When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

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  • yisman
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-01-08
    • 75682

    #421
    the line movement with that game has been ridiculous. Who is moving that?
    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
    [/quote]

    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
    Comment
    • McRich
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-26-07
      • 961

      #422
      Originally posted by yisman
      the line movement with that game has been ridiculous. Who is moving that?
      Maybe it was my wager that put the line over the edge.
      Comment
      • McRich
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-26-07
        • 961

        #423
        I lost on Penn +2 with a RLM wager today. 0-1.

        Overall record is 12-9.

        The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

        NBA 5-2
        NCAABB 3-2
        NCAAF 2-3
        NFL 2-2
        Comment
        • seve
          SBR Rookie
          • 11-26-08
          • 16

          #424
          Long time lurker here, but I had to sign up just to get some clarification. This site has been a great learning tool for me for the last couple of months.

          I'm looking at Sport Insights, and they show 90% of the money in the Oklahoma/Oklahoma St NCAAF game on Oklahoma. Yet the line has moved from OU giving 7.5 down to them only giving 7. WTF? Shouldn't my money be on OSU in this case?

          Maybe I'm just a noob. Thanks in advance for your insight.
          Comment
          • McRich
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-26-07
            • 961

            #425
            Originally posted by seve
            Long time lurker here, but I had to sign up just to get some clarification. This site has been a great learning tool for me for the last couple of months.

            I'm looking at Sport Insights, and they show 90% of the money in the Oklahoma/Oklahoma St NCAAF game on Oklahoma. Yet the line has moved from OU giving 7.5 down to them only giving 7. WTF? Shouldn't my money be on OSU in this case?

            Maybe I'm just a noob. Thanks in advance for your insight.
            OSU is the play. 1/2 point movements are not the optimum play according to LT Profits who is more experienced on RLM plays than myself. He suggests one or more point movements. I have played 1/2 point movements.
            Comment
            • McRich
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-26-07
              • 961

              #426
              I am playing the Sixers -5 and Northwestern +4 in NCAAB tonight for RLM plays.
              Comment
              • single shaker
                SBR Sharp
                • 11-28-07
                • 290

                #427
                thank you LT for putting everything in prospective, i have been trying to use system described by you for over a year now, but the way it was explained to me it was just impossible to stick with due to the time constraints on my part. your way it only takes me 25 minutes a day, thank you very much, i have seen your tennis picks as well and do have a question. is there a free site that would show where public leans on tennis simuluar to the one you recommended for American Sports?
                Comment
                • dmolition
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-10-08
                  • 106

                  #428
                  Originally posted by McRich
                  OSU is the play. 1/2 point movements are not the optimum play according to LT Profits who is more experienced on RLM plays than myself. He suggests one or more point movements. I have played 1/2 point movements.
                  I think he said there can be an exception in footbal points like 3, 7 and 10 for example and thus a move from 7.5 to 7 is big and can be considered a whole point reverse line movement if it was hoops it wouldnt count as a RLM.
                  Comment
                  • yisman
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 09-01-08
                    • 75682

                    #429
                    I'm on the Sixers too.
                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                    [/quote]

                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                    Comment
                    • Capybara
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 11803

                      #430
                      Originally posted by McRich
                      I am playing the Sixers -5 and Northwestern +4 in NCAAB tonight for RLM plays.
                      Wow, vicious RLM with the Sixers! 72% of the betting on Orlando and yet it goes from Philly -2 to Philly -5???? What the heck do you think is going on there, is someone from the Magic hurt all of a sudden? Also interesting is that in the ESPN preview it lists the line having gone from Philly -2 to Even. What the F.

                      Anyway, I love my RLM so I'm on it! The Clippers are a half-point RLM tonight as well, and I noticed LT is on them, so that could be a good one too.
                      Comment
                      • louisvillekid
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-14-07
                        • 9263

                        #431
                        Nelson is out and possibly Lewis
                        Comment
                        • McRich
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-26-07
                          • 961

                          #432
                          Originally posted by Capybara
                          Wow, vicious RLM with the Sixers! 72% of the betting on Orlando and yet it goes from Philly -2 to Philly -5???? What the heck do you think is going on there, is someone from the Magic hurt all of a sudden? Also interesting is that in the ESPN preview it lists the line having gone from Philly -2 to Even. What the F.

                          Anyway, I love my RLM so I'm on it! The Clippers are a half-point RLM tonight as well, and I noticed LT is on them, so that could be a good one too.
                          Yeah, I am going to make a small play on the Clippers +4.5 for a RLM play also. Let's cash in!!!
                          Comment
                          • McRich
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-26-07
                            • 961

                            #433
                            Taking the Pacers tonight +8 for a RLM play.
                            Comment
                            • SportNut
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-16-07
                              • 1984

                              #434
                              Originally posted by louisvillekid
                              Nelson is out and possibly Lewis
                              Hey do we allow avatar like that now? Me like!
                              Comment
                              • yisman
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 09-01-08
                                • 75682

                                #435
                                Orlando won. wow.
                                [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                [/quote]

                                [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                Comment
                                • Capybara
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 08-17-08
                                  • 11803

                                  #436
                                  Happy Thanksgiving, RLM'ers!

                                  Man, that Sixers loss hurt me yesterday. Got the Clippers, but that was only a small one for me.

                                  Okay, so what are we liking on Turkey Day? I've only looked at the NFL so far, but seems like we're looking at the Seahawks, huh? Hmmmm.....
                                  Comment
                                  • SexyMit
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-06
                                    • 6139

                                    #437
                                    Philly is what i've seen, yes and Seattle!
                                    If it seems to good to be true it usually is!!

                                    I have a natural instinct to exploit market ineffieciencies!!
                                    Comment
                                    • yisman
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 09-01-08
                                      • 75682

                                      #438
                                      Eagles should definitely be a RLM play. May only be a half point move but this is RLM.

                                      I'm on it.
                                      [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                      [/quote]

                                      [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                      Comment
                                      • The_Kid
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-09-08
                                        • 5049

                                        #439
                                        You can check out Maryland in CBB. Looks like LT is already on that one.
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #440
                                          Charlotte Hornets tonight is a possibility.
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • McRich
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-26-07
                                            • 961

                                            #441
                                            All Thanksgiving weekend I thought the SBR forum server was down. I couldn't access this site, but everything else on the web was accessible. I find out Monday from a friend that SBR was never down. For some reason my router is blocking only the SBR site. I have to bypass my wireless router until I can figure out the problem.

                                            Here are my totals from my posted RLM picks before the Thanksgiving weekend. I will be adding my other RLM plays that I wagered on even though they were not posted.


                                            Overall record is 14-10-1.

                                            The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                            NBA 7-3
                                            NCAABB 3-2=1
                                            NCAAF 2-3
                                            NFL 2-2
                                            Comment
                                            • McRich
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 10-26-07
                                              • 961

                                              #442
                                              This is my updated RLM record after the Thanksgiving weekend.

                                              The RLM play totals from the weekend (and one NBA on Monday).

                                              NBA 3-4
                                              NCABB 7-5
                                              NFL 1-0
                                              NCAAF 3-1-1


                                              Overall record is 28-20-2.

                                              The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                              NBA 10-7
                                              NCAABB 10-7-1
                                              NCAAF 5-4-1
                                              NFL 3-2
                                              Comment
                                              • McRich
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-26-07
                                                • 961

                                                #443
                                                I am on the Sixers +2 and Raptors +5 for RLM wagers tonight.
                                                Comment
                                                • yisman
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 09-01-08
                                                  • 75682

                                                  #444
                                                  what were your RLM plays over the weekend? Did it include the Eagles? I loved the Eagles based on this.

                                                  I got the Sixers last night on Bodog for +3 (-110)
                                                  [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                  [/quote]

                                                  [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Capybara
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-17-08
                                                    • 11803

                                                    #445
                                                    Hey, McRich is back -- I wondered what happened with this thread!

                                                    I had a great RLM weekend as well... Was going to post my picks but was just too lazy... Maybe I'll look it up on SIA and post my plays and/or record to see how much it agrees with McRich's.

                                                    Yisman, I didn't have the Eagles as a strong RLM play as I recall, but I did like them.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • McRich
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-26-07
                                                      • 961

                                                      #446
                                                      Originally posted by yisman
                                                      what were your RLM plays over the weekend? Did it include the Eagles? I loved the Eagles based on this.

                                                      I got the Sixers last night on Bodog for +3 (-110)
                                                      No, the only RLM NFL play I had from last weekend was the Rams for a win.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • McRich
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-26-07
                                                        • 961

                                                        #447
                                                        Originally posted by Capybara
                                                        Hey, McRich is back -- I wondered what happened with this thread!

                                                        I had a great RLM weekend as well... Was going to post my picks but was just too lazy... Maybe I'll look it up on SIA and post my plays and/or record to see how much it agrees with McRich's.

                                                        Yisman, I didn't have the Eagles as a strong RLM play as I recall, but I did like them.
                                                        Way to go!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • McRich
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 10-26-07
                                                          • 961

                                                          #448
                                                          I ended up betting S. Alabama +7 for an RLM tonight also.

                                                          Went 1-1 in NBA and 1-0 in NCAABB

                                                          Overall record is 30-21-2.

                                                          The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

                                                          NBA 11-8
                                                          NCAABB 11-7-1
                                                          NCAAF 5-4-1
                                                          NFL 3-2
                                                          Comment
                                                          • apk2k6
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-09-08
                                                            • 494

                                                            #449
                                                            Weren't the Sixers and Clippers both RLM plays today? The Spurs were too but they lost. For NCAAB I had Central Michigan, which won, making it 3-1 overall today.

                                                            Maybe you play it slightly different than me.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • McRich
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 10-26-07
                                                              • 961

                                                              #450
                                                              Originally posted by apk2k6
                                                              Weren't the Sixers and Clippers both RLM plays today? The Spurs were too but they lost. For NCAAB I had Central Michigan, which won, making it 3-1 overall today.

                                                              Maybe you play it slightly different than me.
                                                              I don't always have a chance to wager on every RLM play. It depends on what is happening that day/night for me.

                                                              I am trying to use the guideline of 60%/40% minimum split on bets, a full point minimum move (I have used a 1/2 point move before), and a certain number of bets depending on the sport. LT Profits provided the guideline for the deciding factors somewhere in this thread.

                                                              I made a wager on Central Michigan last night also, but it must not have met the RLM standards I have been using when I made the wager: therefore, I did not count that wager in my RLM totals in this thread.

                                                              Using this RLM data has without a doubt made me a better capper. I know a dry run can happen anytime, but like I stated before, this is one more tool to help me become better.

                                                              I am by no means an expert at this, I am still learning. If you have an RLM play figured out, post it here so I can use it,
                                                              Comment
                                                              • I.R.B
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 08-12-08
                                                                • 3209

                                                                #451
                                                                I like RLM in college sports.. Pros RLM Suck, even tho i won huge on the SF vs Cards MNF game which that game had HUGE RLM.. I usally stay away from Pros RLM and play what i want even tho the line moves i stick to my plays.. If you want the best way to go about readiing line moves you should really think about getting Sports Insights.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • I.R.B
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-12-08
                                                                  • 3209

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Also i have to say this thread turned out pretty good.. A good thread for alot of Newbies to learn a bit about RLM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • I.R.B
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-12-08
                                                                    • 3209

                                                                    #453
                                                                    Originally posted by Capybara
                                                                    Wow, vicious RLM with the Sixers! 72% of the betting on Orlando and yet it goes from Philly -2 to Philly -5???? What the heck do you think is going on there, is someone from the Magic hurt all of a sudden? Also interesting is that in the ESPN preview it lists the line having gone from Philly -2 to Even. What the F.

                                                                    Anyway, I love my RLM so I'm on it! The Clippers are a half-point RLM tonight as well, and I noticed LT is on them, so that could be a good one too.
                                                                    Never follow RLM if you dont know which book had the move.. There are some books that do better then some.. Like i said in my other post Pros RLM are pretty much worthless unless you follow the right book.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • I.R.B
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-12-08
                                                                      • 3209

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Here is another thing to look for.. Plays the dogs or dogs turned into favs.. Playing a -4 line that moves to 7 or 8 is just stupid. JMO.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • McRich
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 10-26-07
                                                                        • 961

                                                                        #455
                                                                        I am on S. Florida +10.5 for an RLM play tonight.
                                                                        Comment
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