Catch
That
Falling
Knife.
Ouch....
That
Falling
Knife.
Ouch....
-
Comment -
Gotta sell my organs due to the 0-5 day... good work DFLComment -
Anybody blaming him for losing money today has nobody to blame but themselves. He basically came in here before the games and straight up told you not to tail him.Comment -
He did it on purpose so you would all stop tailing him
Comment -
He is awesome.Comment -
I think DFL did post - most people on SBR can't write clearly beyond a few sentences. It is an odd coincidence that his picks did horribly on the day he posted. What he said matches his Twitter.Comment -
Wow, looks like I posted that warning just in time!
Picks I use in both entries: usually it's if I have a strong handicapping opinion on a game and the line is stale as well. But again, can I claim that "strong handicapping opinion" from me will cash enough to break even? Maybe not, especially not vs widely available and current lines.
Anyways, some day I'll tell all my grandkids about the time I went on a 81-31-3 run in the SuperContest and there was a crazy forum thread. Until then, most likely, it's back to reality ...
(Final warning: I'm in even more dire straits now with respect to probability of winning the contest this year ... even more incentive to make some contrarian weird picks)
Good luck everyone, this was a fun thread to stumble into
Comment -
Hey, Candyride! It was funner for us! Thanks for the warnings you posted. I doubt if anyone paid attention to the point of laying off your picks, but you did your best.Wow, looks like I posted that warning just in time!
Picks I use in both entries: usually it's if I have a strong handicapping opinion on a game and the line is stale as well. But again, can I claim that "strong handicapping opinion" from me will cash enough to break even? Maybe not, especially not vs widely available and current lines.
Anyways, some day I'll tell all my grandkids about the time I went on a 81-31-3 run in the SuperContest and there was a crazy forum thread. Until then, most likely, it's back to reality ...
(Final warning: I'm in even more dire straits now with respect to probability of winning the contest this year ... even more incentive to make some contrarian weird picks)
Good luck everyone, this was a fun thread to stumble into
You're right, this is one crazy thread, for sure. Don't feel too bad, you weren't the first person who got lit up in here. I doubt you'll be the last. This thread has a life of its own.
But, thanks to you this has been one of the most profitable threads ever. I think it'll continue to be so, although it may go in a little different direction after your warning number two. Good luck in the contest going forward, and thanks for the picks and the lessons in handicapping. Especially the lessons regarding paid cappers claiming to hit above 60% consistently. There aren't any.Comment -
This seems crazy to me. I could understand DFL going 0-5/1-4 but all the picks of the top 12 going 1-1-9?! That's some crazy bad luck if they are truly independent entries and cappers.I took the top 12 ranked people in the contest and looked for consensus picks. The below picks were very popular, with CLE -3 being the most popular pick. What was rather unsettling to me was the amount of people picking PHI as I have bets on GB....
I've used these to make some parlays as well as a few teasers. I have a tiny bankroll so looking for something better than putting $10 on David's picks for now
I like Browns but the new QB is an unknown. It's weird logic but since these guys are so good, I like looking at the couple who had BUF since that already lost. Maybe that was their only failure and they'll be 4-1?
Pick Number of top 12 players who made pick
CLE - 3 8 NE +2.5 5 DET +2.5 5 MIN +3 4 PHI +6 4 ATL +2 4 Raw dataSD -10 3 TB +7.5 3 DEN -9.5 2 NYG +3.5 2 SEA +1.5 2
CH BALLERS . CLE -3 CHI -3 STL +9.5 OAK +10 IND -3 BRIEFCASE 2 . BUF CLE -3 ATL +2 CIN +7 TB +7.5 GENERAL TSO . HOU +3 KC -1.5 SF -3.5 NE +2.5 TEN +6 IMAWHALE SPORTS CLE -3 MIN +3 PHI +6 TB +7.5 DET +2.5 DEGENCHAT . BUF CLE -3 ATL +2 SD -10 NE +2.5 STAG CAPITAL . CLE -3 MIN +3 PHI +6 ATL +2 DET +2.5 PHILDEEZ . GB -6 SEA +1.5 DET +2.5 NE +2.5 PIT -6 RESTORE THE ROAR CLE -3 PHI +6 KC -1.5 DEN -9.5 NE +2.5 RONIN . CHI -3 DEN -9.5 NYG +3.5 SD -10 NE +2.5 DAVIDFROHARDT LANE 1 SEA +1.5 WAS -7.5 NYG +3.5 SD -10 DET +2.5 ALCATRAZ HOLDINGS CLE -3 MIN +3 NO -7 TB +7.5 ARI +2.5 CLEAR CAPITAL . CLE -3 MIN +3 PHI +6 ATL +2 DET +2.5
I made a few different teasers using combos of the above thinking they would go 4-1 or even 3-2 and I would be up. I got buried!Comment -
Amazing that DFL posted again. Again he reiterated past themes brought up on his Twitter.Comment -
Dave's picks out yet guys? Thanks.Comment -
DAVIDFROHARDT LANE1 TEN MIN NYJ SEA BAL DAVIDFROHARDT LANE2 CLE DET JAX WAS DAL Comment -
Spreads?Comment -
Lane 2 looks good to me this week.Comment -
so... having to pick 5 games in each lane he picks 10 different games? i dont get that logic, considering the fact there isnt 10 playable games on any given week. i guarantee pros would tell you that. i feel like hes given up on this season and is just throwing darts now. maybe im wrong. i do like some of his picks but wont be tailing all 10.
good luck to him and all tailing.Comment -
Daolgester: He has 2 lanes in case one lane initially does better than the other, the top picks would go to that lane. Last year lane 2 got off to a better start than lane 1 so his top picks went to lane 2 and it was that lane that won. This year it's lane 1. SImple as that.
Also, can't believe people on here are still tailing him after his warnings and 0-5 week.
You'd be better off tailing top 10 consensus picks..Comment -
I "liked" this guy like a dozen times. He is the genuine letterComment -
Wow, looks like I posted that warning just in time!
Picks I use in both entries: usually it's if I have a strong handicapping opinion on a game and the line is stale as well. But again, can I claim that "strong handicapping opinion" from me will cash enough to break even? Maybe not, especially not vs widely available and current lines.
Anyways, some day I'll tell all my grandkids about the time I went on a 81-31-3 run in the SuperContest and there was a crazy forum thread. Until then, most likely, it's back to reality ...
(Final warning: I'm in even more dire straits now with respect to probability of winning the contest this year ... even more incentive to make some contrarian weird picks)
Good luck everyone, this was a fun thread to stumble into
Are you ever in Vegas? Even though you had a bad week recently, I have made a fortune tailing your NFL Plays. If you ever come to Vegas, I can take care of the expenses for a weekend. Room at Bellagio, tickets to any shows you want, entrances to any clubs, hottest elite prostitute companion (you can pick any race) who will workship you and be your slave in the bedroom the entire weekend...and these are educated and well mannered professionals who can be great companion in public as well....no one would doubt that you are with a prostitute.Comment -
In regards to your PM Mitch.. yes I'm aware (I can't respond to PM's yet)
Make good money tailing him 1st half of season (just off lane 1). Jumped off around week 9 to tail top 10 consensus picks (where there is greater than a 30% consensus over unopposed picks) as it's a system that is back tested a little bit and as of now it's been profitable as well.
BTW; great job on your under umpire threads. I tailed a few plays and made some money. You sir, are the man!Comment -
He beat most of the closing lines this week. He will do better than last week when almost all lines moved against him.Comment -
Looks like he will be undefeated! Rock on!Comment -
Tenn didn't hitComment -
Lane 1 is 2-1 pending NYJ, BAL
Lane 2 finishes 2-3Comment -
It's officially time to start ignoring his plays. He's behind in the contest. He's in a spot where he'd take a team simply because he thinks his competitors will take the other side, even if he thinks it's the wrong side.Comment -
Lane 1 is 0-2 so farDAVIDFROHARDT LANE1 CHI DAL BAL -5.5 NO +4.5 ATL +2.5 DAVIDFROHARDT LANE2 BAL -5.5 NYG -2.5 CAR +2.5 ATL +2.5 NYJ +6.5 Comment -
Lane 2 looking pretty good. Only one I would change is Carolina.Comment
