Best NFL Handicapper

**Slanina** · 09-11-15, 01:03 PM

Any one running with him this year?

**Deceptakhan** · 09-11-15, 02:25 PM

Let's do this

**ToPHeR** · 09-11-15, 02:45 PM

He said he sent his picks in. Didn't post them though

**Heandog** · 09-11-15, 05:25 PM

can someone put up a link to get into the picks , everytime I click on the old one comes up page can not be found

**Slanina** · 09-11-15, 06:47 PM

Last year the picks weren't available until at least noon on Saturdays. So maybe the link won't work until tomorrow. But I haven't tried looking for picks yet myself.

**Slanina** · 09-11-15, 11:00 PM

I checked out his Twitter today. I copied and pasted what he tweeted. I'm not sure who enters a $1500 contest and says something like that even before it starts... To each his own, I guess. So if you do tail, note those are his words.

@dfl514 Not false modesty. Really don't have time for NFL; will likely pick Lions every week bc I root for them. You've been warned.

**ROFLcopter** · 09-12-15, 02:24 PM

Did this guy enter the contest this year? Don't see his entries

Also don't see CH Ballers but the guy who was in 2nd place last year is in there again

**emtyefd** · 09-12-15, 02:30 PM

so then I will pick Denver every week and if they finish 10-6 ATS I made a profit, right?

**Capybara** · 09-12-15, 02:32 PM

Yes, he is in. Looks like this year he is D F L 1 and D F L 2.

Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest

https://www.westgatedestinations.com/nevada/las-vegas/westgate-las-vegas-hotel-casino/casino/supercontest-selections/

Funny, I don't like his Twitter posts either. But I assume it's just modesty and/or that he doesn't like feeling responsible for people in case he shits the bed.

**Slanina** · 09-12-15, 03:13 PM

Originally posted by Capybara

Yes, he is in. Looks like this year he is D F L 1 and D F L 2.

Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest

https://www.westgatedestinations.com/nevada/las-vegas/westgate-las-vegas-hotel-casino/casino/supercontest-selections/

Funny, I don't like his Twitter posts either. But I assume it's just modesty and/or that he doesn't like feeling responsible for people in case he shits the bed.

He gave a warning last year as well. He seems like a stand up guy based on his tweets about tailing and the tout world. But if he does choose Detroit every week, I'll probably ignore that play.

**16kredit** · 09-12-15, 04:05 PM

im checking the supercontest too. If anyone knows if Ch ballers use different name, please note us.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 09-12-15, 05:16 PM

This is good for determining gossips u want to play last few years it's been money

**Ra77er** · 09-12-15, 05:26 PM

Thinking of following this guy

DONALD TRUMP 2016

KC

BUF

NO

TEN

BAL

**uup115** · 09-12-15, 06:20 PM

Does anybody know Fezzik's name he is playing under?

**pittsburghace** · 09-12-15, 06:24 PM

It looks like a'lot people are going under different name's this season.

**uup115** · 09-12-15, 06:33 PM

We should start another thread for the SuperContest 2015?

**Foosball Champ** · 09-12-15, 08:22 PM

I don't see this guys name or picks on the above link.

Westgate Las Vegas Super Contest

http://www.westgatedestinations.com/nevada/las-vegas/westgate-las-vegas-hotel-casino/casino/supercontest-selections/

**uup115** · 09-12-15, 08:35 PM

Look at DFL1 and DFL2.

**chief42** · 09-12-15, 09:14 PM

D F L 1	PIT	CHI	DET	CIN	ATL
D F L 2	CLE	BUF	SEA	DET	CIN

**ToPHeR** · 09-12-15, 11:34 PM

You guys playing all picks or just 1 lane?

**Ra77er** · 09-12-15, 11:41 PM

Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago I'm with those for sure, Atlanta is the only one I don't like personally. I would rather have seen TB instead of Atlanta there.

DFL followers would be Cin/Det bets for sure and the rest use your own capping probably a good strategy?

**uup115** · 09-13-15, 12:11 AM

I play his picks that show up in both 1 and 2 (DET, CIN). He uses different models for each entry so when they showed up in both they were hitting hard last season. I will cross reference the picks of the top 5 entries after we have a sample size worth noting along with DFL 1,2 as well. I also adjust for "stale" line movements. Week 1 with only last season leaders to reference (General TSO, T Time, Brettfarve444, Briefcase, Dshot702) along with other strong players that made late moves that hurt their overall finish (IMAWHALESPORTS, ALCATRAZ HOLDINGS) plus recent winner DFL1,2, I came to this conclusion. Atlanta-5unit, Chicago-4unit, Detroit, SF-2unit, Cincinnati and Buffalo-1.5unit. Last season went quite well with this system but i also had several key players like Fezzik (2 time consecutive winner) and CH Ballers (largest margin of victory winner) to help cross reference selections, but they have not entered or assumed new aliases this season.

**Slanina** · 09-13-15, 12:13 AM

He said last year that his top plays go in Lane 1. Unless Lane 2 is ahead on points then he puts his top 5 on that entry. Also a side note, last year he did quite well when he had the same team on both entries. Tomorrow Cincinnati and Detroit fits that criteria.

**Slanina** · 09-13-15, 12:17 AM

I went through all the entries of players that finished with 55 or more points last year's contest. 15 total. 3 weren't entered or under a different alias ( CHBALLERS, Degenchat). I forgot to write the 3rd name down. Anyways, i added up their selections to form a consensus. Below are the numbers.

ATL - 8 selections

CHI - 6 selections

WAS - 6 selections

NYG - 5 selections

4 teams tied with 3 selections.

**uup115** · 09-13-15, 12:45 AM

I did about the same thing but i also subtracted value for opposing picks, for example, every Miami pick would take 1 away from Washington. Atlanta and Chicago had almost no resistance, if any at all.

**ToPHeR** · 09-13-15, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

I went through all the entries of players that finished with 55 or more points last year's contest. 15 total. 3 weren't entered or under a different alias ( CHBALLERS, Degenchat). I forgot to write the 3rd name down. Anyways, i added up their selections to form a consensus. Below are the numbers.

ATL - 8 selections

CHI - 6 selections

WAS - 6 selections

NYG - 5 selections

4 teams tied with 3 selections.

But what about cin and det?

**uup115** · 09-13-15, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

But what about cin and det?

I'm playing them because I give those picks extra value. He (DFL) is strictly a math and numbers guy, and when the 2 different machines he built spit out the same answer, it usually wins.

**POOLSIDE** · 09-13-15, 12:57 AM

Originally posted by uup115

I'm playing them because I give those picks extra value. He (DFL) is strictly a math and numbers guy, and when the 2 different machines he built spit out the same answer, it usually wins.

Be careful with the Lions. He's an admitted Detroit homer. I'll be blindly ignoring his Detroit picks. Last season he had them picked in both entries and they got slaughtered.

**Slanina** · 09-13-15, 01:33 AM

Originally posted by ToPHeR

But what about cin and det?

3 selections for Detroit.

Only 1 selection for Cincinnati. There was also 1 selection for Oakland.

**Slanina** · 09-13-15, 01:35 AM

Originally posted by uup115

I did about the same thing but i also subtracted value for opposing picks, for example, every Miami pick would take 1 away from Washington. Atlanta and Chicago had almost no resistance, if any at all.

I started out doing that but I'm just too tired considering the time so I just posted selection total. It went very fast just adding. Plus I wouldn't be surprised if that actually confused some.

Pretty funny how the top 4 plays are all dogs. It makes me have even more confidence in them. You can sometimes tell winning gamblers from your average/losing gamblers just by that.

**POOLSIDE** · 09-13-15, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

Pretty funny how the top 4 plays are all dogs. It makes me have even more confidence in them. You can sometimes tell winning gamblers from your average/losing gamblers just by that.

Totally. I was literally just in line at the sportsbook at Mandalay and some drunk dude was there to get his Indy pick in. He's going off to his buddy about how bad the line is, how there's no way Buffalo can hang with them because their quarterback sucks, and how it's "impossible for Rex Ryan to turn that team around in one game". I just smiled.

I'm not saying the Bills are for sure gonna win or anything, but I sure felt better about the Buffalo bet I was about to make. In fact, it made me feel better about the Raiders, Titans, Giants, and Falcons bets I was making too. Go figure.

**oh_lol** · 09-13-15, 04:56 AM

Originally posted by Slanina

I went through all the entries of players that finished with 55 or more points last year's contest. 15 total. 3 weren't entered or under a different alias ( CHBALLERS, Degenchat). I forgot to write the 3rd name down. Anyways, i added up their selections to form a consensus. Below are the numbers.

ATL - 8 selections

CHI - 6 selections

WAS - 6 selections

NYG - 5 selections

4 teams tied with 3 selections.

Are these just which teams they are taking in general, or all ML or somethign?

**ToPHeR** · 09-13-15, 10:02 AM

I saw this in service section...CH Ballers

"Anyway, I bought their day pass. The plays are STL, KC, and CLE. Only 4 hilton entries have those 3 picks, and the only entry that wasn't in the contest last year is..... "EL CHINGON"

**16kredit** · 09-13-15, 10:05 AM

so El chingon are CH ballers?

**POOLSIDE** · 09-13-15, 10:08 AM

Originally posted by oh_lol

Are these just which teams they are taking in general, or all ML or somethign?

ML parlay but they bought the hook