im off to my brothers house...i actually have my sbr password now tho so i will check back in a few times and see if jinxy shows up! add if me and my brother come up with another play, or if i like anything at halftimes/live...gl everyone!!
-
Comment -
hahah, hopefully well see ya bank. good talks this weekComment -
diggin this pick today...
- Cleveland Browns @ Indianapolis Colts
- Trent Richardson - Total Rushing and Receiving Yards: Over 117.5
if cleveland plays how we think they should today richardson should get atleast 130 yards in my mind.. bit of a risky play. but i like it. banking for some nice screen yardage.Comment -
i hate the steelers with a passion, but i think they are the play tonight.i think this one really tough,,im with you im not real high on either team, i think big ben have a field day through the air but i havnt checked the status of a lot of pit oline that was already thin and ravaged with injuries against titans and cincy can get after the qb,,,gun to head i took bungels in pools i play in but i more than likely wont wager on it as ill be watching my cardinals hopefully punch their ticket to the WS
im pretty sure pit record after a loss has been impeccable under tomlin,,,not 100% tho as my memory isnt what it once was, might wanna check on that..Comment -
just threw some cash on alfred morris UNDER 83.5 yards.. parlayed it with the 2nd half over 25.5Comment -
yea this the one that stuck out to me,,,,just hope he healthy enough to get the touches! im with it!!
mush called he playinig a total which rare but not unprecidented (0-2 i think on year, lol)
his play dal/car ov 45.5 so as always not sure i disagree but we eating this free money!
dal/cal un 45.5 50 to win 55 (gotta luv getting the juice, lol)....Comment -
well aint that a bitch,,,,dsi and bovada only had passing props on the cle/indy gm,,,,id say you got a winner jinxy, they scared! think i will put some cash where you playing props 2marro....either way gl my friend....Comment -
live bet ov 43.5 in nyg/skins gm...im still convincved we see pointsComment -
gb/st un 21.5 2nd hlaf...lambs will continue to cotinue to controkl clock and prob sellte for fgs, gb might score twice,,,i think 20 tops..
zona/min un 20...hopefully ponder stops throwing picks, just run and punt and zona aint driving..Comment -
holy shit. at this giants game LOLComment -
well got a push on the nyg total,,,hit the live bet,,freaking crazy we hit the lambs teaser,,tb sucked, but overall id say we killed it again
i hate double digit chalk but no respect for the jets here,,pats will run all over tehm and win this going away..
pats-10.5
3 team 6 point tease
pats-5
ov 41.5
oak pk
gl everyoneComment -
real good start so far, i got a couple plays left and since i was up i put a small parlay out and tailed your teaser as it seems our discussions this week turned out to help us all out!
lets get em boysComment -
jax/oak ov 42.5 liveComment -
nice hit on the teaser, had a similar outcome with my teaser in nebraska yesterday....very good feeling hitting the edge of teasers like that....its a sign of sharpness
...good shit today....wish I woulda checked this thread during games,u had a lot of good 2nd half/live bets, ill make sure to next wk, I was just all wrapped up in games/dont usually do it, you leaning a way in tonights game? i got cinn, think all the injuries in pitt will throw their offense out of sync, not to mention aj green and dalton will be able to put up some pts the way this defense is playing......cards lean?
Comment -
ahh pats ruining the gameComment -
yea live bets have been really good to me this year, now that i have my sbr log in and ive joined the next century with a iphone ill be able to post them more frequently.... far as tonight gun to head id play cincy but prob just passing and watching cards gm,,,no lean for cards gm, being a homer i played stl ff +110, stl-1.5 +165 and tt ov 3, but again im just being a homer i really dont know...nice hit on the teaser, had a similar outcome with my teaser in nebraska yesterday....very good feeling hitting the edge of teasers like that....its a sign of sharpness ...good shit today....wish I woulda checked this thread during games,u had a lot of good 2nd half/live bets, ill make sure to next wk, I was just all wrapped up in games/dont usually do it, you leaning a way in tonights game? i got cinn, think all the injuries in pitt will throw their offense out of sync, not to mention aj green and dalton will be able to put up some pts the way this defense is playing......cards lean?
Comment -
What do you think about the SNF game Banker?Comment -
going small on cinci +100 pk, over on thisComment -
ah well, all in all good day. this weeks thread was awesome for ideasComment -
crazy sunday as always. baltimore really f*cked me out of a lot of money today. couldn't even hit the tease at +13.5.. sad , sad..
pitt made my day tho
damn trent richardson couldn't even get through a quarter without being pulled. serves me right putting down money on an injured dude. trent seems to be pretty fragile probably should note that. every week a different injury or another reaggravation.
already on the CHI ML tomorrow.
what about you bankComment -
tough gm, if i thought we could get through it with only 1 score from or directly related to turnovers i would like the under,,,not sure if that gonna be the case tho,,,im assuming you have chi ml to end a parlay? surely you not laying almost 3 to 1 chalk on a nfl football gm? these mls amaze me, sure chi is the better team and sure they have to somewhat line up with the spread but i really just dont believe +235 is indicative of lions real chance of winning, forgive my rounded off math but doesnt that mean if det wins 35ish% of time you profiting? hard to believe cutler doesnt just play like a bitch that amount of time regardless of team he playing,,and we are talking about a det team that if anything has a good dline which tends to be enough to screw with the bears...im not even saying i think det wins but in a gm where a few plays by either defense will decide outcome and prob be close late id think if you take the dog ml 100 times you be ahead, if anything you would think there a decent chance det has the lead at some point and you can take the bears at low odds or even plus as well..
chitown who i like honestly, has had relatively easy go of it , their oline struggles and while we have seen them throw some quicker drops lately i still gotta believe at times in this gm cutler will have pressure in his grill,,chi defense is nice and looking at what they give up on the ground is sick but put into context they really have not played a team very proficient at running and while im at it havnt went against many wrs that can blow the top off a cover 2 so they been able to do exactly what they want, compacting the field close to the LOS (pack being the one exception and what do ya know gb out rushed chi in that gm, and we know gb not exactly a run 1st team.. problem here neither is det as they run like what 33% of the time? they gonna have to make a effort to get that number a lot closer to 45ish if they dont want stafford making mistakes against a team that loves to force them.. note that both gms det has won they had more rushing attempts than passing,,,chi gonna have to play a with a little more cushion or risk cj getting over the top, that should open run lanes and underneath stuff that hasnt been there against a lot of teams they have played,,,,i guess the question is det willing/capable to take adv? if they can then this gm becomes intersesting....if det takes wht they are given and stafford can manage to play w/o to many mistakes they will be able to move the ball between 20's and control the clock, ultimatley bears will let you do this waiting for you to make a mistake or make life tough if you do reach the red zone..
defensively as i said det dline should harrass cutler and they will have to as yo dont want him to have time for marshall to beat the corners (houston has been doing solid job on teams 1 from what ive seen), force bears to stick with quick drops (tackle on shot passes), stop the run and make cutler play behind the chains, cutler does not like it when things go this way,,as long as det avoids the big play and doesnt give away points when they have the ball (no picks on your side of field stafford!) i see 2 teams that move the ball but struggle inside the red zone and 2 defenses that have excelled at stopping teams once they reach the 20,.,,think this gm stays somewhat low and barring special teams and defensive scores by chi should be contested till the end.. lets call it 23-20 bears ...
det+6.5..maybe yo can get a 7 at some point but i wont be around till later so posting now, obvioulsy if you like them get best line possible...
un 47...again maybe better number later, dont know...long as the defenses dont contribute to many scores i think we get a lot of clock eating fgs early on...
gl everyoneComment -
det ml +240...just sprinkling a little here, not even saying i think det wins but i think it closer than the price suggest, throw in the fact chi has started slow in several gms and that could lead to chance to get bears live with little plus as well...Comment -
ya bank i need CHi to finish off a parlay. definitely don't like the value but I liked chicago earlier in the week so this is where i sit. pays off a couple hundi so i could hedge on det ml if i wanted, maybe throw down 50... not sure.. but I think id rather throw down some props bets.
eyeing the over for stafford at 288.5 yards and marshall of 100.5.. clavin @ 98.5 looks juicy as well..Comment -
i cant even see real props yet. only the dumb ones like x scores first, fumble/int, overtime etc no player ones still :/Comment -
I took a prop Will a special teams or defensive TD be scored Yes +160 at + 160 & the bears D & Hester's probable this looks pretty good.You never know when Cutler will throw a pick 6.
GLComment -
nice bet.
staying away from the marshall prop tonight. do like him to have a huge game tonight, but honestly always prefer staying away from WR props. always more accurate with QB and RBs.
added stafford over 288.5 yards... really love this bet. detroit has no run game to speak of... hes been flying over 288 all year. except for 2 games(had 278 in one of those).. may be worth mentioning mikel leshoure grew up in chicago and played college ball in illinois.. may be a bit extra motivated.. may not.
in 2 matchups last year with chicago, stafford had around 210 the first game and over 300 the second... jahvid best also had 162 yards rushing for the lions that first game.. obv no way detroit matches those rushing stats. confident stafford eclipses 300 tonight.
also like the odds for 3rd quarter pts ov/un @ 10 for +110.. both games last year sailed over 10 in the 3rd quarter.. like the value here. parlaying it with lions teaser +13Comment -
i think the one he had 278 in he was also injured with a ham strain and hill took over so discountable as hill put up 170+ the rest of the game.
i like the prop jinxComment -
I appreciate everyone's insight.
I like the 4th quarter over due to Lions tendency to score late and probability of a close game. o13.5 -125 at 5Dimes.
Total sacks is also interesting. o5 -145 and o5.5 +115 right now at 5Dimes.
Keep an eye on the weather forecast when evaluating any angles. Looks like a wet one.Comment -
Given your feelings on Stafford how about this one?
10/22/2012 7:35 PM Stafford vs Cutler - most gross passing yards by Both players must play in game for action (Offense only). Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. Official stat's via NFL.com. Any scoring changes after game is official are invalid towards wager. Max wager is $200 231 Matthew Stafford -30½ passing yrds +135 232 Jay Cutler +30½ passing yrds -165
10/22/2012 7:35 PM
Stafford vs Cutler - most gross passing yards by Both players must play in game for action (Offense only). Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime counts towards wager. Official stat's via NFL.com. Any scoring changes after game is official are invalid towards wager. Max wager is $200
231
Matthew Stafford -30½ passing yrds +135
232
Jay Cutler +30½ passing yrds -165Comment -
all good point banker, Im gonna lay off this one, maybe make a live bet if a team goes up early, or maybe we get quick td on an opening drive,
just quick question bout what you know, trying to think what teams are still running cover 2 as their base defense? I think its only chicago and minnesota, is their any other teams that you can think of that run the cover 2 a lot? I havent even watched minnesota enough to know I just read it in an espn mag article the other day when I was waiting to get a hair cut.....intrestingly enough if you look at those 2 team defensive rankings, its almost like baiting teams to run on them, teams run on minn/chic very frequently, but at the same time theyve been unsuccessfull.....very intresting....speaks volumes to these teams front 4 and their contribution to the team....Comment -
It's also very situational. Last night in the Steelers/Bengals game this came up in the 4Q. Steelers were driving and at the Bengals 11 yard line. The announcer made the comment on how the Bengals had been dropping a safety down into the box when Dwyer and Batch were in the backfield, but playing the Cover 2 when it was Rainey in there. Sure enough, with Rainey in the backfield the Bengals treated him as more of a receiving threat, and Tomlin called a classic power Steelers running play, pulling the left guard and running Rainey right up the seam for the TD. Beautiful execution after 3 quarters of misdirection.
Overall, as play-action has become more heavily used, it's become more of a trend to try to disguise coverage, which isn't nearly as easy in a Cover 2 base arrangement, or as useful when a good QB can gain 6-7 yards at a time on quick bubble screens against deep coverage.Comment -
ya I noticed that, respect to todd haley for that, more I watch rothlisburger and that team the more I realize how dumb it is to bet against them, they have a very strong offense that can always put them in opportunities to win games despite making mistakes, between bens ability to move in the pocket and weapons they have at WR, they can go down the field very quickly if needed to against any team....Comment
