohol)Comment -
decadoSBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2392
#249wow. we are even better than before.Comment -
phenomenonSBR MVP
- 03-11-10
- 3227
#250lol 2-0 10 th mıns
go go over 6.5)
Comment -
GalegoSBR Wise Guy
- 09-18-11
- 791
#2513-0 in 15 minutesComment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#252Wow, Bayern decided to hold off after that start. I was hoping Olić would come in and get a goal, though. I'm most proud that I held off of Mainz 05, as the Augsburg side got their first win in Bundesliga play. Now if only I would've played Augsberg.Lautern took it to Schalke today in Gelsenkirchen, I knew I should never back Schalke!
Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#253Bundesliga
Bayern Muinch -2 +110 10x +10
Gladbach +180 5x -2.78
Wolfsburg/Nürnberg o2.75 +110 5x +2.5 (counted in full, though)
Schalke -1 -110 5x -5.5
2.Bundesliga
Union Berlin -0.75 +140 10x +10
Decent day; knew I should never trust Schalke.
Club plays today: 3-0-2 +14.72
Club plays this week: 5-0-8 -8.29Comment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#254Good work Tom, always good stuff.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#255Thanks EP36. Finally good to see the Iggles get a damn win yesterday.
2.Bundesliga
Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf o2.75 -105 10x
Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf draw +260 5x
Other Leagues
(Superligaen) FCK win v. Horsens -120 5x
(Eliteserien) Start/Brann o3 -115 5x
(Allsvenskan) Malmö win v. Syrianska EV 5x
(Superettan) GIF win v. Åtvidaberg +115 5x
I have been doing really bad in non-German leagues, and especially Scandi leagues, so maybe just look at the St. Pauli over
I like this game to finish as a 2-2 draw. St. Pauli is a scoring machine at home, and should continue to be, despite Düsseldorf's solid road defense. I think the always-crazy St. Pauli crowd shakes the solid D into giving up a couple. But Düsseldorf is a resiliant squad and should match with a couple. And they're 80% of the time getting draws on the road. I'd probably play o3.5 at decent odds, in all honesty.
Horsens isn't a pushover, but FCK means business in continentals and domestic this year. FCK has won every road contest, including the 2-1 win over rivals Brøndby. Couple that with Horsens' sketchy 2-1-2 home record, and I like FCK to drop them below .500.
The trek from Bergen to Kristansand is a massive pain, but shouldn't come into play with Brann wanting to stay in continental contention. Start also wants to edge out of the relegation race. So both teams will be looking for goals. I like this to be a typical Norwegian over and maybe something like a 2-2 draw. Start has picked up the pace lately with relegation looming, but both teams will be looking for 3 points. Throw in 2/3 of Start home matches hit the o2.5, and 2/3 of Brann road matches hit the o2.5, I like the win or push a lot.
The odds are probably low on Malmö because Syrianska is desperate to get out of relgation. But I would argue Malmö is nearly as desperate fighting to get back into continentals. And Malmö is the better team. They've shored up their team defense and have won 1-0 in their last two at home, and I expect a similar scoreline here. If you can find an under line, that would be a solid play, too.
GIF has been an absolute beast in Superettan play thus far, but they have their toughest challenge with second-place Åtvidaberg coming to Sundsvall. GIF's record up north is only 7-4-1, which isn't that great of a home advantage. Especially considering Åtvidaberg's excellent 5-2-5 road record. However, Åtvidaberg has lost their last two on the road, including one to lowly Assyriska. This will be a tough match, and probably eye the over in, but for one, I like GIF to pull it out at home. GIF just really knows when to go all out for the win, as evidenced by their last home game, a 5-0 trouncing of 3rd place and direct competition for promotion, Ängelholm.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#2562.Bundesliga
Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf o2.75 -105 10x +10
Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf draw +260 5x -1.92
Other Leagues
(Superligaen) FCK win v. Horsens -120 5x -6
(Eliteserien) Start/Brann o3 -115 5x +5
(Allsvenskan) Malmö win v. Syrianska EV 5x +5
(Superettan) GIF win v. Åtvidaberg +115 5x -4.35
FCK let me down on the road, which wasn't a terrible upset, but I was really surprised that GIF didn't get much done today, and the scoreline in that one was super low. St. Pauli didn't get the draw, unfortunately, but they hit the over, well Düsseldorf did. Malmö pulled out an expected win at home, and Start has been playing great to try and avert relegation as they won 3-1.
I wonder what my just German league totals would be, but I don't feel like digging. A bad couple of weeks took my 61-47 record to 70-65. Thankfully still up ~11%.
Club plays today: 3-0-3 +7.73
Club plays last week: 5-0-8 -8.29
Day From Hell: 1-0-7 -32.27
Previous Club play total: 61-7-47 +142.67
Updated Club play total: 70-7-65 +109.84Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#257Champions League Card:
Bayern to win v. Napoli -105 10x
Bayern clean sheet v. Napoli +165 10x
Ajax to win v. Zagreb +205 5x
Inter +0.25 v. Lille +130 5x
ManU -1.75 v. Oțelul Galați +110
That's my final card for today. Homer bets on Bayern. I like the Inter and Ajax plays at those odds. Not a tonne, but enough to play. Also with the squad ManU put out against Liverpool, I expect them to go into Romania with full force.
Good luck on your plays today!
Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#258Champions League Card:
Bayern to win v. Napoli -105 10x -10.5
Bayern clean sheet v. Napoli +165 10x -6.06
Ajax to win v. Zagreb +205 5x +5
Inter +0.25 v. Lille +130 5x +5
ManU -1.75 v. Oțelul Galați +110 5x +5
Biffs from Holger and Gómez ruined what would've been a 5-0 day. Silly fellahs.
Champions League Today: 3-0-2 -1.56Comment -
chidondollarsSBR MVP
- 06-12-11
- 1296
#259Good one mate but in as much i know my bayern boys are doing well on all fronts(offensively and defensively)i was not expecting Napoli to sit back at their own backyard and kick the ball around.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#260yeah, as decado and i joked in another thread, once holger gifted them a goal, napoli played for the draw, at home, and dropped ten men back.Comment -
TonyDimySBR Wise Guy
- 12-16-10
- 558
#261)i was not expecting Napoli to sit back at their own backyard and kick the ball around.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#262
Only was on Porto -1.5 and Shahktar -0.75 today. Neither's looking like a sure thing. Luiz Adriano helped out in added time, we'll see what the second half brings.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#263Europa League early leans
Anterlecht/Sturm Graz o2.5 -110 5x
AZ/Austria Wien o3 -115 5x
FC Brugge/Birmingham o2.5 -105 5x
Udinese win v. Atletico +150 5x
Hannover -0.75 v. FCK -120 10x
PSV Eindhoven win v. Hapoel Tel Aviv -120 5x
Lazio win v. FC Zürich +110 10x
Strum Graz doesn't get shutout at home, and Anterlecht is a scoring machine averaging 2 per domestically and 3 per in Europa Group play, and 2 per previously against Bursaspor. Should easily be a 2-1 or 2-2 match.
AZ is averaging over 2.5 goals domestically and last two Europa matches at home were a 4 goal match v Malmö and a 6 goal match in the second round. Wien is a decent squad and has the capability to at least get one, as well. I would switch this out for AZ -1.5 or -1.75 if I could.
FC Brugge is allowing ~1 a game and scoring 2 per. I think Birmingham has too much firepower and should get at least one, maybe two. Like the Sturm Graz match, I see this being a 2-1 or 2-2 match.
Udinese has started off being one of the best Serie A teams. I think the get ahead 1-0 and the trap their way to victory. I like the under a lot here, too, and perhaps the draw, but I like Udinese to pull it out against an Atletico squad that is performing quite well. This should be a great match.
Hannover 96 is playing great and taking Europa League seriously. I like them a lot at home against the underperforming Danes and think they cruise to an easy 2-0, 3-1, 4-1 type victory.
PSV Eindhoven is absolutely blowing away their competition and I think despite the long travel, they get a solid win in Israel. Could see the Israel league leaders pull off the upset at home, maybe, though.
Lazio has been very good in Serie A thus far and Zürich has been very poor at home thus far. I fully expect the Eagles to travel to Switzerland and get a win.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#264Obviously wait a bit to see the squad. They do play Bayern on Sunday and want to prove something in that domestic tilt.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#265Early on, we're looking at:
Hannover 96: Zieler – Cherundolo, Haggui, Pogatetz, Schulz - Schmiedebach, Pinto - Stindl, Pander- Schlaudraff, Abdellaoue
FC Kopenhagen: Wiland - Bengtsson, Ottesen, Sigurdsson, Thomsen - Bolanos, Delaney, Claudemir, Grindheim - N'Doye, SantinComment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#266Bundesliga
Werder Bremen win v. Augsberg EV 10x
Werder/Augsberg u2.5 +115 5x (may switch to over pending Augsberg keeper)
2.Bundesliga
Düsseldorf -1 v. Rostock -135 10x
1860 Munich/Paderborn o2.75 EV 10x
Bochum/Karlsruhe u2.5 +115 5x
Back to just Bundesliga. Have to work this weekend, so I don't know if I'll have Sat/Sun plays. Two I'm most confident on are the Bremen win and the 1860 over. Düsseldorf -1 is a great play as well.
Aside from the H96 match, Bremen is a solid defensive squad and should hold Augsberg goalless, but this should definitely finish in the under. I figure this one ends 2-0, 1-1, or 1-0, maybe a 2-1 Werder win, but I say 2-0, 1-0 are the most likely. I doubt it gets much higher than that unless a different Bremen squad shows up in Bavaria tonight. Keep an eye on the Augsberg keeper though, Jentzsch may be out, so Amsif who has just two 2.Bundesliga appearances may get the start and change this to an over match. Weise is also back in net from suspension to be the keeper for Bremen.
Düsseldorf is looking to be a heavy candidate for promotion this year, and Rostock looks like they'll be in danger of heading back to 2.Liga. Düsseldorf is a fantastic home team: 5-0 this year and 13-1-3 last year. Plus they just simply don't lose to inferior opponents. And if I had to pick over/under, I'd go with the under because, Düsseldorf's high scores are usually because they need to score against good opponents, Rostock will likely get shutout here. Also if you can find -1.5 or -1.75 at favourable odds, take it. My -1.25 wasn't that great, so I stuck with -1.
1860 at home is a no brainer for the over. In fact, every match has been over 2.5 this year in Munich. Paderborn is a solid defensive team, but they have potential to score as well and will have to beat Munich at their own game. Could be another 4-2 match at Allianz. Last year's 0-1 makes me slightly weary, but you have to go with what's been happening this year. And at Paderborn, it was 3-2. Tough to pick a winner, I'd say 1860 or draw, but that may be a homer pick, Paderborn looks good this year.
Bochum and Karlsruhe, it's almost impossible to pick a winner. Both are pretty bad and may be eyeing relegation by season's end. Maybe Karlsruhe wins at home, but I'd say this has the makings of a 0-0 or 1-1 draw. Last year's matches both featured two goals: a 2-0 Bochum win at Karlsruhe and a 1-1 draw at Bochum. Should be a solid under play, but watch this be the reverse of last week, all overs. At any rate, I have faith this is a tightly contested match and low scoring.
Good luck today!Comment -
EasyPicksSBR MVP
- 10-21-11
- 3804
#267solid write ups.
always a pleasure reading your thread.
GLComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#268Ditto
Comment -
Astros148SBR MVP
- 12-11-10
- 1417
#269any update on the goal keeper?Comment -
SniperpicksSBR MVP
- 01-14-11
- 4717
#270JUSTABOUT TO WIN WITH DUSSELDORF
will tail now with Werden , smallerComment -
TheWuSBR Sharp
- 11-20-10
- 488
#271Augsburgh #1 keeper is inComment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#272Bundesliga
Werder Bremen win v. Augsberg EV 10x -10
Werder/Augsberg u2.5 +115 5x +5
2.Bundesliga
Düsseldorf -1 v. Rostock -135 10x +10
1860 Munich/Paderborn o2.75 EV 10x -10
Bochum/Karlsruhe u2.5 +115 5x +5
Odd day were I finished dead even. Looks liek there was money to be made during the weekend, but I was away. Bremen/Augsberg was a much better game than expected. Of course I played the exact scores for 1-0, and 2-0, but not 1-1Düsseldorf looked great and the lowly teams didn't score. Surprised at the low scoring game at Allianz for 1860, but I was going to ride them until the under hit. Likely still will.
Hope you had a good weekend!
Club plays Friday: 3-0-2 0
Club plays last week: 6-0-5 +7.73
Updated Club play total: 73-7-67 +109.84Comment -
escouSBR MVP
- 02-17-11
- 1042
#273Haha not really the best weekend of them all, hard to cap most of the games and not too many goals where expected .... this weekend should be better, since all the teams will be rested more or less.Comment -
escouSBR MVP
- 02-17-11
- 1042
#274Alot of goals usually in German Cups are you on any games today?Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#276Feeling kind of ill, don't know if I'll post any official plays.
Like the BVB/Dresden o3.5. I like this to be a 4-1 or 3-1 BVB win.
Fürth/Paderborn should hit the under.
Augsburg's doing well, so I like them to take out Leipzig with high morale. Rb Lepzieg of course has a tonne of money and will be in the first league within the decade.
Bochum should win their match and has attractive +130 odds.
1860/Düsseldorf should be another high scorer. I like a 3-2 match.
I like Gladbach -1.
But in my opinion, aside from Fürth/Paderborn, these all could hit the over.Comment -
TomJSportsSBR MVP
- 08-31-11
- 1177
#277Feeling kind of ill, don't know if I'll post any official plays.
Like the BVB/Dresden o3.5. I like this to be a 4-1 or 3-1 BVB win.
Fürth/Paderborn should hit the under.
Augsburg's doing well, so I like them to take out Leipzig with high morale. Rb Lepzieg of course has a tonne of money and will be in the first league within the decade.
Bochum should win their match and has attractive +130 odds.
1860/Düsseldorf should be another high scorer. I like a 3-2 match.
I like Gladbach -1.
But in my opinion, aside from Fürth/Paderborn, these all could hit the over.Comment -
escouSBR MVP
- 02-17-11
- 1042
#278Even cups are hard to cap nowadaysthey've always been just kidding
Comment -
Fl6j66SBR Wise Guy
- 06-20-10
- 961
#279
???
Me want parlay...
Comment -
escouSBR MVP
- 02-17-11
- 1042
#280haha everytime there is a lock its a loss so .... do you really want that lock ??Comment
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