TomJSports Soccer Picks - Bundesliga/Champ League/Internat'l/Other

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  • TomJSports
    SBR MVP
    • 08-31-11
    • 1177

    #246
    Ha ha, with how Bayern's been scoring, it could hit. I think it's a more tame 3-0 type score though. We'll see.
    Comment
    • phenomenon
      SBR MVP
      • 03-11-10
      • 3227

      #247
      lol I am on ıt )
      damn duısburg, I have ht for duısburg
      Comment
      • Fl6j66
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-20-10
        • 961

        #248
        1. FCB v Hertha 6+ just for amusement.
        2. LFC v UTD o3.5 & 6+ just for amusement
        .

        (i'm not amused at all, but at least i have alcohol)
        Comment
        • decado
          SBR MVP
          • 08-23-10
          • 2392

          #249
          wow. we are even better than before.
          Comment
          • phenomenon
            SBR MVP
            • 03-11-10
            • 3227

            #250
            lol 2-0 10 th mıns
            go go over 6.5 )
            Comment
            • Galego
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-18-11
              • 791

              #251
              3-0 in 15 minutes
              Comment
              • TomJSports
                SBR MVP
                • 08-31-11
                • 1177

                #252
                Wow, Bayern decided to hold off after that start. I was hoping Olić would come in and get a goal, though. I'm most proud that I held off of Mainz 05, as the Augsburg side got their first win in Bundesliga play. Now if only I would've played Augsberg. Lautern took it to Schalke today in Gelsenkirchen, I knew I should never back Schalke!
                Comment
                • TomJSports
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-31-11
                  • 1177

                  #253
                  Bundesliga
                  Bayern Muinch -2 +110 10x +10
                  Gladbach +180 5x -2.78
                  Wolfsburg/Nürnberg o2.75 +110 5x +2.5 (counted in full, though)
                  Schalke -1 -110 5x -5.5


                  2.Bundesliga
                  Union Berlin -0.75 +140 10x +10


                  Decent day; knew I should never trust Schalke.

                  Club plays today: 3-0-2 +14.72
                  Club plays this week: 5-0-8 -8.29
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #254
                    Good work Tom, always good stuff.
                    Comment
                    • TomJSports
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-31-11
                      • 1177

                      #255
                      Thanks EP36. Finally good to see the Iggles get a damn win yesterday.

                      2.Bundesliga
                      Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf o2.75 -105 10x
                      Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf draw +260 5x

                      Other Leagues
                      (Superligaen) FCK win v. Horsens -120 5x
                      (Eliteserien) Start/Brann o3 -115 5x
                      (Allsvenskan) Malmö win v. Syrianska EV 5x
                      (Superettan) GIF win v. Åtvidaberg +115 5x


                      I have been doing really bad in non-German leagues, and especially Scandi leagues, so maybe just look at the St. Pauli over

                      I like this game to finish as a 2-2 draw. St. Pauli is a scoring machine at home, and should continue to be, despite Düsseldorf's solid road defense. I think the always-crazy St. Pauli crowd shakes the solid D into giving up a couple. But Düsseldorf is a resiliant squad and should match with a couple. And they're 80% of the time getting draws on the road. I'd probably play o3.5 at decent odds, in all honesty.

                      Horsens isn't a pushover, but FCK means business in continentals and domestic this year. FCK has won every road contest, including the 2-1 win over rivals Brøndby. Couple that with Horsens' sketchy 2-1-2 home record, and I like FCK to drop them below .500.

                      The trek from Bergen to Kristansand is a massive pain, but shouldn't come into play with Brann wanting to stay in continental contention. Start also wants to edge out of the relegation race. So both teams will be looking for goals. I like this to be a typical Norwegian over and maybe something like a 2-2 draw. Start has picked up the pace lately with relegation looming, but both teams will be looking for 3 points. Throw in 2/3 of Start home matches hit the o2.5, and 2/3 of Brann road matches hit the o2.5, I like the win or push a lot.

                      The odds are probably low on Malmö because Syrianska is desperate to get out of relgation. But I would argue Malmö is nearly as desperate fighting to get back into continentals. And Malmö is the better team. They've shored up their team defense and have won 1-0 in their last two at home, and I expect a similar scoreline here. If you can find an under line, that would be a solid play, too.

                      GIF has been an absolute beast in Superettan play thus far, but they have their toughest challenge with second-place Åtvidaberg coming to Sundsvall. GIF's record up north is only 7-4-1, which isn't that great of a home advantage. Especially considering Åtvidaberg's excellent 5-2-5 road record. However, Åtvidaberg has lost their last two on the road, including one to lowly Assyriska. This will be a tough match, and probably eye the over in, but for one, I like GIF to pull it out at home. GIF just really knows when to go all out for the win, as evidenced by their last home game, a 5-0 trouncing of 3rd place and direct competition for promotion, Ängelholm.
                      Comment
                      • TomJSports
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-31-11
                        • 1177

                        #256
                        2.Bundesliga
                        Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf o2.75 -105 10x +10
                        Saint Pauli/Düsseldorf draw +260 5x -1.92

                        Other Leagues
                        (Superligaen) FCK win v. Horsens -120 5x -6
                        (Eliteserien) Start/Brann o3 -115 5x +5
                        (Allsvenskan) Malmö win v. Syrianska EV 5x +5
                        (Superettan) GIF win v. Åtvidaberg +115 5x -4.35


                        FCK let me down on the road, which wasn't a terrible upset, but I was really surprised that GIF didn't get much done today, and the scoreline in that one was super low. St. Pauli didn't get the draw, unfortunately, but they hit the over, well Düsseldorf did. Malmö pulled out an expected win at home, and Start has been playing great to try and avert relegation as they won 3-1.

                        I wonder what my just German league totals would be, but I don't feel like digging. A bad couple of weeks took my 61-47 record to 70-65. Thankfully still up ~11%.

                        Club plays today: 3-0-3 +7.73
                        Club plays last week: 5-0-8 -8.29
                        Day From Hell: 1-0-7 -32.27
                        Previous Club play total: 61-7-47 +142.67
                        Updated Club play total: 70-7-65 +109.84
                        Comment
                        • TomJSports
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-31-11
                          • 1177

                          #257
                          Champions League Card:
                          Bayern to win v. Napoli -105 10x
                          Bayern clean sheet v. Napoli +165 10x
                          Ajax to win v. Zagreb +205 5x
                          Inter +0.25 v. Lille +130 5x
                          ManU -1.75 v. Oțelul Galați +110

                          That's my final card for today. Homer bets on Bayern. I like the Inter and Ajax plays at those odds. Not a tonne, but enough to play. Also with the squad ManU put out against Liverpool, I expect them to go into Romania with full force.

                          Good luck on your plays today!
                          Comment
                          • TomJSports
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-31-11
                            • 1177

                            #258
                            Champions League Card:
                            Bayern to win v. Napoli -105 10x -10.5
                            Bayern clean sheet v. Napoli +165 10x -6.06
                            Ajax to win v. Zagreb +205 5x +5
                            Inter +0.25 v. Lille +130 5x +5
                            ManU -1.75 v. Oțelul Galați +110 5x +5


                            Biffs from Holger and Gómez ruined what would've been a 5-0 day. Silly fellahs.

                            Champions League Today: 3-0-2 -1.56
                            Comment
                            • chidondollars
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-12-11
                              • 1296

                              #259
                              Good one mate but in as much i know my bayern boys are doing well on all fronts(offensively and defensively)i was not expecting Napoli to sit back at their own backyard and kick the ball around.
                              Comment
                              • TomJSports
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-31-11
                                • 1177

                                #260
                                yeah, as decado and i joked in another thread, once holger gifted them a goal, napoli played for the draw, at home, and dropped ten men back.
                                Comment
                                • TonyDimy
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-16-10
                                  • 558

                                  #261
                                  )i was not expecting Napoli to sit back at their own backyard and kick the ball around.
                                  Obviously, you know nothing about italian soccer. Italian clubs are always result-oriented. They rarely think about prestige and fans' pleasure.
                                  Comment
                                  • TomJSports
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-31-11
                                    • 1177

                                    #262
                                    Originally posted by TonyDimy
                                    Obviously, you know nothing about italian soccer. Italian clubs are always result-oriented. They rarely think about prestige and fans' pleasure.
                                    I don't care how good Bayern is, but playing for a draw at home in continentals is just depressing. They have a decent offense.


                                    Only was on Porto -1.5 and Shahktar -0.75 today. Neither's looking like a sure thing. Luiz Adriano helped out in added time, we'll see what the second half brings.
                                    Comment
                                    • TomJSports
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-31-11
                                      • 1177

                                      #263
                                      Europa League early leans
                                      Anterlecht/Sturm Graz o2.5 -110 5x
                                      AZ/Austria Wien o3 -115 5x
                                      FC Brugge/Birmingham o2.5 -105 5x
                                      Udinese win v. Atletico +150 5x
                                      Hannover -0.75 v. FCK -120 10x
                                      PSV Eindhoven win v. Hapoel Tel Aviv -120 5x
                                      Lazio win v. FC Zürich +110 10x


                                      Strum Graz doesn't get shutout at home, and Anterlecht is a scoring machine averaging 2 per domestically and 3 per in Europa Group play, and 2 per previously against Bursaspor. Should easily be a 2-1 or 2-2 match.

                                      AZ is averaging over 2.5 goals domestically and last two Europa matches at home were a 4 goal match v Malmö and a 6 goal match in the second round. Wien is a decent squad and has the capability to at least get one, as well. I would switch this out for AZ -1.5 or -1.75 if I could.

                                      FC Brugge is allowing ~1 a game and scoring 2 per. I think Birmingham has too much firepower and should get at least one, maybe two. Like the Sturm Graz match, I see this being a 2-1 or 2-2 match.

                                      Udinese has started off being one of the best Serie A teams. I think the get ahead 1-0 and the trap their way to victory. I like the under a lot here, too, and perhaps the draw, but I like Udinese to pull it out against an Atletico squad that is performing quite well. This should be a great match.

                                      Hannover 96 is playing great and taking Europa League seriously. I like them a lot at home against the underperforming Danes and think they cruise to an easy 2-0, 3-1, 4-1 type victory.

                                      PSV Eindhoven is absolutely blowing away their competition and I think despite the long travel, they get a solid win in Israel. Could see the Israel league leaders pull off the upset at home, maybe, though.

                                      Lazio has been very good in Serie A thus far and Zürich has been very poor at home thus far. I fully expect the Eagles to travel to Switzerland and get a win.
                                      Comment
                                      • TomJSports
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 1177

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by TomJSports
                                        Europa League early leans
                                        Hannover -0.75 v. FCK -120 10x


                                        Hannover 96 is playing great and taking Europa League seriously. I like them a lot at home against the underperforming Danes and think they cruise to an easy 2-0, 3-1, 4-1 type victory.
                                        Obviously wait a bit to see the squad. They do play Bayern on Sunday and want to prove something in that domestic tilt.
                                        Comment
                                        • TomJSports
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-31-11
                                          • 1177

                                          #265
                                          Early on, we're looking at:

                                          Hannover 96: Zieler – Cherundolo, Haggui, Pogatetz, Schulz - Schmiedebach, Pinto - Stindl, Pander- Schlaudraff, Abdellaoue

                                          FC Kopenhagen: Wiland - Bengtsson, Ottesen, Sigurdsson, Thomsen - Bolanos, Delaney, Claudemir, Grindheim - N'Doye, Santin
                                          Comment
                                          • TomJSports
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-31-11
                                            • 1177

                                            #266
                                            Bundesliga
                                            Werder Bremen win v. Augsberg EV 10x
                                            Werder/Augsberg u2.5 +115 5x
                                            (may switch to over pending Augsberg keeper)

                                            2.Bundesliga
                                            Düsseldorf -1 v. Rostock -135 10x
                                            1860 Munich/Paderborn o2.75 EV 10x
                                            Bochum/Karlsruhe u2.5 +115 5x


                                            Back to just Bundesliga. Have to work this weekend, so I don't know if I'll have Sat/Sun plays. Two I'm most confident on are the Bremen win and the 1860 over. Düsseldorf -1 is a great play as well.

                                            Aside from the H96 match, Bremen is a solid defensive squad and should hold Augsberg goalless, but this should definitely finish in the under. I figure this one ends 2-0, 1-1, or 1-0, maybe a 2-1 Werder win, but I say 2-0, 1-0 are the most likely. I doubt it gets much higher than that unless a different Bremen squad shows up in Bavaria tonight. Keep an eye on the Augsberg keeper though, Jentzsch may be out, so Amsif who has just two 2.Bundesliga appearances may get the start and change this to an over match. Weise is also back in net from suspension to be the keeper for Bremen.

                                            Düsseldorf is looking to be a heavy candidate for promotion this year, and Rostock looks like they'll be in danger of heading back to 2.Liga. Düsseldorf is a fantastic home team: 5-0 this year and 13-1-3 last year. Plus they just simply don't lose to inferior opponents. And if I had to pick over/under, I'd go with the under because, Düsseldorf's high scores are usually because they need to score against good opponents, Rostock will likely get shutout here. Also if you can find -1.5 or -1.75 at favourable odds, take it. My -1.25 wasn't that great, so I stuck with -1.

                                            1860 at home is a no brainer for the over. In fact, every match has been over 2.5 this year in Munich. Paderborn is a solid defensive team, but they have potential to score as well and will have to beat Munich at their own game. Could be another 4-2 match at Allianz. Last year's 0-1 makes me slightly weary, but you have to go with what's been happening this year. And at Paderborn, it was 3-2. Tough to pick a winner, I'd say 1860 or draw, but that may be a homer pick, Paderborn looks good this year.

                                            Bochum and Karlsruhe, it's almost impossible to pick a winner. Both are pretty bad and may be eyeing relegation by season's end. Maybe Karlsruhe wins at home, but I'd say this has the makings of a 0-0 or 1-1 draw. Last year's matches both featured two goals: a 2-0 Bochum win at Karlsruhe and a 1-1 draw at Bochum. Should be a solid under play, but watch this be the reverse of last week, all overs. At any rate, I have faith this is a tightly contested match and low scoring.

                                            Good luck today!
                                            Comment
                                            • EasyPicks
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-21-11
                                              • 3804

                                              #267
                                              solid write ups.

                                              always a pleasure reading your thread.

                                              GL
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #268
                                                Ditto
                                                Comment
                                                • Astros148
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-11-10
                                                  • 1417

                                                  #269
                                                  any update on the goal keeper?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sniperpicks
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-14-11
                                                    • 4717

                                                    #270
                                                    JUSTABOUT TO WIN WITH DUSSELDORF

                                                    will tail now with Werden , smaller
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheWu
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-20-10
                                                      • 488

                                                      #271
                                                      Augsburgh #1 keeper is in
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TomJSports
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-31-11
                                                        • 1177

                                                        #272
                                                        Bundesliga
                                                        Werder Bremen win v. Augsberg EV 10x -10
                                                        Werder/Augsberg u2.5 +115 5x +5


                                                        2.Bundesliga
                                                        Düsseldorf -1 v. Rostock -135 10x +10
                                                        1860 Munich/Paderborn o2.75 EV 10x -10
                                                        Bochum/Karlsruhe u2.5 +115 5x +5


                                                        Odd day were I finished dead even. Looks liek there was money to be made during the weekend, but I was away. Bremen/Augsberg was a much better game than expected. Of course I played the exact scores for 1-0, and 2-0, but not 1-1 Düsseldorf looked great and the lowly teams didn't score. Surprised at the low scoring game at Allianz for 1860, but I was going to ride them until the under hit. Likely still will.

                                                        Hope you had a good weekend!

                                                        Club plays Friday: 3-0-2 0
                                                        Club plays last week: 6-0-5 +7.73
                                                        Updated Club play total: 73-7-67 +109.84
                                                        Comment
                                                        • escou
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-17-11
                                                          • 1042

                                                          #273
                                                          Haha not really the best weekend of them all, hard to cap most of the games and not too many goals where expected .... this weekend should be better, since all the teams will be rested more or less.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • escou
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 1042

                                                            #274
                                                            Alot of goals usually in German Cups are you on any games today?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TomJSports
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-31-11
                                                              • 1177

                                                              #275
                                                              Originally posted by escou
                                                              Alot of goals usually in German Cups are you on any games today?
                                                              For sure, it's going to be a fun day
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TomJSports
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-31-11
                                                                • 1177

                                                                #276
                                                                Feeling kind of ill, don't know if I'll post any official plays.

                                                                Like the BVB/Dresden o3.5. I like this to be a 4-1 or 3-1 BVB win.

                                                                Fürth/Paderborn should hit the under.

                                                                Augsburg's doing well, so I like them to take out Leipzig with high morale. Rb Lepzieg of course has a tonne of money and will be in the first league within the decade.

                                                                Bochum should win their match and has attractive +130 odds.

                                                                1860/Düsseldorf should be another high scorer. I like a 3-2 match.

                                                                I like Gladbach -1.

                                                                But in my opinion, aside from Fürth/Paderborn, these all could hit the over.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TomJSports
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-31-11
                                                                  • 1177

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Originally posted by TomJSports
                                                                  Feeling kind of ill, don't know if I'll post any official plays.

                                                                  Like the BVB/Dresden o3.5. I like this to be a 4-1 or 3-1 BVB win.

                                                                  Fürth/Paderborn should hit the under.

                                                                  Augsburg's doing well, so I like them to take out Leipzig with high morale. Rb Lepzieg of course has a tonne of money and will be in the first league within the decade.

                                                                  Bochum should win their match and has attractive +130 odds.

                                                                  1860/Düsseldorf should be another high scorer. I like a 3-2 match.

                                                                  I like Gladbach -1.

                                                                  But in my opinion, aside from Fürth/Paderborn, these all could hit the over.
                                                                  ehh, 3-3.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • escou
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 1042

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Even cups are hard to cap nowadays they've always been just kidding
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Fl6j66
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 06-20-10
                                                                      • 961

                                                                      #279



                                                                      ???

                                                                      Me want parlay...


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • escou
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 1042

                                                                        #280
                                                                        haha everytime there is a lock its a loss so .... do you really want that lock ??
                                                                        Comment
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